Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that coal prices are expected to rebound, with a focus on the cyclical elasticity of both thermal coal and coking coal prices, which are currently at historical lows, providing room for recovery [5][15] - The report emphasizes that the price of thermal coal is influenced by supply constraints and increasing demand due to seasonal factors, while coking coal prices are more market-driven [4][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal prices are expected to rise through a four-step process: repairing central and local long-term contracts, reaching the coal-electricity profit-sharing line, and approaching the breakeven point for power plants, estimated at around 750 RMB per ton for 2025 [4][15] - Coking coal prices are determined by supply and demand fundamentals, with target prices based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices [4][15] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a dual logic for coal stocks: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends. Key stocks to consider include: - Cyclical logic: Jin控煤业, 兖矿能源 for thermal coal; 平煤股份, 淮北矿业, 潞安环能 for metallurgical coal - Dividend logic: 中国神华, 中煤能源, 陕西煤业 - Diversification and growth logic: 神火股份, 电投能源, 新集能源, 广汇能源 [5][16] Key Market Indicators - The coal index increased by 3.68%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 3.6 percentage points [10][25] - As of January 30, the price of Qin港 Q5500 thermal coal was 692 RMB per ton, reflecting a slight increase of 7 RMB from the previous period [21] - The report notes a significant drop in coal inventory at ports, indicating tightening supply conditions [21][23]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a strong domestic economic foundation for building a financial powerhouse in China, highlighting the need for comprehensive policies to boost domestic demand and optimize support for new industries [6][7][8] - The manufacturing sector is experiencing a decline in PMI, indicating weakening production and demand, with specific industries like food processing and aerospace remaining in a high prosperity zone while others face pressure [11][12][13] - The real estate sector is projected to hit a bottom in 2026, with historical patterns suggesting a cyclical rather than a trend-based issue, and the report discusses the implications of rental yields and mortgage rates on property prices [30][31][32][34] Macro Economic Analysis - The report outlines macroeconomic policies focusing on enhancing domestic circulation and expanding domestic demand, with specific measures including a 500 billion yuan investment guarantee plan for private investment [6][7] - It notes that the central bank will maintain a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, with potential for further rate cuts and liquidity support [7][8] - Fiscal policies are aimed at stimulating consumption and investment, with a focus on service sectors and adjustments in real estate financing [8] Industry Insights - The automotive industry is highlighted with significant growth in FSD paid user penetration, reaching over 12%, and a fivefold increase in global humanoid robot shipments expected in 2025 [53][54] - The chemical industry is experiencing stable prices for refrigerants despite seasonal downturns, with companies like Juhua and Haohua Technology announcing performance increases for 2025 [4] - The food and beverage sector shows resilience in demand, particularly for brands like Moutai, indicating a clear trend of improvement at the bottom [4] Investment Strategy - The report suggests maintaining positions in the market despite volatility, advocating for a focus on theme-based investments that align with macroeconomic conditions [23][25] - It emphasizes the importance of sector rotation, recommending investments in steel, building materials, media, chemicals, and communication sectors [39][41] - The report also discusses the performance of "quantitative fixed income+" funds, noting their rapid growth and the strategies employed within this category [49][50][51]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that coal prices are expected to rebound, with a focus on the cyclical elasticity of both thermal coal and coking coal prices, which are currently at historical lows, providing room for recovery [5][15] - The report outlines a four-step process for the upward movement of thermal coal prices, including the restoration of long-term contracts and reaching a breakeven point for coal and power companies [4][15] - The report emphasizes that the overall investment logic remains unchanged, driven by a dual influence of tightening supply and increasing demand, particularly during the heating season [3][4] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal and coking coal prices are at a turning point, with thermal coal being a policy-driven commodity. The price recovery is expected to follow a specific process involving the restoration of long-term contracts and reaching a breakeven price of around 750 RMB per ton [4][15] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by market fundamentals, with target prices based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices, indicating potential target prices of 1608 RMB to 2064 RMB depending on thermal coal price movements [4][15] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a dual logic for coal stocks: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends. It identifies four main lines for stock selection: 1. Cyclical logic: Jin控煤业 and 兖矿能源 for thermal coal; 平煤股份, 淮北矿业, and 潞安环能 for metallurgical coal 2. Dividend logic: 中国神华, 中煤能源, and 陕西煤业 3. Diversified aluminum elasticity: 神火股份 and 电投能源 4. Growth logic: 新集能源 and 广汇能源 [5][16] Key Market Indicators - The coal index increased by 3.68%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 3.6 percentage points, with notable gains from companies like 盘江股份 and 山西焦化 [10][25] - The report provides various market indicators, including port prices for thermal coal at 692 RMB per ton, reflecting a slight increase, and coking coal prices remaining stable at 1800 RMB per ton [21][23]

