Group 1 - Tianshan Aluminum experienced a decline of 5.06% on September 18, with a stock price of 10.88 CNY per share, a trading volume of 578 million CNY, a turnover rate of 1.27%, and a total market capitalization of 50.613 billion CNY [1] - Tianshan Aluminum Group Co., Ltd. is located in Shanghai and was established on November 3, 1997, with its listing date on December 31, 2010. The company specializes in the production and sales of primary aluminum, aluminum deep processing products, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1] - The main business revenue composition includes: sales of self-produced aluminum ingots at 65.26%, sales of alumina at 24.20%, sales of aluminum foil and aluminum foil raw materials at 6.89%, sales of high-purity aluminum at 2.10%, and other sales at 1.55% [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten heavy stocks of funds, one fund under Bosera Fund holds Tianshan Aluminum as a significant investment. Bosera Xintai Mixed A (004175) held 32,800 shares in the second quarter, accounting for 0.63% of the fund's net value, ranking as the seventh largest heavy stock [2] - The latest scale of Bosera Xintai Mixed A (004175) is 3.2026 million CNY. Since the beginning of the year, it has incurred a loss of 0.35%, ranking 8105 out of 8193 in its category; over the past year, it has achieved a return of 3.27%, ranking 7699 out of 7977; and since its inception, it has gained 100.61% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The market is expected to shift towards low-risk, high-dividend sectors, making the allocation in non-ferrous and steel sectors timely. The operating performance of most sub-sectors in the non-ferrous and steel industry has shown significant improvement in both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter comparisons [15][16] - Copper prices have surpassed $10,000 per ton, with expectations for profitability and dividend rates to gradually increase for copper mining companies. For instance, Zangge Mining reported a mid-term dividend of 1.569 billion yuan, with a dividend rate significantly raised to 87% [15][16] - Aluminum prices have risen, leading to upward revisions in profitability and dividend expectations. The aluminum price has reached 21,000 yuan per ton, and companies like Tianshan Aluminum have increased their dividend rates to 50% [16] - The rare earth sector is anticipated to enter a new phase of price increases due to the resumption of bidding by downstream magnetic material manufacturers, with companies like Jinkeli Yongci reporting a mid-term dividend rate of 81% [16] - Steel companies are expected to enhance their dividend capabilities as profitability improves and capital expenditures decline. For example, Huazhong Steel has seen an increase in shareholding by Xintai Life Insurance, which plans to continue increasing its stake [16] Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous and Steel Industry - The report highlights the positive outlook for low-risk, high-dividend sub-sectors within the non-ferrous and steel industry, driven by improving operating performance and rising commodity prices [15][16] - The copper market is experiencing tight supply, pushing prices above $10,000 per ton, which is expected to enhance profitability and dividends for mining companies [15][16] - The aluminum sector is benefiting from a favorable supply-demand balance, with prices rising and companies increasing their dividend rates [16] - The rare earth market is poised for growth as bidding resumes in downstream sectors, leading to improved profitability and dividend stability [16] - Steel companies are likely to see enhanced profitability and dividend capabilities due to reduced capital expenditures and improved market conditions [16]

| 股东 | 是否为控股 股东或第一 | 本次质押 | 占其所 | 占公司 | 是否 | 是否 为补 | 质押起 | 质押到 | | 质押 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 大股东及其 | 数量（万 | 持股份 | 总股本 | 为限 | 充质 | 始日 | 期日 | 质权人 | 用途 | | | 一致行动人 | 股） | 比例 | 比例 | 售股 | 押 | | | | | | 曾超 | | | | | | | 2025/9/ | 2027/8/ | 银河金汇 证券资产 | 偿还 | | 林 | 是 | 3,400.00 | 11.26% | 0.73% | 否 | 否 | 15 | 27 | 管理有限 | 存量 | | | | | | | | | | | 公司 | 负债 | 1、本次股份质押基本情况 证券代码：002532 证券简称：天山铝业 公告编号：2025-058 天山铝业集团股份有限公司 关于实际控制人部分股份质押的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没 ...

