Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the automotive industry [4][8]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing growth, with March 2025 production and sales reaching 3.0058 million and 2.9155 million vehicles, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 11.86% and 8.2% [28][41]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) is increasing, with March 2025 NEV production and sales at 1.277 million and 1.237 million units, showing year-on-year growth of 47.93% and 40.11% [64]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the ongoing smart driving technology upgrades among various automakers, which is expected to drive investment opportunities in the industry [4][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance Review - As of April 21, 2025, the automotive (CITIC) industry index has decreased by 6.62%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.99 percentage points [12][18]. - The automotive sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 3.93%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 7.75 percentage points [12][18]. - The industry valuation levels have declined, with the PE (TTM) at 28.56 times, ranking 13th among 30 CITIC primary industries [22][23]. 2. Key Industry Data Tracking 2.1 Industry Overview - In March 2025, the automotive industry produced 3.0058 million vehicles and sold 2.9155 million vehicles, with month-on-month increases of 42.93% and 36.97% [28]. - The inventory coefficient for automotive dealers was 1.56, indicating a slight decrease from the previous month [28]. 2.2 Passenger Vehicles - March 2025 saw passenger vehicle production and sales of 2.5745 million and 2.4682 million units, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 14.43% and 10.37% [41]. - The market share of domestic brands in passenger vehicle sales reached 66% in March 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 6.7 percentage points [48]. 2.3 Commercial Vehicles - Commercial vehicle production and sales in March 2025 were 431,400 and 447,300 units, respectively, showing year-on-year declines of 1.37% and 2.38% [56]. - The heavy truck market is experiencing a significant increase in new energy heavy trucks, with sales up 183% year-on-year [59]. 2.4 New Energy Vehicles - The NEV market is rapidly growing, with a penetration rate of 42.43% in March 2025, up 0.54 percentage points from the previous month [64]. - Cumulative NEV production and sales from January to March 2025 reached 3.182 million and 3.075 million units, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 50.43% and 47.11% [64]. 3. Important Industry Company News - The report highlights various new vehicle launches and the ongoing development of smart driving technologies among major automotive manufacturers [85][86]. - The report also notes the significant growth in the number of charging stations across China, which has reached over 13 million, reflecting a 47.6% year-on-year increase [90].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the automotive industry [4][8]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing growth, with March 2025 production and sales reaching 3.0058 million and 2.9155 million vehicles, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 11.86% and 8.2% [28]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) has increased, with March 2025 NEV production and sales reaching 1.277 million and 1.237 million units, respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 47.93% and 40.11% [64]. - The report highlights the ongoing shift towards intelligent driving technologies, with several automakers accelerating the development of L3 level autonomous driving systems [4]. Industry Performance Review - As of April 21, 2025, the automotive (CITIC) industry index has decreased by 6.62%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.99 percentage points [12]. - The automotive sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 3.93%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 7.75 percentage points [12]. - The automotive industry is ranked 27th among 30 CITIC primary industries [12]. Key Data Tracking Industry Overview - In March 2025, the automotive industry produced 3.0058 million vehicles and sold 2.9155 million vehicles, with month-on-month increases of 42.93% and 36.97% [28]. - The inventory coefficient for automotive dealers in March 2025 was 1.56, indicating a slight decrease from the previous month [28]. Passenger Vehicles - In March 2025, passenger vehicle production and sales reached 2.5745 million and 2.4682 million units, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 14.43% and 10.37% [41]. - The market share of domestic brand passenger vehicles reached 66% in March 2025, with sales of 1.629 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.85% [48]. Commercial Vehicles - Commercial vehicle production and sales in March 2025 were 431,400 and 447,300 units, respectively, showing year-on-year decreases of 1.37% and 2.38% [56]. - The report notes a recovery trend in commercial vehicles, particularly in the truck segment, which saw production and sales of 381,100 and 394,200 units, respectively [59]. New Energy Vehicles - The report indicates that NEV production and sales in March 2025 reached 1.277 million and 1.237 million units, with a penetration rate of 42.43% [64]. - NEV exports in March 2025 totaled 158,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.8% [36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining the "Outperform the Market" rating and emphasizes the importance of monitoring the progress of intelligent upgrades in the automotive sector [4].

