Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Market Weight" [10] Core Views - The core driving force for the rise in gold prices is the increasing expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with a 94.10% probability of a 25 basis point cut in October [9] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has surged due to concerns over U.S. government stability and geopolitical tensions, providing ongoing support for gold prices [9] - The report anticipates that international gold prices will exhibit a high-level fluctuation in the short to medium term, driven by interest rate cuts and heightened safe-haven demand [9] Summary by Sections - **Gold Price Movement**: As of October 8, COMEX gold futures closed at $4030 per ounce, and London spot gold reached $4040.05 per ounce, both surpassing the $4000 mark [4] - **Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Expectations**: The Fed's recent 25 basis point cut has initiated a new easing cycle, with potential for two more cuts by year-end, which is expected to lower the cost of holding gold [9] - **Central Bank Gold Purchases**: In Q2 2025, global central banks are projected to net purchase 166 tons of gold, with a strong inclination to continue increasing gold reserves [9] - **Investment Demand**: The World Gold Council reported net inflows into gold ETFs of 226.6 tons and 170.5 tons in Q1 and Q2 respectively, significantly exceeding the previous year's figures [9] - **Market Outlook**: The report suggests that gold prices will maintain upward momentum in the medium to long term due to the interplay of interest rate cuts and rising safe-haven demand [9]

Core Insights - The report highlights a strong performance in the A-share market, with major indices achieving significant monthly gains, particularly the ChiNext Index which rose by 12.04% in September [4] - The stock portfolio for October 2025 shows a diverse range of companies with strong investment themes, including overseas expansion, innovative pharmaceuticals, and recovery in the wind power sector [2][3] Company Summaries Huaxin Cement (600801) - The company is actively expanding overseas, aiming to double its cement production capacity from 25 million tons to approximately 50 million tons by 2025 [10] - Despite a slight decline in cement sales, non-cement business segments such as aggregates and concrete have shown significant growth [10] - The company reported a revenue of 34.217 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 1.36% increase year-on-year, with a notable recovery in net profit in the first half of 2025 [10] Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) - The company achieved record high operating performance with a revenue of 94.773 billion yuan and a net profit of 8.671 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 60.07% year-on-year increase [12] - The company is expanding its global footprint, particularly in gold resources, and has successfully acquired a mining project in Ecuador [16] - The diversified product portfolio, including copper and cobalt, positions the company well against market fluctuations [16] Heng Rui Medicine (600276) - The company reported a stable growth in Q2 2025, with a revenue of 8.556 billion yuan, up 12.53% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.576 billion yuan, up 24.88% [20] - The innovative drug segment is a key driver of growth, contributing significantly to overall revenue [20] - The company is focusing on accelerating the commercialization of new products to enhance future growth [20] CATL (300750) - The company reported a revenue of 178.886 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 30.485 billion yuan, reflecting a 33.33% increase year-on-year [24] - CATL continues to innovate with new products in the electric vehicle battery sector, maintaining a strong market position [24] - The company is expanding its production capacity and has significant cash reserves to support its growth strategy [24] Goldwind Technology (002202) - The company achieved a revenue of 28.537 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 41.26% increase year-on-year, with a notable improvement in profitability [29] - The sales of large wind turbine units have significantly increased, with a sales capacity of 10.64 GW, up 106.60% year-on-year [29] - The international business segment has also seen substantial growth, with a revenue increase of 75.34% [29] XCMG Machinery (000425) - The company reported a revenue of 54.808 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a growth of 8.04% year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.358 billion yuan [34] - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business, which now accounts for 46.61% of total revenue [34] - The growth in demand for earth-moving machinery and the recovery in the lifting machinery sector are key highlights [34] Inovance Technology (300124) - The company reported a revenue of approximately 9 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a 50% increase in its new energy business [38] - The company is leveraging its multi-platform and customized solutions to enhance its market position [38] - Significant growth in international sales, particularly in emerging markets, is noted [38] Changdian Technology (600584) - The company achieved a revenue of 18.605 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 20.14% increase year-on-year, despite a decline in net profit [43] - Changdian Technology is recognized as a leading player in advanced packaging technology within the semiconductor industry [43] - The company is focusing on automotive electronics and has seen a 34.2% increase in revenue from this segment [43] Luxshare Precision (002475) - The company reported a revenue of 1245.03 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 6.644 billion yuan, reflecting a 23.13% increase [48] - The consumer electronics segment continues to grow steadily, with significant contributions from new product launches [48] - The automotive business has shown remarkable growth, with an 82.07% increase in revenue [48] Kingsoft Office (688111) - The company is focusing on integrating AI technologies into its office solutions, aiming to enhance productivity and user experience [49] - The report indicates a strong market position and growth potential in the AI-driven office software sector [49]

