Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of brokerage "gold stocks" in July, with all 30 brokerage gold stock combinations showing positive returns, indicating a robust recovery in the A-share market [2][9]. Brokerage Performance - Ping An Securities' gold stock combination achieved the highest return of 16.57% in July, followed by Kaiyuan Securities at 13.57% and Caitong Securities at 12.93% [3][9][10]. - Notably, all brokerage gold stock combinations recorded positive returns, with several brokerages, including China Merchants Securities and Galaxy Securities, also exceeding 10% returns [9][10]. Top Performing Stocks - The best-performing stock was Kangchen Pharmaceutical, recommended by Ping An Securities, which surged by 106.74% in July [4][6]. - Other notable stocks included Borui Pharmaceutical (82.05%), Kangfang Biotech (68.13%), and Yuandong Biotech (56.60%), all showing significant monthly gains [6][7]. August Strategy - Brokerages are adopting an aggressive strategy for August, focusing on technology growth stocks and cyclical stocks benefiting from mid-year performance reports [12][15]. - The market outlook is optimistic, driven by expectations of recovering corporate ROE and a favorable policy environment, suggesting a continued upward trend in A-shares [15]. Common Recommendations - Several stocks received multiple recommendations from brokerages for August, including Dongfang Caifu, Muyuan Foods, and Wanhua Chemical, each recommended by four different brokerages [16][19]. - The rationale for recommending Dongfang Caifu includes the potential for the securities sector to enter a main upward trend, while Muyuan Foods is recognized for its leading position in the pig farming industry [16][19].

Quantitative Models and Construction - **Model Name**: "Kaiyuan JinGong Optimal Stock Portfolio" **Model Construction Idea**: This model is based on the observation that newly recommended stocks ("newly entered stocks") outperform repeatedly recommended stocks ("repeated stocks"). It incorporates the "Surprise in Earnings" (SUE) factor to select stocks with strong earnings surprises, aiming to enhance portfolio returns[23][25]. **Model Construction Process**: 1. Use newly recommended stocks as the sample universe. 2. Select the top 30 stocks with the highest SUE factor values. 3. Weight the portfolio based on the number of recommendations by brokers. **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates superior performance compared to the overall stock portfolio and benchmark indices, indicating its effectiveness in capturing excess returns[23][25]. Model Backtesting Results - **Kaiyuan JinGong Optimal Stock Portfolio**: - **July Return**: 5.8%[25] - **2025 YTD Return**: 18.0%[25] - **Annualized Return**: 20.8%[25] - **Annualized Volatility**: 25.2%[25] - **Sharpe Ratio (Return-to-Volatility)**: 0.82[25] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 24.6%[25] - **Overall Stock Portfolio**: - **July Return**: 7.7%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 18.5%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 12.2%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 23.4%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio (Return-to-Volatility)**: 0.52[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 42.6%[21] - **Benchmark Indices**: - **CSI 300**: - **July Return**: 3.5%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 3.6%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 2.4%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 21.2%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio (Return-to-Volatility)**: 0.11[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 40.6%[21] - **CSI 500**: - **July Return**: 5.3%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 8.7%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 0.1%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 23.7%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio (Return-to-Volatility)**: 0.01[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 37.5%[21] Quantitative Factors and Construction - **Factor Name**: Surprise in Earnings (SUE) Factor **Factor Construction Idea**: The SUE factor measures the degree of earnings surprise, which is a key indicator of stock performance. Stocks with higher earnings surprises are expected to outperform[23]. **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the earnings surprise for each stock based on the difference between actual and expected earnings. 2. Rank stocks by their SUE values. 3. Select the top stocks with the highest SUE values for portfolio inclusion[23]. **Factor Evaluation**: The SUE factor demonstrates strong stock selection ability, particularly within the newly recommended stock universe, contributing to the superior performance of the optimal stock portfolio[23]. Factor Backtesting Results - **SUE Factor**: - Integrated into the "Kaiyuan JinGong Optimal Stock Portfolio," contributing to its superior performance metrics as detailed above[23][25].