证券代码：002532 证券简称：天山铝业 公告编号：2025-057 天山铝业集团股份有限公司 关于公司对全资孙公司提供担保以及全资子公司对全资孙 公司提供担保的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 本次担保后，本公司及控股子公司对外担保总额超过最近一期经审计净资产 100%（均为合并报表内单位担保）；公司本次对下属全资孙公司上海辛然实业 有限公司和石河子市新仁电池铝箔科技有限公司提供担保，属于对资产负债率超 过 70%的对象提供担保。敬请投资者充分关注担保风险。 一、担保情况概述 （一）担保情况 根据公司业务的发展和生产经营的需要，天山铝业集团股份有限公司（以下 简称"天山铝业""公司"或"本公司"）为中国工商银行股份有限公司靖西市支行 （以下简称"工商银行靖西支行"）对本公司全资孙公司靖西天桂铝业有限公司 （以下简称"靖西天桂"）享有的 2 亿元人民币主债权提供最高额保证担保，为中 国光大银行股份有限公司上海分行（以下简称"光大银 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent performance and investment trends in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly focusing on the Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) which has seen significant net subscriptions and capital inflow [1][2] - The Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) has attracted a total of 33.6 million yuan in the last five days and 163 million yuan over the past 20 days, reaching a historical high of 263 million yuan as of September 12 [1] - The anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to boost non-ferrous metal prices due to increased demand for physical assets, a weaker dollar making metals cheaper, and lower borrowing costs for companies [1][2] Group 2 - The macroeconomic environment is favorable for metal prices due to the Federal Reserve's easing policies and domestic initiatives aimed at optimizing production factors and improving profitability [2][3] - The strategic metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony are expected to benefit from global geopolitical dynamics, while lithium, cobalt, and aluminum are influenced by domestic "anti-involution" policies [3] - The supply-demand balance for industrial metals like copper and aluminum remains tight, driven by demand from emerging industries and limited supply increases [3] Group 3 - In terms of individual stock performance, leading companies in the lithium sector, such as Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium, have seen significant gains, while some companies in the non-ferrous sector have experienced declines [4]

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum has shown significant stock price growth and positive financial performance, indicating strong market interest and operational stability [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, Tianshan Aluminum achieved a revenue of 15.328 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.19% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.084 billion yuan, reflecting a slight year-on-year growth of 0.51% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 6.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.463 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - On September 15, Tianshan Aluminum's stock price increased by 2.00%, reaching 11.71 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 520 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.09% [1]. - The stock has appreciated by 52.63% year-to-date, with a 11.74% increase over the last five trading days and an 18.88% increase over the last 20 days [1]. - The company had a market capitalization of 54.474 billion yuan as of the latest trading session [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, the number of shareholders for Tianshan Aluminum reached 49,700, an increase of 4.44% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder was 83,175, which decreased by 4.25% compared to the previous period [2]. - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh-largest circulating shareholder, holding 113 million shares, a decrease of 10.084 million shares from the previous period [3]. Business Overview - Tianshan Aluminum, established on November 3, 1997, and listed on December 31, 2010, is primarily engaged in the production and sale of primary aluminum, aluminum deep-processing products, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1]. - The revenue composition includes 65.26% from aluminum ingots, 24.20% from alumina, 6.89% from aluminum foil and foil materials, 2.10% from high-purity aluminum, and 1.55% from other sources [1]. - The company operates within the non-ferrous metals industry, specifically in the aluminum sector, and is associated with concepts such as battery foil, sodium batteries, lithium batteries, and Xinjiang revitalization [1].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals sector is benefiting from the global macro cycle, with U.S. interest rate cuts and Trump-era policies releasing liquidity, driving resource prices into an upward cycle [1][2] - The anticipated interest rate cuts in Q4 2025 and the increase in the U.S. debt ceiling are expected to have significant impacts on the sector [1][2] Key Insights on Gold Stocks - Gold stocks have shown high certainty in the current market, experiencing a 20% pullback despite gold price fluctuations [4] - Historical data indicates that prior to price increases, gold stocks typically see a rise in both EPS and PE [4] - The average gold price in 2025 is projected to be significantly higher than in 2024, suggesting strong performance for companies like Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold [4] Electrolytic Aluminum Sector - The supply of electrolytic aluminum is constrained, with actual new capacity in early 2025 expected to be around 500,000 to 600,000 tons, lower than the anticipated 1 million tons [5] - Global PMI recovery is expected to gradually restore demand for electrolytic aluminum, with price expectations increasing [5] - The sector's valuation is at historical lows, with mainstream stocks valued at less than 10 times earnings, indicating significant room for recovery [6] Copper Sector Outlook - The copper sector presents investment opportunities driven by financial and industrial attributes, with expectations of price increases due to U.S. interest rate cuts