Core Insights - The report highlights a stable growth trend in new business establishments in China, with 6.063 million new entities registered in Q1 2025, including 2.1 million new enterprises and 3.949 million individual businesses [5][9] - The People's Bank of China and other departments have issued a plan to enhance cross-border financial services, aiming to improve digital service coverage for enterprises going global [6][9] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant developments, particularly in domestic AI chip production, with a focus on the upcoming launch of Harmony OS PCs in May 2025 [6][13] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,291.43, with a slight increase of 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.27% to 9,905.53 [4] - The A-share market showed a mixed performance, with software and semiconductor sectors leading the gains, while sectors like chemicals and real estate lagged [7][12] International Market Performance - Major international indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 experienced declines of 0.67% and 0.45% respectively, while the Nikkei 225 saw a modest increase of 0.62% [5] Industry Analysis - The software and semiconductor sectors are highlighted as leading industries in the A-share market, with a focus on the growth of AI applications and digital services [6][12] - The food and beverage sector showed signs of recovery, with a 2.34% increase in March 2025, driven by rising prices in beer and liquor [31][32] - The agricultural sector is expected to benefit from the "Accelerating the Construction of an Agricultural Power" plan, with a rebound in chicken prices noted [21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on sectors such as software development, internet services, and food and beverage for potential investment opportunities, while also highlighting the importance of monitoring policy changes and market dynamics [11][12][18] - In the semiconductor industry, the report recommends attention to domestic manufacturers benefiting from the U.S. tariff policies and the push for self-sufficiency in the supply chain [34][36]

合规 诚信 专业 稳健 分 析 师 ：邓淑斌 SAC登记编码：S0730518030001 分 析 师 ： 郑 婷 SAC登记编码：S0730524110001 研究助理 ： 徐 至 SAC登记编码：S0730812110006 发布日期：2025年4月21日 01 布雷顿森林体系的演变 02 目 录 Contents 全球资产价格走势 03 中美贸易摩擦及影响 04 美国"对等关税"事件及影响 05 启示与建议 内部资料 严禁外传 电子邮箱：zyzqyjs@ccnew.com 电话：021-50586973 前言 n构建于1944年的布雷顿森林体系是以美元为中心的国际货币体系，一度为推动二战后国际贸易、国际投 资和国际货币金融秩序稳定发挥了积极作用，但由于其自身存在的制度缺陷和经济环境发生变化，最终在 上世纪70年代逐步瓦解，逐步被"牙买加体系"（也称之为"后布雷顿森林体系"、"无体系的体系"） 所替代，全球货币循环方式和资产定价逻辑也由此发生变化。 n近期美国宣布所谓的"对等关税"政策，不仅引发国际社会强烈反对和全球金融市场大幅震荡，也让中 美贸易摩擦争端再度升级，尽管与之相关的反制与磋商谈判仍在持续，但 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Accumulate" rating for the company [1][10] Core Views - In 2024, the company's revenue reached 3.021 billion yuan, representing an 18.59% year-on-year increase, although the growth rate decreased by 8.05 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.108 billion yuan, a 3.04% year-on-year increase, indicating a slowdown in sales growth [5] - The sales of high-end and mid-range liquor products showed significant growth, with high-end products priced above 300 yuan increasing by 41.17% and mid-range products priced between 100 to 300 yuan increasing by 15.38% in 2024 [5] - The product structure has improved, with the sales proportion of high-end liquor (above 300 yuan) increasing to 18.75% in 2024, while the proportion of low-end liquor (below 100 yuan) decreased to 28.1% [5] - The gross margin for all product tiers has declined, primarily due to a decrease in factory prices, with the gross margin for high-end products falling to 75.99% [5] Summary by Sections Revenue and Growth - The company achieved a revenue of 3.021 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 18.59% [5] - The revenue for Q1 2025 was 1.108 billion yuan, reflecting a slowdown in growth [5] Product Performance - High-end liquor sales increased significantly, with a 41.17% rise for products above 300 yuan [5] - The sales structure has shifted positively, with an increase in the proportion of high-end products [5] Profitability - The gross margin for high-end products decreased to 75.99%, indicating pressure on profitability [5] Market Channels - The dealer channel saw a revenue increase of 15.43% in 2024, contributing significantly to overall sales [7] - The internet channel experienced a high growth rate of 43.36% in 2024 [7] Earnings Forecast - The forecasted earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.81 yuan, 0.89 yuan, and 1.09 yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24.29, 22.06, and 18.08 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, predicting a relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [12]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 met expectations, with revenue of 48.615 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.35% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.076 billion yuan, showing a growth of 0.63% year-on-year [7][12]. - The company is positioned well within the growing global electric vehicle market, with significant increases in both production and sales of power batteries and energy storage solutions anticipated for 2025 [7][9]. - The report highlights the company's strong growth in energy storage battery shipments, which increased by 91.90% year-on-year in 2024, contributing to 39.14% of total revenue [7][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 48.615 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.076 billion yuan and a basic earnings per share of 1.99 yuan [7][12]. - The operating cash flow decreased by 48.90% year-on-year to 4.433 billion yuan, indicating challenges in cash generation [7]. Market Position and Growth - The global sales of new energy vehicles