Investment Rating - Buy rating maintained for CR Beer (291 HK) with a target price of HKD 37.29, implying a potential upside of 45.1% [1][2] Core Views - Short-term pressure on beer consumption environment due to weak performance in the catering channel, which accounts for over 40% of beer sales [1] - CR Beer outperformed the industry with mid-to-high-end beer sales exceeding 50% of total sales for the first time in H1 2024 [1] - High-end products such as Heineken, Lao Xue, and Red Label achieved over 20% YoY growth in sales [1] - Management remains confident in long-term growth through premiumization, product differentiation, and regional expansion [1] Financial Performance - H1 2024 revenue reached RMB 23.74 billion, a slight decline of 0.5% YoY [1] - Beer business revenue declined by 1.4% YoY to RMB 22.57 billion, with volume down 3.4% but average price up 2.0% [1] - Gross margin for beer business improved by 0.6 percentage points to 45.8% due to product mix optimization and lower raw material costs [1] - Liquor business revenue grew 20.6% YoY to RMB 1.18 billion, with gross margin improving by 2.1 percentage points to 67.6% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.2% YoY to RMB 4.7 billion [1] Financial Forecasts - Revenue expected to grow from RMB 39.78 billion in 2024E to RMB 42.70 billion in 2026E, with a CAGR of 2.2% [3] - Net profit projected to increase from RMB 5.33 billion in 2024E to RMB 6.56 billion in 2026E, with a CAGR of 7.1% [3] - EPS forecasted to grow from RMB 1.64 in 2024E to RMB 2.02 in 2026E [3] - Gross margin expected to improve from 42.6% in 2024E to 45.4% in 2026E [9] Valuation - Target price of HKD 37.29 based on 19x 2025E P/E, a discount of 1 standard deviation from the 3-year historical average [1] - Current P/E ratio of 14.6x for 2024E, expected to decline to 11.8x by 2026E [3] - Dividend yield forecasted to increase from 3.4% in 2024E to 4.2% in 2026E [3] Industry Context - Beer industry faced significant pressure in 2024, with overall high-endization slowing down [1] - CR Beer's high-end product growth outperformed the industry, with double-digit growth in premium products [1] - Management aims for double-digit volume growth in favorable economic conditions and single-digit growth in normal conditions [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's overseas business continues to grow rapidly, with expectations for strong performance in the fourth quarter due to the overseas consumption peak season [2] - The company's Q3 revenue was 45.2 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 19.3%, which is in line with expectations. Adjusted net profit was 6.9 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year, slightly below Bloomberg consensus [2] - Domestic store openings exceeded expectations, with 135 new Miniso stores opened in Q3, surpassing the Bloomberg consensus of 107 stores. Overseas business revenue in Q3 reached 18.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40% [2] - The overseas direct sales market maintained high growth, with revenue from the overseas direct sales market increasing by 55.4% year-on-year, while the agency market saw a quarter-on-quarter increase in growth rate [2] - The report suggests that the expansion of overseas direct sales will further enhance the company's overall gross margin, and it is recommended to pay attention to the performance during the overseas consumption peak season in Q4 [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company's gross margin increased by 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, with the overseas direct sales market contributing positively to the overall gross margin [2] - The overseas revenue for the company was 45.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41%, with direct sales revenue of 24.48 billion yuan (up 64% year-on-year) and agency market revenue of 20.95 billion yuan (up 22% year-on-year) [2] - The report projects the company's revenue for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 172 billion yuan, 206 billion yuan, and 232 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 20%, and 13% [2] Market Dynamics - The report notes that same-store sales in the overseas market maintained strong growth, particularly in Latin America, where growth rates were between 10% and 20% [2] - The net profit margin was constrained by increased upfront costs associated with the rapid pace of new store openings in the direct