Group 1: Strategic Development Directions - The company will focus on three core development directions over the next five years: deepening the integration of the industrial chain, promoting green and low-carbon transformation, and optimizing the allocation of strategic mineral resources [2][3]. Group 2: Project Updates - The Indonesian alumina and bauxite project includes two coordinated segments, with a total planned capacity of 1 million tons for the alumina project, divided into two phases. The total investment is approximately 6 billion yuan [4]. - The company has completed the environmental assessment for the Indonesian project and is currently advancing the design of the port terminal [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Goals - The company's debt reduction efforts have led to a decrease in the asset-liability ratio from about 53% at the beginning of the year to approximately 48% currently, with a long-term goal of reducing it to below 40% [4]. - Financial expenses are expected to decline further if the asset-liability ratio reaches around 40% [4]. Group 4: Market and Production Insights - The company’s third-quarter revenue decreased sequentially primarily due to a reduction in aluminum ingot sales, attributed to differences in revenue recognition timing rather than a decline in market demand [5]. - The company is progressing well with the 140,000-ton green low-carbon energy efficiency enhancement project, aiming to energize the first batch of electrolytic cells by the end of November and complete all cells by the second quarter of next year [5].

天山铝业集团股份有限公司 证券代码：002532 证券简称：天山铝业 公告编号：2025-074 关于控股股东面向专业投资者非公开发行可交换公司债券 换股价格调整的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 公司于 2025 年 9 月 26 日召开 2025 年第一次临时股东大会审议通过了《关 于公司 2025 年半年度利润分配方案的议案》，并于 2025 年 10 月 24 日在巨潮资 讯网上披露了《2025 年半年度权益分派实施公告》。本次权益分派方案为：以公 1 / 2 司总股本 4,651,885,415 股扣除回购专用账户中持有的本公司股份 62,008,530 股 后的 4,589,876,885 股为基数，向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 2 元（含税）， 不送红股、不进行资本公积金转增股本，共计派发现金红利人民币 917,975,377 元（含税）。本次权益分派股权登记日为 2025 年 10 月 29 日，除权除息日为 2025 年 10 月 30 日。根据《石河子市锦隆能源产业链有限公司 2024 年面向专业投资 者非公 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum experienced a decline of 5.08% in stock price, currently trading at 12.70 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 59.079 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Tianshan Aluminum Industry Group Co., Ltd. is located in Shanghai and was established on November 3, 1997, with its listing date on December 31, 2010 [1] - The company specializes in the production and sales of primary aluminum, aluminum deep processing products, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes: 65.26% from the sale of self-produced aluminum ingots, 24.20% from alumina sales, 6.89% from aluminum foil and aluminum foil raw materials, 2.10% from high-purity aluminum, and 1.55% from other sources [1] Fund Holdings - Huafu Fund has a significant holding in Tianshan Aluminum, specifically in the Huafu Small and Medium Enterprises 100 Index Enhanced Fund (410010), which held 31,000 shares in the second quarter, unchanged from the previous period [2] - This holding represents 2.59% of the fund's net value, ranking as the ninth largest holding [2] - The fund has a total scale of 9.9295 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 31.82%, ranking 1680 out of 4218 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Li Xiaohua, has been in position for 4 years and 176 days, with the best return during his tenure being 104.54% and the worst being -18.24% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 financial results, showing stable revenue growth and significant profit increases, primarily driven by rising aluminum prices [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 22.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.34 billion yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 6.99 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year and a 5.5% decline quarter-on-quarter, while net profit rose to 1.26 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.4% [1]. - The company's gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 22.4%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of 15.0%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Production and Pricing - The company has an electrolytic aluminum production capacity of 1.2 million tons, with an actual annual output of approximately 1.16 million tons, and is expected to operate at full capacity for alumina in Q3 2025 [2]. - The average aluminum price for Q1-Q3 2025 was 20,447 yuan per ton, up 3.7% year-on-year, with Q3 2025 prices reaching 20,710 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 5.9% [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expanding its electrolytic aluminum capacity by 200,000 tons, with completion expected in 2026, enhancing its integrated layout and raw material security [4]. - The company is investing in a 200,000-ton alumina production line in Indonesia, with a total investment of $1.556 billion, which is expected to further expand its electrolytic aluminum production capabilities [4]. - The company has secured a 50% stake in Elite Mining Guinea S.A. and exclusive purchasing rights for bauxite, with plans for an annual production capacity of 5-6 million tons [4]. Investment Recommendation - The supply-demand dynamics for electrolytic aluminum are favorable, and the company's integrated advantages are expected to continue driving performance growth. Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 4.7 billion yuan, 5.74 billion yuan, and 6.33 billion yuan, corresponding to price-earnings ratios of 13, 11, and 10 times, respectively [5].