事 件 有色金属行业 标配（维持） 降息预期叠加避险需求增加，国际金价突破 图 1：COMEX 黄金期货收盘价（美元/盎司） 图 2：伦敦现货黄金价格（美元/盎司） 4000 美元大关 有色金属行业事件点评 | 事 件 点 评 标配（维持） 4000 美元大关 | 有色金属行业 降息预期叠加避险需求增加，国际金价突破 有色金属行业事件点评 | | --- | --- | | 分析师：许正堃（SAC 2025 年 10 月 9 日 | 执业证书编号：S0340523120001） | | 电话：0769-23320072 | 邮箱：xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn | 事件： 截至10月8日，COMEX黄金期货价格收于4030美元/盎司，伦敦现货黄金价格收于4040.05美元/盎 司，均突破每盎司4000美元大关。 点评： 研 究 报 告 东莞证券研究报告评级体系： | | 公司投资评级 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 买入 | 预计未来 | 6 个月内，股价表现强于市场指数 15%以上 | | 增持 | 预计未来 | 6 个月内，股价表现强于市场指数 5%-15%之间 | | ...

月度策略/A 股市场 分析师：费小平 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340518010002 电话：0769-22111089 邮箱：fxp@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：尹炜祺 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340522120001 电话：0769-22118627 邮箱： yinweiqi@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：曾浩 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523110001 电话：0769-22119276 邮箱： zenghao@dgzq.com.cn | 市场主要指数 | 9 | 月份表现 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | | 上证指数 | 3882.78 | 0.64% | | 深证成指 | 13526.51 | 6.54% | | 沪深 300 | 4640.69 | 3.20% | | 创业板指 | 3238.16 | 12.04% | | 北证 50 | 1528.63 | -2.90% | | 科创 50 | 1495.29 | 11.48% | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 上证指数月线走势 2025 年 10 月 9 日 震荡整理中 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a slight increase with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3882.78, up by 0.52% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.35% to 13526.51, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 0.45% to 4640.69 [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Non-ferrous Metals (3.22%), Defense and Military (2.59%), Real Estate (2.12%), Electric Equipment (1.71%), and Pharmaceutical Biology (1.40%) [3] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors were Communication (-1.83%), Non-bank Financials (-1.14%), Comprehensive (-1.06%), Environmental Protection (-0.78%), and Banking (-0.74%) [3] Concept Index Performance - The leading concept indices were Metal Zinc (3.62%), Metal Lead (3.61%), Metal Cobalt (3.49%), Metal Copper (3.34%), and Metal Nickel (3.25%) [3] - The lagging concept indices included Trust Concept (-0.97%), China-South Korea Free Trade Zone (-0.91%), Biomass Power Generation (-0.70%), F5G Concept (-0.68%), and Automotive Thermal Management (-0.53%) [3] Economic Indicators - The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September was reported at 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight recovery [4] - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index was at 50.0%, down by 0.3 percentage points, while the Composite PMI Output Index rose to 50.6%, up by 0.1 percentage points, suggesting a slight acceleration in overall economic output [4] Future Outlook - The report indicates that despite the slight recovery in the manufacturing PMI, the economy still faces pressure, and there is a possibility of further macro policy support in the fourth quarter [5] - The report suggests that the A-share market has a foundation for medium to long-term upward movement, although major indices are at high levels, leading to potential short-term volatility due to profit-taking [5] - Recommended sectors for investment include Non-ferrous Metals, Transportation, Public Utilities, Banking, and TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) [5]

Market Overview - In September 2025, the North Exchange market continued its oscillating trend, with the North Certificate 50 Index reaching a historical high mid-month, indicating sustained recognition of high-quality supply and institutional reform expectations[5] - As of September 29, 2025, the North Certificate 50 Index fell by 2.21% for the month, with a maximum increase of 6.08% during the period[15] - The overall PE valuation for the North Certificate 50 Index was 76.41 times, with a median of 75.86 times, compared to 42.73 times for the ChiNext Index and 180.14 times for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board[21] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for the North Exchange in September 2025 was 582.41 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 24.638 billion shares[24] - The average margin financing balance for September was 7.676 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.65% month-on-month[25] Investment Recommendations - Focus on three main lines: (1) High-growth new productivity targets and leading companies in competitive niche sectors; (2) Innovation-driven sectors such as semiconductors, military, AI, and satellite internet; (3) Consumer-related companies benefiting from policies aimed at boosting domestic demand[5] - The market is transitioning from retail-driven to institutional allocation, enhancing the market's representativeness and financing functions[5] New Listings and Regulatory Updates - Three new stocks were listed in September, bringing the total number of companies listed on the North Exchange to 277[33] - The "920 code switch" for existing companies is set to be implemented on October 9, 2025, enhancing market identification[37] Risk Factors - Risks include potential delays in policy implementation and the possibility of irrational investment behavior due to short-term stock price surges[39]

