Core Viewpoint - Pop Mart experienced a significant intraday surge, rising over 5% in value [1] Company Summary - Pop Mart's stock showed notable volatility, indicating strong market interest and potential investor confidence [1]

Group 1: Old Poo Gold's Performance - Old Poo Gold's net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to reach between 2.23 billion to 2.28 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 279% to 288% [1] - The company's sales revenue (including tax) is projected to be between 13.8 billion to 14.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 240% to 252% [2] - The growth is attributed to the expanding brand influence and continuous product optimization, with a focus on high-end traditional gold jewelry [2][3] Group 2: Market Expansion and Online Performance - Old Poo Gold has rapidly expanded its store presence, with over 30 new stores opened in major commercial centers and its first overseas store in Singapore [3][4] - The online sales performance is remarkable, with the company's Tmall flagship store achieving over 1 billion yuan in sales during the "618" shopping festival, marking a significant milestone in the jewelry sector [4] Group 3: Bubble Mart's Growth and Globalization - Bubble Mart's expected revenue for the first half of 2025 is 13.7 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.1 billion yuan, showcasing an impressive growth acceleration compared to the previous year [5] - The company has expanded its store count to over 180 in the Greater China and overseas markets, with a notable increase in international presence [5][6] - Organizational restructuring has been implemented to enhance local decision-making efficiency, supporting the company's global expansion strategy [6] Group 4: Emotional Consumption Trends - Both Old Poo Gold and Bubble Mart cater to the emotional and cultural needs of consumers, shifting from practical value to emotional satisfaction and cultural identity [8] - Old Poo Gold's handcrafted jewelry serves as a cultural symbol, while Bubble Mart's IP products resonate with the emotional needs of Generation Z [8] Group 5: Market Outlook and Future Directions - Analysts have expressed positive outlooks for both companies, with Old Poo Gold receiving a "buy" rating and a target price of 1,084 HKD, while Bubble Mart has a target price of 340 HKD [9][10] - Both companies are focusing on international expansion and product innovation, with Old Poo Gold's overseas stores performing better than expected and Bubble Mart exploring content creation through a film studio [11]

7月25日，泡泡玛特联合北京海关举办了"知识产权海关保护为国潮出海保驾护航"活动。在现场，北京 海关二级巡视员、综合业务处处长曹永斌介绍，今年上半年，北京海关共查获涉嫌侵权货物53批次、 17.5万件。其中，侵犯泡泡玛特知识产权货物13批次、3万余件。 当天，双方代表以及媒体代表还实地调研了邮局海关进境邮件监管现场、听取海关知识产权保护工作简 介等工作。首都机场海关旅检一处旅检八科副科长李思捷透露，5月22日，北京海关通过旅检渠道一次 性查获了7850件LABUBU侵权玩偶以及955件印有泡泡玛特品牌标识的卡片和包装盒，是今年来一次性 查获侵权LABUBU商品数量最大的一起案件。后续，北京海关又接连查获侵权的LABUBU玩偶324件， LABUBU贴纸18200件，LABUBU手机壳53件，包装盒843件。 泡泡玛特方面表示，其一直致力于通过各种方式保护知识产权，未来将持续坚持品牌向上战略，通过提 升防伪贴难度等措施加大正品防伪力度，一步一个脚印带给消费者更好的产品，为更多消费者传递美 好。（闫冬） 曹永斌表示，去年以来，北京海关借助跨关区协作平台，与上海、广州、深圳等海关通报趋势线索，联 合各地海关拦截大量 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) due to strong performance in both domestic and international markets, with H1 2025 revenue growth exceeding market expectations [5]. Core Views - The company anticipates a revenue growth of no less than 200% year-on-year for H1 2025, with a projected profit increase of no less than 350% during the same period. This growth is attributed to enhanced brand recognition, diversified product offerings, and increased overseas revenue contribution [7]. - The global design and supply chain strategies have laid a solid foundation for the company's successful international expansion, leveraging collaborations with global artists and influencers to enhance brand visibility [7]. - The collectible toy market is in a rapid growth phase, with leading brands expected to continue gaining market share. The company has increased its market share from 8.5% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2021, supported by its proprietary IP and strong operational capabilities [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 6,301 million RMB - 2024: 13,038 million RMB (growth of 106.92%) - 2025E: 35,068 million RMB (growth of 168.97%) - 2026E: 50,980 million RMB (growth of 45.38%) - 2027E: 60,001 million RMB (growth of 17.69%) [6][8] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 1,082.34 million RMB - 2024: 3,125.47 million RMB (growth of 188.77%) - 2025E: 10,546.48 million RMB (growth of 237.44%) - 2026E: 16,244.08 million RMB (growth of 54.02%) - 2027E: 19,769.32 million RMB (growth of 21.70%) [6][8] - The company maintains a healthy return on equity (ROE) forecast, with values projected at 29.26% for 2024, 49.62% for 2025, and 34.49% for 2027 [6][9].

