北交所策略专题报告 从亚马逊 CAPEX 指引看产业链机遇，关注北交所光器件核心环节 北交所研究团队 ——北交所策略专题报告 | 诸海滨（分析师） | 余中天（分析师） | | --- | --- | | zhuhaibin@kysec.cn | yuzhongtian@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080007 | 证书编号：S0790525050003 | 亚马逊年报高 CAPEX 彰显设施建设需求，北证、新三板光通信标的预期受益 2025 年度报告显示 2024、2025 年亚马逊现金资本开支达到 777 亿、1283 亿美元， 主要用于科技设施的建设方面以及履约网络的建设。2026 年亚马逊预计两大方 面均会产生增长。现阶段北交所内光通信器件相关的标的共有 5 家，新三板内相 关标的 3 家，包含蘅东光、万源通、凯德石英、则成电子、晶赛科技、云岭光电、 鑫宇科技、宇特光电。蘅东光、万源通、云岭光电等标的预期受益。蘅东光 （920045.BJ）主要业务板块包括无源光纤布线、无源内连光器件及相关配套业 务三大板块。万源通（920060.BJ）光模块 PCB 方向目前配合客户进行了光模 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.058 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.8%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 237 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 33.9% [2][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 2.02 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17.6, 16.3, and 14.9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a strong growth outlook driven by the company's generic drug performance and the potential of innovative drug DYX116 [2][6] Summary by Sections Market Expansion and Sales Growth - The company has focused on market expansion, with steady sales growth in products such as "复瑞彤" and "波开清". The sales of other products like 卡格列净片 and 恩格列净片 have also seen rapid growth, contributing positively to revenue [3] - The company has won bids for several products in the tenth batch of centralized procurement, which will enhance sales starting from March 2025 [3] Research and Development - In 2025, the company plans to invest 120.27 million yuan in R&D, a 2.83% increase year-on-year. It has obtained registration approvals for 8 drug varieties and is advancing the clinical trials for innovative drug DYX116 [4] - The company continues to implement a "generic-innovation combination" strategy in its R&D efforts, with multiple projects progressing as planned [4] Financial Performance and Projections - The financial projections indicate a revenue increase to 1.19 billion yuan in 2026 and 1.36 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits expected to reach 256 million yuan and 281 million yuan respectively [6][9] - Key financial metrics include a gross margin of 85.0% and a net margin of 22.4% for 2025, showcasing strong profitability [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changhong Energy is maintained at "Outperform" [1][3] Core Views - Changhong Energy is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.485 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.17%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 249 million yuan, up 26.06% year-on-year [3] - The company is expanding its production capacity in lithium batteries, with utilization rates for the 21700 and 18650 production lines reaching 80% and 50% respectively [4] - The company is also diversifying into new fields such as semi-solid batteries, humanoid robots, and drones, with some clients already in the sample delivery stage [5] Financial Summary - For 2025, the expected revenue is 4.482 billion yuan, with a net profit of 249 million yuan, corresponding to an EPS of 1.37 yuan [7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 23.7, 18.8, and 15.4 respectively [3][7] - The gross margin is expected to be 16.3% in 2025, with a net margin of 5.5% [10]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the bull market is still ongoing, encouraging confidence while suggesting a reduction in the slope expectation of the market, indicating that the lower limit of the market is continuously rising [2][12] - The report highlights that over 20% of companies in six industries, including utilities, non-ferrous metals, and automotive, are expected to see strong profit growth, indicating a positive outlook for these sectors [3][21] - The report identifies three categories of companies to focus on: those with accelerating profit growth, those experiencing a turnaround from negative to positive profits, and those with profit growth transitioning from negative to positive [4][26] Group 2 - The report outlines a "net profit gap" strategy that has significantly outperformed the market since 2025, with two portfolios achieving returns over 100%, particularly in the coal and non-ferrous metals sectors [5][29] - The top five industries with the highest proportion of stocks showing net profit gaps include coal (8.1%), non-ferrous metals (5.1%), and communications (4.8%), indicating strong performance potential in these areas [5][32] - The report suggests that the A-share market is currently in a relatively safe environment, with room for expansion in the securities ratio, particularly in the TMT sector, which is expected to maintain its profitability advantage [6][34] Group 3 - The report recommends focusing on industries that are benefiting from PPI improvements and broad anti-involution trends, such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and power generation [6][35] - It also suggests a dual focus on technology and cyclical sectors, highlighting opportunities in AI applications, military industry, and core AI hardware [6][35] - The report indicates that the overall annual profit forecast for A-share companies shows a continuous improvement, with 52.3% of companies expected to report profit growth [17][18]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Insights - The company focuses on automotive lighting systems and continuously explores new