Group 1: Financial Events and Policies - The 2025 Financial Street Forum Annual Meeting is taking place from October 27 to 30 in Beijing, with key speeches from the Governor of the People's Bank of China, the head of the Financial Regulatory Administration, and the Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2][3] - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 900 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation on October 27, with a one-year term [3][5] - The State Council's report on financial work emphasizes the need for a moderately loose monetary policy to support the real economy and create a favorable financial environment [3] Group 2: Company Earnings Reports - WuXi AppTec reported a net profit of 12.076 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 84.84% [4] - Cambridge Technology's net profit for the first three quarters increased by 70.88% year-on-year [5] - Weicai Technology achieved a net profit of 202 million yuan for the first three quarters, marking a 226.41% year-on-year growth [5] - Guosheng Financial Holdings reported a net profit of 242 million yuan for the first three quarters, up 191.21% year-on-year [6] - Shen Shen Fang A's net profit surged by 2791.57% year-on-year for the first three quarters, reaching 14.5 million yuan [6] - Several companies, including Morning Light Biotechnology and Wen Tai Technology, reported significant year-on-year profit increases of 385.3% and 265.09%, respectively [6][12] Group 3: Company Losses and Declines - Jing Sheng Machinery reported a net profit decline of 69.56% for the first three quarters [9] - China Shenhua's net profit decreased by 10% year-on-year, amounting to 39.052 billion yuan [8] - Health Yuan and Ping An Bank experienced net profit declines of 1.83% and 3.5%, respectively, for the first three quarters [8]

Core Insights - Tianshan Aluminum reported a revenue of 22.321 billion yuan for Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.34% and a net profit of 3.340 billion yuan, up 8.31% year-on-year [1] - The company achieved a basic earnings per share of 0.73 yuan, with core product electrolytic aluminum sales prices showing a steady increase [1] - The company is actively pursuing a green low-carbon transformation project for 1.4 million tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity, expected to increase total output by nearly 20% [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Tianshan Aluminum's net profit reached 1.256 billion yuan, with a non-recurring net profit of 1.239 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of approximately 34% [1] - The company’s financial expenses for the first three quarters of the year were 382 million yuan, a decrease of 30.8% year-on-year, indicating an improved financial structure [1] Production and Cost Management - The average sales price of electrolytic aluminum increased by about 2% quarter-on-quarter due to improved macro sentiment and fundamentals [1] - Production costs have steadily declined, aided by the consumption of high-priced alumina inventory and advantages in coal prices in the Xinjiang region [1] Shareholder Returns - Tianshan Aluminum announced a mid-year dividend plan, distributing 2 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), totaling 920 million yuan, which has been approved by the shareholders' meeting [2] - The company committed to a cumulative cash dividend of no less than 50% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, an increase from 41% in 2024 [2] Share Buyback - As of September 30, 2025, Tianshan Aluminum completed a new round of share buybacks, acquiring 23.7052 million shares, representing 0.51% of the total share capital, with a total expenditure exceeding 200 million yuan [3] - The company plans to cancel 23.148 million shares repurchased earlier this year, corresponding to a total buyback fund of 150 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The macroeconomic environment is favorable, with continued destocking trends and aluminum prices breaking through 21,000 RMB/ton [1][8] - The demand for aluminum is expected to remain stable, supported by ongoing economic growth and a favorable policy environment [13] - The aluminum industry is projected to maintain high prosperity due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases [13] Summary by Sections 1. Prices - As of October 24, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was 2,856.5 USD/ton, up 315.0 RMB/ton week-on-week, a 1.5% increase [17] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closed at 21,225.0 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 315.0 RMB/ton [23] 2. Production - In September 2025, the electrolytic aluminum production was 3.615 million tons, a decrease of 11.8 thousand tons month-on-month [55] - The alumina production for the same month was 7.604 million tons, down 13.5 thousand tons month-on-month [55] 3. Inventory - As of October 23, the national aluminum ingot inventory was recorded at 618,000 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 9,000 tons [9] - The domestic aluminum rod inventory increased to 145,000 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 3,000 tons [9] 4. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - China Hongqiao (1378.HK) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.65 RMB for 2025 [7] - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) is also rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 1.00 RMB for 2025 [7] - Shenhuo Co. (000933.