电力设备 2026 年 01 月 22 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -19% 0% 19% 38% 58% 77% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 2026-01 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究报告 《欧洲电动车销量月报（2025 年 11 月）：法国、意大利补贴落地后 BEV 高 速 增 长 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2025.12.25 《光伏拐点已现，储能大势所趋—行 业投资策略》-2025.12.8 《动储需求旺盛，产业链供需拐点已 至—锂电行业 2026 年度投资策略》 -2025.12.1 （2）英国： 2025 年英国 BEV 销量 47.3 万辆，同比+23.9%；PHEV 销量 22.5 万辆，同比 34.7%。英国已重启电车补贴（从 2025 年 7 月开始，持续至 2028-2029 财年），且面临 ZEV 考核目标的压力，带动电车销量持续提升。 （3）法国：法国社会租赁计划从 9 月 30 日起生效，Q4 法国电车销量同比明显 提速。2025 年法国 BEV 销量 32.6 万辆，同比+12.1%。其中 12 月 BEV 销量 4.2 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (first coverage) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% in EPS from 2025 to 2027, driven by its strong position in the electromagnetic functional materials and structures (EMMS) sector [4] - The demand for stealth materials is on the rise, supported by an increase in national defense budgets and the upgrading of military equipment, which is expected to drive the company's revenue growth [5] - The company has established a complete closed-loop system from preparation to engineering application, with significant advantages in core technologies such as low-frequency ultra-wideband and multi-spectrum compatibility [4][5] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 9.81 billion yuan in 2023 to 22.56 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 43.96% from 2019 to 2024 [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 564 million yuan in 2023 to 964 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [7] - The gross margin is expected to remain high, with estimates of 76.4% in 2025, 74.9% in 2026, and 73.4% in 2027 [7] Business Overview - The company focuses on stealth functional materials and electromagnetic compatibility materials, with stealth coating materials and structural components accounting for 97.17% of revenue in the first half of 2025 [19] - The company is expanding its business boundaries by developing new generation electromagnetic measurement and control services, aiming to evolve into an integrated platform enterprise [4][19] - The company has a stable supply chain and pricing mechanism that ensures high gross margins, with a gross margin of 76.9% in 2023 [6][25] Market Dynamics - The stealth materials market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 8.5% in China from 2025 to 2035, driven by military modernization and equipment upgrades [42] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for stealth materials due to the growing number of military aircraft and the need for maintenance and upgrades [46] - The competitive landscape is characterized by high barriers to entry, with the company holding a strong position in the market due to its proprietary technologies and established relationships with key military clients [48][50]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (first coverage) [1] Core Views - The demand for stealth materials is on the rise, supported by the growth in defense budgets and the upgrading of military equipment, which is expected to drive the company's revenue growth [5][6] - The company has established a complete closed-loop system from preparation to engineering application in the electromagnetic functional materials and structures (EMMS) field, with significant advantages in core technologies [4][5] - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 30% in stealth materials revenue from 2024 to 2027 [5][51] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 9.81 billion yuan in 2023 to 22.56 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 43.96% from 2019 to 2024 [7][20] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 564 million yuan in 2023 to 964 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 47.34% from 2019 to 2024 [7][20] - The company's gross margin is expected to remain above 70%, with a slight decline from 76.9% in 2023 to 73.4% in 2027 [7][25] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from 1.41 yuan in 2023 to 2.41 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 47.9 in 2023 and 28.0 in 2027 [7][4] Business Overview - The company focuses on stealth functional materials and electromagnetic compatibility materials, with a significant portion of revenue derived from stealth coating materials and structural components [19][21] - The company is expanding its business boundaries by developing new-generation electromagnetic measurement and control services, aiming to evolve into an integrated platform enterprise [4][19] - The company has a stable supply chain and pricing mechanism that helps maintain high gross margins [6][60] Market Dynamics - The stealth materials market is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing demand for military aircraft and the modernization of defense capabilities [5][42] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the high demand for stealth materials driven by the upgrading of military equipment and the need for maintenance in the aftermarket [46][48] - The competitive landscape in the stealth materials market is characterized by high barriers to entry, with established players like the company maintaining a strong market position [48][50]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company plans to establish a holding subsidiary, Shenzhen Aige Digital Energy Technology Co., Ltd., with an investment of 70 million yuan, aiming to accelerate its AIDC business layout. Post-transaction, the company will hold a 70% stake in the subsidiary, which will be included in the consolidated financial statements. This strategic move is aligned with the company's