Group 1: Company Developments - Pop Mart's founder Wang Ning addressed the controversy over "hunger marketing," stating that the company is increasing production capacity to meet the demand for LABUBU, aiming to sell 10 million units monthly, with production capacity doubling this month compared to last [2] - Tesla's stock dropped 8.9%, with a market value loss of approximately 684.3 billion RMB, following a Q2 report showing a 12% year-over-year revenue decline and a 20.7% drop in net profit. CEO Elon Musk warned of challenging quarters ahead due to changes in electric vehicle tax credits and tariffs [2] - TikTok's revenue is projected to reach $23 billion in 2024, a 42.8% year-over-year increase, making it the fourth largest social media app globally. Despite a slowdown in profit growth for ByteDance, TikTok's overseas business revenue grew by 63%, accounting for a record 25% of the company's total revenue [5] - SenseTime's "1+X" structure adjustment has led to six ecosystem companies raising approximately 1.8 billion RMB, with a total equity value of around 10 billion RMB [7] - JD.com is in talks to acquire German electronics retailer Ceconomy AG, valued at approximately €2.2 billion (about $2.6 billion), with a potential offer of €4.60 per share, representing a 23% premium over the recent closing price [7] Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - According to a recent survey, NVIDIA's Blackwell architecture GPUs are expected to account for 80% of the company's high-end GPU shipments this year, as the server market stabilizes and ODMs focus on AI server development [8] - AMD's CEO Lisa Su indicated that chips produced at TSMC's Arizona facility are 5% to 20% more expensive than those made in Taiwan, highlighting the cost challenges and supply chain resilience in the semiconductor industry [9] - IBM's Q2 software revenue fell short of market expectations, leading to a stock price drop of over 9% [10] - Alphabet, Google's parent company, reported Q2 revenue of $96.428 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, with net profit rising 19% to $28.196 billion [11] Group 3: Innovations and New Products - Quark Technology and Zhejiang University have jointly open-sourced OmniAvatar, an audio-driven full-body video generation model that enhances lip-sync and motion fluidity based on a single image and audio input [16] - A new consumer-grade exoskeleton robot, VIATRIX, was launched by Aoshark Intelligent, designed to assist users in conserving energy and enhancing performance during various activities [17]

Group 1 - Pop Mart is suing 7-Eleven in the US for selling counterfeit LABUBU toys, highlighting the importance of intellectual property protection [1] - The lawsuit indicates Pop Mart's zero-tolerance stance towards infringement, which could impact its brand image and market competitiveness [1] - The incident serves as a reminder for global retailers to enhance supply chain management to prevent counterfeit products from entering the market [1] Group 2 - Yuanji Yunjiao has announced the opening of franchise opportunities in Singapore, marking its first step in overseas expansion [2] - The brand currently operates nearly 5,000 stores in China, showcasing its scalable operational experience [2] - This move is expected to enhance the international visibility of Yuanji Yunjiao and attract more investors to the Chinese dining sector [2] Group 3 - Tesla's first diner in Los Angeles generated approximately $47,000 in revenue within six hours, outperforming nearby McDonald's by 30% [3] - If successful, Tesla plans to replicate this model in other locations, including a site near its Shanghai factory [3] - This innovative approach combines dining with charging, potentially setting a new trend in the integration of automotive and food service industries [3] Group 4 - Snow Peak has closed all its offline stores in Hangzhou, reflecting challenges in brand image and channel management in the Chinese market [4] - The brand's reliance on high pricing and distribution channels has led to a confused brand image and inconsistent operational standards [4] - Snow Peak needs to optimize its long-term strategy and enhance direct sales efforts to improve brand consistency and meet diverse consumer demands [4]

