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超节点:光、液冷、供电、芯片的全面升级
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 11:15
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the transition to the "SuperNode" era in computing infrastructure, driven by the increasing computational demands of AI models, which are evolving from pre-training to multi-faceted scaling [14][17] - The SuperNode architecture relies on enhanced interconnectivity, integrating multiple computing chips into a logical "super GPU/ASIC" to overcome the limitations of traditional single-server setups [39] - The report identifies three main investment themes: "Network End + AIDC + Computing End" and four key sectors: "Optical + Liquid Cooling + Power Supply + Chips" [7] Summary by Sections 1. Transition to SuperNode Era - The evolution of AI models necessitates a shift in computational infrastructure, with demands for higher performance and efficiency [14] - The report highlights the rapid growth in model parameters and training data, indicating a need for advanced computational clusters [14] 2. SuperNode Architecture - SuperNode clusters are defined as large-scale GPU/ASIC systems that expand from thousands to millions of computational units, utilizing both Scale Up and Scale Out strategies [17] - The architecture includes components such as computing nodes, switch trays, and power supply units, which are essential for the operation of SuperNode systems [80] 3. Upgrades in Key Components - The report notes that the increasing penetration of SuperNode servers will drive demand for high-power supplies, liquid cooling systems, and optical communication technologies [5][80] - Specific companies are highlighted as beneficiaries in the sectors of optical modules, liquid cooling, server power supplies, and exchange chips [7] 4. Domestic SuperNode Development - The report discusses the progress of domestic SuperNode solutions, particularly Huawei's Atlas 900 A3 and Atlas 960, which are designed to enhance the performance of domestic AI clusters [6][112] - The performance of domestic chips is shown to improve significantly when deployed in SuperNode configurations, effectively compensating for individual chip limitations [112]
市场微观结构系列(32):深度学习赋能因子挖掘2.0:综合应用方案
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 09:14
金融工程专题 高 鹏(分析师) 证书编号:S0790520090002 苏俊豪(分析师) 金融工程研究团队 魏建榕(首席分析师) 证书编号:S0790519120001 傅开波(分析师) 证书编号:S0790520090003 证书编号:S0790522020001 胡亮勇(分析师) 证书编号:S0790522030001 2026 年 01 月 28 日 王志豪(分析师) 证书编号:S0790522070003 盛少成(分析师) 证书编号:S0790523060003 蒋 韬(分析师) 证书编号:S0790123070037 相关研究报告 《遗传算法赋能交易行为因子 —市场微观结构(20)》-2023.8.6 《深度学习赋能交易行为因子 —市场微观结构(24)》-2024.5.24 《深度学习赋能风格轮动与多 策 略 融 合 — 开 源 量 化 评 论 (103)》-2024.12.12 《深度学习赋能技术分析—开 源量化评论(109)》-2025.6.25 深度学习赋能因子挖掘 2.0:综合应用方案 ——市场微观结构系列(32) 魏建榕(分析师) 盛少成(分析师) weijianrong@kysec.cn ...
计算机行业点评报告:AWS和谷歌拉开“云涨价”序幕,重视AI基建产业链
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 07:12
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - AWS and Google have initiated a price increase in cloud services, which is expected to be followed by domestic cloud vendors. This price adjustment reflects strong downstream demand for computing power due to rising costs of CPUs and storage, as well as increased computational needs from complex task execution by AI agents [4][7] - The open-source project Clawdbot has gained significant attention in the tech community, indicating a growing demand for general AI agents that can operate continuously and handle complex tasks, thereby increasing the need for computing power [5][7] - Domestic model vendors are actively developing general-purpose AI agents, which is anticipated to lead to breakthroughs in productivity tools and daily life assistance [6][7] Summary by Sections Cloud Pricing Trends - AWS has raised its EC2 machine learning capacity block prices by approximately 15%, with specific instance costs increasing from $34.61 to $39.80 per hour [4] - Google Cloud will adjust its data transmission prices starting May 1, 2026, with North America seeing a price increase from $0.04 to $0.08 per GB [4] AI Agent Development - Clawdbot, created by PSPDFKit founder Peter Steinberger, has received over 65,800 stars on GitHub since its launch in late 2025, showcasing its compatibility with multiple operating systems and productivity tools [5] - Kimi has released the K2.5 model, enhancing its agent capabilities for everyday office software, while Alibaba's Qianwen app has integrated various services to function as an AI shopping assistant [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the AI infrastructure supply chain, with key recommendations including companies like Deepin Technology, Parallel Technology, Qingyun Technology, and others that are expected to benefit from the rising demand for computing power [7]
投资策略专题:掘金2026年五大潜在强主题机会
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 04:25
2026 年 01 月 27 日 策略研究团队 ——投资策略专题 韦冀星(分析师) 简宇涵(分析师) weijixing@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790524030002 jianyuhan@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790525050005 2026 年主题投资或更活跃 目前,市场正处于主题投资活跃的大周期,2025 年衍生出了人形机器人、商业 航天、海南自贸港等一系列热门主题。展望 2026 年,主题投资或更为活跃,AI 出现加速各领域科技突破进程,流动性充裕下,为主题投资提供更丰富的方向。 在产业周期上行、政策向产业倾斜、资金配置迁移等多重因素影响下,主题投资 有望进一步活跃,迎来上行周期。 历史上主题投资活跃区间多发生在弱基本面和宽流动性的时期。当规模以上工 业企业利润、宏观经济景气指数处于低迷时,叠加剩余流动性上行,主题投资往 往处于活跃时期,热门主题占比相对较高。主题投资的盛行,往往是宏观环境下 理智的选择,而非心血来潮。主题投资的活跃通常还需要一些具体的"火种"来点 燃,包括技术突破、政策导向、重要事件催化、赚钱效应以及媒体宣传等。 如何筛选强主题:"买新不买旧,买大不买小" "买 ...
