Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company, with a target price of HKD 13.32 for the next six months [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leader in the retail digitalization market in China and Asia, leveraging AI and retail SaaS solutions, and collaborating with well-known retail brand Pang Donglai to expand its domestic customer base while steadily pursuing international business growth [4][18]. - The retail digitalization market is vast, with significant growth potential as the current digitalization rate in China's retail sector is notably lower than that of the United States [1][46]. - The company has a strong product matrix focusing on Dmall OS systems and AIoT solutions, covering the entire retail value chain and enhancing customer retention through a sustainable subscription and commission-based SaaS model [2][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is recognized as the largest retail digitalization solution provider in China, with a market share of approximately 6.5% in 2023, and a leading position in Asia with a market share of 4.2% [1][19]. - Established in 2015, the company has expanded its operations across various retail formats and into multiple Asian and European markets [19]. 2. Industry Landscape - The retail market is complex and fragmented, with a significant need for digital transformation, presenting both opportunities and challenges for the industry [46][50]. - The global retail market is projected to reach CNY 105.5 trillion in 2024, driven by technological advancements and increasing consumer demand [47]. 3. Competitive Advantages - The company’s comprehensive product offerings and deep industry experience, combined with a unique business model, enhance its competitive edge [2][3]. - The collaboration with Pang Donglai has established a benchmark for retail digital transformation, significantly reducing customer acquisition costs and enhancing brand recognition [17][18]. 4. Growth Drivers - The company has launched several AI Agent solutions tailored for retail scenarios, contributing to substantial profit growth for clients [3][16]. - International business has expanded to nine countries, with a projected revenue growth rate of nearly 30% for 2024 [3][18]. 5. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at CNY 2.19 billion, CNY 2.57 billion, and CNY 2.93 billion, respectively, with net profits expected to reach CNY 170 million, CNY 299 million, and CNY 429 million [4][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Water Affairs (00855.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the core operational profit is steadily growing, with a cash flow turning point already evident. The decline in FY2025 performance is primarily due to one-time impairment impacts, while the core operational business remains robust [1][7] Financial Performance Summary - For FY2025, the total revenue is projected at HKD 12,200 million, a decrease of 5.12% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be HKD 1,075 million, down 29.92% year-on-year [1][7] - The main business revenue is HKD 11,656 million, reflecting a 9.4% decline year-on-year, mainly due to reduced income from water supply and direct drinking water installation, maintenance, and construction services [1][7] - The report details segment performance: - Urban water supply revenue is HKD 7,498 million, down 9.4% year-on-year, with segment profit slightly up by 0.1% [1] - Direct drinking water revenue is HKD 657 million, down 61.9%, with segment profit down 58.9% [1] - Environmental segment revenue is HKD 1,523 million, up 42.2%, with segment profit increasing by 56.9% [1] - Total construction revenue is HKD 664 million, down 19.7%, with segment profit down 9.3% [1] - Property revenue is HKD 361 million, with segment profit up 16.5% [1] Future Projections - The report forecasts a net profit of HKD 1,372 million for FY2026, HKD 1,387 million for FY2027, and HKD 1,415 million for FY2028, with corresponding P/E ratios of 7.2, 7.1, and 6.9 times [1][7] - Capital expenditures are expected to decrease from HKD 53.3 billion in FY2024 to HKD 34 billion in FY2025, with a target of under HKD 20 billion for FY2026 [1][7] - The dividend per share for FY2025 is projected to remain stable at HKD 0.28, with a payout ratio of 42.5% and a dividend yield of 4.65% [1][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Insights - The company is a leading high-end footwear manufacturer with a strong design and development capability, benefiting from scarce production capacity in Southeast Asia. It has established deep partnerships with renowned international brands such as Nike, Balenciaga, Prada, and UGG, covering a diverse range of athletic, luxury, fashion, and casual brands. The average selling price (ASP) for 2024 is projected to be $28.4, significantly above industry standards, with a diversified production layout that is rare in the market [1][4] - Despite external disruptions such as tariffs, the company has secured a robust order book for Q1-3, with expectations for improved order visibility in Q4 due to positive developments in US-China trade negotiations. The company anticipates maintaining mid-single-digit growth in shipment volume for the year, with ASP remaining stable [2][4] - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, particularly in Indonesia and Bangladesh, with expectations of short-term fluctuations in profit margins due to new factory ramp-up and employee training. However, the long-term growth trend remains positive [3][4] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2027 are as follows: $1.545 billion in 2024, $1.621 billion in 2025 (up 4.94%), $1.743 billion in 2026 (up 7.48%), and $1.867 billion in 2027 (up 7.12%). Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be $171.1 million in 2024, $165.1 million in 2025 (down 3.47%), $184.9 million in 2026 (up 11.98%), and $204.4 million in 2027 (up 10.56%) [5][11] - The company is expected to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 70% in 2025, with a commitment to a $60 million share buyback or special dividend, resulting in a dividend yield of 11% [4][11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the first time to Derlin Holdings (01709.HK) [1] Core Views - Derlin Holdings is positioned as a leading financial services platform in Asia focused on family office business, with a strong emphasis on wealth management and technology-driven solutions [9][14] - The company is expected to see significant growth in its family office business, driven by increasing demand from high-net-worth individuals and supportive policies in Hong Kong [9][45] - The integration of AI technology into financial services is a core strategy for Derlin, aiming to democratize access to wealth management services [9][58] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Derlin Holdings, formerly known as Derlin Securities, has evolved into a comprehensive financial services provider since its establishment in 2011, focusing on high-net-worth families and businesses [14][15] - The company has successfully completed a reverse takeover and has been actively expanding its service offerings through acquisitions [15][17] Business Performance - The company reported a revenue of HKD 1.90 billion for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, a decrease of 6.4% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 36.9% to HKD 1.37 billion [9][26] - The family office business has shown significant growth, with service fees from investment management reaching HKD 58.08 million in FY2023, up from HKD 18.70 million in FY2022 [56] Market Opportunities - The number of high-net-worth individuals in China is increasing, with a total of 3.16 million individuals holding investable assets of HKD 101 trillion as of 2022, creating a growing market for family office services [38][40] - Hong Kong is positioned to become a hub for family offices due to its favorable regulatory environment and the increasing number of ultra-high-net-worth individuals [45][49] Technological Integration - Derlin Holdings is committed to using AI to enhance its service offerings, having launched Asia's first AI family office, which aims to provide personalized wealth management solutions [58][62] - The company has introduced Synapse Technology, a project designed to create an intelligent financial ecosystem that leverages AI for investment and financial services [62][64] Financial Projections - The report forecasts Derlin Holdings' net profit to reach HKD 1.38 billion, HKD 1.53 billion, and HKD 1.65 billion for the fiscal years 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 0.81%, 11.18%, and 7.84% [1][9]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the new opportunities presented by the AI era, aiming for a significant leap in growth through various strategic initiatives [2][3]. - The first phase of growth was driven by the mobile internet boom, where the company established a strong traffic barrier through popular mobile applications, leading to substantial revenue from online advertising [1][23]. - The second phase of growth is characterized by the integration of AI capabilities, enhancing user experience and enabling the company to close the commercial loop in B2B scenarios, resulting in a significant increase in software subscription revenue [2][66]. - The company's global strategy is crucial for tapping into new revenue streams, particularly from overseas markets where user payment capabilities are higher, potentially leading to a revenue breakthrough exceeding 10 billion [3]. Summary by Sections Growth Perspective - The mobile internet boom was the core driver of the company's initial structural growth, with software business revenue nearing 1 billion in 2018 [1][23]. - The AI era is expected to drive the second wave of structural growth, with software