reached 13.6858 million units in 2023, with a projected growth of 25.98% in 2024 [7]. - The company ranked 9th globally in power battery shipments with a market share of 2.27% in 2024, and it is expected to maintain a strong position in the market [7][9]. Product Segments - The company’s power battery shipments in 2024 were 30.29 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.87%, although the average price per watt-hour decreased by 25.91% [9]. - The energy storage battery segment saw a significant increase in shipments, reaching 50.45 GWh in 2024, with revenue from this segment growing by 16.44% [9][11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a recovery in revenue growth in 2025, driven by increasing demand for power batteries and the introduction of new models in the passenger vehicle sector [9][11]. - The report anticipates continued high growth in the energy storage battery market, supported by favorable government policies and technological advancements [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" with an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [10][14]. Core Views - The company's main business remains stable, with a significant increase in the dividend payout ratio, reaching 59.61%, compared to an average of 34.47% from 2018 to 2023 [9][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from a tax exemption period extending until December 31, 2027, which will lead to a substantial reduction in income tax expenses and enhance earnings potential [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 98.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.24%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 25.84% to 10.30 billion yuan. However, the net profit after deducting non-recurring items increased by 12.11% to 12.50 billion yuan [6][9]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 19.16 billion yuan, up 1.04% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.10 billion yuan, a significant increase of 234.61% [9]. Business Segments - The publishing segment generated revenue of 32.69 billion yuan, a growth of 3.37%, while the distribution segment's revenue was 80.56 billion yuan, up 0.68%. The gross margin for the distribution segment reached a record high of 30.40% [9]. - The company has secured a contract for the 2024-2027 compulsory education free textbook procurement project, ensuring a stable educational foundation for the next three years [9]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 6.0 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 6.14 billion yuan, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.28%, which is significantly higher than the average yield of 4.50% from 2020 to 2023 [9][10]. Future Outlook - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.27 yuan, 1.32 yuan, and 1.38 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.46, 9.05, and 8.66 [10][12].

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -14% -8% -3% 3% 8% 14% 19% 24% 2024.04 2024.08 2024.12 2025.04 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | 3,276.73 | -0.11 | | 深证成指 | 9,781.65 | 0.23 | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 300 | 3,772.52 | 0.01 | | 上证 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 100 | 3,611.88 | 0.00 | | 中证 500 | 5,560.72 | 0.07 | | 中证 1000 | 6,116.76 | 0.33 | | 国证 2000 | 7,801.23 | 0.58 | | 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a projected increase in stock price relative to the market index [5][6][25]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 7.718 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 8.42% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.207 billion yuan, up 2.55% year-on-year [4][8]. - The report highlights a significant growth in the brokerage and asset management business, with net income from brokerage services increasing by 23.27% year-on-year [5][12]. - The company has successfully increased its market share in the securities trading business, reaching a market share of 3.09%, the highest in five years [12][25]. - The report anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 0.28 yuan and 0.31 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) of 6.14 yuan and 6.40 yuan [6][25]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total assets of 255.628 billion yuan and a return on equity (ROE) of 4.72% [4][8]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.583 yuan per share, which represents 40.02% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [8][25]. Business Segments - The brokerage business saw a substantial increase in net income, with a total of 4.036 billion yuan, while investment banking revenue decreased by 16.59% [5][14]. - The asset management segment reported a net income of 2.38 billion yuan, reflecting a 31.49% increase year-on-year [19][25]. - The company’s proprietary trading achieved absolute returns, although overall investment income decreased by 13.91% [20][25]. Market Position - The company’s margin financing and securities lending balance reached a historical high of 40.403 billion yuan, marking a 30.78% increase year-on-year [23][25]. - The report notes that the company has been actively disposing of inefficient assets, enhancing operational efficiency [6][25].

分析师：李济生 登记编码：S0730522100002 lijs@ccnew.com 分析师：郑婷 登记编码：S0730524110001 zhengting@ccnew.com 相关报告 《河南资本市场月报（2025 年第 2 期）》 2025-3-28 《河南资本市场月报（2025 年第 1 期）》 2025-2-27 联系人：李智 电话： 0371-65585629 河南资本市场月报 （2025 年第 3 期） 证券研究报告 发布日期：2025 年 4 月 18 日 投资要点： 风险提示：美国加征关税对全球贸易系统带来的不确定性风险；经济增 长和业绩不及预期；市场流动性风险。 本报告版权属于中原证券研究所股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第 1页/共 16页 | 图 | 1 | ：2025 | | | | 年全国各月信用债发行规模 | 7 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 图 | 2 | ：2025 | | | | 年河南各月信用债发行规模和占比 | 7 | | 图 | 3 | ：2025 | 年 ...