行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 38% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 汽车 沪深300 汽车研究团队 邓健全（首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090003 赵悦媛（联席首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525100003 行业重点新闻 （1）特斯拉 Robotaxi 战略揭秘：双座 Cybercab 主攻九成出行场景，Model Y/Robovan 补位；（2）特斯拉首次披露 FSD 付费用户数据：约 110 万人，占公 司累计车辆销量约 12%；（3）上海推出汽车置换更新补贴：购买新能源车补贴 车价 8%，最高不超 1.5 万元；（4）国家能源局：2027 年底将建成 2800 万个充 电设施，预计拉动投资 2000 亿元以上；（5）文远知行发布通用仿真模型 WeRide GENESIS，几分钟即可构建仿真城市环境；（6）玉柴发布全球首个飞轮增程技 术品牌，最高发电效率突破 4.8kWh/L；（7）潍柴超 10 万台份额超 50%，龙擎/ 玉柴领涨，燃气重卡动力 2025 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing a stable price trend for the third-generation refrigerants, with a potential new round of price increases on the horizon. Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd. and Aohua Technology have announced profit increases for 2025 [4][19] - The industry is entering a long-term prosperity cycle, with significant growth potential across the entire fluorochemical value chain, from raw materials like fluorite to high-end fluorinated materials and fine chemicals [25] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The fluorite price has stabilized and is expected to gradually recover, with the average market price for 97% wet fluorite at 3,314 CNY/ton as of January 30, 2026, reflecting a 0.15% increase from the previous week [19][20] - The fluorochemical index decreased by 4.98% during the week of January 26 to January 30, 2026, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index by 4.54% [6][38] Refrigerant Market - As of January 30, 2026, the prices for various refrigerants remained stable, with R32 at 63,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 50,000 CNY/ton, and R134a at 58,000 CNY/ton [21][22] - The refrigerant market is entering a demand off-season, but there is potential for price adjustments as domestic demand increases, especially with low inventory levels and supply constraints [9][24] Company Announcements - Juhua Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 3.54 to 3.94 billion CNY for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 80% to 101%. Aohua Technology anticipates a net profit of 1.38 to 1.48 billion CNY, a growth of 30.96% to 40.44% [10] - Other companies such as Luxi Chemical and ST Lianchuang also forecast significant profit increases for 2025 [10] Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Ltd., Sanmei Co., Ltd., and Aohua Technology, with other beneficiaries being Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Ltd., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhou Bang [11][25]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The humanoid robot sector has experienced significant fluctuations, with a notable decline of 8.73% in the core company index, underperforming the CSI 300 index which saw a slight increase of 0.08% [11][12] - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk emphasized the acceleration of humanoid robot production, aiming for a capacity of 1 million units at the Fremont factory by 2026, marking a pivotal shift towards mass production [12][18] - The report highlights the potential of the humanoid robot industry to enter a "golden decade" as production ramps up from 2025 to 2026, transitioning from initial development to mass deployment [12][18] Summary by Sections Section 1: Market Overview - The humanoid robot sector has faced a significant downturn, with individual stocks showing varied performance, including notable declines for companies like Longsheng Technology and Weichuang Electric [11][12] - The overall market sentiment is affected by short-term catalysts such as factory audits and Tesla's earnings call, alongside seasonal shifts in investment preferences [12] Section 2: Space Mining and Robotics - The report discusses the strategic importance of space mining, with China planning to advance its "Tian Gong Kai Wu" project during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on key technologies for resource exploration and autonomous mining [18][19] - The challenges of space mining include extreme environmental conditions, necessitating advanced robotic technologies capable of operating in microgravity and high-radiation environments [20][26] - Humanoid robots and other multifunctional robots are expected to play a crucial role in space mining operations, with ongoing developments in intelligent and autonomous systems [20][35] Section 3: Beneficiary Segments - The commercial space sector is poised for growth, driven by policy support and increasing demand for satellite launches and networks, with companies involved in reusable rocket technology expected to benefit significantly [41] - The humanoid robot segment is highlighted for its adaptability in various space exploration tasks, with several domestic companies actively integrating robotics into commercial space initiatives [37][41] - Specific companies are identified as beneficiaries across various components of the humanoid robot and commercial space sectors, including Blue Sky Technology and Junsheng Electronics [42]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The demand for Moutai during the Spring Festival is more resilient than expected, indicating a clear improvement trend for mass-market products [4] - The food and beverage index increased by 1.6% from January 26 to January 30, outperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 