-0.02(-0.35%) +0.09(+0.80%) +0.03(+0.37%) 光大银行 2392.96亿市值 3.88亿成交额 4.05 0.00(0.00%) 得經 中国太保 中国平安 中国人保 0 3626.37亿市值 10660.27亿市值 3615.32亿市值 4.24亿成交额 13.91亿成交额 3.56亿成交额 58.54 37.58 8.20 +0.12(+0.32%) -0.15(-0.26%) +0.02(+0.24%) 酿酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 17807.86亿市值 2176.17亿市值 4692.86亿市值 25.26亿成交额 8.45亿成交额 5.58亿成交额 1417.60 178.38 120.90 -0.62(-0.35%) -4.07(-0.29%) -0.25(-0.21%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2381.29亿市值 2907.41亿市值 3220.14亿市值 12.26亿成交额 30.95亿成交额 21.51亿成交额 138.54 330.00 694.97 -5.20(-1.55%) -14.53(-2.05%) -0. ...

消息面上，能繁母牛存栏降至十年低位，牛价进入三年上行周期，原奶价格跌破成本线触发产能去化， 现代牧业等龙头2025年有望迎来利润拐点。 生猪行业已明确步入一个以"去产能+强者恒强"为主线的稳态发展阶段。在没有显著新增需求的前提 下，市场将围绕存量份额展开再分配，低效与高成本的产能被逐步淘汰，行业集中度将持续提升。优质 企业的标准越来越清晰：一是必须具备低成本的养殖能力，能够穿越价格周期保持盈利；二是要有充裕 的资金储备，应对突发政策或价格大幅波动带来的风险。真正值得布局的，是那些有能力在调整期内巩 固成本优势、扩大市占率、并持续优化管理效率的公司。随着行业格局趋稳，这类企业将在未来的盈利 分配中占据更大份额，构成穿越周期的长期优质资产。 畜牧ETF紧密跟踪中证畜牧养殖指数，中证畜牧养殖指数选取涉及畜禽饲料、畜禽药物以及畜禽养殖等 业务的上市公司证券作为样本，以反映畜牧养殖相关上市公司的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年7月31日，中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)前十大权重股分别为牧原股份(002714)、温 氏股份(300498)、海大集团(002311)、梅花生物(600873)、新希望(000876)、 ...

Group 1 - In July, the financing balance increased by over 130 billion yuan, marking the highest monthly growth in financing balance for the year [2] - Six industries attracted over 10 billion yuan in net financing, including electronics, pharmaceuticals, electric equipment, non-ferrous metals, computers, and non-bank financials [2] - The top three industries by net financing in July were electronics (14.7 billion yuan), pharmaceuticals (14.1 billion yuan), and electric equipment (12.7 billion yuan) [2] Group 2 - Among individual stocks, nine stocks saw net financing exceeding 1 billion yuan, with notable mentions being Xinyi Technology, Northern Rare Earth, and Shenghong Technology [2][3] - Xinyi Technology experienced a nearly 50% increase in July, with its stock price nearly doubling over the past two months [3] - The top five stocks with the highest net selling amounts included Wuliangye, Sunshine Power, BeiGene, Muyuan Foods, and Hengli Petrochemical, each exceeding 300 million yuan [3] Group 3 - As of July 30, six companies had financing balances exceeding 10 billion yuan, including Dongfang Wealth, China Ping An, Kweichow Moutai, CITIC Securities, BYD, and Yangtze Power, all of which are large-cap blue-chip stocks [3]

Market Overview - The market continued to rise in July, supported by both policy and liquidity[5] - Policies aimed at "anti-involution" have led to higher elasticity in commodity prices, driving cyclical industries to lead the market[5] - Future focus will remain on liquidity support and the gradual increase in risk appetite, although the likelihood of market adjustments is rising[5] Investment Recommendations - The "Golden Stock Portfolio" has achieved a year-to-date return of 30.37%[15] - Key recommended stocks include: - China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) - Innovent Biologics (1801.HK) - Bairun Food (002568.SZ) - Muyuan Foods (002714.SZ) - Filihua (300395.SZ) - CATL (300750.SZ) - Hubei Yihua (000422.SZ) - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) - Conch Cement (600585.SH) - North Huachuang (002371.SZ)[12] Risk Factors - Risks include macroeconomic performance falling short of expectations, policy implementation delays, and overseas expansion not meeting projections[12]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002321 | 华英农业 | 2.51 | 0.40% | | 35.53万 | 8893.94万 Ir | | 300313 | *ST天山 | 10.00 | -0.10% | | 7.82万 | 7969.97万 | | 605296 | 神农集团 | 32.00 | -1.11% | | 3.83万 | 1.23亿 | | 600965 | 福成股份 | 5.20 | -1.14% | 1 | 8.81万 | 4604.07万 | | 300761 | 立华股份 | 19.31 | -1.18% | | 8.68万 | 1.68亿 | | 002124 | 天邦食品 | 3.04 | -1.30% | | 35.98万 | 1.10亿 | | 002746 | 仙坛股份 | 6.11 | -1.45% | | 10.44万 | 6406.52万 | | 002299 | 圣农发展 | 15.96 | -1.54% | | ...