automotive electronic business segments, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.76% in revenue from 2013 to 2024, with a revenue of 488 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.51% [2][35] - The automotive industry in China shows steady growth, with production and sales reaching 31.28 million and 31.44 million vehicles in 2024, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.7% and 4.5% [3][56] - The company has a strong technological foundation in automotive lighting systems and is expanding into high-growth areas such as electronic control systems and energy management systems, with a projected increase in revenue of 55.8 million yuan from new projects [4][28] Summary by Sections 1. Company Focus and Business Expansion - The company is positioned as a manufacturer of automotive electronic components, primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of automotive lighting systems, electronic control systems, and energy management systems [2][39] - The company has successfully entered the electronic control system sector with the EPS controller and is set to launch the CDU power distribution assembly in 2024 [13][28] 2. Market Potential in the Automotive Industry - China's automotive production and sales have been the highest globally for 16 consecutive years, with significant growth potential in the automotive electronic components market [3][56] - The market for automotive lighting systems is expected to grow from 84.4 billion yuan in 2023 to 101.4 billion yuan in 2025, with the energy management system market projected to reach 28.5 billion yuan in China by 2025 [3][56] 3. Technological Leadership and Product Development - The company has accumulated extensive experience in LED technology since its establishment in 1991 and has become a key supplier for major automotive brands [4][15] - The company has developed a range of products, including LED headlight modules, driving controllers, and the CDU, which are positioned to meet the growing demands of the automotive market [4][39] 4. Financial Performance and Valuation - The company has shown a steady increase in revenue, with a CAGR of 26.76% from 2013 to 2024, and a net profit of 51.79 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.41% [2][35] - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for comparable companies in 2024 is 25.1X, indicating a competitive valuation in the market [4][28]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Insights - The company focuses on automotive lighting systems and continuously explores new automotive electronics business segments, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.76% in revenue from 2013 to 2024, with a revenue of 488 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.51% [2][35] - The automotive industry in China shows steady growth, with production and sales reaching 31.28 million and 31.44 million vehicles in 2024, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.7% and 4.5% [3][56] - The company has a strong technological foundation in automotive lighting systems and is expanding into high-growth areas such as electronic control systems and energy management systems, with a projected increase in revenue of 55.8 million yuan from new projects [4][28] Summary by Sections 1. Company Focus and Business Expansion - The company is positioned as a manufacturer of automotive electronic components, primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of automotive lighting systems, electronic control systems, and energy management systems [2][39] - The company has successfully entered the electronic control system sector with the EPS controller and is set to launch the CDU power distribution assembly in 2024 [13][28] 2. Market Potential in the Automotive Industry - China's automotive production and sales have been the highest globally for 16 consecutive years, with significant growth potential in the automotive electronics component market [3][56] - The market for automotive lighting systems is projected to grow from 84.4 billion yuan in 2023 to 101.4 billion yuan in 2025 [3][56] 3. Technological Leadership and Product Development - The company has accumulated extensive experience in LED technology since its establishment in 1991 and has become a key supplier for major automotive brands [4][15] - The company has developed a range of products, including LED headlight modules, driving controllers, and complete headlight assemblies, with a focus on continuous innovation and product improvement [4][39] 4. Financial Performance and Valuation - The company achieved a net profit of 51.79 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.41% [2][35] - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for comparable companies in 2024 is estimated at 25.1X, indicating a competitive valuation in the market [4][28]

2026 年 02 月 06 日 投资评级：看好（首次） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 38% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 恒生指数 本地生活服务Ⅱ 本地生活服务Ⅱ 相关研究报告 大厂抢滩构建 AI 生态，流量+技术+场景多维驱动便 利生活渗透，外卖&配送有望充分受益 ——港股行业点评报告 | 初敏（分析师） | 李睿娴（分析师） | 荀月（分析师） | | --- | --- | --- | | chumin@kysec.cn | liruixian@kysec.cn | xunyue@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080008 | 证书编号：S0790525020004 | 证书编号：S0790524110001 | 阿里千问推出 30 亿春节活动，有望带动闪购单量增长 事件：阿里千问推出 30 亿春节活动，（1）20 亿免单卡，2 月 6 日-2 月 12 日阿 里千问联合淘宝闪购、飞猪、大麦、盒马、天猫超市、支付宝等阿里生态业务， 用户最多可领取 21 张无门槛 25 元免单卡，用于全国 30 多万家奶茶店、餐厅、 超市等 ...