development plan to capitalize on the industry's shift towards direct current (DC) power supply in data centers, thereby enhancing its asset optimization and overall competitive strength [4][5]. - The company's main business of charging modules shares a technological foundation with HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) systems, allowing it to leverage existing overseas customer channels to penetrate the HVDC market. The profit forecasts remain unchanged, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 164 million, 252 million, and 405 million yuan, respectively. The corresponding EPS (Earnings Per Share) is projected to be 3.90, 5.99, and 9.62 yuan per share, with current price-to-earnings ratios of 59.2, 38.5, and 24.0 times [4][5]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company's financial performance is summarized as follows: - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 1,376 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 39.2%. However, a decline of 8.3% is expected in 2025, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 24.9% in 2026 and 31.1% in 2027 [7]. - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 268 million yuan, with a year-over-year increase of 36.8%. A significant drop of 36.0% is anticipated in 2025, but profits are expected to rebound to 252 million yuan in 2026 and 405 million yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 53.8% and 60.6%, respectively [7]. - The gross margin is expected to be 33.1% in 2023, declining to 28.8% in 2025, before recovering to 30.2% in 2026 and 32.1% in 2027 [7]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decrease from 35.1% in 2023 to 14.2% in 2025, then recover to 18.1% in 2026 and 22.7% in 2027 [7].

Group 1: Industry Insights - The silicon photonics industry is experiencing clear trends, with accelerated development in CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) technology. NVIDIA's recent announcements at CES 2026 highlight advancements in supercomputing and optical devices, indicating a growing demand for CPO and related technologies [6][11][12] - The Vera Rubin cabinet features significant technological advancements, including 20 trillion transistors and enhanced memory capacities, which are expected to drive demand for CPO, optical modules, and liquid cooling solutions [6][11][12] - The CPO industry is evolving rapidly, with potential growth in demand for silicon photonics components, including optical engines and related manufacturing processes. Key sectors benefiting from this trend include optical interconnects and passive components [13][14] Group 2: Company Updates - Ji Hong Co., Ltd. (吉宏股份) - Ji Hong Co., Ltd. forecasts a 50%-60% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, with expected net profit ranging from 273 to 291 million yuan. The Q4 2025 net profit is projected to be between 57 to 75 million yuan, reflecting strong performance [7][16] - The company's growth is driven by its dual strategy of packaging and cross-border social e-commerce, leveraging AI technology to enhance operational efficiency and expand market reach [17][18] Group 3: Company Updates - Beautiful Pastoral Medical Health (美丽田园医疗健康) - Beautiful Pastoral Medical Health anticipates a net profit growth of no less than 34% for 2025, with expected revenue of at least 3 billion yuan, reflecting a strong resilience and growth potential [8][20] - The company is focusing on a dual growth strategy of internal development and external acquisitions, successfully integrating brands to enhance its market position and operational capabilities [21][22] Group 4: Company Updates - Poly Developments (保利发展) - Poly Developments expects a slight decline in revenue for 2025, with net profit significantly impacted by impairment provisions. However, the company maintains a leading sales position and continues to optimize its land reserve structure [9][25][26] - The company projects a net profit of 1.03 billion yuan for 2025, down 79.5% year-on-year, primarily due to increased impairment losses. Despite this, the company remains optimistic about future performance as low-cost project completions are expected to drive recovery [25][26][27]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant growth in 2025, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of 273-291 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 50%-60% [4] - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 286 million yuan in 2025, 360 million yuan in 2026, and 442 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.63, 0.80, and 0.98 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 30.7, 24.4, and 19.9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of 6,695 million yuan in 2023, with a projected revenue of 7,153 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.4% [7] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 46.7% in 2023 to 51.2% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [11] - The net profit margin is projected to increase from 5.0% in 2023 to 4.2% in 2027, showing a gradual recovery [11] Business Strategy - The company is leveraging its packaging and cross-border social e-commerce businesses to drive high growth, with a focus on long-term partnerships in the fast-moving consumer goods sector [5] - The integration of AI technology, specifically GEO, is enhancing the company's ability to expand into overseas markets, particularly in small language regions [6] - The AI system supports over 40 countries and 28 languages, aiming to improve market penetration in Latin America, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe by 2026 [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the