汽车行业 超配（维持） 汽车行业双周报（2025/09/26-2025/10/09） 行 业 三部门调整减免车辆购置税新能源汽车产品技术要求 2025 年 10 月 10 日 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 S0340124020014 电话：0769-22117626 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 分析师：刘梦麟 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 申万汽车行业指数涨跌幅：截至2025年10月9日，申万汽车板块近两周 上涨0.74%，跑输沪深300指数1.78个百分点，在申万31个行业中排名第 16名；申万汽车板块从9月初至今下跌0.39%，跑输沪深300指数1.87个 百分点，在申万31个行业中排名第28名；申万汽车板块从2025年初至今 上涨27.92%，跑赢沪深300指数8.24个百分点，在申万31个行业中排名 第9名。 周 报 研究助理：吴镇杰 SAC 执业证书 ...

Investment Themes - Recommended stocks include Huaxin Cement, China State Construction, and Ningde Times in the cyclical sector[2] - In the consumer sector, recommended stocks include Hengrui Medicine and Shanxi Fenjiu[2] - In the power equipment and new energy vehicle sector, recommended stocks include Ningde Times and Goldwind Technology[2] - In the TMT sector, recommended stocks include Longi Green Energy and Luxshare Precision[2] Market Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 12.73%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 29.25%, and the ChiNext Index by 50.40%[4] - The average gain of the recommended stock portfolio was 33.11%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index's gain of 17.90%[4] - Key outperformers included Huaxin Cement and Ningde Times, with quarterly gains exceeding 50%[4] Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with a focus on "appropriate easing" in monetary policy to support growth[4] - The manufacturing PMI showed signs of recovery but remained in contraction territory as of September[4] - The report anticipates continued inflow of foreign capital due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets[4] Company Highlights - Huaxin Cement's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.30, with a PE ratio of 14.27[6] - China State Construction's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.16, with a PE ratio of 4.68[12] - China Rare Earth's projected EPS for 2025 is 0.34, with a PE ratio of 150.92[25] - Hengrui Medicine's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.26, with a PE ratio of 56.90[33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [49]. Core Insights - The lithium battery index has increased by 5.09% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.57 percentage points. Year-to-date, the lithium battery index has risen by 64.43%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 44.75 percentage points [4][13]. - Strong demand for energy storage in both domestic and international markets is noted, with leading battery companies operating at full capacity and orders extending into next year. The National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration have set a target for new energy storage installations to exceed 180 GW by 2027 [45]. - Recent government announcements regarding export controls on lithium batteries and related materials are expected to have a minimal impact on compliant export applications. Significant breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology have been achieved, indicating ongoing advancements in the industry [45]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of October 9, 2025, the lithium battery index has shown a 5.09% increase over the last two weeks and a 1.52% increase for the month, with a year-to-date increase of 64.43% [4][13]. Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Supply Chain - As of October 9, 2025, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 72,900 CNY/ton, down 0.82% over the past two weeks. Lithium hydroxide prices remained stable at 71,600 CNY/ton. Prices for various cathode materials have seen increases, with NCM523, NCM622, and NCM811 rising by 5.13%, 3.73%, and 2.40% respectively [6][28][33]. Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs announced export controls on lithium batteries and related materials effective November 8, 2025. This includes lithium-ion batteries with energy densities of 300 Wh/kg or more and specific cathode materials [41]. - The report highlights the strong performance of leading companies in the lithium battery supply chain, suggesting a focus on firms with technological and production advantages in solid-state electrolytes and new cathode/anode materials [45][46]. Company Announcements - Notable companies such as CATL (宁德时代) and EVE Energy (亿纬锂能) are highlighted for their advancements in solid-state battery production and significant revenue growth, with CATL achieving a revenue of 178.886 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.27% [46][47].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [39]. Core Insights - The automotive sector has shown a mixed performance, with the Shenwan Automotive Index increasing by 0.74% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.78 percentage points, ranking 16th among 31 industries [11][18]. - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has risen by 27.92%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 8.24 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 industries [11][18]. - Recent adjustments in vehicle purchase tax exemptions for new energy vehicles (NEVs) are expected to enhance the overall technical standards of NEVs and phase out outdated production capacities [34][24]. Industry Data Tracking - As of October 9, 2025, raw material prices show a slight decline in steel prices by 0.30%, while aluminum prices increased by 1.16%. Copper and lithium carbonate prices remained stable, and prices for synthetic rubber and glass rose by 0.68% and 0.99%, respectively [20][21]. Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced adjustments to the technical requirements for NEVs, increasing the minimum electric range for plug-in hybrid vehicles from 43 km to 100 km [24]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated 69 billion yuan in special bonds to support the consumption upgrade policy [25]. - The China Automobile Dealers Association reported a retail sales figure of 1.776 million passenger vehicles from September 1-27, remaining flat year-on-year [26]. Company News - BYD reported a 5.52% year-on-year decline in NEV sales for September, totaling 396,300 units [30]. - Seres announced a 19.44% increase in NEV sales for September, reaching 44,700 units [30]. - Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced version of the Model Y to adapt to changes in U.S. electric vehicle incentives [30]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that enhance brand competitiveness through intelligent processes, such as BYD and Seres [34]. - It also highlights the potential growth in the intelligent driving supply chain, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass and Joyson Electronics [34]. - Additionally, it points to Yutong Bus as a beneficiary of the "old for new" policy in the new energy bus sector [34].