Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price maintained [7] Core Views - The company is experiencing accelerated overseas expansion in its structural components business and is developing a second growth driver in the robotics sector [2][3] - The company reported a slight decline in profit in Q2 2025 due to increased R&D expenses and significant credit impairment [1][4] - The forecast for the company's net profit for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted downwards to 1.75 billion and 2.12 billion respectively, primarily due to underestimated R&D costs and impairment impacts [4] Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 10,511.36 million - 2024: 12,029.68 million - 2025E: 14,796.50 million - 2026E: 17,755.80 million - 2027E: 21,306.96 million - The expected growth rates are 21.47% for 2023, 14.44% for 2024, and 23.00% for 2025 [5][12] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1,751.61 million, with a growth rate of 19.03% [5][12] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 6.40 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.53 [5][12] Business Development - The company is investing up to 5 million euros in Hungary to enhance the production capacity of precision structural components for power batteries [2] - The development of humanoid robot products is progressing well, with positive trends in customer development [3][11]

证券研究报告 | 2025 年 08 月 26 日 $$\overline{{{\prod_{\mathrm{DE}}}}}\frac{\bigtriangleup}{\bigtriangleup}\frac{\bigtriangleup}{\bigtriangleup}\frac{\bigtriangleup\mathrm{bd}}{\bigtriangleup}$$ 制作：产品中心 重点推荐 《策略|从筹码分布看主线突破——产业赛道与主题投资风向标》 1、重点主题：（1）AIDC：政策需求共振带来高景气，算力链业绩有望超 预期。（2）创新药：BD 交易打开创新药企业业绩增长空间，政策端助力 创新药产业发展。（3）反内卷：推动落后产能有序退出，行业实现高质量 发展。2、政策动态：国新办举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主 题发布会，服务业经营主体贷款、个人消费贷贴息方案落地。3、产业趋 势：世界机器人大会举办，华为发布 AI 推理创新技术 UCM。（1）人工智 能：8 月 12 日华为发布 AI 推理创新技术 UCM（推理记忆数据管理器）， 并计划于 2025 年 9 月正式开源 UCM。（2）机器人：8 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 115.2 CNY, maintaining the rating for the next six months [7][18]. Core Views - The company achieved a record high revenue of 10.196 billion CNY in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.80%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 14.766 million CNY, with a significant improvement in both revenue and profit in Q2 2025 [1][2]. - The growth in revenue is driven by the recovery in key downstream markets such as mobile phones and PCs, along with increased demand for servers due to AI, leading to sustained growth in the storage market [2][3]. - The company is positioned as a leader in domestic substitution, with its enterprise storage business revenue reaching 693 million CNY in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 138.66% [3]. - The self-developed controller chips have accelerated application deployment, with over 80 million units deployed by the end of July 2025 [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 10.196 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 12.80%. Q2 2025 revenue reached 5.939 billion CNY, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.53% [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for H1 2025 was 14.766 million CNY, with a non-recurring net profit of 320.69 million CNY [1]. Business Growth - The enterprise storage business saw significant growth, with revenue of 693 million CNY in H1 2025, up 138.66% year-on-year. The company has established a comprehensive product system for enterprise-level products [3]. - The TCM business model enhances the company's supply chain integration and operational efficiency, contributing to a stronger profit margin [4]. Global Expansion - The company has strengthened its overseas market presence, with sales in Brazil and Latin America reaching 1.388 billion CNY in H1 2025, a growth of 40.01% [5]. - The global brand Lexar achieved sales of 2.145 billion CNY in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.61% [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a dual logic of "cycle + growth," with projected revenues of 23.05 billion CNY, 26.05 billion CNY, and 30.09 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 4.82 billion CNY, 16.09 billion CNY, and 20.76 billion CNY for the same years [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in Q2 performance, with a revenue growth of over 150% and a high dividend payout, showcasing its investment value [1]. - The engineering contracting business is experiencing rapid growth, with substantial contributions from new projects expected to enhance future performance [2]. - The company's profitability has improved, with better cost control and a net profit margin increase [3]. - Long-term growth prospects remain strong, supported by a robust order backlog and new project contributions [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.81%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 42.54% [1]. - Q2 alone saw revenues of 701 million yuan, reflecting a 38.48% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 69 million yuan, which is a remarkable 156.22% increase [1]. - The company maintained a cash dividend payout ratio of around 100%, with a TTM dividend yield of 4.43% as of August 23 [1]. Business Segments - The engineering segment reported revenues of 409 million yuan and 46 million yuan from contracting and design services, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 483.46% and 89.67% [2]. - In the chemical segment, revenues from various products showed mixed results, with a decline in some areas but an increase in profit margins due to rising prices of certain chemicals [2]. - New business initiatives, particularly in cellulose and its derivatives, generated 9.654 million