and improved demand from China [7][8] - Supply disruptions from global mining events are contributing to a tightening supply situation, while demand is expected to grow due to macroeconomic factors [7][8] Tungsten Market Dynamics - The rise in tungsten prices is driven by supply contraction, export controls, and its strategic importance [3][9] - China's tungsten product exports have significantly decreased, leading to shortages in overseas markets [10] - The impact of export quotas on prices is critical, with expectations of a potential price increase if the second batch of quotas is reduced [12] Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, Xiamen Tungsten, China Tungsten High-Tech, and Anyuan Coal Industry, which are seen as having investment potential in the current market environment [4][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [9] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery of the silver-gold ratio and the simultaneous rise in copper and aluminum prices due to both domestic and international factors [5][6] - Weak employment data in the U.S. has led to increased expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut in September, which is expected to boost precious metals [5][6] - The report suggests that while gold remains a focus for investment, the recovery of the silver-gold ratio indicates potential for silver as well [5][6] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report highlights the weak performance of the U.S. labor market and its implications for precious metals, particularly gold and silver [5][6] - It suggests that gold stocks may experience a quarterly-level resonance in terms of price, valuation, and style due to anticipated rate cuts [5][6] - For silver, the report advises attention to its potential to converge with gold as inflation expectations rise [5][6] Industrial Metals - Industrial metals have seen a broad increase, with LME copper rising by 1.7% and aluminum by 3.8% [6][27] - The report notes that domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth are expected to enhance demand outlook [6] - It indicates that while demand for copper and aluminum may decline in the second half of the year, supply constraints will limit the extent of this decline [6] Strategic and Minor Metals - The report discusses the strategic reassessment of rare earths and tungsten, with a focus on their long-term value due to government policies and market dynamics [7] - It highlights the upward price trend for cobalt and nickel, driven by supply constraints and increasing demand in the battery sector [7] - The report also mentions the bottoming out of lithium prices, with a cautious outlook on future price movements [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The demand for aluminum continues to rise during the peak season, with signs of a turning point in aluminum ingot inventory [1] - The macroeconomic environment is favorable, with expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which may further support aluminum prices [6][11] - The aluminum processing sector is experiencing a recovery in operating rates, indicating a potential increase in demand [11] Summary by Sections 1. Prices - As of September 12, 2025, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2701.0 per ton, up $98.5 from the previous week, a 3.8% increase [23] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21120.0 CNY per ton, up 425.0 CNY from the previous week, a 2.1% increase [23] - The average price of A00 aluminum in Changjiang was 21050.0 CNY per ton, up 370.0 CNY from the previous week, a 1.8% increase [23] 2. Production - In August 2025, the production of electrolytic aluminum was 373.3 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 1.1 million tons, and a year-on-year increase of 5.0 million tons [56] - The production of alumina in August 2025 was 773.8 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 8.8 million tons, and a year-on-year increase of 56.5 million tons [56] 3. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - China Hongqiao (1378.HK) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.35 CNY for 2024, increasing to 2.89 CNY by 2026 [5] - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 0.96 CNY for 2024, increasing to 1.27 CNY by 2026 [5] - Shenhuo Co. (000933.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 1.91 CNY for 2024, increasing to 2.56 CNY by 2026 [5] - China Aluminum (601600.SH) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 0.72 CNY for 2024, increasing to 0.99 CNY by 2026 [5] - Yunnan Aluminum (000807.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 1.27 CNY for 2024, increasing to 2.07 CNY by 2026 [5] 4. Inventory - As of September 11, 2025, the domestic electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory was recorded at 625,000 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 1,000 tons [7] - The aluminum rod inventory in major domestic consumption areas was 132,500 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 750 tons [7] 5. Demand - The arrival of the traditional peak season has led to improved order conditions for most profile enterprises, with various downstream sectors showing varying degrees of recovery [7] - The operating rate of aluminum processing leading enterprises increased by 0.4 percentage points to 62.1% [7]

证券代码：002532 证券简称：天山铝业 公告编号：2025-056 2、股东股份累计质押基本情况 天山铝业集团股份有限公司 关于实际控制人部分股份解除质押的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、股东股份质押后续进展 （一）股东股份解除质押 天山铝业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"或"公司"）近日接到股东、 实际控制人曾超懿函告，获悉其所持有本公司的部分股份解除质押，具体事项如 下： | 股东 | 是否为控股 股东或第一 | 本次解除质 押股份数量 | 占其所持 | 占公司 总股本 | 质押起始 | 解除质押日 | 质权人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 大股东及其 | (万股) | 股份比例 | 比例 | 日 | 期 | | | | 一致行动人 | | | | | | | | 曾超 | 是 | 7,500.00 | 19.05% | 1.61% | 2 ...