[Table_Reportdate] 2025年03月16日 [海外数据波动与国内资产的确定性 Table_NewTitle] ——资产配置周报（2025/03/10-2025/03/14） [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 王鸿行 S0630522050001 whxing@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 联系人 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn [table_main] 投资要点 总 量 研 究 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 策 略 研 究 [Table_Report] ➢ 全球大类资产回顾：3月14日当周，全球股市表现分化，美股继续调整，A股表现亮眼；主 要商品期货中黄金创新高，原油、铜上涨，铝收跌；美元指数小幅回落，日元贬值，欧元 和人民币小幅升 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing significant growth in its new AIoT products, with a product matrix that is expanding into new markets. The revenue for 2024 is projected to grow by approximately 40% due to the successful launch of new products and an increase in market demand [4][39]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing market size of its target segments, with the potential to expand its market capacity to 2.5 times the current IoT device market [4]. - The company is focusing on a "connect + process" product strategy, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the AIoT sector [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2008, specializes in the research and sales of IoT chips and modules, becoming a leading supplier in the global Wi-Fi MCU market [12]. - The company has launched several successful product lines, including the ESP8266 and ESP32 series, which have gained widespread recognition for their performance and cost-effectiveness [12][14]. AIoT Market - The global IoT device connection count is projected to grow from 8 billion in 2018 to 27 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for Wi-Fi and Bluetooth chips, with the global Wi-Fi chip market projected to reach $34.5 billion by 2033 [4]. Product Strategy - The company has a diverse product lineup, including classic products, new products, and next-generation products, with a focus on enhancing AI capabilities [17]. - The new product lines, such as ESP32-C5 and ESP32-C6, are expected to see significant growth starting in 2025 [20]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of approximately 2.01 billion, 2.63 billion, and 3.37 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.07%, 31.06%, and 28.18% [4][5]. - The gross margin is expected to remain above 40% in 2024, supported by improved operational efficiency and a favorable competitive landscape [4][39]. Management and Governance - The company's management team has a strong technical background, with significant experience in the semiconductor industry, which enhances its strategic direction and operational execution [33][36].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing significant growth in its new AIoT products, with a product matrix that is expanding into new markets. The revenue for 2024 is projected to grow by approximately 40% due to the successful launch of new products and an increase in market demand [4][39]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing market size of its target sectors, with the potential to expand its market capacity to 2.5 times the current IoT device market [4]. - The company is focusing on a "connect + process" product strategy, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the AIoT sector [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2008 and headquartered in Shanghai, specializes in IoT chips and modules. It has become a leading supplier of Wi-Fi MCU chips globally, with a significant market presence [12][14]. - The company has a diverse product line that includes classic products, new products, and next-generation products, with a focus on enhancing AI capabilities [17]. AIoT Market - The global IoT device connection count is projected to grow from 8 billion in 2018 to 27 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the domestic market's shift towards localization and the high growth of the AIoT industry [4]. Financial Performance - The company has shown stable revenue growth from 2019 to 2023, with a CAGR of 17.3%. The revenue for 2024 is forecasted to reach 2.01 billion, reflecting a 40% increase [39]. - The gross margin is expected to remain above 40%, supported by a favorable cost structure and an expanding product line [41]. Product Strategy - The company is expanding its product offerings to include new models such as C5, C6, H2, H4, and P4, which are anticipated to enter the market in 2025 [20]. - The product matrix is increasingly focused on high-performance and cost-effective solutions, catering to various applications in consumer electronics and smart home devices [19]. Business Model - The company employs a B2D2B business model that fosters a developer ecosystem, enhancing customer engagement and product adoption [26]. - The acquisition of M5Stack is expected to strengthen the company's market position and enhance its product offerings in the developer community [31].

Group 1: Economic Overview - Inflation pressure in the US has eased in the short term, with February CPI rising by 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 2.9% and previous 3.0%. Month-on-month, it increased by 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.3% and previous 0.5% [7][8] - Core CPI for February rose by 3.1% year-on-year, below the expected 3.2% and matching the previous value, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [7][8] - The decline in oil prices has contributed to the easing of inflation, although the impact of tariffs has not yet been fully reflected in the data [7][11] Group 2: Company Analysis - 帝科股份 (300842) - The company reported a revenue of 15.351 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.85%, with a net profit of 360 million yuan, down 6.66% year-on-year [14][15] - The sales volume of photovoltaic conductive silver paste reached 2037.69 tons in 2024, an increase of 18.91% year-on-year, with 89.10% of sales attributed to N-type TOPCon battery products [14][15] - The company is expected to achieve large-scale production of high-copper paste in the second half of the year, with ongoing collaborations with leading customers [15][16] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 17.079 billion yuan, 19.031 billion yuan, and 21.320 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.26%, 11.43%, and 12.03% respectively [16] - The expected net profits for the same period are 501 million yuan, 611 million yuan, and 702 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.89x, 11.39x, and 9.92x [16] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its strong market position and ongoing technological advancements [16]