yuan in revenue, indicating a 47.73% increase year-on-year, with potential for future growth [2]. Profitability and Cost Control - The overall gross margin improved to 19.9%, a year-on-year increase of 0.89 percentage points, while the expense ratio decreased to 10.11%, down 1.55 percentage points [3]. - The net profit margin reached 9.51%, reflecting a 1.39 percentage point increase year-on-year [3]. - Cash flow from operations showed a net inflow of 22 million yuan, although it was lower than the previous year due to increased bank acceptance bill settlements [3]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company has a strong order backlog, and new projects are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [4]. - Adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 330 million, 430 million, and 550 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17.6, 13.7, and 10.7 [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The report maintains a positive outlook on the company's performance, particularly in the context of the recovery in the power lithium battery sector and advancements in solid-state battery technology [2][3] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.53 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 58 million yuan, up 14% year-on-year [1] - The report anticipates revenue growth to 3.64 billion yuan in 2025, 4.94 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.03 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits projected at 327.65 million yuan, 450.78 million yuan, and 569.36 million yuan respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the gross margin was 27%, down 3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 3.8%, remaining stable year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 660 million yuan, a decrease of 9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 11 million yuan, down 52% year-on-year [1] - The company has a total market capitalization of 7.51 billion yuan and a current price of 22 yuan per share [6] Revenue Structure and Product Development - The revenue structure indicates that 80% of H1 2025 revenue came from power lithium batteries, with expectations for improvement as the industry recovers and production capacity utilization stabilizes [2] - The company has completed the development of several new products, including a titanium alloy large shell welding process and multi-beam cutting technology, which have shown a 50% increase in equipment efficiency [2][3] - The company is also collaborating with leading industry players to develop solid-state battery production equipment, having delivered several production lines in H1 2025 [2]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [4] Core Insights - The pricing of bank assets and liabilities this year shows a trend of "stable loan rates and improved deposit costs," effectively alleviating NIM pressure and laying a solid foundation for achieving annual profit targets [9][18] - The bank's gold market trading and allocation segments are facing certain pressures this year compared to last year's "bull market," primarily due to increased interest rate volatility affecting capital gains and a "preserve capital, minimal profit" state for allocation [2][19] - The contribution of the bank's lending and deposit segment is significant, while the gold market segment faces pressure in completing KPIs, leading to a weaker motivation to realize floating profits through selling old bonds in September [3][36] Summary by Sections Section 1: Asset and Liability Pricing - The trend of stable loan rates and improved deposit costs has been observed, with new corporate loan and mortgage rates stabilizing at 3.2% and 3.1% respectively [9][10] - The average deposit cost rate for listed banks is expected to decline to 1.6-1.65% in the first half of 2025, with a potential further decrease due to the expiration of high-interest fixed deposits [12][36] Section 2: Gold Market Performance - The performance of the bank's gold market trading and allocation segments is under pressure, with capital gains ability significantly weakened due to increased interest rate volatility [2][22] - The allocation segment may continue to face a "preserve capital, minimal profit" state, influenced by the strong liability attributes of CDs and mismatches in loan and deposit growth rates [23][26] Section 3: Contribution of Lending and Deposit Segment - The lending and deposit segment is expected to contribute significantly to overall bank profits, with a narrowing of interest margin declines anticipated [31][36] - The gold market segment's KPI completion faces challenges, and the motivation to sell old bonds for profit realization is weak as the year progresses [3][36]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from its strategic focus on high-quality development and profit elasticity during the upward cycle [1][4] - The company has shown solid financial performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 44.