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H酸行业供给或偏紧,H酸:活性染料价格或上涨
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-24 03:44
基础化工 2025 年 06 月 24 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 2025-06 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《固态电池产业化进展加速,高性能 材料产业化先行 —行业点评报告》 -2025.6.23 《硫化锂为固态电池电解质主流量产 趋势,瓶片宣布联合减产后价格有所 上扬—化工行业周报》-2025.6.22 《地缘冲突加剧,关注盐酸氨丙啉供 给端扰动—行业点评报告》-2025.6.19 H 酸行业供给或偏紧,H 酸-活性染料价格或上涨 ——行业点评报告 | 金益腾(分析师) | 张晓锋(分析师) | 宋梓荣(联系人) | | --- | --- | --- | | jinyiteng@kysec.cn | zhangxiaofeng@kysec.cn | songzirong@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790520020002 | 证书编号:S0790522080003 | 证书编号:S0790123070025 | 截至 2025 年 6 月 23 日,H 酸 ...
开源证券晨会-20250623
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-23 14:41
2025 年 06 月 24 日 沪深300 及创业板指数近1年走势 数据来源:聚源 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 行业名称 涨跌幅(%) 计算机 2.251 国防军工 1.971 煤炭 1.683 银行 1.220 环保 1.203 数据来源:聚源 开源晨会 0624 ——晨会纪要 吴梦迪(分析师) wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【宏观经济】工业生产仍有韧性——宏观经济专题-20250623 行业公司 【农林牧渔】消费逐步进入淡季,短期鸡价或有压力——行业点评报告-20250623 【电子】半导体材料跟踪点评:盛合晶微进入辅导验收阶段,关注先进封装材料 投资机会——行业点评报告-20250623 【化工】固态电池产业化进展加速,高性能材料产业化先行——行业点评报告 -20250623 【社服】即时零售 618 大促表现亮眼,5 月茶咖头部品牌开店+店效双高增——行 业周报-20250622 【传媒】AI 模型、端侧齐发力,关注中报及内容新品带来的弹性——行业周报 -20250622 【医药:众生药业(002317.SZ)】夯实中药根基,创新转型乘风破浪 ...
宏观经济专题:工业生产仍有韧性
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-23 12:39
2025 年 06 月 23 日 工业生产仍有韧性 宏观研究团队 ——宏观经济专题 何宁(分析师) 郭晓彬(联系人) hening@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790522110002 guoxiaobin@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790123070017 供需:工业生产仍强,消费需求分化 1.建筑开工:水泥出库保持历史低位。最近两周(6 月 8 日至 6 月 21 日),石油沥 青装置开工率、水泥发运率季节性位置处于历史中位,磨机运转率处于历史低位。 基建、房建项目水泥出库量保持历史同期低位,资金方面,建筑工地资金到位率 同比低于 2024 年同期。 2.工业生产端,整体仍有韧性。最近两周,工业开工整体景气度仍处于历史中高 位。化工链开工率整体处于历史同期中高位,汽车钢胎开工率有所回落但保持历 史中高位,焦化企业开工率表现略弱。 3.需求端,建筑需求偏弱,汽车、家电需求波动运行。最近两周,建筑需求弱于 历史同期,螺纹钢、线材、建材表观需求低于历史同期。汽车销售同比波动运行, 中国轻纺城成交量处于同期历史低位,义乌小商品价格指数有所回升,618 影响 下,多数家电线上销售额高于 2024 年同期, ...
