Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [8][25]. Core Views - The company reported strong performance in its 2025 mid-year results, with revenue reaching 9.855 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.002 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year [2][4]. - The all-terrain vehicle segment showed remarkable growth, with sales revenue of 4.731 billion yuan, a 34% increase year-on-year, and a sales volume of 101,800 units, up 25% year-on-year [4][3]. - The electric two-wheeler brand "Jike" experienced explosive growth, achieving sales of 250,500 units and revenue of 872 million yuan, reflecting a staggering year-on-year growth of 652.06% [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 28.38%, a decrease of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 10.57% [6][7]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 1.867 billion yuan, 2.435 billion yuan, and 3.041 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 30%, and 25% [7][13]. - The report highlights a robust sales network expansion, with 130 new channels added in the first half of 2025, bringing the total to over 3,000 channels globally [4][5].

行 华福证券 农林牧渔 2025 年 08 月 11 日 业 研 究 农林牧渔 7 月三方能繁增幅普遍收窄，关注生猪产能变动 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：7 月三方能繁增幅普遍收窄，关注生猪产能变动。（1）本 周猪价承压下行。月初集团场缩量拉涨带动猪价短期偏强；随后供应节奏 恢复、叠加消费弱势，猪价下跌。8 月 8 日全国生猪均价为 13.67 元/公斤， 周环比-0.42 元/公斤。（2）本周屠企宰量基本持平。近期猪价跌至低位， 屠企低价分割比例抬升，带动屠宰量低位回升；但消费淡季压制需求，增 量空间仍有限。本周样本屠企日均屠宰量为 13.71 万头，周环比+ 0.05%。 （3）本周生猪出栏均重继续下降。规模养殖集团延续降重出栏，同时夏季 高温天气持续，对猪只的采食量和生长速度造成一定影响，集团出栏均重 继续下滑。截至 8 月 7 日当周生猪出栏均重 127.80kg（周环比-0.18kg）， 其中集团场均重 123.54kg（周环比-0.25kg）、散户均重 142.45kg（周环比 +0.28kg）。短期来看，8 月钢联/卓创/涌益样本企业出栏预计环比 +5.26%/+7.01%/+ ...

华福证券 2025 年 08 月 11 日 金 融 工 程 金 融 工 程 定 权益基金全面上涨，数字经济最新主线—— 权益基金月度观察（2025/08） 投资要点： 市场表现 本报告所有分析均基于公开信息，不构成任何投资建议；若市场环境或政 策因素发生不利变化将可能造成行业发展表现不及预期；报告采用的样本 数据有限，存在样本不足以代表整体市场的风险，且数据处理统计方式可 能存在误差；过往业绩不代表未来表现；历史规律总结仅供参考，或不会 完全重演。 团队成员 分析师： 李杨(S0210524100005) ly30676@hfzq.com.cn 分析师： 林依源(S0210525010001) lyy30715@hfzq.com.cn 相关报告 1、从行业轮动到热点轮动再到热点龙头股的演绎 ——2025.08.09 2、固收+整体调降转债配置，优选组合持续贡献 超额收益——固收+及纯债基金月度跟踪（2025 年 8 月）——2025.08.08 3、高维宏观周期驱动风格、行业月报(2025/7):优 选红利、价值风格——2025.08.07 权益基金多元策略概况 证 绩优基金月度跟踪 评级跃升基金展现了基金显 ...

华福证券 2025 年 8 月 11 日 策 略 研 究 医疗与消费周报——洞察中国医疗器械：规模、 链条与未来动能 投资要点： 近期观点 1、医药指数本周关注的 6 个子行业中 1 个录得正收益，表现欠佳。 策 略 定 期 报 告 2、中国医疗器械市场 2023 年规模突破 10328 亿元，稳居全球第 二，在政策扶持、老龄化及技术创新的驱动下蓬勃发展；政策明确产 业链升级目标，AI、国产高端设备（如影像、手术机器人）及家用器 械加速发展，同时集采深化正重塑市场格局，推动基层医疗与国产替 代分层推进。 团队成员 分析师： 赵月(S0210524050016) zy30563@hfzq.com.cn 相关报告 1、预见 2025：《2025 年中国医疗器械产业全景 图谱》（附市场现状、竞争格局和发展趋势等） ——2025.02 2、2025 年中国医疗器械行业现状及未来趋势预 测分析报告（简版） ——2025.03.11 风险提示 技术研发不及预期；宏观需求变化；地缘政治影响 证 券 研 究 报 告 诚信专业 发现价值 1 请务必阅读报告末页的声明 华福证券 | 图表 1: 2019-2023 年中国医疗器械 ...