Core Insights - The success of LABUBU has elevated Pop Mart to a leading position in the trendy toy industry, but it has also faced supply shortages due to high demand [1] - Pop Mart's founder Wang Ning stated that they are working to optimize the supply chain and increase production capacity significantly [1] - The trendy toy market is witnessing a surge in interest from various businesses aiming to replicate Pop Mart's success [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Pop Mart expects a revenue growth of no less than 200% year-on-year for the first half of this year, with profit growth projected at no less than 350% [4] - In the first half of last year, Pop Mart achieved a revenue of 45.58 billion yuan, a 62% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.21 billion yuan, up 93.32% [4] - For the first half of this year, Pop Mart's revenue is expected to exceed 137 billion yuan, with net profit potentially surpassing 41 billion yuan [4] Group 2: Market Trends - The toy and game market in China is nearly 400 billion yuan, growing at a rate significantly higher than the global market [4] - In contrast, many Western markets are experiencing slight declines in toy sales, with a 0.6% drop across 12 countries, including the U.S. [5] - China's toy market is projected to grow from 13.6% of the global market share in 2023 to 16.7% by 2028 [6] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Trendy toys are becoming a major force in expanding consumer spending, with brands rapidly entering the market [7] - The retail space for trendy toys in Shanghai has increased from 2.0% to 2.6% in new leasing area, indicating significant growth [7] - Consumer motivations are shifting towards emotional connections, necessitating continuous innovation to maintain interest [7] Group 4: Cross-Industry Collaboration - The trend of cross-industry collaboration is evident, with companies from various sectors, including dining and entertainment, entering the trendy toy market [10][12] - Brands are leveraging their IPs to create new consumer experiences, such as dining establishments offering trendy toy products to enhance customer engagement [11] - The collaboration between different industries is expected to lead to a "de-bordering" of the trendy toy industry, expanding its consumer base across all age groups [13] Group 5: Future Outlook - The trendy toy market is anticipated to explore lower-tier markets, which are seen as crucial for future growth [17][18] - Pop Mart's strategy includes a higher proportion of robot stores in lower-tier cities compared to first-tier cities, indicating a targeted approach to market expansion [18] - The potential for growth in lower-tier markets is significant, supported by a combination of physical stores and online platforms [18]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant increase in the stock price of Pop Mart, which rose from HKD 155.85 to HKD 266.66, marking a 71% increase in the second quarter [3] - The number of public funds holding Pop Mart shares increased from 207 to 311, indicating a growing interest among institutional investors [4][5] - Despite the increase in the number of funds, the total shares held by these funds only grew by 5.21%, suggesting limited net buying activity [5] Fund Activity - A total of 311 funds held Pop Mart shares in the second quarter, with 124 new entries and 34 funds increasing their positions, while 138 funds reduced their holdings, a 102% increase in the number of funds that sold [4][5] - The total number of shares held by funds reached 72,328,400, with a slight increase of 5.21% [5] - Notable new entrants included two funds from Oriental Red Asset Management, which became the top two holders, acquiring 334.26 million and 266.98 million shares respectively [5][6] Shareholder Changes - Among the top 20 funds, 11 reduced their holdings while 3 increased their positions, indicating a mixed sentiment among major shareholders [5][6] - Significant reductions were noted from funds such as Invesco Great Wall Quality Evergreen A, which sold 701,600 shares, and Southern Xingrun Value One-Year A, which reduced holdings by 964,000 shares [5][6] - The stock price of Pop Mart has experienced fluctuations, dropping from a peak of HKD 283.4 on June 21 to HKD 253 on July 24 [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impressive growth of Pop Mart, with a projected revenue increase of no less than 200% and an adjusted profit growth of no less than 350% for the first half of 2025, compared to the previous year [1] - The overseas market has become a key driver for Pop Mart's growth, with expectations that overseas revenue will surpass domestic revenue for the first time in 2025 [2] - The company has expanded its global footprint significantly, with over 180 stores in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and overseas regions by June 2025, marking a net increase of nearly 50 stores since the end of 2024 [2] Group 2 - The launch of the Labubu IP has driven significant engagement, leading to Pop Mart's app reaching the top of the shopping charts in the US App Store and the company being included in TIME's list of the 100 most influential companies [3] - Online sales have surged, with a record-breaking single-day GMV of over $5 million during a mid-year promotion on TikTok Shop in the US [3] - Despite the impressive performance, challenges such as product quality issues and the potential bubble in blind box economics pose risks to the company's growth trajectory [4] Group 3 - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 9.4 billion, 14.9 billion, and 20.5 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, indicating strong future profitability [5] - The establishment of Pop Mart's film studio and the upcoming project "LABUBU and Friends" aim to expand the brand into the content industry, enhancing its IP value [5] - Seasonal events and the company's 15th-anniversary celebrations are anticipated to further boost growth in the latter half of the year, reflecting a shift towards emotional consumption [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in Pop Mart's stock price is attributed to the upcoming launch of a new product, the plush Labubu, expected in October, which has generated significant market interest [1][5]. Group 1: Product Launch and Market Response - On July 24, Pop Mart's stock rose by 4.37%, increasing its market capitalization by nearly 15 billion HKD, likely due to the announcement of the new Labubu product [1]. - The new plush Labubu, approximately 40 cm tall, features a colorful tie-dye design and is part of the same series as the previously released "Frontline High Energy" series [3]. - There is a mix of consumer reactions to the new product, with some expressing concerns about availability and others critiquing its design [3]. Group 2: Brand and Financial Performance - Labubu, created by Hong Kong artist Long Jia Sheng in 2015, has become a significant IP for Pop Mart, contributing to the company's revenue growth [5]. - Pop Mart's recent earnings forecast indicates a projected revenue increase of no less than 200% and a profit increase of no less than 350% for the six months ending June 30, 2025 [5]. - The company sells approximately 10 million Labubu figures each month, indicating strong demand that exceeds current supply chain capabilities [6][7]. Group 3: Strategic Insights and Future Plans - Pop Mart's founder, Wang Ning, addressed concerns about "hunger marketing," emphasizing efforts to optimize the supply chain to meet demand [7]. - The company is considering various ways to enrich the Labubu IP's narrative and is exploring potential collaborations with Hollywood for a movie adaptation [8]. - Wang Ning believes that while storytelling is important for IP success, it is not strictly necessary, and the company is focused on innovative ways to develop its IP [7][8].