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瑞达期货螺纹钢产业链日报-20250730
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 10:45
螺纹钢产业链日报 2025/7/30 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | RB主力合约收盘价(元/吨) | 3,315.00 | -32↓ RB主力合约持仓量(手) | 2029133 | -146104↓ | | | RB合约前20名净持仓(手) | 1284 | -87258↓ RB10-1合约价差(元/吨) | -56 | -19↓ | | | RB上期所仓单日报(日,吨) | 85034 | 0.00 HC2510-RB2510合约价差(元/吨) | 168 | +12↑ | | 现货市场 | 杭州 HRB400E 20MM(理计,元/吨) | 3,500.00 | +20↑ 杭州 HRB400E 20MM(过磅,元/吨) | 3,590 | +21↑ | | | 广州 HRB400E 20MM(理计,元/吨) | 3,470.00 | +20↑ 天津 HRB400E 20MM(理计,元/吨) | 3,380.00 | +20↑ | | | RB 主力合约基差 ( ...
瑞达期货焦煤焦炭产业日报-20250730
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 10:45
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - On July 30, the JM2509 contract of coking coal closed at 1117.0, up 2.71%. The supply - side regulation of crude steel production is expected to ease the steel supply - demand contradiction in the second half of 2025. The mine - end inventory generally decreases, and the clean coal inventory is transferred from upstream mines and coal - washing plants to downstream coal - using enterprises. The total inventory has increased for three consecutive weeks, and the inventory is moderately high. Technically, the 4 - hour cycle K - line is above the 20 and 60 moving averages, and it should be treated as oscillating strongly [2]. - On July 30, the J2509 contract of coke closed at 1676.5, up 4.00%. The fourth round of price increase in the spot market has basically been implemented. The raw material supply is gradually improving, and the pig iron output is at a high level. Most mines have no inventory pressure, and the mines have a strong willingness to hold prices. The total coking coal inventory has increased for three consecutive weeks. The average loss per ton of coke for 30 independent coking plants is 54 yuan/ton. Technically, the 4 - hour cycle K - line is above the 20 and 60 moving averages, and it should be treated as oscillating [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - JM主力合约收盘价为1117.00元/吨,环比下降3.50元;J主力合约收盘价为1676.50元/吨,环比上涨43.50元 [2]。 - JM期货合约持仓量为793569.00手,环比增加27405.00手;J期货合约持仓量为51056.00手,环比下降837.00手 [2]。 - 焦煤前20名合约净持仓为 - 93786.00手,环比下降4852.00手;焦炭前20名合约净持仓为 - 7367.00手,环比下降3220.00手 [2]。 - JM1 - 9月合约价差为115.50元/吨,环比上涨21.50元;J1 - 9月合约价差为63.50元/吨,环比上涨6.00元 [2]。 - 焦煤仓单为0.00张,无环比变化;焦炭仓单为760.00张,无环比变化 [2]。 3.2 Spot Market - 干其毛都蒙5原煤价格为1013.00元/吨,环比下降28.00元;唐山准一级冶金焦价格为1610.00元/吨,环比上涨55.00元 [2]。 - 俄罗斯主焦煤远期现货(CFR)价格为143.50美元/湿吨,环比下降3.50美元;日照港准一级冶金焦价格为1420.00元/吨,环比上涨50.00元 [2]。 - 京唐港澳大利亚进口主焦煤价格为1420.00元/吨,无环比变化;天津港一级冶金焦价格为1520.00元/吨,环比上涨50.00元 [2]。 - 京唐港山西产主焦煤价格为1680.00元/吨,无环比变化;天津港准一级冶金焦价格为1420.00元/吨,环比上涨50.00元 [2]。 - 山西晋中灵石中硫主焦价格为1400.00元/吨,无环比变化;内蒙古乌海产焦煤出厂价为1080.00元/吨,无环比变化 [2]。 - JM主力合约基差为283.00元/吨,环比上涨3.50元;J主力合约基差为 - 66.50元/吨,环比上涨11.50元 [2]。 3.3 Upstream Situation - 110家洗煤厂原煤库存为277.10万吨,环比下降15.43万吨;110家洗煤厂精煤库存为166.39万吨,环比下降9.23万吨 [2]。 - 110家洗煤厂开工率为61.51%,环比下降0.80%;原煤月产量为42107.40万吨,环比增加1779.00万吨 [2]。 - 煤及褐煤月进口量为3304.00万吨,环比下降300.00万吨;523家炼焦煤矿山原煤日均产量为194.70万吨,环比增加1.90万吨 [2]。 - 16个港口进口焦煤库存为512.04万吨,环比下降41.46万吨;18个港口焦炭库存为250.33万吨,环比下降2.38万吨 [2]。 3.4 National Industry Situation - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤总库存为985.38万吨,环比增加56.27万吨;独立焦企全样本焦炭库存为80.12万吨,环比下降7.43万吨 [2]。 - 全国247家钢厂炼焦煤库存为799.51万吨,环比增加8.41万吨;全国247家样本钢厂焦炭库存为639.98万吨,环比增加0.99万吨 [2]。 - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤可用天数为12.75天,环比增加0.12天;247家样本钢厂焦炭可用天数为11.45天,环比下降0.01天 [2]。 - 炼焦煤月进口量为910.84万吨,环比增加172.10万吨;焦炭及半焦炭月出口量为51.00万吨,环比下降17.00万吨 [2]。 - 炼焦煤月产量为4070.27万吨,环比增加144.11万吨;独立焦企产能利用率为73.45%,环比增加0.44% [2]。 - 独立焦化厂吨焦盈利为 - 54.00元/吨,环比下降11.00元;焦炭月产量为4170.30万吨,环比下降67.30万吨 [2]。 3.5 National Downstream Situation - 247家钢厂高炉开工率为83.48%,无环比变化;247家钢厂高炉炼铁产能利用率为90.78%,环比下降0.14% [2]。 - 粗钢月产量为8318.40万吨,环比下降336.10万吨 [2]。 3.6 Industry News - 当地时间7月28 - 29日,中美经贸会谈决定推动已暂停的美方对等关税24%部分以及中方反制措施如期展期90天 [2]。 - IMF将2025年中国经济增速大幅上调0.8个百分点至4.8% [2]。 - 中国钢铁工业协会会长表示2025年国家将继续实施粗钢产量调控政策,下半年钢铁供需矛盾将有所缓解 [2]。 - 今年1 - 6月我国空调累计出口额达93.5亿美元,同比增长近10%,对欧盟国家空调出口量同比增长43.2%,出口金额达37.6亿美元创同期历史新高 [2]。 3.7 Key Points to Watch - Not provided in the given content
瑞达期货尿素产业日报-20250730
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 10:42
尿素产业日报 2025-07-30 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 09合约短线建议在1730-1800区间交易。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 郑州尿素主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 1742 | -2 郑州尿素9-1价差(日,元/吨) | -28 | -2 | | | 郑州尿素主力合约持仓量(日,手) | 147157 | -5823 郑州尿素前20名净持仓 | -22228 | 3865 | | | 郑州尿素交易所仓单(日,张) | 2900 | 0 | | | ...
瑞达期货铝类产业日报-20250730
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 08:59
数据来源第三方,观点仅供参考。市场有风险,投资需谨慎! 助理研究员: 陈思嘉 期货从业资格号F03118799 铝类产业日报 2025/7/30 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 环比 数据指标 最新 | | | | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪铝主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) 主力-连二合约价差:沪铝(日,元/吨) | 20,625.00 65.00 | +20.00↑ 氧化铝期货主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) +10.00↑ 主力-连二合约价差:氧化铝(日,元/吨) | 3,326.00 21.00 | +19.00↑ -7.00↓ | | | 主力合约持仓量:沪铝(日,手) | 261,363.00 | -11344.00↓ 主力合约持仓量:氧化铝(日,手) | 148,574.00 | -9550.00↓ | | | LME铝注销仓单(日,吨) | 14,500.00 | -475.00↓ 库存:氧化铝:合计(周,万吨) | 48,333.00 | | | | | | | | +3669.00↑ | | 期货市场 | LME电解铝三个月报 ...