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.64%, and a net profit of 5.216 billion yuan, up 46% year-on-year [1] - The company is actively pursuing digital transformation and low-carbon initiatives, enhancing its competitiveness in the industry [4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 447.8 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 27.4% and a net margin of 11.9% [1] - The operating cash flow for H1 2025 was 101.34 billion yuan, reflecting a 20.11% year-on-year increase [1] - The company’s revenue in Q2 2025 was 236.03 billion yuan, with a net profit of 27.45 billion yuan, marking a 37.76% increase year-on-year [1] Product Revenue Breakdown - Excavation machinery revenue reached 17.497 billion yuan, up 15% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 32.74% [2] - Concrete machinery revenue was 7.441 billion yuan, down 6.49% year-on-year, but with a gross margin of 22.88% [2] - Cranes generated 7.804 billion yuan in revenue, a 17.89% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.06% [2] Regional Revenue Analysis - Domestic revenue was 17.35 billion yuan, up 21.42% year-on-year, while international revenue was 26.3 billion yuan, up 11.72% year-on-year [3] - The Asia-Pacific region contributed 11.45 billion yuan, a 16.3% increase year-on-year, while Africa saw a significant increase of 40.48% to 3.63 billion yuan [3] Future Profitability Forecast - The forecasted net profit for the company is expected to be 8.54 billion yuan in 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 42.92%, 28.18%, and 31.35% for 2026 and 2027 respectively [4]

证券研究报告 2025年08月25日 海外行业报告：行业深度研究 DeepSeek V3.1版本正式发布，坚定看好中国AI投资机会 作者： 分析师 孔蓉 SAC执业证书编号：S1110521020002 分析师 李泽宇 SAC执业证书编号：S1110520110002 分析师 樊程安吉 SAC执业证书编号：S1110524080001 分析师 杨雨辰 SAC执业证书编号：S1110521110001 分析师 刘诗雨 SAC执业证书编号：S1110524120001 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 全球AI周报 摘要 ◼ 重点公司财报AI进展 ◼ 全球AI动态： 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 2 ➢ Zoom ：2025年Q2业绩稳健增长，AI与通信产品成增长引擎。第二季度AI Companion的月度活跃用户同比增长超四倍。 Zoom联络中心表现 突出，ARR超10万美元客户数达229家，同比增长94家，前十大交易均来自对主流竞品的替代。 ➢ Workday 2025年Q2营收稳健增长，AI相关净新增ACV同比翻倍。2025 年第二季度，Workday 营收 23.48亿美元，同比增长12. ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform" (maintained rating) [8] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry outlook for Q3 is optimistic, with a focus on domestic computing power and self-controllable directions. The release of DeepSeek V3.1 model is expected to catalyze industry turning points by optimizing for next-generation domestic chips [2][16] - Nvidia's H20 chip sales plans may change, highlighting the long-term importance of establishing a domestic computing chip supply chain. Domestic model development companies are expected to increase procurement and usage of domestic chips [3][17] - The global AI smart glasses market is projected to see significant growth, with a 110% year-on-year increase in shipments in H1 2025. Major companies are expected to launch new AI smart glasses, driving demand [4][18] Summary by Sections Q3 Semiconductor Outlook - The release of DeepSeek V3.1 is designed for next-generation domestic chips, enhancing the synergy between domestic computing power and models, which is expected to accelerate the self-controllable process in the industry [2][16] - Nvidia has paused production of H20 chips for the Chinese market, indicating a shift towards developing a new AI chip based on the Blackwell architecture, which is expected to outperform H20 [3][17] July Semiconductor Industry Data - In July, the semiconductor supply chain showed stable growth, with rising orders in wafer foundry and packaging testing sectors. The overall delivery times are expected to increase, with prices continuing to rise [5][19] - The semiconductor market is entering a recovery phase, with global sales projected to reach approximately $626.87 billion in 2024, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth [38][39] Key Recommendations - Focus on domestic chip design companies such as Cambricon, Haiguang Information, and Chipone Technology, as well as foundry and packaging companies like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor [3][17][7] - In the AI SoC and storage segments, companies like Hengxuan Technology and Jiangbolong are recommended due to their potential in adapting to computing power needs [4][18][37]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for TCL Electronics is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][4]. Core Views - TCL Electronics is a leading player in the global TV industry, with a focus on high-end products and global operations driving steady market share expansion [4]. - The company has shown strong revenue growth in various segments, particularly in the display business and internet services, indicating robust operational performance [2][3]. - The strategic focus on cost control and efficiency improvements has led to enhanced profitability, with adjusted net profit showing significant year-on-year growth [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, TCL Electronics reported revenue of HKD 54.78 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, and an adjusted net profit of HKD 1.06 billion, up 62% [1]. - The display business generated revenue of HKD 33.42 billion, with significant contributions from large-size displays and smart commercial displays [2]. Business Segments - The display segment saw a revenue increase of 10.9%, with large-size displays growing by 9.4% and smart commercial displays by 9.4% [2]. - Internet business revenue rose by 20.3% to HKD 1.46 billion, with overseas revenue increasing by 46.3% [2]. - The photovoltaic business experienced remarkable growth, with revenue up 111.3% to HKD 11.14 billion [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 15.3%, slightly down by 0.6 percentage points due to a higher proportion of low-margin photovoltaic business [3]. - The company effectively reduced its overall expense ratio, leading to an increase in adjusted net profit margin by 0.5 percentage points to 1.9% [3]. Future Outlook - TCL Electronics is actively expanding into new business areas such as smart glasses and companion robots, with significant market share achievements in these segments [3]. - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in adjusted net profit, projected at HKD 2.34 billion, HKD 2.84 billion, and HKD 3.35 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].