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Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for June 3rd
ZACKS· 2024-06-03 15:01
Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, June 3rd:PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) : This e-commerce company that operates Pinduoduo has a Zacks Rank #1 and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 43.8% over the last 60 days.PDD’s shares gained 22.7% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 3.6%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings, Inc. (MSADY) : Thi ...
Wall Street Analysts Believe PDD HOLDINGS (PDD) Could Rally 28.77%: Here's is How to Trade
ZACKS· 2024-06-03 14:56
PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) closed the last trading session at $149.78, gaining 6.9% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $192.87 indicates a 28.8% upside potential.The average comprises 15 short-term price targets ranging from a low of $111 to a high of $272, with a standard deviation of $46.34. While the lowest estimate indicates a decline of 25.9% from the current price l ...
拼多多:国内业务保持正循环,海外业务持续“破风”
Investment Rating - The report maintains a **Buy** rating for the company with a target price of **$211.80**, representing a **41% upside** from the current price of **$149.72** [2][3] Core Views - The domestic business is in a positive cycle, with strong growth in online retail and e-commerce sales in Q1, driven by low-price positioning and efficient operations [1] - The overseas business, particularly Temu, continues to grow, with global sales increasing sequentially and significant progress in reducing losses [9] - The company's advertising efficiency gives it an advantage over competitors, and the competitive landscape in the grocery business is easing, driving both average order value and profitability [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024-2026 is forecasted to reach **4,582/6,221/7,681 billion yuan**, with operating profits of **1,352/1,856/2,334 billion yuan** [2] - Non-GAAP EPS for 2024-2026 is projected at **96.2/131.8/165.3 yuan per ADS** [2] - Q1 2024 revenue reached **868.12 billion yuan**, a **131% YoY increase**, with online marketing services contributing **424.56 billion yuan** (+56% YoY) and transaction services contributing **443.56 billion yuan** (+327% YoY) [36] - Operating profit for Q1 2024 was **259.75 billion yuan**, a **275% YoY increase**, with an operating margin of **29.9%** and an adjusted operating margin of **32.9%** [36] - Net profit for Q1 2024 was **279.98 billion yuan**, a **246% YoY increase**, with a net margin of **32.3%** [36] Operational Highlights - The company's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments stood at **2,421 billion yuan** at the end of Q1 2024, with **555.92 billion yuan** in cash and equivalents [36] - Operating cash flow for Q1 2024 was **210.67 billion yuan** [36] - Marketing expenses in Q1 2024 were **234.11 billion yuan**, accounting for **27.0%** of revenue, marking a decline for the fifth consecutive quarter [36] - R&D expenses in Q1 2024 were **29.10 billion yuan**, a **16% YoY increase**, accounting for **3.4%** of revenue [36] Industry and Competitive Position - The domestic e-commerce industry remains challenging due to intense competition and market saturation, but the company maintains a leading position in its core business [1] - The overseas business, particularly Temu, is showing strong growth, with efforts to optimize logistics and reduce costs, including increasing the proportion of sea freight [9] Valuation and Forecasts - The company's enterprise value is estimated at **3,034.806 billion yuan**, with a market capitalization of **3,152.170 billion yuan** [29] - The target price of **$211.80** is based on a **20% discount rate** and reflects strong growth prospects in both domestic and international markets [29]
晚点独家丨抖音电商销售额增速首次放缓
晚点LatePost· 2024-05-30 15:34
价格力成为第一优先级。 文丨 高洪浩 孙海宁 编辑丨宋玮 经过多年超高速扩张后,抖音电商也归于平稳增长。 据了解,抖音电商在 2024 年一季度的销售额超过了 7000 亿元,同比增长超 50%。其中,一、二月 累计同比增速超 60%(考虑到有春节假期,一般合并统计),三月同比增速则下滑到 40% 以下。 三月增速下降主要原因是消费大环境,以及今年开春时间比较晚,许多主播还在放假未开播。延续 到四月,同比增速与三月区别不大。2023 年,抖音电商的销售额单月增速基本维持在 50%-70% 之 间。 抖音电商还在今年调整了目标优先级,价格力成为第一,之后是完美订单率、月支付用户数量。完 美订单率用于衡量用户体验;而月支付用户数量体现消费者将抖音当作电商平台使用的心智,销售 额则排在末位。 理论上,低价策略能带来更多订单,以价换量,但如果价格先压下去,而消费者还没被吸引来,那么 一段时间内平台销售额增速将受到影响。 抖音电商销售额已达 2.6 万亿元,维持上述增速已经不易。去年刚突破万亿关口的快手电商,2024 年 一季度的销售额增速为 28%。据我们了解,淘宝在今年一季的交易总额增长率在 10% 左右。拼多多的 ...