农林牧渔行业点评报告:消费逐步进入淡季,短期鸡价或有压力
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-23 06:26
农林牧渔 2025 年 06 月 23 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 农林牧渔 沪深300 相关研究报告 《供给收缩已至支撑猪价上行,618 宠 物食品龙头表现亮眼—行业周报》 -2025.6.22 《6 月 USDA 农产品报告上调全球玉 米、水稻、小麦产量,维持全球大豆产 量预期—行业点评报告》-2025.6.17 《CPI 连续 4 月同比下行,政策多维发 力提振 2025H2 猪价—行业周报》 -2025.6.15 消费逐步进入淡季,短期鸡价或有压力 ——行业点评报告 | 陈雪丽(分析师) | 王高展(联系人) | 朱本伦(联系人) | | --- | --- | --- | | chenxueli@kysec.cn | wanggaozhan@kysec.cn | zhubenlun@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790520030001 | 证书编号:S0790123060055 | 证书编号:S0790124060020 | 消费逐步进入淡季,短期鸡价或有压力 白 ...
半导体材料跟踪点评:盛合晶微进入辅导验收阶段,关注先进封装材料投资机会
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-23 03:00
半导体 半导体 2025 年 06 月 23 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 -38% -19% 0% 19% 38% 58% 77% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 半导体 沪深300 数据来源:聚源 相关研究报告 《半导体行业月度点评:下游回暖, 景气度改善可期—行业点评报告》 -2025.4.27 《关税反制政策落地,模拟芯片国产 化进程有望加速—行业点评报告》 -2025.4.7 《下游需求回暖+市场流动性注入,看 好 SoC 板块机会—行业点评报告》 -2024.10.9 半导体材料跟踪点评:盛合晶微进入辅导验收阶段, 关注先进封装材料投资机会 ——行业点评报告 陈蓉芳(分析师) 陈瑜熙(分析师) chenrongfang@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790524120002 chenyuxi@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790525020003 国产高端半导体封测龙头盛合晶微 IPO 进入辅导验收阶段 行 业 研 究 据证监会披露平台显示,盛合晶微 IPO 辅导状态变更为辅导验收。盛合晶微是 国内高端半导体封测龙头,核心业务聚焦中段硅片制造和三维集成先进封装环 节。 ...
行业点评报告:固态电池产业化进展加速,高性能材料产业化先行
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-23 01:13
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The solid-state battery industry is experiencing continuous catalytic events and accelerated industrialization progress, supported by ongoing government policies and improved industry standards [5][14][15] - The demand for solid-state batteries is steadily increasing, with high-performance materials leading the way in industrialization [6][23] Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Catalysts and Progress - Since 2025, the solid-state battery industry has seen significant policy support, with the release of mandatory national standards and advancements in product development by related companies [14][15] - Key events include the announcement of the first fully solid-state battery experimental line by Guoxuan High-Tech, achieving 100% localization of core equipment and a design capacity of 0.2 GWh [16][20] Section 2: Demand and Material Development - The main challenge for solid-state batteries is high production costs, making cost reduction of high-performance materials a priority [6][23] - Companies like Guanghua Technology and Changyang Technology are making significant progress in material development, with Guanghua's lithium sulfide production capacity expected to expand from 300 tons to 3000 tons [23][24] - Dao's Technology has successfully developed a solid-state electrolyte with a conductivity of 1 mS/cm, reaching kilogram-level production [24][27] Section 3: Beneficiary Companies - Several companies are positioned to benefit from the solid-state battery industry's growth, including: - Guanghua Technology: Focused on lithium sulfide production with a current capacity of 300 tons [28] - Changyang Technology: Specializes in high-performance separators for solid-state batteries [28] - Dao's Technology: Engaged in multiple material solutions for solid-state batteries [28] - Shanghai Xiba: Involved in solid-state electrolyte and silicon-based anode materials [28] - Black Cat: Produces conductive carbon black with a capacity of 30,000 tons [28]
众生药业(002317):公司首次覆盖报告:夯实中药根基,创新转型乘风破浪未来可期
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-22 15:23
医药生物/中药Ⅱ 众生药业(002317.SZ) 夯实中药根基,创新转型乘风破浪未来可期 2025 年 06 月 22 日 投资评级:买入(首次) | 日期 | 2025/6/20 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 15.89 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 18.45/9.85 | | 总市值(亿元) | 135.31 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 121.02 | | 总股本(亿股) | 8.52 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 7.62 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 372.25 | 股价走势图 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 众生药业 沪深300 数据来源:聚源 余汝意(分析师) 巢舒然(联系人) yuruyi@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790523070002 chaoshuran@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790123110015 夯实中药根基,创新引领发展 众生药业从 1979 年的石龙制药厂起步,于 2001 年正式改制,2009 年在深交所 成功上市,是一家集药品研发、生产和销售为一体的中 ...