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the telecommunications industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [2][40]. Core Insights - The global telecommunications equipment market has shown signs of recovery in the first half of 2025 after two years of investment decline, with significant growth in mobile core networks, optical transmission, and service provider routers and switches [3][15]. - Huawei has maintained its position as the leading telecommunications equipment supplier, capturing 31% of the market share and continuing to expand its market advantage [3][36]. - The telecommunications industry is currently in a phase of technological iteration and policy benefits, with new growth drivers emerging from AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy sectors [3][36]. - The report suggests focusing on companies that align with the themes of "technology commercialization + policy catalysis + earnings certainty" [3][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Market Review - The Shenyuan telecommunications sector index fell by 2.70% over the past two weeks (9/26-10/9), underperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.22 percentage points, ranking 29th among 31 sectors [11][12]. - Year-to-date, the telecommunications sector has risen by 63.39%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 43.70 percentage points [11][12]. 2. Industry News - Dell'Oro Group reported a 4% year-on-year increase in global telecommunications equipment revenue in the first half of 2025, driven by various factors including a lower year-on-year base and stable inventory levels [15]. - LightCounting indicated that AI is taking a dominant role in the market [16]. - The 2025 World Intelligent Connected Vehicle Conference will be held in Beijing, focusing on AI and telecommunications applications in the automotive industry [20]. - The number of AI companies in China has exceeded 5,300, with the industry scale surpassing 900 billion yuan, growing by 24% year-on-year [21]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has granted China Mobile a license for satellite mobile communication services, enhancing communication capabilities in various scenarios [22]. 3. Company Announcements - Guanghe Communication has approved the global issuance and listing of H shares [23]. - Tianyi Co. signed a procurement framework agreement with China Telecom for dual-band broadband integrated terminals [24]. - Hainengda announced a share transfer agreement involving 5% of its equity [25]. 4. Industry Data Updates 4.1 Telecommunications User Scale Data - As of August 2025, the mobile phone user base reached approximately 1.819 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.67% [26]. - The internet broadband access user base reached about 689 million, up 4.97% year-on-year [26]. 4.2 Optical Fiber and Cable Data - The length of optical cable lines reached approximately 73.77 million kilometers in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.91% [28]. - The optical cable production in August 2025 was 20.44 million core kilometers, a decrease of 10.70% year-on-year [29]. 4.3 5G Development Status - By August 2025, the total number of 5G base stations reached 4.646 million, with a net increase of 395,000 from the end of the previous year [33]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as China Mobile, China Telecom, FiberHome, Yangtze Optical Fibre, and Weisheng Information, which are well-positioned to benefit from the current market dynamics [36].

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Overweight" [30] Core Views - The report highlights that during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, domestic travel reached a record high with 888 million trips and total spending of 809 billion yuan, indicating strong consumer demand [20][30] - The report notes a significant increase in hotel occupancy rates and a booming entertainment market, with attendance at sports events, music festivals, and concerts showing substantial growth [30] - The trend towards experiential travel is emphasized, suggesting that domestic travel destinations may need to adapt to meet changing consumer preferences [30] - The report anticipates more policy support for service consumption, particularly in tourism, as part of the government's focus on enhancing service sectors [30] Summary by Sections Market Review - The CITIC Consumer Services Index fell by 3.34% from September 26 to October 9, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by approximately 5.87 percentage points [8] - All sub-sectors within consumer services experienced declines, with the largest drops in tourism and hotel sectors [9] - A total of 4 companies in the industry reported positive returns, while 48 companies reported negative returns, with notable declines in companies like Caesar Travel and Kevin Education [12] Industry News - The report mentions that during the 8-day holiday, domestic travel spending reached a new high, with significant increases in long-distance and self-driving trips [20] - Jinjiang Hotels reported a 4% increase in average occupancy rates, with over 13 million guests served during the holiday period [21] - The entertainment market saw a surge, with over 3,100 performance projects and nearly 15,000 shows held, reflecting a 39.5% increase in audience attendance [24] Company Announcements - The report includes updates on various companies, such as Nanjing Tourism Group's restructuring and Kevin Education's investment in a joint venture focused on AI in education [25][29] Weekly Outlook - The report suggests focusing on companies like Jinjiang Hotels, Changbai Mountain, and Emei Mountain A, which are expected to benefit from the recovery in leisure travel [30][32]