仅有机 甲国恢电 中观时代 (发名) 2422.60亿市值 1890.20亿市值 6811.95亿市值 16.55亿成交额 72.09亿成交额 9.87亿成交额 15.64 9.19 27.84 -0.34(-2.13%) -0.07(-0.76%) -0.86(-3.00%) 证券 电池 中信证券 宁德时代 国泰海通 C CATL 4300.92亿市值 3578.83亿市值 12064.85亿市值 41.47亿成交额 29.90亿成交额 120.89亿成交额 29.02 20.30 264.62 -0.76(-2.55%) -0.56(-2.68%) -12.47(-4.50%) 消费电子 互联网服务 XD工业富 立讯精密 东方财富 a Lond Fil 6873.36亿市值 2656.41亿市值 3671.28亿市值 105.15亿成交额 37.40亿成交额 104.38亿成交额 34.61 23.23 36.63 -1.11(-2.94%) -0.58(-2.44%) +1.97(+6.04%) 家电行业 食品饮料 海天味业 格力电器 kk 海尔智家 2330.72亿市值 2244.17亿市值 2555 ...

Group 1 - The main consumption index of China Securities fell by 1.84% as of July 31, 2025, with Shanxi Fenjiu leading the decline, followed by Meihua Biological, Luzhou Laojiao, and Dongpeng Beverage [1] - The consumption ETF, Jiashi (512600), experienced a turnover of 2.39% and a transaction volume of 12.4811 million yuan, with an average daily transaction of 15.3627 million yuan over the past week [3] - As of July 30, 2025, the Jiashi consumption ETF reached a new high in scale at 529 million yuan and a new high in shares at 755 million, with a net inflow of 24.5174 million yuan over the past three days [3] Group 2 - The Jiashi consumption ETF has seen a net value increase of 6.68% over the past six months, ranking in the top two among comparable funds, with a maximum monthly return of 24.50% since inception [3] - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of the index tracked by the Jiashi consumption ETF is currently at 19.24 times, indicating a valuation lower than 85.71% of the time over the past year, suggesting historical low valuations [3] Group 3 - The recent performance of the liquor sector is attributed to trading factors, with liquor stocks being favored for their low valuations and high dividends, making them attractive to funds seeking stable returns [4] - The liquor sector is currently at a five-year low in valuation, with public fund holdings at a record low, indicating a favorable chip structure and low market pressure [4] - The focus for investment in the second half of the year should be on low-valuation liquor stocks, while new consumer companies should be analyzed for core competitiveness and industry trends [4] Group 4 - The Jiashi consumption ETF tracks the major consumption index of China Securities, which includes leading consumer stocks across various sectors, with liquor being the largest sector, accounting for 45% of the index [4] - The top stocks in the index include Yili Group, Kweichow Moutai, and Wuliangye, all of which experienced declines in their stock prices [6]

金十图示：2025年07月31日（周四）富时中国A50指数成分股午盘收盘行情一览：多数板块下跌，银行股涨跌互现 2433.44亿市值 1886.09亿市值 6831.53亿市值 43.93亿成交额 5.84亿成交额 8.99亿成交额 15.71 27.92 9.17 -0.78(-2.72%) -0.27(-1.69%) -0.09(-0.97%) 证券 电池 宁德时代 中信证券 国泰海通 CATL 4366.13亿市值 3607.04亿市值 12306.03亿市值 71.39亿成交额 18.54亿成交额 15.98亿成交额 269.91 29.46 20.46 -0.40(-1.92%) -7.18(-2.59%) -0.32(-1.07%) 消费电子 互联网服务 XD工业富 立讯精密 东方财富 7042.17亿市值 2715.88亿市值 3732.91亿市值 17.55亿成交额 47.18亿成交额 69.90亿成交额 35.46 37.45 23.62 -0.19(-0.80%) +2.82(+8.64%) -0.29(-0.77%) 家电行业 食品饮料 格力电器 海尔智家 海天味业 油气电音 2255. ...