行业周报:即时零售618大促表现亮眼,5月茶咖头部品牌开店+店效双高增-20250622
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-22 15:19
Investment Rating - Investment rating for the industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The industry is experiencing a dual high growth in store efficiency and number of stores, particularly in the tea and coffee sectors, with significant increases in average store efficiency [27][31][38] - The OTA (Online Travel Agency) market is characterized by high barriers to entry, making it difficult for new entrants like JD to disrupt established players [12][21] - The toy and trendy play market is seeing substantial growth, with brands like Pop Mart leading in sales during promotional events [22][23] Summary by Relevant Sections Travel and Tourism - JD announced an expansion in its OTA layout, launching a "Hotel PLUS Membership Plan" to enhance its hotel booking services [12] - The OTA market is difficult to penetrate due to high customer loyalty and established service standards [21] Trendy Play - During the 618 promotional period, the toy and trendy play sector saw significant sales growth, with Pop Mart topping the sales charts [22][23] - The market for trendy toys is thriving, with numerous brands achieving triple-digit growth in sales [22] Tea and Coffee - As of May 2025, there are 515,500 tea shops in China, with a net increase of 29,300 shops in May alone, and the average monthly store efficiency for tea shops is 212,200 yuan, up 7.6% year-on-year [31][38] - The coffee sector also shows positive trends, with 179,600 coffee shops and an average monthly store efficiency of 503,100 yuan, also reflecting a 7.6% year-on-year increase [31][38] - Major brands like Mixue Ice City and Luckin Coffee are expanding rapidly, with significant net increases in store numbers [37][38]
AI模型、端侧齐发力,关注中报及内容新品带来的弹性
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-22 14:42
业 研 究 2025 年 06 月 22 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -17% 0% 17% 34% 50% 67% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 传媒 沪深300 相关研究报告 《供需共振下游戏或步入景气上行周 期,继续布局游戏—行业点评报告》 -2025.6.16 《豆包引领大模型/Agent 再升级,积 极 关 注 电 影 暑 期 档 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.6.15 《关注火山引擎原动力大会,聚焦 AI 应用及 IP 商业化 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.6.8 AI 模型、端侧齐发力,关注中报及内容新品带来的弹性 ——行业周报 | 方光照(分析师) | 田鹏(分析师) | | --- | --- | | fangguangzhao@kysec.cn | tianpeng@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790520030004 | 证书编号:S0790523090001 | tianpeng@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790523090001 Minimax、Rokid 发布多项 AI 成果,模型及端侧齐发力,继续布局 A ...
开源晨会-20250622
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-22 14:41
2025 年 06 月 23 日 开源晨会 0623 ——晨会纪要 | 沪深300 | 及创业板指数近1年走势 | | | 吴梦迪(分析师) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深300 | | 创业板指 | | wumengdi@kysec.cn | | 64% | | | | 证书编号:S0790521070001 | | 48% | | | | 观点精粹 | | 32% | | | | 总量视角 | | 16% | | | | | | 0% | | | | 【宏观经济】科技与民生类支出提速——5 月财政数据点评-20250620 | | -16% | | | | 【策略】箱体震荡的突破契机,及当下的配置思路——投资策略周报-20250621 | | 2024-06 | 2024-10 | 2025-02 | | 【金融工程】稀土产业板块的资金行为监测——金融工程定期-20250620 | | 数据来源:聚源 | | | | | | | | | | 行业公司 | | 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | | | | 【商贸零售】618 电商高质增长,强品牌龙头及新锐功效品牌突围—— ...