国债期货日报-20250729
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 11:35
Report Information - Report Title: Treasury Bond Futures Daily Report 2025/7/29 [1] - Data Source: Third - party - Researcher: Liao Hongbin - Futures Practitioner Qualification Number: F30825507 - Futures Investment Consulting Practitioner Certificate Number: Z0020723 Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core View - On Tuesday, Treasury bond spot yields weakened collectively, and Treasury bond futures closed down. The central bank continued net injections, and the weighted average DR007 rate fell to around 1.56%. Domestically, the decline in industrial enterprise profits narrowed in June, but weak PPI remained a drag. Industrial growth rose slightly, fixed - asset investment and social retail sales declined slightly, and the unemployment rate remained stable. Socially - financed growth exceeded expectations, credit demand improved marginally, and deposit activation increased. Overseas, the US July S&P Global Composite PMI rebounded unexpectedly, the labor market was stable, and global trade tensions eased. Affected by policy themes, risk appetite increased, and the bond market was under pressure. If relevant policies are further introduced, the bond market may continue to face pressure in the short - term, and interest - rate bonds may be adjusted. It is recommended to observe the adjustment of Treasury bond futures in the short - term and allocate after stabilization [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Disk - **Closing Prices**: T, TF, TS, and TL main contract closing prices decreased by 0.25%, 0.17%, 0.06%, and 0.78% respectively [2] - **Trading Volumes**: T and TL main contract trading volumes increased by 94 and 5157 respectively, while TF and TS main contract trading volumes decreased by 1398 and 677 respectively [2] 2. Futures Spreads - TL2512 - 2509, T2512 - 2509, and TS2512 - 2509 spreads decreased by 0.09, 0.02, and 0.01 respectively; T09 - TL09, TF09 - T09, TS09 - T09, and TS09 - TF09 spreads increased by 0.64, 0.09, 0.21, and 0.12 respectively [2] 3. Futures Positions - **Main Contract Positions**: T and TS main contract positions decreased by 625 and 2929 respectively, while TF main contract positions decreased by 32, and TL main contract positions increased by 488 [2] - **Top 20 Long and Short Positions**: T top 20 long positions decreased by 379, and short positions increased by 1659; TF top 20 long positions increased by 1156, and short positions increased by 309; TS top 20 long positions increased by 149, and short positions decreased by 2562; TL top 20 long and short positions increased by 3633 and 3786 respectively [2] 4. CTD (Cheapest to Deliver) - The net prices of various CTD bonds, such as 220010.IB, 250007.IB, etc., all decreased [2] 5. Active Treasury Bonds - Yields of active Treasury bonds with maturities of 1y, 3y, 5y, 7y, and 10y decreased by 1.75bp, 2.05bp, 2.50bp, 2.25bp, and 1.75bp respectively [2] 6. Short - term Interest Rates - Silver - pledged overnight, 7 - day, Shibor overnight, and 7 - day interest rates all decreased [2] 7. Industry News - The national child - rearing subsidy system implementation plan was announced on July 28. From January 1, 2025, a subsidy of 3600 yuan per child per year will be provided for children under 3 years old [2] - In June, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 4.3% year - on - year, with a narrowing decline compared to May. The profits of new - kinetic - energy industries represented by the equipment industry grew rapidly. From January to June, the total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size were 3436.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.8%. The profits of the ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry increased 13.7 times year - on - year, and the profits of the mining industry decreased by 30.3% year - on - year [2] 8. Key Data to Focus On - July 29, 22:00, US July Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index - July 30, 20:15, US July ADP Employment (in ten thousand people) [3]
瑞达期货股指期货全景日报-20250729
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 10:56
Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - A - share major indices rose collectively, with the three major indices oscillating strongly, and small - and medium - cap stocks slightly outperforming large - cap blue - chip stocks. Although the domestic economic fundamentals were still under pressure in June, financial data showed that the willingness of residents and enterprises to invest and consume improved under loose monetary policy. The market had high expectations for the ongoing Sino - US trade talks, and the central Huijin's increase in ETF holdings injected confidence into the market. Therefore, stock indices may rise in the near future. It is recommended to buy IO at - the - money call options on dips with a light position [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - **Futures Contracts**: All major and secondary contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM rose. For example, the IF main contract (2509) was at 4141.4, up 22.4; the IH main contract (2509) was at 2814.0, up 10.8; the IC main contract (2509) was at 6263.0, up 41.2; the IM main contract (2509) was at 6662.0, up 57.0 [2]. - **Futures Spreads**: The spreads between different contracts, such as IF - IH, IC - IF, etc., mostly increased. For example, the IF - IH current - month contract spread was 1340.2, up 15.0 [2]. - **Futures - Spot Basis**: The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts showed different trends. For example, the IF main contract basis was - 10.6, up 3.2 [2]. - **Futures Positions**: The net positions of the top 20 in IF, IH, IC, and IM all decreased. For example, the net position of the top 20 in IF was - 25,808.00, down 2076.0 [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Stock Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.33%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.64%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.86%. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rebounded significantly. Industry sectors showed mixed performance, with communication, steel, and pharmaceutical biology sectors strengthening, while agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, and banking sectors falling [2]. - **Market Sentiment Indicators**: A - share trading volume increased to 18,293.09 billion yuan, and margin trading balance increased to 19,670.33 billion yuan. The proportion of rising stocks decreased to 41.37%, and Shibor decreased to 1.366%. IO at - the - money put option prices and implied volatility decreased [2]. 3.3 Industry News - **Industrial Enterprises**: From January to June, the operating income of large - scale industrial enterprises was 66.78 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.5%; the operating cost was 57.12 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.8%; the operating income profit margin was 5.15%, a year - on - year decrease of 0.22 percentage points. In June, the profit of large - scale industrial enterprises decreased by 4.3% year - on - year [2]. - **Policy Deployment**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology deployed eight key tasks for the second half of the year, including formulating action plans to enhance the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, and promoting the development of emerging industrial industries [2].
瑞达期货纯碱玻璃产业日报-20250729
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 09:52
纯碱玻璃产业日报 2025-07-29 度有望增加。需求端当前地产形势不容乐观,房地产依旧表现低迷,下游深加工订单下滑,采购以刚需为 免责声明 主,汽车玻璃厂备货量增加难以抵消地产相关需求疲软,光伏玻璃需 求也面临库存压力。整体回调概率加 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 大,纯碱玻璃基差维持正常范围,后续市场交易更多是政策预期,今日玻璃延续下跌,多头资金获利了结 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 纯碱主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 1318 | 2 玻璃主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 1188 | -35 | | | 纯碱与玻璃价差(日,元/吨) | 130 | 37 纯碱主力合约持仓量(日,手) | 843601 | -108312 | | | 玻璃主力合约持仓量(日,手) | ...
瑞达期货棉花(纱)产业日报-20250729
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 09:52
业对原材料的采购更加谨慎。据Mysteel农产品数据监测,截至7月24日,主流地区纺企开机负荷在67.6% 数据来源第三方(wind、同花顺、棉花信息网、棉花协会网),观点仅供参考。市场有风险,投资需谨慎! ,环比下降2.73%。新作方面,2025年中国棉花总体种植面积增长,不过新疆部分地区有高温天气,棉花 研究员: 张昕 期货从业资格号F03109641 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0018457 棉花(纱)产业日报 2025-07-29 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 郑棉主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 13925 | -150 棉纱主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 19995 | -240 | | | 棉花期货前20名净持仓(手) | -27006 | 6225 棉纱期货前20名净持仓(手) | -264 | 293 | | | 主力合约持仓量:棉花(日,手) | 413662 | -55334 主力合约持仓量:棉纱(日,手) | 7641 | -1770 | | ...
瑞达期货菜籽系产业日报-20250729
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 09:51
研究员: 许方莉 期货从业资格号F3073708 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0017638 免责声明 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽油(日,元/吨) | 9492 | 86 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽粕(日,元/吨) | 2660 | 0 | | 期货市场 | 菜油月间差(9-1):(日,元/吨) | 50 | 1 菜粕月间价差(9-1)(日,元/吨) | 281 | 14 | | | 主力合约持仓量:菜油(日,手) | 196655 | -4683 主力合约持仓量:菜粕(日,手) | 453220 | -15106 | | | 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:菜油(日,手) | 19614 | 3865 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:菜粕(日,手) | 19712 | -5128 | | | 仓单数量:菜油(日,张) | 3487 | 0 仓单数量:菜粕(日,张) | 0 | 0 | | | 期货收盘价(活跃):ICE油菜籽(日,加元/吨) | 696 ...