半导体行业 2025 年 10 月 10 日 刘梦麟 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 周 报 陈伟光 S0340520060001 电话：0769-22119430 邮箱： chenweiguang@dgzq.com.cn 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 超配（维持） 半导体行业双周报（2025/09/26-2025/10/09） 行 业 Sora 2 有望拉动算力与存储需求 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 | 1.半导体行业行情回顾 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 2.半导体产业新闻 | 3 | | 3.公司公告与动态 | 4 | | 4.半导体产业数据更新 | 6 | | 4.1 智能手机出货数据 | 6 | | 4.2 新能源汽车销售数据 | 6 | | 4.3 全球、国内半导体月度销售数据 | 6 | | 5.投资建议 | 7 | | 图 | 1： ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [2][24]. Core Viewpoints - The SW pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry underperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, declining by 0.23% from September 26, 2025, to October 9, 2025, lagging behind the index by approximately 2.76 percentage points [9][24]. - Most sub-sectors within the industry recorded negative returns during the same period, with the medical research outsourcing and in vitro diagnostics sectors showing gains of 1.99% and 0.55%, respectively, while the raw materials and chemical preparations sectors fell by 2.23% and 1.73% [10][24]. - Approximately 54% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, with the top performer, Zhendemedical, increasing by 21.43%, while the largest decline was seen in Guangshentang, which fell by 21.86% [11][14]. - The overall price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the SW pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry was approximately 55.04 times as of October 9, 2025, indicating a decrease in industry valuation [15][24]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry underperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, with a decline of 0.23% from September 26, 2025, to October 9, 2025 [9]. - Most sub-sectors recorded negative returns, with medical research outsourcing and in vitro diagnostics performing better than others [10]. - About 54% of stocks in the industry recorded positive returns, with significant variations in individual stock performance [11]. 2. Industry News - The 11th batch of national procurement will begin accepting applications on October 21, 2025, with 55 major varieties included [22]. - The National Medical Products Administration issued guidelines for the quality management of medical device online sales [20][21]. 3. Company Announcements - Zhejiang Haizheng Pharmaceutical announced that its product achieved Self-GRAS certification in the U.S., allowing it to enter the U.S. market [23]. 4. Weekly Industry Perspective - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in innovative drugs and sectors with expected business development catalysts, including medical devices and pharmaceutical commerce [24][26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electronic industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [30]. Core Insights - The electronic sector has shown a cumulative increase of 56.86% this year, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 37.17%, ranking it third among the Shenwan industries [2][9]. - OpenAI's recent advancements, including the launch of the Sora 2.0 video generation model and the announcement of significant user engagement with ChatGPT, are expected to drive increased demand for AI infrastructure [18][24]. - The report highlights the strong performance of Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (Foxconn), which reported a record revenue of 837.1 billion NTD in September, reflecting a 38.01% month-over-month increase and a 14.19% year-over-year increase [18]. Summary by Sections Market Review and Valuation - The Shenwan electronic sector increased by 2.13% over the last two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.39 percentage points, and has a TTM PE ratio of 69.14, placing it at the 100th percentile for the last five years [2][9][14]. Industry News - OpenAI's Sora 2.0 model has made significant improvements in physical realism and audio-video synchronization, aiming to democratize AI video creation [18]. - The U.S. has approved the export of NVIDIA chips worth billions to the UAE, indicating strong international demand for advanced semiconductor technology [18]. Company Announcements - O-film Technology Co., Ltd. plans to acquire a 28.2461% stake in O-film Microelectronics (Nanchang) through a share issuance, pending regulatory approval [17][19]. Industry Data - Global smartphone shipments reached 295 million units in Q2 2025, marking a 1.03% year-over-year increase, while China's smartphone shipments fell by 13.77% to 20.56 million units in June 2025 [20]. - The prices of various sizes of LCD panels remained stable in September 2025, with 32-inch panels priced at $36 each [21]. Weekly Perspective - OpenAI's strategic partnerships with NVIDIA and AMD to deploy substantial AI data center resources are expected to intensify competition in AI infrastructure [24]. - The report suggests continued focus on AI server ODM and high-end PCB/CCL segments as key investment opportunities [24]. Key Stocks to Watch - The report identifies several companies with strong growth potential, including: - Huadian Technology Co., Ltd. with a 56.59% year-over-year revenue increase in H1 2025 [25]. - Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. with a 20.18% revenue growth in H1 2025, benefiting from advancements in consumer electronics and automotive sectors [25]. - Pengding Holdings Co., Ltd. with a 24.75% revenue increase in H1 2025, driven by product optimization and cost reduction efforts [25].

Market Overview - The A-share market has seen the Shanghai Composite Index return to 3900 points for the first time in 10 years, closing at 3933.97 with a gain of 1.32% [1][6] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also experienced increases of 1.47% and 0.73% respectively, indicating a positive market sentiment [2][4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included non-ferrous metals (7.60%), steel (3.38%), and coal (3.00%), while the weakest sectors were media (-1.43%), real estate (-1.39%), and social services (-1.03%) [3][4] - Concept indices such as controllable nuclear fusion (6.97%) and lead metals (6.14%) showed strong performance, while sectors like duty-free shops (-1.82%) and ice and snow industry (-1.59%) lagged [3][4] Future Outlook - The report suggests that the recent export controls on rare earth technologies by the Ministry of Commerce will enhance the value and pricing of rare earth products, recommending a focus on companies with export qualifications in rare earth and magnetic materials [5] - The overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations of further upward movement in the indices, particularly in sectors like non-ferrous metals, technology growth, new energy, and machinery [6]