兼评12月企业利润数据:工企利润结束连降三年态势,2026开门红可期
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 03:14
Group 1: Profit Trends - In 2025, the cumulative profit of national industrial enterprises increased by 0.6% year-on-year, reversing a three-year decline[3] - December 2025 saw a significant profit increase of 18.4% year-on-year, reaching 5.3%[4] - The profit margin improved by 15.5 percentage points compared to previous months, indicating a recovery in profitability[4] Group 2: Revenue and Costs - December 2025 revenue decreased by 3.2% year-on-year, a decline of 3.0 percentage points from the previous value[4] - The cost structure for every 100 yuan of revenue in December included costs of 83.6 yuan, expenses of 10.7 yuan, and profit contributions from investment income of 5.6 yuan[5] - The "investment income + other income" significantly improved, suggesting a strong performance in the stock market and commodity prices[5] Group 3: Sector Performance - The profit share of the midstream sector rose to 40.7%, while upstream and downstream sectors saw varying performance[6] - High-tech manufacturing sectors, such as integrated circuit manufacturing, showed remarkable growth rates of 172.6% and 128.0% respectively[6] - The profit growth gap between "anti-involution" and "non-anti-involution" industries narrowed to -2.6 percentage points, indicating a convergence in performance[6] Group 4: Inventory and Economic Outlook - The inventory-to-sales ratio increased, indicating a need for further domestic demand policies to stimulate the economy[7] - Overall, the industrial profit trend suggests a positive outlook for early 2026, supported by anticipated policy measures and a favorable base effect[7] - Risks include potential policy changes, geopolitical tensions, and unexpected economic downturns in the U.S.[7]
欧福蛋业:蛋周期高弹性标的,出海与溶菌酶构成增长双引擎-20260128
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 02:30
北交所信息更新 北交所研究团队 欧福蛋业(920371.BJ) 蛋周期高弹性标的,出海与溶菌酶构成增长双引擎 2026 年 01 月 27 日 投资评级:增持(维持) | 日期 | 2026/1/26 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 10.94 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 18.40/6.81 | | 总市值(亿元) | 22.48 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 21.21 | | 总股本(亿股) | 2.05 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 1.94 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 105.57 | 诸海滨(分析师) zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790522080007 业绩预告:2025 年归母净利润 8,000~9,200 万元,同比增长 75.44%-101.75% 公司发布 2025 年业绩预告:2025 年,公司实现归母净利润 8,000~9,200 万元, 对比 2024 年归母净利润 4559.99 万元,同比增长 75.44%-101.75%。根据业绩预 告,我们小幅上调 2025-2027 年盈利预测,预计归母净利润 0.84/0.9 ...
通信行业点评报告:重视通信涨价方向:AI云IAAS和光纤
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 02:01
行 业 研 究 2026 年 01 月 28 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 -26% 0% 26% 53% 79% 106% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 通信 沪深300 数据来源:聚源 相关研究报告 《重视 AI 云 IAAS 稀缺性:AIDC 及 算力租赁—行业点评报告》-2026.1.27 《重视边际变化:卫星和国产 AI 链— 行业周报》-2026.1.25 《重视硅光和 CPO 链投资机会—行业 点评报告》-2026.1.21 重视通信涨价方向:AI 云 IAAS 和光纤 ——行业点评报告 蒋颖(分析师) jiangying@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790523120003 亚马逊 AWS 宣布涨价,AI 云基础设施稀缺性或日益凸显 2026 年 1 月 23 日,全球云计算巨头亚马逊云科技宣布对其面向大模型训练的 EC2 机器学习容量块实施约 15%的价格上调,这是 AWS 长达约二十年首次打破。 "只降不涨"的定价传统。机器学习容量块是 AWS 为应对高性能 GPU 等稀缺 计算资源供需失衡所推出的定制化服务模式,用户可提前预订指定型号的 GPU 实例,确保 ...
