Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has demonstrated resilience in profitability despite a decline in coal prices, with a focus on increasing production to offset price drops [1][2] - The acquisition of Shaanxi Coal Power is expected to enhance the stability of the company's earnings [2] - The company has a high dividend yield of 6.7%, reflecting strong shareholder returns [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of CNY 184.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, and a net profit of CNY 22.36 billion, a decrease of 3.2% [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was CNY 40.16 billion, down 7.3% year-on-year, while net profit was CNY 4.81 billion, down 1.2% year-on-year [1] - The average price of coal at Qinhuangdao Port was CNY 721 per ton in Q1 2025, reflecting a 20% decrease year-on-year [1] Business Expansion - The company acquired 88.6525% of Shaanxi Coal Power for CNY 15.695 billion, which is expected to stabilize earnings [2] - The production capacity of the Yuan Datang coal mine has been increased from 8 million tons to 10 million tons per year [2] - The company is working on increasing the capacity of the Ningtiaota mine to 20 million tons per year [2] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of CNY 1.348 per share for 2024, with a payout ratio of 58.45% [3] - The total cash dividend amounts to 65% of the distributable profits, indicating strong cash flow management [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards by 3.7% to CNY 20.21 billion, with an EPS of CNY 2.08 [3] - The company is expected to maintain a robust resource endowment and stable operations, justifying the "Buy" rating [3]

Group 1: Profit Recovery - In March 2025, industrial enterprises' profits showed a year-on-year increase of +2.6%, reversing the cumulative decline of -0.3% observed in January-February 2025[4] - Cumulative profit growth for industrial enterprises from January to March 2025 was +0.8%, compared to -0.3% for January-February 2025[2] - The cumulative revenue growth for industrial enterprises from January to March 2025 was +3.4%, up from +2.8% in January-February 2025[2] Group 2: Driving Factors - Industrial production maintained a rapid growth rate, with the industrial added value in March 2025 increasing by +7.7% year-on-year, an acceleration of 1.8 percentage points from January-February 2025[5] - The profit margin for industrial enterprises improved to 5.0% in March 2025, up from 4.5% in January-February 2025[6] - The PPI (Producer Price Index) year-on-year decline expanded to -2.5% in March 2025, indicating pressures from falling energy prices and weak export prices[4] Group 3: Sector Performance - Manufacturing profits increased by +7.6% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, while mining profits decreased by -25.5%[15] - The profit margin for the manufacturing sector rose to 3.91% in the first quarter of 2025, an increase of 0.19 percentage points from January-February 2025[15] - The share of manufacturing profits in March 2025 rose to 74.1%, compared to 68.3% in the same month last year[15] Group 4: Future Outlook - The upcoming U.S. tariff policies are expected to impact domestic exports and corporate profits, creating uncertainty in the market[3] - The April Politburo meeting emphasized high-quality development to counter external uncertainties, focusing on stabilizing and expanding the domestic market[3] - The recovery of industrial profits is contingent on continued policy support and the ability to adapt to external economic changes[37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector [4] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig farming sector currently has a large safety margin due to sufficient trading expectations, with potential pressure on pig output in the first half of 2025 [3][4] - The report highlights that the supply of breeding sows continues to decline, with the number of breeding sows at 40.39 million heads, down 1.0% quarter-on-quarter [2][13] - The report notes that the average price of live pigs has decreased to 15.2 yuan/kg in March, reflecting a 3.6% decline month-on-month, while the average price of piglets has increased by 2.8% month-on-month [18][34] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Farming Sector - The average weight of pigs at slaughter has increased to 128.94 kg, up 0.37 kg week-on-week, indicating a potential supply-demand balance [35] - The total number of pigs slaughtered in Q1 2025 was 19.476 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 0.11% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.86% [14] - The average profit per pig has decreased to 84 yuan per head for large-scale farms and 54 yuan per head for smallholders, down from 131 yuan and 75 yuan respectively in February [18] 2. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on pig farming companies with high output and cost recovery, specifically recommending Muyuan Foods and Shennong Group, while suggesting to pay attention to Wens Foodstuff Group and Juxing Agriculture [3] - For the post-cycle sector, the recovery in pig inventory is expected to boost demand for feed and veterinary products, with a recommendation to focus on Haida Group [3] - In the planting chain, the report suggests that the strong grain prices due to Sino-US tariff disputes present investment opportunities, recommending companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [3] 3. Market Performance - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector underperformed the market, with a decline of 0.16% compared to a 0.56% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [26] - The report details that the animal health, feed, and agricultural product processing sectors saw varying performance, with animal health up 5.42% and poultry farming down 1.22% [26][29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector [4]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig farming sector has a significant safety margin under the current trading expectations, with potential pressure on pig output in the first half of 2025 due to high levels of new piglets [3][4]. - The report highlights that the supply of pigs is expected to rebound, which will boost demand for feed and animal health products, leading to a valuation recovery in related sectors [3]. - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the planting chain due to rising grain prices amid US-China tariff tensions, recommending several companies in this space [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Pig Farming Sector - The average price of pigs has decreased to 14.95 yuan/kg as of April 25, 2025, with a week-on-week change of -0.13% [35]. - The total number of pigs slaughtered in Q1 2025 was 19,476 million heads, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.11% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.86% [14]. - The average profit per pig has continued to decline, with large-scale farms reporting a profit of 84 yuan per head in March, down from 131 yuan in February [18]. 2. Key Data Tracking - The number of breeding sows as of the end of March 2025 was 40.39 million heads, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.0% [13]. - The average weight of pigs at slaughter has increased to 128.94 kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.37 kg [35]. - The average price of piglets in March 2025 was 37.24 yuan/kg, with a year-on-year increase of 16% [18]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on pig farming companies with high output and cost recovery, specifically mentioning Muyuan Foods and Shennong Group, while also suggesting attention to Wens Foodstuff Group and Juxing Agriculture [3]. - For the post-cycle sector, the report suggests that the rebound in pig inventory will enhance demand for feed and animal health products, recommending Hai Da Group [3]. - In the planting chain, the report highlights investment opportunities in companies like Suqian Agricultural Development, Beidahuang, and Hainan Rubber due to strong grain prices [3].

2025 年 4 月 27 日 公司研究 2024 年业绩表现亮眼，海外市场拓展顺利，成长空间广阔 ——山推股份（000680.SZ）2024 年年报点评 资料来源：Wind，光大证券研究所预测，股价时间为 2025-04-25 要点 事件： 4 月 23 日山推股份发布 2024 年年报。2024 年公司实现营收 142.19 亿 元，同比+25.1%（调整后）；实现归母净利润 11.02 亿元，同比+40.7%（调整 后）；实现扣非归母净利润 9.87 亿元，同比+40.5%。2024 年销售毛利率为 20.1%， 同比+1.6pct。单季度来看，2024Q4 公司实现营收 43.82 亿元，同比+14.3%， 环比+31.7%；实现归母净利润 4.28 亿元，同比+52.5%，环比+67.4%；实现扣 非归母净利润 3.25 亿元，同比+36.7%，环比+28.9%。 点评：2024 年业绩实现高增长，产品毛利率均有提升。 2024 年，工程机械行业整体稳中有进，国内市场筑底企稳，行业出口额仍保持 高水平。公司业绩持续高增长主要受益于：1）海外市场拓展成效显著，重点拓 展非洲、欧洲、美洲、东南亚等区域海 ...

2025 年 4 月 27 日 公司研究 业绩继续承压，关注新品上市进展 ——汤臣倍健（300146.SZ）2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件：汤臣倍健 25Q1 实现营业收入 17.9 亿元，同比-32.3%；归母净利润 4.5 亿元，同比-37.4%；扣非归母净利润 4.1 亿元，同比-42.4%。 高基数及需求疲软，致收入承压。1）分产品看：25Q1 主品牌"汤臣倍健"实 现营收 9.83 亿元，同比-36.37%；关节护理品牌"健力多"实现营收 2.01 亿元， 同比-46.15%；Life-Space 国内产品实现营收 0.77 亿元，同比-36.19% 。主品 牌及健力多营收下滑幅度较大，主要系去年同期基数较高，且两大核心单品迭代 升级后终端销售不及预期所致。境外业务方面，LSG 实现营收 2.44 亿元，同比 +5.94%（澳元口径营收 0.54 亿澳元，同比+10.14%），表现相对稳健 。2）分 渠道看：线下渠道实现收入 9.88 亿元，同比-42.62%；线上渠道实现收入 7.66 亿元，同比-15.78% 。线下渠道收入大幅下降，主要受药店渠道客流及 VDS 销 售规模持续下行、去年同期 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved impressive performance in 2024 with a revenue growth of 32.2% year-on-year, reaching 1.31 billion yuan, and a net profit growth of 30.2%, amounting to 160 million yuan. However, the first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue increase of 36.3% year-on-year, but net profit declined by 30.6% due to increased costs associated with domestic business expansion and changes in product structure [5][9] - The company primarily focuses on overseas sales, with 85.8% of revenue coming from international markets in 2024, which grew by 27.2% year-on-year. Domestic revenue, however, saw a significant increase of 73.4% [6][9] - The report highlights a concern regarding the external trade environment, particularly the impact of tariffs on the company's operations, as most orders are currently under the FOB model [9] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's gross margin improved by 0.7 percentage points to 22.9%, with specific product margins for pet snacks at 16.4%, pet leashes at 35.6%, and other pet products at 11.7% [7] - The company experienced a significant increase in inventory, which rose by 62.4% year-on-year to 290 million yuan by the end of 2024, and accounts receivable increased by 56.0% to 270 million yuan [8] - The operating cash flow turned negative in 2024, amounting to -1 million yuan, primarily due to increased cash payments for goods and services, but improved to 25.96 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025 [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report projects the company's net profit for 2025 to be 168 million yuan, with a slight growth of 2.17% year-on-year, and further growth expected in subsequent years, reaching 225 million yuan by 2027 [10][11] - The estimated EPS for 2025 is 0.88 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 17, which is expected to decrease to 13 by 2027 [10][11] - The