sales market, suggesting a focus on Q4 performance due to the upcoming peak season and new product launches [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for JD com Inc with a target price of HKD 195 per share, implying a 28% upside [9][89] Core Views - JD com reported strong 3Q24 results with revenue of RMB 260 4 billion, up 5 1% YoY, and Non GAAP net profit of RMB 13 2 billion, up 23 9% YoY [2][4] - The company's gross profit margin improved to 17 3%, up 1 7 percentage points YoY, driven by supply chain optimization and operational efficiency [4][8] - JD com's 3P ecosystem showed significant improvement, with third party merchant users growing over 20% YoY and order volume increasing over 30% YoY [4][18] Financial Performance - 3Q24 revenue breakdown: Direct sales revenue was RMB 204 6 billion, with household appliances and 3C up 2 7% YoY, and fast moving consumer goods up 8 0% YoY [5][19] - Service revenue grew 6 5% YoY to RMB 55 8 billion, with platform and advertising revenue up 6 3% YoY and logistics and other services up 6 5% YoY [5][20] - The company's Non GAAP net profit margin improved to 5 1%, up 0 8 percentage points YoY [8] Share Repurchase - JD com repurchased 31 0 million Class A shares totaling USD 390 million between June 30 and September 30, 2024, representing 1 1% of outstanding shares [3][17] - A new share repurchase program was adopted in September 2024, allowing the company to repurchase up to USD 5 billion worth of shares over the next 36 months [3][17] Business Segments - JD Retail's operating profit margin remained stable at 5 2% YoY, while JD Logistics' operating profit margin improved significantly to 4 7%, up 4 0 percentage points YoY [8] - The company's core categories, including 3C and household appliances, showed improved YoY growth, while supermarket and apparel categories achieved double digit growth [4][18] Valuation and Forecast - The report estimates JD com's 2024 2026 Non GAAP net profit at RMB 45 1 billion, RMB 46 6 billion, and RMB 50 4 billion, respectively [9][20] - A sum of the parts valuation approach was used, assigning a 14x PE multiple to the retail business for 2025 and valuing subsidiaries based on their latest post investment valuations [9][20] - The target price of HKD 195 per share implies a 2025E market capitalization of HKD 620 1 billion [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Meituan, with a target price raised to HKD 200, indicating a potential upside of 19% from the current price of HKD 168.7 [3][6][23]. Core Insights - Meituan's Q3 2024 revenue reached RMB 936 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.4%, surpassing market expectations by 1.7%. Adjusted net profit was RMB 128 billion, up 124% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations by 10.1% [1][2]. - The company's local business revenue grew by 20.2% year-on-year to RMB 694 billion, with delivery, commission, and advertising revenues increasing by 21%, 24%, and 18% respectively [2][3]. - New business revenue increased by 28.9% year-on-year to RMB 242 billion, with operating losses narrowing by 79.9% to RMB 10 billion, indicating a path towards profitability [3][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2024 adjusted net profit margin was 13.7%, compared to 16.5% in Q2 2024 and 7.5% in Q3 2023. Gross margin improved by 4.0 percentage points to 39.3% due to enhanced retail efficiency [1][2]. - Year-to-date, the company has repurchased approximately 4.2% of its total shares [1]. Business Segments - The core local business showed robust growth, with operating profit rising 45% year-on-year to RMB 146 billion and operating profit margin improving by 3.5 percentage points to 21.0% [2][3]. - The flash purchase business experienced double-digit growth in both user numbers and transaction frequency, while the hotel and travel segment saw order volume increase by over 50% [2][3]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that new businesses, excluding Meituan Preferred, will achieve profitability next year, driven by strong growth in supermarket and selection businesses [3]. - The adjusted net profit forecast for FY25E has been raised to RMB 560 billion, reflecting confidence in the recovery of consumer spending and ongoing efficiency improvements from cross-selling initiatives [3][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Water Affairs (855 HK) with a target price of HK$6.23, implying a 43.6% upside potential