​晚点财经丨中国教培在美国找到新市场;日本连续33年成全球最大债权国
晚点LatePost· 2024-05-29 14:00
中国教培在美国找到新市场 据市调机构 Sensor Tower,本月两款 AI 教培应用 Gauth 和 Question AI 都曾登顶过 App Store 美国教 育类免费榜(今日排名分别为第五和第六)。二者上个月的全球下载量(iOS 和 Android 合计)均为 约 170 万次,相当于热门 AI 应用 Gemini、Perplexity 的两倍多(Gemini 只统计了 Android 下载 量)。 中国教培在美国找到新市场 日本连续 33 年成全球最大债权国 拼多多继续对农业下重注 看起来总出错的 Google 关注《晚点财经》并设为星标,第一时间获取每日商业精华。 Gauth 由字节跳动于 2019 年发布,字节目前仍在官网招聘 Gauth 美国市场的运营人员,年薪 8.4 万至 18 万美元;Question AI 则由作业帮开发,上线仅一年。为了规避海外监管和数据隐私风险,两款应 用的发布实体总部都位于新加坡。 相较于人类老师,AI 助手虽然仍不可避免地会产生 "幻觉",不懂装懂并输出错误答案,但胜在耐 心、讲解详细、响应及时,以及便宜。在美国充一年会员的费用可能和请一小时家教价格差不多。 ...
How Temu parent PDD dethroned Alibaba to become China's most valuable e-commerce company
cnbc.com· 2024-05-29 03:23
Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo has been behind its rivals Alibaba and JD.com when it comes to international expansion. Now Pinduoduo has launched a U.S. e-commerce site called Temu.PDD's value-for-money positioning and growth of its Temu marketplace has helped the tech giant lead China's e-commerce arena, analysts said, making it the country's most valuable company in the segment.PDD Holdings reported stellar first-quarter results on Wednesday, sending its shares surging as much as 7.5%, and driving its ...
拼多多:2024年第一季度业绩前瞻
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention an investment rating for Pinduoduo (PDD US) [7] Core Views - Pinduoduo is expected to report strong Q1 2024 results with total revenue of RMB 76 4 billion, up 103% YoY [7] - Online marketing revenue is projected at RMB 37 5 billion, up 38% YoY, while transaction service revenue is expected to reach RMB 39 0 billion, up 275% YoY [7] - Operating expenses are forecasted at RMB 30 5 billion, up 56% YoY, with a cost ratio of 40% [7] - Operating profit is anticipated to be RMB 12 8 billion, up 85% YoY, with a profit margin of 16 7% [7] - Non GAAP operating profit is estimated at RMB 14 9 billion, up 76% YoY, with a profit margin of 19 5% [7] - Diluted EPS is projected at RMB 2 25, with ADS earnings of RMB 8 75 [7] Business Segments - Pinduoduo s main platform is expected to maintain a leading growth rate compared to peers, partly due to a low base in Q1 2023 [7] - Duoduo Maicai achieved profitability in Q1, driven by both average order value and profit margins [7] - Temu s global GMV continued to grow sequentially in Q1, with semi hosted services launched in mid March showing progress [7] - Overseas business costs are primarily driven by logistics and marketing expenses, with fulfillment costs increasing sequentially in Q1 [7] - Marketing expenses are expected to be controlled, as the company paused US market spending after the Super Bowl in February [7]
拼多多:主站货币化及TEMU减亏继续超预期;预计季度利润300亿元+
交银国际证券· 2024-05-28 07:02
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price raised to $213.00, indicating a potential upside of 44.8% from the current price of $147.09 [3][12]. Core Insights - The company's main platform continues to outperform expectations in monetization and TEMU's losses are narrowing. The first quarter of 2024 saw a revenue increase of 131% year-on-year to 86.8 billion RMB, exceeding market expectations by 22% and 13% respectively. Advertising and commission revenues grew by 56% and 327% [1][2]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected GMV growth of over 30% for the domestic platform and a 200%+ increase in TEMU's GMV, reaching $50 billion in 2024 [2][6]. - The valuation has been adjusted upwards, with total revenue and profit estimates for 2024 increased by 7% and 24% respectively, forecasting a 91% revenue growth and a 100% profit growth for the year [2][6]. Financial Overview - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of 424.8 billion RMB, a 71.5% increase year-on-year, with net profit expected to reach 127.6 billion RMB, reflecting an 85.4% growth [6][17]. - The company's adjusted net profit margin is anticipated to improve, with adjusted net profit margins projected at 35% for Q1 2024 [7][9]. - The company's market capitalization stands at approximately $195.4 billion, with a 52-week high of $151.33 and a low of $60.02 [5][17]. Performance Metrics - The company has demonstrated significant operational leverage, with adjusted net profit for Q1 2024 increasing by 202% year-on-year to 30.6 billion RMB, significantly surpassing market expectations [1][7]. - The gross margin for Q1 2024 is reported at 62%, with an adjusted operating profit margin of 33% [7][9]. - The company's PEG ratio for its core e-commerce business is only 0.2, indicating a strong competitive advantage and potential for continued high profit growth [2][6].