行 华福证券 基础化工 2025 年 08 月 11 日 业 研 究 行 基础化工 新材料周报：2025 年全球十大半导体厂商资本支 出同比增长 7%，英伟达正式获得 H20 对华出口 许可 投资要点： 业 定 期 报 告 本周行情回顾。本周（2025.08.04-2025.08.08），Wind 新材料指数收报 4182.68 点，环比上涨 2.57%。其中，涨幅前五的有皇马科技(16.52%)、仙鹤股 份(12.23%)、国恩股份(10.69%)、普利特(9.94%)、金发科技(9.85%)；跌幅前五 的有阳谷华泰(-5.08%)、联瑞新材(-4.2%)、福斯特(-3.71%)、金博股份(-3.34%)、 确成股份(-2.85%)。六个子行业中，申万三级行业半导体材料指数收报 6489.25 点，环比上涨 2.91%；申万三级行业显示器件材料指数收报 1096.63 点，环比 上涨 0.7%；中信三级行业有机硅材料指数收报 6667.77 点，环比上涨 0.9%； 中信三级行业碳纤维指数收报 1288.95 点，环比下跌 0.01%；中信三级行业锂 电指数收报 1927.17 点，环比上涨 2.01%；W ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that market expectations for interest rate cuts have intensified, with the probability of a rate cut in September reaching 88.9% and a total of three cuts anticipated within the year [1][8][10] - Recent economic data has shown signs of weakening, with the ISM non-manufacturing PMI for July at 50.1, below previous values and forecasts, and initial jobless claims rising to 226,000, exceeding expectations [2][9][10] - The report highlights that the Nasdaq Composite Index reached a historical high, reflecting a positive trend in major equity markets, particularly in the materials sector, which saw significant gains [1][38][45] Group 2 - In the asset price section, major global asset classes exhibited mixed performance, with COMEX silver showing the highest increase at +4.43%, while NYMEX light crude oil experienced the largest decline at -5.11% [33][52] - The report notes that the U.S. equity market, particularly the materials sector, has shown strong performance, with the materials industry in the U.S. rising by 5.01% [38][45] - The foreign exchange market saw the Japanese yen appreciating by 1.54% against the RMB, while the ruble depreciated by 1.79% [46][48] Group 3 - The report provides updates on significant economic data, including the Eurozone consumer confidence index continuing to rise, and the UK manufacturing PMI showing an increase [63][71] - Japan's unemployment rate remained unchanged, indicating stability in the labor market [74][76] - The report tracks important data releases for the upcoming week, including U.S. CPI data and other key economic indicators [78]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [5][19]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a continuous influx of overseas energy storage orders, showcasing its strong competitive position in the global energy storage market [2]. - The recent U.S. Inflation Reduction Act provides extended policy support for the energy storage sector, which the company is well-positioned to leverage [3]. - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in the Artificial Intelligence Data Center (AIDC) sector, which is anticipated to become a second growth curve for the business [4]. Summary by Sections Overseas Orders and Market Position - The company has secured significant overseas energy storage orders, including a recent agreement to deploy a 1GWh battery storage system in Bulgaria and a 2.4GWh order in Europe [2]. - The company has consistently won overseas storage contracts since 2025, including a 500MWh order in Japan and a 50MW/100MWh project in Finland [2]. U.S. Policy and Market Dynamics - The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act extends the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) for energy storage until 2036, providing a longer support window for the industry [3]. - Current tariffs on Chinese products are set at 10%, with potential adjustments expected, which may impact the company's operations in the U.S. market [3][4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 14.1 billion, 14.7 billion, and 15.8 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.0, 11.5, and 10.7 [5][7]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 89.6 billion yuan in 2025 to 109.8 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [7]. AIDC Business Development - The company is establishing a subsidiary to focus on AIDC power supply business, leveraging its expertise in power electronics to tap into this emerging market [4].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [68]. Core Viewpoints - The report expresses optimism regarding the military industry performance post the upcoming military parade on September 3, which is expected to boost sector enthusiasm. The report highlights significant catalysts such as Palantir's $10 billion contract with the U.S. Army for military digitalization and recent developments in commercial aerospace [42][43]. - The military industry is anticipated to experience strong demand recovery by 2025, supported by various national goals and rapid military trade development, making it a key focus for future investments [43]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance Overview - The military index (801740) rose by 5.93% from August 4 to August 8, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 1.23%, resulting in a relative excess return of 4.69 percentage points [9][14]. - Since the beginning of 2025, the military index has increased by 21.56%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index has only risen by 4.32%, leading to a relative excess return of 17.23 percentage points [16]. 2. Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on three main lines of investment: domestic trade, foreign trade, and emerging industries. Specific companies to watch include: 1. Domestic Trade: - Land Equipment: Tianqin Equipment, Gaode Infrared, Ligong Navigation, Bai'ao Intelligent, Changcheng Military Industry - Aircraft: Jiach Technology, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft - Engines: Hangyu Technology, Hangya Technology, Hangfa Technology - Deep Sea: Western Materials - Unmanned/Counter-Unmanned: Zongheng Co., Aerospace Rainbow, Ruike Laser, New Jingang [43]. 2. Foreign Trade: Guangdong Hongda, Guorui Technology, Aerospace Nanhu [44]. 3. Emerging Industries: - Nuclear Fusion: Guoguang Electric, Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Hezhuan Intelligent, Yongding Co., Wangzi New Materials, Aike Saibo, Xuguang Electronics, Hongwei Technology - Commercial Aerospace: Aerospace Power [45]. 3. Financial and Valuation Insights - As of August 8, the military index's TTM price-to-earnings ratio is 75.58, placing it in the 100th percentile, indicating a high valuation level. This is an increase from the previous week's ratio of 72.21 [26][33]. - Despite a net outflow of passive funds due to the index's rise, leveraged funds have seen significant net inflows for four consecutive weeks, reflecting a positive trend in funding for the military sector [26][32].