subscription revenue surpassing 2 billion in 2022 [2][66]. - The company's global strategy is pivotal, focusing on overseas market expansion to achieve a revenue target exceeding 10 billion [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 41.13 billion, 51.25 billion, and 64.04 billion respectively, with net profits of 8.43 billion, 11.68 billion, and 15.79 billion [4][10]. - The company is valued at a target market capitalization of 55.1 billion HKD, with a target price of 11.1 HKD based on a 60x PE ratio for 2025 [4][10]. Key Business Transformation - The company has shifted its focus to a subscription model, enhancing profitability through AI-driven productivity tools, leading to a significant increase in both revenue and profit margins [57][62]. - The integration of AI capabilities has allowed the company to enhance its product offerings, particularly in the B2B sector, which is expected to drive future growth [66].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an IPO-specific rating of 5.7 out of 10 for the company, based on operational performance, industry outlook, offering valuation, and market sentiment [9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of precision manufacturing solutions across the entire supply chain for smart terminals, with a market share of 13.0% in the global consumer electronics precision components and module solutions industry, and 20.9% in the global smart automotive interaction systems industry [1]. - Revenue projections for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are 46.7 billion, 54.5 billion, and 69.9 billion CNY respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.3% [2]. - The company has established long-term strategic partnerships with leading global brands in consumer electronics and smart automotive sectors, enhancing its competitive position [4]. Company Overview - Founded in 2003 and listed in 2015, the company specializes in manufacturing solutions that encompass raw materials, functional structural components, module bonding, and complete assembly [1]. - The company has advanced processing capabilities in various materials, including glass and metal, positioning it uniquely in the supply chain [4]. Financial Performance - The adjusted net profit for 2024 is projected to reach 3.84 billion CNY, with an adjusted net profit margin of 5.5% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 10.1% to 17.06 billion CNY, and a net profit increase of 43.8% to 454 million CNY [2]. Industry Status and Outlook - The global market for consumer electronics precision components and module solutions is expected to reach 66.3 billion USD in 2024, with a projected CAGR of 53.4% for AI glasses/XR headsets from 2025 onwards [3]. - The smart automotive interaction systems market is anticipated to grow from 4 billion USD in 2024 to 9.3 billion USD by 2029, driven by increased penetration of core interaction systems [3]. Use of Proceeds - The company plans to allocate approximately 48% of the net proceeds from the IPO to enrich and expand its product and service offerings, 28% for expanding overseas operations, 14% for enhancing vertical integration capabilities, and 10% for working capital and general corporate purposes [11]. Investment Recommendation - The IPO price range is set at 17.38 - 18.18 HKD, which corresponds to a post-issue market capitalization of approximately 911.6 billion to 953.6 billion HKD, presenting an attractive discount of about 25.6% compared to the A-share price [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [4]. Core Views - The company has set an ambitious annual sales target of 3 million vehicles, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory, particularly in the new energy vehicle (NEV) segment, which has shown significant year-on-year growth [2][4]. - The company reported a total wholesale volume of 236,000 vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of 42.1%, with NEV sales reaching 122,367 units, up 85.5% year-on-year [1][2]. - The introduction of new models, such as the Galaxy A7 and M9, is expected to enhance the company's market position and drive sales growth in the coming years [2][3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In the first half of the year, the company achieved a total wholesale volume of 1.409 million vehicles, representing a 47.4% increase year-on-year [1]. - The NEV segment accounted for 725,000 units sold in the first half, marking a 126.5% increase compared to the same period last year [2]. Product Development - The Galaxy A7 is set to launch in Q3 2025, featuring advanced hybrid technology and a comprehensive range of 2,100 kilometers on a full charge [2]. - The Galaxy M9, a large six-seat plug-in hybrid SUV, is also expected to debut in Q3 2025, equipped with cutting-edge driving assistance systems [2][3]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 404.8 billion, 489.7 billion, and 572.8 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 16.2 billion, 22.1 billion, and 26.0 billion RMB [4][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is anticipated to grow from 1.61 RMB in 2025 to 2.58 RMB by 2027, reflecting a positive trend in profitability [4][5]. Strategic Moves - The company plans to privatize its high-end brand, Zeekr, to streamline operations and enhance resource allocation, which is expected to improve overall efficiency and competitiveness [3][4].