1.5 percentage points [4][15] - The white wine market is gaining attention due to expectations of improvement in related industries, with Moutai's wholesale prices showing unexpected resilience [4][43] Market Performance - The food and beverage sector ranked 5th among primary sub-industries, with white wine (+3.9%), meat products (+0.5%), and other foods (0.0%) leading the performance [4][15] - Notable individual stock performances include Huangtai Liquor, Liziyuan, and CITIC Niya showing significant gains, while Haoxiangni, *ST Chuntian, and Anji Food experienced declines [4][15][20] Upstream Data - Some upstream raw material prices have decreased, with the price of fresh milk at 3.04 yuan/kg, down 2.6% year-on-year [21] - The price of pork is 18.6 yuan/kg, down 19.9% year-on-year, while the price of white strip chicken is 17.0 yuan/kg, down 1.2% year-on-year [23][29] Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, Ximai Food, Weilong Delicious, and Ganyuan Food, with each showing potential for growth in 2026 [6]

计算机 行 业 研 究 周观点：SpaceX 申请部署百万颗卫星，剑指太空算 2026 年 02 月 01 日 ——行业周报 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 计算机 沪深300 相关研究报告 《AWS 和谷歌拉开"云涨价"序幕， 重视 AI 基建产业链 —行业点评报告》 -2026.1.28 《周观点：SpaceX 有望引领太空革命 —行业周报》-2026.1.25 《阿里全面发力 Agent，争夺 AI 超级 入口—行业点评报告》-2026.1.18 刘逍遥（分析师） liuxiaoyao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520090001 市场回顾：本周（2026.1.26-2026.1.30），沪深 300 指数上涨 0.08%，计算机 指数下跌 4.77%。 该项目不是传统的通信卫星扩容，而是主要服务于 SpaceX 的太空数据中心规 划。SpaceX 计划将其用于构建一个具备超大规模计算能力的轨道数据中心系 统，直接面向人工智能模型推理、机器学习、边缘计算及相关应用。卫星轨道 倾角为 3 ...

Group 1 - The PVC industry is showing signs of recovery after hitting a historical low in December 2025, with the PVC index reaching 4290 RMB/ton, the lowest in nearly a decade [1][15][20] - The industry has been under pressure due to demand contraction and overcapacity, leading to significant losses for production companies, indicating limited room for further price declines [1][20] - The overall PVC production capacity in China is expected to stabilize around 30 million tons, with no new installations anticipated in 2026 and significant uncertainty for projects planned from 2027 to 2030 [1][21][25] Group 2 - Jiexian Co., a high-tech enterprise, focuses on the research, production, and sales of new environmentally friendly PVC stabilizers and additives, with products widely used in various PVC applications [2][31] - The company is expected to report a net loss of 2.3 million to 1.8 million RMB for 2025, a significant decline from a profit of 11.74 million RMB in 2024, primarily due to weakened demand and increased competition [4][90] - Hanwei Technology specializes in the development and production of polymer material additives, with its products used in PVC as heat stabilizers, indicating a strong market presence in the industry [36] Group 3 - The chemical new materials sector on the North Exchange experienced a decline of 2.68% this week, with most sub-industries showing negative performance [3][42] - The overall market performance was weak, with only the professional technical services sector showing an increase, while other sectors like non-metal materials and rubber products saw significant declines [3][43] - Key stocks that performed well this week included Keli Co. (+33.99%), Gebijia (+19.72%), and Meibang Technology (+18.45%), indicating potential investment opportunities within the sector [3][44] Group 4 - The PVC price is currently at 4610 RMB/ton, reflecting a slight increase of 1.54% over the month, but a decrease of 7.43% year-on-year [49][50] - The PVC industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in prices and profitability as high-cost small producers exit the market, leading to improved supply-demand dynamics [1][28] - The export volume of PVC resin from China reached 4.46 million tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.6%, suggesting a growing market share globally as overseas capacities continue to exit [25][26]

Group 1 - The report highlights the importance of the New Third Board as a crucial part of China's multi-tiered capital market, providing services such as listing and equity financing for numerous small and medium-sized enterprises [3][19] - As of February 1, 2026, the New Third Board has facilitated the listing of a total of 864 companies to the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hong Kong stock exchanges [3] - The semiconductor industry is entering an upward cycle, driven by the growth of emerging markets such as artificial intelligence, smart connected vehicles, 5G, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things [4][28] Group 2 - Yongzhi Co., Ltd. is recognized as a "little giant" in the semiconductor chip packaging sector, focusing on lead frames and packaging substrates, with a market share of 2.48% in the global lead frame market for 2024 [4][34] - The global semiconductor packaging materials market is expected to exceed $26 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% until 2028 [4][28] - Comatech Co., Ltd. specializes in high-performance composite materials for the high-computing industry, providing solutions for data communication, semiconductors, and power electronics [5][41] Group 3 - The report indicates that 12 new companies were listed on the New Third Board during the week of January 26 to February 1, 2026, with an average revenue of 526 million yuan and an average net profit of 43.12 million yuan [6][15] - Jinlong Rare Earth is highlighted as a leader in the rare earth deep processing industry, with significant production capabilities established by January 2025 [6][15] - The report notes that the total market capitalization of listed companies on the New Third Board reached approximately 25.18 trillion yuan by the end of 2025 [6][25]