拼多多2024年Q1业绩点评:业绩超预期,主站和Temu业务高质量增长
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Pinduoduo (PDD US) with a target price of 186 USD for 2024 [14][16] Core Views - Pinduoduo's Q1 revenue and profit significantly exceeded expectations, driven by strong performance in both its main platform and Temu [1][30] - Revenue for Q1 reached 86 8 billion RMB, up 131% YoY, surpassing Bloomberg consensus estimates of 76 9 billion RMB [30] - Online marketing service revenue grew 56% YoY to 42 5 billion RMB, while commission income surged 327% YoY to 44 4 billion RMB, surpassing expectations [30] - Adjusted net profit for Q1 was 30 6 billion RMB, up 202% YoY, far exceeding the expected 15 5 billion RMB [30] - The company's gross margin was 62 3%, down 8 1 percentage points YoY but up 1 8 percentage points QoQ [30] - Sales and marketing expense ratio, general and administrative expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio improved significantly, dropping by 16 2, 0 1, and 3 3 percentage points YoY respectively [30] Business Performance - Pinduoduo's main platform continues to benefit from high monetization rates, driven by strong bargaining power with white-label merchants and a focus on low-cost advantages [30] - Temu's innovative fully-hosted and semi-hosted models have significantly reduced costs for domestic merchants going global, boosting GMV and average order value [30] - Temu has expanded to over 50 countries and regions across Asia, Europe, North America, South America, and Oceania [30] - The company's online marketing and commission income both exceeded expectations, with commission income surpassing online marketing for the first time, largely driven by Temu's rapid growth [30][34] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY2024E, FY2025E, and FY2026E have been revised upward to 4,020, 5,130, and 6,283 billion RMB respectively, representing YoY growth of 62%, 28%, and 22% [25][30] - Adjusted net profit for the same periods is projected to be 962, 1,307, and 1,653 billion RMB, with YoY growth of 42%, 36%, and 26% [25][30] - The company's operating profit surged 275% YoY, with the operating margin improving to 29 9% [8] - Adjusted net profit margin increased to 35 3%, up 202% YoY [8] Valuation - The report uses a SOTP valuation method, comparing Pinduoduo to leading global online retail and online marketing companies [14] - The target price of 186 USD for 2024 is based on this valuation approach [14]
Up 160% in 1 Year, How Much Higher Can PDD Stock Fly?
fool.com· 2024-05-26 09:00
Core Viewpoint - Pinduoduo (PDD) has demonstrated remarkable growth, with a significant increase in revenue and net income, positioning itself as a strong competitor in the Chinese e-commerce market [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - PDD's revenue for Q1 2023 reached 86.81 billion yuan ($12.02 billion), marking a 131% year-over-year increase and surpassing analysts' expectations by $1.44 billion [1]. - Adjusted earnings per ADS surged 199% to $2.83, exceeding consensus forecasts by $1.40 [1]. - From 2019 to 2023, PDD's revenue grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 69%, with net income increasing nearly eightfold from 2021 to 2023 [3][6]. - In Q1 2024, PDD's revenue growth was 131%, with operating margins expanding to 30% and net income growth at 246% year-over-year [5]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - PDD is the third-largest e-commerce company in China, leveraging a discount marketplace strategy that attracted hundreds of millions of shoppers, particularly in lower-tier cities [2]. - The company has successfully built an online agricultural marketplace, connecting farmers directly with consumers, and expanded internationally with Temu, a cross-border e-commerce platform [2]. - PDD's revenue growth has outpaced competitors, with PDD's revenue soaring 90% in 2023 compared to Alibaba's 5% and JD's 4% [6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts project that from 2023 to 2026, PDD's revenue and net income will continue to grow at a CAGR of approximately 33% [6]. - PDD trades at 13 times forward earnings and less than four times this year's sales, indicating a potentially undervalued position relative to its growth prospects [6]. - Despite recent successes, PDD faces increased competition and potential regulatory challenges, particularly for its international operations [7].