2026 年 02 月 06 日 看好 AI 基层医疗，关注实现商业闭环的细分龙头 中小盘研究团队 ——中小盘策略专题 2025 年 9 月 7 日，国务院批复《医疗卫生强基工程实施方案》（以下简称《方案》）， 明确提出：到 2027 年，基层医疗卫生机构布局更加合理，设施条件进一步改善， 基本公共卫生服务能力和基本医疗服务能力持续提升，力争居民 15 分钟可达最 近的医疗服务点。到 2030 年，基层医疗卫生服务体系进一步健全，人才队伍持 续发展壮大，设施设备条件和数智化水平显著改善，基本公共卫生服务均等化和 基本医疗服务均质化水平明显提升，县级及以下医疗卫生机构服务量占比持续提 高，中西医协调发展迈向更高水平，分级诊疗体系建设取得显著成效，群众就近 就便享有优质高效的健康服务。《方案》是国家层面一次系统性的"强基层、固 基础、保基本"战略部署，标志着基层医疗发展进入从被动补短板到主动建体系、 从资源零散下沉到系统能力重构的新阶段。 基层医疗卫生服务能力亟待提升，AI+基层医疗未来可期 AI 对基层医疗机构辅助诊断意义重大，能以技术赋能破解基层医疗资源不均、 医生诊疗能力不足的核心痛点。一方面，AI 可整合 ...

北交所策略专题报告 2026 年 02 月 06 日 掘金北交所后备军：三维视觉龙头先临三维及光器件鑫巨宏受理中 ——北交所新质生产力后备军筛选三十 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 北交所上市"后备军"214 家，分布在高端装备、TMT 等新质生产力行业中 截至 2026 年 2 月 1 日，北交所已有 214 家公司获受理，待上会企业 163 家，覆 盖高端装备（64 家）、TMT（27 家）、化工新材料（36 家）、消费（19 家）、生 物医药（12 家）等多元细分领域。受理和辅导中公司中，包含了一些新质生产 力公司，我们从中首选专精特新、单项冠军企业、"独角兽"企业。同时，我们 也着重关注氢能源、商业航天、低空经济等行业。 后备军筛选系列已 30 期，筛选出一批已经上市的新质生产力公司 在 2025 年北交所上市的 26 家公司中，本系列报告我们优选出星图测控、开发科 技、天工股份、广信科技、酉立智能、志高机械、宏远股份、能之光、三协电 机、世昌股份、锦华新材、江天科技等。其余优选公司中已过会公司包括：英氏 控股、雅图高新、 ...

Group 1: Food and Beverage Industry - The recent strong rally in the liquor sector is driven by a combination of macro policies, valuation adjustments, and fundamental factors, rather than a single catalyst [4][8][9] - Optimized real estate policies and supportive domestic demand measures have effectively boosted market expectations for consumption recovery [8][9] - The valuation of the liquor sector has returned to historical lows, with public fund holdings in the sector dropping to 2.9% in Q4 2025, indicating a clearer and more reasonable chip structure [8][9] - The strong performance of leading companies like Kweichow Moutai in terms of pricing and sales has confirmed the resilience of terminal demand in the liquor market [8][9] Group 2: Retail and Cosmetics Industry - The medical beauty and cosmetics sectors have shown significant growth, with notable stock performances in January, such as Four Seasons Medicine (+28.5%) and 壹网壹创 (+50.8%) [6][26][27] - Medical beauty company Giant Bio received approval for a new product, showcasing its R&D strength and market potential [27] - 美丽田园 has announced positive earnings forecasts, reflecting strong operational resilience and growth potential through strategic acquisitions and store expansions [27][30] Group 3: Semiconductor Materials Industry - The sputtering target market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a global market size of 25.1 billion yuan by 2027 for semiconductor sputtering targets [15] - The supply side is dominated by overseas giants, but domestic manufacturers are transitioning from being mere substitutes to becoming global competitors [17][18] - Price increases in sputtering materials are anticipated due to rising metal costs, with major clients likely to accept these price hikes [16][18] Group 4: Cloud Computing and AI Industry - Google Cloud's revenue for Q4 2025 reached $17.7 billion, a 48% year-on-year increase, exceeding analyst expectations [20][21] - Capital expenditures for Google reached $27.9 billion in Q4 2025, a 95% increase year-on-year, with projections for 2026 capital expenditures between $175 billion and $185 billion [20][21] - Meta and Microsoft also reported strong revenue growth, driven by AI efficiencies, with Meta's Q4 revenue at $59.893 billion, a 24% increase [21][22]