acceleration of the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) industry driven by the silicon photonics trend, highlighting the increasing demand for CPO, optical modules, and liquid cooling solutions [4][5] - NVIDIA's recent product launches, including the Vera Rubin AI supercomputer, are expected to boost the demand for CPO and related technologies [4][5] - The report identifies key investment opportunities in the silicon photonics and CPO supply chain, recommending specific companies as potential beneficiaries [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report indicates a clear trend towards silicon photonics and CPO development, with significant implications for various sectors [6] Key Technologies and Products - The Vera Rubin NVL72 cabinet features advanced specifications, including 20 trillion transistors and enhanced memory capacities, which are expected to drive demand for related technologies [4] - The NVIDIA Spectrum-X Ethernet CPO supports significant bandwidth expansion, facilitating cluster scaling [5] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights four key focus areas in silicon photonics: silicon photonic engines, CW light sources, optical interconnects, and passive components, recommending specific companies for investment [6][7] - Recommended companies include: - "Four Key Focus" companies: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Yuanjie Technology, and Tianfu Communication - "Three Small Dragons" in silicon photonics equipment and optical interconnects: Robotek, Zhishang Technology, and Juguang Technology [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant growth in 2025, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of 273-291 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 50%-60% [4] - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 286 million yuan in 2025, 360 million yuan in 2026, and 442 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.63, 0.80, and 0.98 yuan respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 30.7 for 2025, 24.4 for 2026, and 19.9 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation [4] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of 6,695 million yuan in 2023, with a projected revenue of 7,153 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.4% [7] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 46.7% in 2023 to 51.2% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [10] - The net profit margin is projected to increase from 5.0% in 2023 to 4.2% in 2027, showing a gradual improvement in operational efficiency [10] Business Growth Drivers - The company's growth is driven by its packaging and cross-border social e-commerce businesses, leveraging long-term partnerships with leading players in the fast-moving consumer goods sector [5] - The integration of AI technology, specifically GEO, is enhancing the company's ability to expand into overseas markets, particularly in small language regions, by improving marketing efficiency and localizing content [6] - The AI system supports operations in over 40 countries and regions, processing 28 languages, and aims to penetrate Latin America, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe markets in 2026 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6]. Core Insights - The company has released a positive earnings forecast, expecting a net profit growth of no less than 34% year-on-year for 2025, with projected revenue of at least 3 billion yuan (up 16% or more) [6]. - The company is implementing a dual-driven strategy of "internal growth + external expansion," which is expected to reshape the beauty industry's value landscape [6][7]. - The company has successfully integrated acquired brands, enhancing its operational capabilities and expanding its market presence [7]. - The strategic acquisition of brands has led to significant improvements in profitability, with net profit margins increasing post-acquisition [7]. - The company aims to establish a "super brand, super chain, and super digitalization" strategy to enhance its competitive edge and customer experience [8]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 3,007 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.9% [10]. - The expected net profit for 2025 is 342 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49.6% [10]. - The company's gross margin is projected to be 47.7% in 2025, with a net margin of 12.3% [10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.4 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.0 times [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has released a positive earnings forecast, expecting a net profit growth of no less than 34% year-on-year for 2025, with projected revenue of at least 3 billion HKD (up 16% or more) and adjusted net profit of no less than 3.8 billion HKD (up 40% or more) [6] - The company is focusing on a dual-driven strategy of "internal growth + external expansion," which is expected to reshape the value of the beauty industry [6] - The company has successfully integrated acquired brands, enhancing its operational capabilities and expanding its business footprint [7] - The company aims to establish a "super brand, super chain, and super digitalization" strategy to create new value spaces in the beauty industry [8] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 3,007 million HKD, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.9% [10] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 342 million HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49.6% [10] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 1.4 HKD, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 18.0 times [10]