行业点评报告:2025年重卡销量跨越百万大关,景气度持续向上
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-27 14:54
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [7]. Core Insights - The commercial vehicle industry is experiencing a robust recovery driven by domestic demand policies and a significant increase in heavy truck sales, with wholesale sales expected to exceed 1.144 million units in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 27% [3]. - The penetration rate of new energy heavy trucks has reached a historical high, with sales in 2025 reaching 231,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 182% [4]. - The heavy truck export market is thriving, with exports reaching approximately 330,000 units in 2025, marking a record high and indicating a shift towards direct investment and localized operations in overseas markets [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In 2025, the domestic heavy truck wholesale sales reached 819,000 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 34.4% [3]. - The "old-for-new" subsidy program has expanded to include vehicles meeting National IV standards and below, boosting domestic demand [3]. Segment Analysis - The new energy heavy truck segment has seen explosive growth, with a monthly penetration rate exceeding 38% in December 2025 [4]. - Natural gas heavy trucks have also shown steady demand, with a significant recovery in the second half of 2025, achieving a year-on-year growth of 138% in October [4]. Company Performance - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group maintained its position as the industry leader with annual sales of 305,000 units, a year-on-year increase of approximately 26.7% [5]. - Foton Motor achieved a remarkable year-on-year growth of 102.7%, with annual sales reaching 142,000 units, marking a doubling in sales [5]. Investment Opportunities - The report highlights several companies as beneficiaries of the industry's recovery, including China National Heavy Duty Truck A+H, Weichai Power, Foton Motor, and others [6].
开源证券晨会纪要-20260127
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-27 14:40
Macro Economic Overview - The transaction volume and price of second-hand houses have both increased, indicating a recovery in the real estate market [6][29] - Construction activity has shown seasonal improvement, with cement dispatch rates and grinding machine operation rates higher than the same period in 2025 [3][4] - Industrial production has shown mixed results, with strong performance in chemicals and automotive steel tires, while coking has lagged [3][4] Food and Beverage Industry - The allocation ratio for food and beverage stocks has decreased to a new low of 6.1% in Q4 2025, down from 6.4% in Q3 2025, indicating a continued reduction in holdings by active equity funds [10][12] - The white liquor sector has seen a decrease in fund allocation, with the proportion of white liquor holdings falling from 3.2% in Q3 2025 to 2.9% in Q4 2025 [11] - The food and beverage sector is expected to see a recovery in Q1 2026 due to the upcoming Spring Festival, which will drive demand for inventory replenishment [13][15] Communication Industry - The announcement by Amazon AWS to raise prices for machine learning capacity blocks by approximately 15% highlights the increasing scarcity of AI cloud infrastructure [19][22] - The investment of $2 billion by NVIDIA in CoreWeave underscores the strong demand for AI computing resources [20][22] - The release of Alibaba's Qwen3-Max-Thinking model indicates the growing capabilities of domestic AI models, which may significantly boost demand for AI cloud infrastructure [21][22] Coal Mining Industry - Coal prices have improved in Q4 2025, with thermal coal prices averaging 824.9 RMB/ton, up 8% quarter-on-quarter, and coking coal prices averaging 1725.7 RMB/ton, up 10% [23][24] - The coal industry is expected to benefit from a cyclical rebound as supply-side policies restrict production and demand increases during the heating season [25][26] Real Estate and Construction Industry - Public funds have reduced their allocation to the real estate sector to 0.43% in Q4 2025, the lowest since 2021, reflecting a cautious outlook on the sector [27][28] - Recent policy changes, including tax reductions on second-hand housing and relaxed purchase restrictions, indicate a supportive stance towards stabilizing the real estate market [30][29] Company-Specific Insights - IFBH has initiated systematic adjustments in product, management, and channel areas, leading to improved fundamentals and a maintained "buy" rating [30][31] - Ximai Foods is expected to see profit elasticity due to strong market demand during the Spring Festival and declining raw material costs, with a projected net profit increase of 31.5% in 2025 [35][38] - Jinchuang Group is positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the rail transit sector, with expected net profits of 6.02 billion RMB in 2025 [40][42]
投资策略点评:机构关注度环比回升:汽车、医药生物、通信
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-27 14:15
Group 1: Industry Perspective on Institutional Research - The research highlights an increase in institutional research activity in the automotive, pharmaceutical, and communication sectors [3][4][12] - Weekly data shows a slight decline in total research counts across the A-share market, but the numbers are higher than the same period in 2025, indicating ongoing low research enthusiasm [13][20] - Monthly data for December 2025 indicates a decrease in total research counts compared to December 2024, with a total of 1,661 instances of research conducted [20][23] Group 2: Individual Stock Perspective on Institutional Research - Companies such as Taili Technology, Jiemai Technology, and Tianlu Technology received significant market attention, with high research counts in the past week [28][30] - In the last month, companies like Taihe New Materials, Huichuan Technology, and Chaojie Co., Ltd. also garnered considerable interest from institutional investors [33][34] - Taihe New Materials, positioned in the high-end chemical industry, has been frequently researched, with five instances of institutional research last week, focusing on its applications in commercial aerospace and computing centers [32]