瑞达期货不锈钢产业日报-20250729
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 09:51
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The cost of nickel resource supply has increased due to the restrictions on the issuance of the PNBP policy by the Indonesian government. However, the production capacity of nickel iron in Indonesia has been accelerating, and the production has rebounded significantly. Recently, the price of nickel iron has dropped significantly, weakening the support of raw material costs [2]. - Steel mills are facing increasing pressure of cost - price inversion and are in a loss state across the board. They are forced to increase production cuts. In addition, domestic anti - involution measures may accelerate the alleviation of the oversupply situation, and the production of stainless steel is expected to decline further [2]. - Entering the traditional consumption off - season, with increased uncertainty in the macro - market and still existing pressure on export demand, downstream buyers are hesitant and have a poor acceptance of high - priced goods. The destocking of domestic inventories is not satisfactory, and attention should be paid to the destocking performance brought about by subsequent production cuts [2]. - Technically, the trading volume and open interest are decreasing, and both long and short positions are cautious. Attention should be paid to the M10 support level. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the stainless steel futures main contract is 12,920 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 80 yuan/ton. The price difference between the 08 - 09 contracts is 0 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 10 yuan/ton [2]. - The net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 33,195 lots, with a daily increase of 1,484 lots. The open interest of the main contract is 103,270 lots, with a daily decrease of 9,143 lots [2]. - The warehouse receipt quantity is 103,296 tons, with no change [2]. 3.2现货市场 - The price of 304/2B rolled cut - edge stainless steel in Wuxi is 13,500 yuan/ton, with no change. The market price of scrap stainless steel 304 in Wuxi is 9,500 yuan/ton, with no change [2]. - The basis of the SS main contract is 150 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 80 yuan/ton [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The monthly output of electrolytic nickel is 29,430 tons, with an increase of 1,120 tons. The total monthly output of nickel iron is 22,600 metal tons, with a decrease of 1,300 metal tons [2]. - The monthly import volume of refined nickel and alloys is 17,215.27 tons, with a decrease of 472.3 tons. The monthly import volume of nickel iron is 1.0414 million tons, with an increase of 193,200 tons [2]. - The spot price of SMM1 nickel is 122,450 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 750 yuan/ton. The average price of nickel iron (7 - 10%) nationwide is 910 yuan/nickel point, with no change [2]. - The monthly output of Chinese ferrochrome is 757,800 tons, with a decrease of 26,900 tons [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly output of 300 - series stainless steel is 1.744 million tons, with a decrease of 40,700 tons. The total weekly inventory of 300 - series stainless steel is 605,700 tons, with a decrease of 15,200 tons [2]. - The monthly export volume of stainless steel is 458,500 tons, with a decrease of 29,500 tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The cumulative monthly new housing construction area is 303.6432 million square meters, with an increase of 71.8071 million square meters. The monthly output of excavators is 26,800 units, with an increase of 1,000 units [2]. - The monthly output of large and medium - sized tractors is 21,700 units, with a decrease of 2,900 units. The monthly output of small tractors is 10,000 units, with a decrease of 1,000 units [2]. 3.6 Industry News - On July 28, local time, the economic and trade teams of China and the United States held economic and trade talks in Stockholm, Sweden [2]. - The US Treasury Department announced on Monday that it expects to borrow nearly $1.01 trillion in net terms in the third quarter, more than $45 billion higher than the estimate announced in April. Excluding the impact of a lower cash balance at the beginning of the quarter, it is $6 billion higher than the April expectation [2]. - US President Trump said that the United States has reached a tariff agreement with the European Union at a 15% tax rate. He also said that the EU will increase its investment in the United States by $600 billion, purchase US military equipment, and buy US energy products worth $750 billion [2].