report includes a detailed financial forecast, indicating a steady increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with a projected revenue of 2.03 billion yuan by 2027 [10][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high revenue of 3.798 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.32%, and a net profit of 268 million yuan, up 36.92% [1][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 888 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.65%, with a net profit of 50 million yuan, growing by 59.06% [1]. - The data center power business saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 1.459 billion yuan in 2024, up 79.95%, driven by high-power server power products [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a historical high in revenue for 2024, with Q4 revenue reaching 1.134 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.97% [2]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 21.36%, an increase of 1.64 percentage points from the previous year [2]. Business Segments - The high-power server power business contributed significantly to revenue, with 780 million yuan in revenue, a staggering growth of 536.88% year-on-year, accounting for 53.48% of the data center power business [3]. - The company has established strong relationships with major domestic server manufacturers and is benefiting from the trend of domestic AI server power [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised upwards to 340 million yuan and 457 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a growth of 16% and 17% [4]. - The report projects a net profit of 578 million yuan for 2027 [4]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 2.870 billion yuan in 2023 to 4.609 billion yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 21.38% [5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 3.19 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32 [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4][6] Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, with revenue down 19.32% year-on-year to 17.48 billion yuan and net profit down 79.96% to 148 million yuan [1] - The company is undergoing store adjustments and optimizing online channels, with 61 stores modified and significant revenue growth from these stores [3] - The profit forecast for 2025 has been revised down by 81% to 59 million yuan, while the forecast for 2026 has been increased by 5% to 383 million yuan, indicating potential recovery [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 17.48 billion yuan, a 19.32% decrease year-on-year, and net profit was 148 million yuan, down 79.96% [1] - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 67.57 billion yuan, a 14.07% decline, and a net loss of 1.47 billion yuan [1] Profitability Metrics - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 21.50%, down 1.35 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The operating profit for 2025 is projected to be -538 million yuan, with a significant improvement expected in 2026 [11] Store Adjustments and Online Optimization - The company has completed modifications on 61 stores, leading to substantial increases in revenue and customer traffic [3] - The online sales through the company's app reached 1.75 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a monthly repurchase rate of 47.6% [3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to 59 million yuan, while the 2026 forecast is set at 383 million yuan, reflecting a recovery trend [4][5] - The projected revenue growth rates show a decline of 5.54% in 2025, followed by a slight recovery in subsequent years [5] Valuation Metrics - The P/E ratio for 2025 is projected at 837, indicating a high valuation relative to earnings, which is expected to improve in 2026 with a P/E of 129 [5][14] - The company's total market capitalization is approximately 49.37 billion yuan [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has experienced significant growth in revenue and net profit, driven by rising prices and sales volumes of vitamins [6][9] - The vitamin market is expected to continue its upward trend, with potential price increases due to supply-demand dynamics [7] - The company is actively investing in research and development, expanding its pharmaceutical business, which is anticipated to enhance future profitability [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 9.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20%, and a net profit of 1.16 billion yuan, up 170% year-on-year [4][5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.26 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 410 million yuan, up 273% year-on-year [5] Vitamin Market Analysis - The average market prices for domestic VA, VE, and 2% biotin in 2024 were 140 yuan/kg, 102 yuan/kg, and 36 yuan/kg, reflecting year-on-year changes of +65%, +44%, and -14% respectively [6] - In Q1 2025, the average prices for these vitamins were 121 yuan/kg, 136 yuan/kg, and 34.7 yuan/kg, with year-on-year changes of +47%, +107%, and -6% respectively [6] Research and Development - The company invested 749 million yuan in R&D in 2024, focusing on innovative drug development [8] - New products and projects are progressing, including the approval of injectable drugs and the establishment of new production bases [8] Profitability Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.42 billion yuan, 1.62 billion yuan, and 1.85 billion yuan respectively, with significant upward adjustments of 41% and 53% for 2025 and 2026 [9]