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.13 RMB for 2025 [7] 5. Supply and Demand - Domestic supply remains stable, while overseas supply disruptions have occurred, such as Century Aluminum's production halt in Iceland [9] - The demand side shows a mixed picture, with high aluminum prices suppressing downstream purchasing enthusiasm [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Tianshan Aluminum [5][7]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 22.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.34 billion yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year [1]. - The increase in aluminum prices has driven profitability, with the average aluminum price for the first three quarters of 2025 at 20,447 yuan per ton, a 3.7% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company is expected to release an additional 200,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity in 2026, enhancing its integrated layout and resource security [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.99 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, but a net profit of 1.26 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 24.3% [1][2]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 27.2%, up 4.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising aluminum prices [2][3]. Production Capacity and Cost Advantages - The company currently has an electrolytic aluminum capacity of 1.2 million tons, with an actual annual output of approximately 1.16 million tons [2]. - The company benefits from low energy costs due to its operations in Xinjiang, where coal resources are abundant, contributing to a strong sustainability of high profitability [4]. Future Outlook - The strategic acquisition of three bauxite mines in Indonesia and plans to invest 1.556 billion USD to build a 2 million ton alumina production line are expected to further expand the company's production capabilities [4]. - The company has also secured a 50% stake in Elite Mining Guinea S.A. and plans to produce 5-6 million tons of bauxite annually, enhancing its raw material supply [4]. Earnings Forecast - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 4.70 billion yuan, 5.74 billion yuan, and 6.33 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13, 11, and 10 times [5][6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3][4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are expected to experience high-level fluctuations in the short term, driven by supply disruptions and ongoing negotiations between the US and China [4] - Aluminum prices are on the rise due to continuous inventory depletion, while the alumina market remains in an oversupply situation [4] - Lithium prices are recovering from the bottom as demand increases during the peak season, with a notable decrease in inventory [4] - Cobalt prices are likely to continue rising due to the implementation of export quotas in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which may tighten supply [4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report indicates that the US CPI for September was lower than expected, which may influence market conditions [8] 2. Market Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector shows that the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.88%, while the non-ferrous sector increased by 1.13%, underperforming the index by 1.75 percentage points [11][12] 3. Valuation Changes - The TTM PE for the non-ferrous sector is 27.27, with a weekly change of 0.68, while the PB is 3.17, reflecting a 0.09 change [21][24] 4. Industrial Metals - Copper prices increased by 2.61% in London and 3.95% in Shanghai, with inventories decreasing [26] - Aluminum prices rose by 2.78% in London and 1.14% in Shanghai, with a notable increase in aluminum enterprise profits [36] - Lead and zinc prices also saw increases, with lead prices up by 2.00% and zinc by 2.48% [47] - Lithium prices for lithium carbonate rose by 2.79% to 75,400 yuan/ton, while lithium spodumene increased by 4.14% to 881 USD/ton [76] - Cobalt prices saw a significant increase, with MB cobalt rising by 7.75% to 22.60 USD/pound [89]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Aluminum [5][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that industrial metal prices are expected to remain strong due to seasonal demand and supply disruptions, particularly for copper and aluminum [2][3]. - Energy metals like lithium and cobalt are projected to perform well, driven by strong demand in the energy storage market and supply constraints [3]. - Precious metals are anticipated to experience price fluctuations in the short term, but long-term trends remain bullish due to central bank gold purchases and weakening dollar credit [4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by macroeconomic sentiment and supply disruptions, with the SMM import copper concentrate index at $51.2/ton, down $0.6/ton month-on-month [2]. - Aluminum demand is robust, particularly from the automotive sector, with domestic aluminum ingot social inventory at approximately 618,000 tons, down 9,000 tons week-on-week [2]. - Key companies recommended include Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium supply is increasing due to new production lines, while demand from the energy storage market is exceeding expectations, supporting strong prices [3]. - Cobalt prices are rising due to supply concerns from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with Chinese companies receiving fewer export quotas than expected [3]. - Recommended companies include Huayou Cobalt and Yichun Lithium [3]. Precious Metals - Gold prices are experiencing short-term volatility due to optimistic international conditions, but long-term outlook remains positive with central bank purchases [4]. - Silver prices are influenced by industrial demand and follow gold's price movements [4]. - Recommended companies include Western Gold and Shandong Gold [4].