Group 1 - The logic of capital market pricing will change with economic development, shifting from a focus on dividend pricing to supply pricing due to the anti-involution development model [3][15] - After the price recovery in China, there is a positive impact on employment, although it may suppress output; the key focus is whether export prices can continue to improve [3][15] - Supply-driven price recovery is more favorable for asset price increases, with short-term price fluctuations having a minor impact on the capital market [3][15] Group 2 - The report is optimistic about non-bank sectors, low PB industries, military industry, and self-controlled technology companies [3][15] - There is a positive outlook on innovative chips, technology leaders under institutional heavy positions, the茅指数, AI applications, and tin metal [3][15] Group 3 - The anti-involution policy has shown initial effectiveness, with July PPI decreasing by 3.6% year-on-year, maintaining the same decline as the previous month [8] - In July, China's export value increased by 7.2% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.3 percentage points compared to June, marking two consecutive months of acceleration [11][15] - The strong performance of exports to the EU, India, and South Korea is noted, while exports to the US and ASEAN showed a significant decline [13][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the luxury goods sector [6]. Core Insights - The luxury goods sector in the Asia-Pacific region (excluding Japan) shows a sequential improvement, with Hermes demonstrating relative resilience [3][12]. - In Q2 2025, LVMH, Hermes, and Kering reported revenue changes in Asia (excluding Japan) of -6%, +5%, and -19% year-on-year, respectively [3][12]. - Hermes continues to grow across all regions, while LVMH and Kering face challenges, particularly in the Asia-Pacific market [3][12][28]. Summary by Sections 1. Luxury Goods Sector Performance - The luxury goods sector in Asia (excluding Japan) has improved sequentially, with Hermes showing a 5.6% year-on-year revenue increase in Q2 2025 [3][21]. - LVMH's revenue decreased by 4% to €19.5 billion, with a 22% drop in net profit to €5.7 billion, affected by macroeconomic uncertainties and currency fluctuations [14][15]. - Kering's revenue fell by 18% to €3.7 billion, with Gucci and YSL brands experiencing significant declines [28]. 2. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from policy support and consumer recovery, including major home appliances and pet products [30][31]. - Key companies to watch include Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, and Gree Electric for home appliances, and brands like Anta Sports and Li Ning in the apparel sector [30][31]. 3. Market Trends - The home appliance sector saw a weekly increase of 2.3%, while the textile and apparel sector rose by 4.23% [34][36]. - Cotton prices are reported at ¥15,178 per ton, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.54% [36].