证券研究报告 纺织服饰 | 服装家纺 港股|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 02 日 证券分析师 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 周宸宇 zhouchenyu@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 23214.03 | 25901.71 | 28532.86 | 31404.28 | 34541.65 | | 同比增长率（%） | 38.39% | 11.58% | 10.16% | 10.06% | 9.99% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 3074.07 | 3513.91 | 3927.86 | 4387.93 | 4879.18 | | 同比增长率（%） | 43.74% | 14.31% | 11.78% | 11.71% | 11.20% | | 每股收益（ ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of HKD 72.50, indicating a potential upside of 16.6% from the current closing price of HKD 62.20 [1][27]. Core Insights - The mRNA platform development is progressing steadily, with excellent data on the reversible BTK inhibitor for membranous nephropathy. The target price has been raised to reflect these developments [2][6]. - The company has showcased its fully integrated and localized AI + mRNA platform, highlighting several mRNA tumor drug developments, including personalized and universal therapeutic vaccines [6]. - The reversible BTK inhibitor EVER001 has shown promising results in clinical trials for treating membranous nephropathy, with significant reductions in anti-PLA2R antibody levels and urinary protein levels [6]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 126 million - 2024: RMB 707 million - 2025E: RMB 1,660 million - 2026E: RMB 2,552 million - 2027E: RMB 3,752 million - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 884.5% for 2023, 461.2% for 2024, and 134.9% for 2025 [5][28]. - The net profit (loss) is expected to improve from a loss of RMB 844 million in 2023 to a profit of RMB 743 million by 2027 [5][28]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately HKD 20.2 billion, with an average daily trading volume of 13.36 million shares [3]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a peak sales estimate for EVER001 exceeding RMB 1.5 billion, with a target valuation of HKD 72.50 corresponding to a market cap of HKD 237 billion and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.8 times at peak revenue [6][24]. - The company’s financial forecasts have been adjusted, reflecting a more cautious outlook on product revenue ramp-up, with slight downward revisions in revenue estimates for 2025-2027 [6][23].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading all-industry chain reality entertainment platform in China, engaging in content production, promotion, distribution, IP derivative licensing, and ticket management for entertainment activities [6][11]. - The IP industry is identified as a rapidly growing market with significant potential, with the Chinese IP market projected to grow from 91 billion yuan in 2020 to 126.2 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 8.5% [30][35]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth, with projected revenues of 78.91 billion yuan, 95.34 billion yuan, and 116.83 billion yuan for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 18%, 21%, and 23% [6][19]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates through three main segments: content production, ticketing and technology platforms, and IP derivatives, leveraging resources from the Alibaba ecosystem [11][12]. - It has participated in the production and promotion of over 300 films, with significant contributions to the Chinese box office [11][12]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 3.5 billion yuan, 5.04 billion yuan, and 6.7 billion yuan for FY23, FY24, and FY25, with year-on-year growth rates of 44% and 33% for FY24 and FY25 respectively [21]. - Adjusted EBITA for the same periods is projected at 310 million yuan, 500 million yuan, and 810 million yuan, with a consistent growth rate of 61% for FY24 and FY25 [21]. IP Market Insights - The IP industry is characterized by a dual-sided extension model, with significant growth opportunities in both upstream and downstream operations [27][30]. - The report highlights that the average unit licensing fee can leverage over 25 times the gross merchandise value (GMV) of licensed products, indicating a lucrative market potential [33]. Competitive Advantages - The company benefits from a robust integration of Alibaba's resources, enhancing its market position in ticketing and live entertainment [6][11]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong market share in ticketing, with nearly 100% coverage of major concert projects [6][11].