Core Insights - The overall market of the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) continued to show a fluctuating trend in September 2025, with the BSE 50 Index reaching a historical high mid-month, indicating sustained recognition of high-quality supply and expectations for institutional reforms [5][14] - The upcoming "920 code switch" for existing companies in October marks a significant step towards a unified code system, enhancing market recognition [5][14] - The market ecology is shifting from being dominated by retail investors to institutional allocation, reflecting a transition from "quantity expansion" to "quality optimization" [5][14] - Looking ahead to Q4, potential catalysts for funds include index adjustments, thematic fund issuances, and anniversary policy expectations, with a focus on "specialized, sophisticated, and new + high-end manufacturing" themes [5][14] Market Review and Valuation - As of September 29, 2025, the BSE 50 Index fell by 2.21% in September, with a maximum increase of 6.08% during the period. Year-to-date, the index has risen by 48.34% with a peak increase of 60.92% [6][15] - The average PE (TTM) for the BSE 50 Index was 76.41 times, while the median was 75.86 times. In comparison, the ChiNext Index had an average PE of 42.73 times, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board had an average PE of 180.14 times [21][15] New Stock Dynamics - In September, three new stocks were listed on the BSE, bringing the total number of listed companies to 277. During the period from September 1 to September 29, four companies were subscribed, and three were listed [33][34] Key Company Announcements - The BSE announced that starting from October 9, 2025, existing listed companies will uniformly adopt new securities codes starting with "920," which will cover trading orders, market inquiries, and various business operations [37]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a day of oscillating gains, with all three major indices rising collectively. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.90%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.05% to 13479.43, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.74% to 3238.01 [1][3][5]. Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included non-bank financials, which rose by 3.84%, and non-ferrous metals, which increased by 3.78%. Other notable sectors were electric power equipment (3.07%), steel (2.49%), and comprehensive sectors (1.82%). Conversely, coal and banking sectors saw declines of -0.84% and -0.46%, respectively [2][3]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a strong upward trend, driven by multiple positive factors. The focus will shift from pre-holiday policy expectations to post-holiday economic performance, with attention on high-frequency economic data such as the official PMI for September and consumption metrics during the holiday period [5]. Financial Policy Insights - The People's Bank of China emphasized the need for a moderately loose monetary policy to guide financial institutions in increasing credit supply. This includes utilizing securities, funds, and insurance company swap facilities to stabilize the capital market [4]. Trading Volume and External Influences - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.16 trillion yuan, an increase of 146 billion yuan from the previous trading day. Additionally, U.S. inflation data indicated a year-on-year increase of 2.7% in the PCE price index, which aligns with market expectations and has bolstered confidence in potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5]. Investment Recommendations - It is suggested to focus on sectors such as technology growth, new energy, non-bank financials, and mechanical equipment for potential investment opportunities [5].

事 北交所 统一代码将显著提升市场辨识度。本次"920代码时代"的开启强化了北交所作为独立交 易所的市场定位。统一的代码体系有助于投资者更清晰地区分板块属性，提升市场整体 品牌形象和公信力，为后续市场化改革夯实基础。 统一代码将为资金工具化配置打开通道。代码切换不仅是技术层面的更新，更是市场制 度标准化的关键一环。统一的标识体系为指数编制、产品开发和跨市场资金流动提供了 底层支持，有助于降低投资者识别与使用成本。随着北证50等宽基指数影响力提升，未 来ETF及衍生品工具的推出将更加顺畅，资金进出效率和市场承接力有望同步增强，从而 推动北交所逐步迈向机构化和长期化配置格局。 研 究 证 券 研 长期来看，统一代码将加快北交所从交易型市场向配置型市场转型。通过制度统一与产 品创新的联动，市场的标准化水平与流动性基础将进一步增强。叠加高质量扩容和资金 端支持，北交所将在未来逐步构建起以ETF、指数产品和长期资金为核心的市场生态，形 成更具持续性的增量资金循环和资产定价体系。 究 报 告 投资策略：中长期围绕"专精特新+高端制造"主线，自上而下筛行业景气、自下而上看 盈利质量，关注订单驱动与兑现路径清晰的标的。 无评 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a day of volatility with the ChiNext index dropping over 2.5% during the session [2] - Major indices closed in the red, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3828.11 (-0.65%), Shenzhen Component at 13209.00 (-1.76%), and the ChiNext at 3151.53 (-2.60%) [1][2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Oil & Petrochemicals (+1.17%), Environmental Protection (+0.38%), and Public Utilities (+0.35%) [1] - Conversely, the weakest sectors were Computer (-3.26%), Electronics (-2.75%), and Media (-2.65%) [1] Investment Insights - The report highlights a robust performance of the basic pension insurance fund, which has reached an investment operation scale of 2.6 trillion, doubling since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [3] - The average annual investment return of the pension fund stands at 5.15%, indicating effective value preservation and growth [3] Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to show a trend of oscillating upward rather than a one-sided increase, with a focus on whether growth policies can effectively translate into improved corporate earnings [4] - Key sectors to watch include TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), Public Utilities, Non-ferrous Metals, and Financials [4]