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年03月14日 [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20250314 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 吴骏燕 S0630517120001 wjyan@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn [table_main] 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [Table_Report] ➢ 1.通胀压力短期缓解，关税压力仍存不确定性——海外观察：2025年2月美国CPI ➢ 2.帝科股份（300842）： 业绩稳步发展，高铜浆料有望量产——公司简评报告 ➢ 1.央行党委召开扩大会议，研究部署贯彻落实举措 ➢ 2.美国2月PPI低于预期 1.重点推荐 1.1.通胀压力短期缓解，关税压力仍存不确定性——海外观察： 2025 年 2 月美国 CPI 证券分析师：刘思佳，执 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年03月13日 宏 观 简 评 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 胡少华 S0630516090002 hush@longone.com.cn 联系人 李嘉豪 lijiah@longone.com.cn [通胀压力短期缓解，关税压力仍存不确 Table_NewTitle] 定性 ——海外观察：2025年2月美国CPI 投资要点 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 总 量 研 究 [table_main] ➢ 事件：2025年2月美国CPI同比上涨2.8%，预期2.9%，前值3.0%；环比上升0.2%，预期 0.3%，前值0.5%。2月美国核心CPI同比上涨3.1%，预期3.2%，前值3.1%；环比上涨0.2%， 预期0.3%，前值0.4%。 ➢ 核心观点：美国2月通胀低于预期，分项结构上反映出一些推升通胀的短期影响正在减退， 2月原油价格的下跌也影响能源涨幅回落，核心商品涨幅回落，但还未能反映加征 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年03月13日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 吴骏燕 S0630517120001 wjyan@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20250313 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn [table_main] 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [Table_Report] ➢ 1.安徽合力（600761）：首次海外合资建厂，全球化布局加速——公司简评报告 ➢ 2.制冷剂价格稳步上行，未来空间广阔——氟化工行业月报 1.1.安徽合力（600761）：首次海外合资建厂，全球化布局加 速——公司简评报告 证券分析师：谢建斌，执业证书编号：S0630522020001； 联系人：商俭，shangjian@longone.com.cn 事件：根据 3 月 11 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown steady performance with a significant increase in revenue and a leading position in the photovoltaic conductive silver paste market. The company is expected to achieve mass production of high copper paste in the second half of the year [5][8] - The company reported a total revenue of 15.35 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 59.85%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 360 million yuan, a decrease of 6.66% year-on-year [8] - The company maintains a strong market position with 89.10% of its conductive silver paste sales being used in N-type TOPCon batteries, indicating a robust demand for its products [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 15.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 59.85%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 360 million yuan, down 6.66% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 3.84 billion yuan, up 9.57% year-on-year [8] - The company expects revenues of 17.08 billion yuan, 19.03 billion yuan, and 21.32 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 11.26%, 11.43%, and 12.03% [5][8] Market Position and Product Development - The company has a strong market presence in the photovoltaic sector, with 2037.69 tons of conductive silver paste sold in 2024, an increase of 18.91% year-on-year. The sales of TOPCon silver paste reached 1815.53 tons, accounting for 89.10% of total sales [8] - The company is collaborating with leading clients to develop high copper paste, which is expected to enter mass production in the latter half of the year. This development is anticipated to enhance the company's technological barriers and market competitiveness [8] Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the company are 3.56 yuan, 4.34 yuan, and 4.99 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are 13.89x, 11.39x, and 9.92x [5][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance, with high copper paste expected to achieve mass production [1] - The company reported a revenue of 15.35 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.85%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 360 million yuan, a decrease of 6.66% [8] - The company maintains a leading position in the photovoltaic conductive silver paste market, with sales of 2,037.69 tons in 2024, an increase of 18.91% year-on-year [8] - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing technological advancements and new business developments, with projected revenues of 17.08 billion yuan, 19.03 billion yuan, and 21.32 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 11.26%, 11.43%, and 12.03% [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 15.35 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 59.85% [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 360 million yuan, down 6.66% year-on-year [8] - The company’s gross profit margin for 2024 was 9% [9] Sales and Market Position - The company sold 2,037.69 tons of photovoltaic conductive silver paste in 2024, with 1,815.53 tons (89.10%) used for N-type TOPCon batteries, maintaining industry leadership [8] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved sales of 456.53 tons of silver paste, with 429.13 tons (94.00%) being TOPCon silver paste [8] Technological Development - The company is collaborating with leading clients to develop high copper paste, which is expected to enter mass production in the second half of the year [8] - The company is enhancing its technological barriers through innovative designs and applications for high copper paste [8] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 501 million yuan, 611 million yuan, and 702 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] - The current P/E ratios are estimated at 13.89x for 2025, 11.39x for 2026, and 9.92x for 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anhui Heli (600761) [10] Core Views - Anhui Heli has established a joint venture in Thailand, marking a significant step in its global expansion strategy. The company aims to enhance its international brand influence and is building an overseas production supply system [8][9] - The company reported overseas revenue of 3.486 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.52%, accounting for 38.69% of total revenue [8] - The collaboration with Huawei is expected to reshape the competitive landscape of smart logistics, leveraging digital transformation and AI technologies [9] - The domestic demand for forklifts is anticipated to improve, supported by a favorable manufacturing PMI and a projected GDP growth of around 5% for the year [9] Summary by Sections 1. Anhui Heli Overview - Anhui Heli has formed a joint venture with a local Thai company, investing approximately 319.5 million yuan for a 75% stake in the new company, which will manufacture industrial vehicles and lithium battery packs [7][8] - The company plans to produce 10,000 forklifts and 10,000 sets of lithium battery packs annually [7] 2. Refrigerant Industry Insights - The prices of refrigerants are steadily increasing, with R32, R125, and R134a prices rising by 2.30%, 2.33%, and 2.27% month-on-month, respectively [12] - The production of second-generation refrigerants is being reduced, while the demand for third-generation refrigerants is expected to remain strong due to high air conditioning production [13] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the refrigerant industry, such as Juhua Co. and Sanmei Co., which have well-established supply chains [13]