from the current price of HK$4.34 [10][12][26] Core Views - FY25 interim results exceeded expectations, with operating revenue growth accelerating and a smaller-than-expected decline in shareholder net profit [9] - Water supply tariff adjustments have passed hearings in several regions, with over 20 cities initiating tariff adjustment procedures [9] - Direct drinking water and wastewater treatment operations showed strong growth, offsetting declines in construction revenue [9][10] - Capital expenditure is expected to decrease significantly from FY24 to FY26, supporting higher dividend payout ratios [10] Financial Performance Summary - FY25 interim revenue reached HK$5,953 million, with operating revenue up 16.6% YoY to HK$2,240 million [9] - Gross margin improved by 1.5 percentage points to 38.4% in 1H FY25 [9] - Shareholder net profit declined 8.5% YoY to HK$756 million in 1H FY25, better than expected [9] - Dividend payout ratio increased to 28.1%, with interim dividend maintained at HK$0.13 per share [9] Segment Performance Water Supply - Water supply volume increased 6.5% YoY to 720 million tons in 1H FY25 [9] - Water supply operating revenue grew 6.8% YoY to HK$1,724 million [9] - Tariff adjustments expected to drive 6.4%, 7.3%, and 2.5% YoY growth in water supply operating revenue for FY25-27 respectively [9] Direct Drinking Water - Direct drinking water operating revenue surged 57.1% YoY to HK$196 million in 1H FY25 [10] - Service population coverage expanded 42.5% YoY to 11.4 million people [10] - Projected YoY growth of 31.2%, 8.0%, and 5.0% in direct drinking water operating revenue for FY25-27 [10] Wastewater Treatment - Wastewater treatment operating revenue jumped 76.8% YoY to HK$315 million in 1H FY25 [10] - Growth driven by the operation of Huizhou ExxonMobil petrochemical wastewater treatment project [10] - Expected YoY growth of 64.8%, 7.3%, and 2.5% in wastewater treatment operating revenue for FY25-27 [10] Financial Forecasts - FY25-27 shareholder net profit forecasts revised upward by 11.9%, 2.1%, and 5.2% respectively [10] - EPS forecasts for FY25-27 adjusted to HK$0.90, HK$0.83, and HK$0.84 [10] - Dividend per share forecasts for FY25-27 increased to HK$0.27, HK$0.25, and HK$0.25 [10] - Capital expenditure expected to decrease from HK$5,330 million in FY24 to approximately HK$3,600 million in FY25 and HK$2,000 million in FY26 [10] Valuation Metrics - Current P/E ratios: 3.8x (FY24), 4.6x (FY25), 4.8x (FY26) [8] - Current P/B ratio: 0.55x [8] - Dividend yield: 7.8% (FY24), 6.5% (FY25), 6.2% (FY26) [8] - Target P/E multiple: 7.5x FY25 earnings [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Overseas Development (0688.HK) [3] Core Views - The company has shown a significant improvement in sales, with a total sales amount of 270.4 billion yuan for the period from January to November 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 5.8%, which is an improvement compared to the previous months [1] - The company is focusing on acquiring core land reserves in first-tier cities, with a total land acquisition cost of 23.5 billion yuan from January to October 2024, a decrease of 78.5% year-on-year [1] - The average selling price of the company's properties increased by 14.1% year-on-year to 26,471 yuan per square meter, driven by the sales growth of high-end properties in core cities [1] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The company achieved a total sales amount of 270.4 billion yuan from January to November 2024, with a notable recovery in sales in October and November, where sales increased by 66.0% and 30.7% year-on-year respectively [1] - The company ranked second in the "Top 100 Real Estate Companies" sales list by CRIC, outperforming the industry average decline of 32.9% [1] Land Acquisition Strategy - The company has increased its focus on acquiring land in first-tier cities, with 57.8% of the total land acquisition cost of 13.6 billion yuan allocated to first-tier cities [1] - Recent land acquisitions include a residential plot in Shanghai for 3.65 billion yuan and a group plot in Beijing for 15.33 billion yuan [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 109.58 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.7% year-on-year, with a significant drop in the third quarter revenue by 19.8% [1] - The operating profit for the first three quarters was 18.18 billion yuan, down 19.6% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 16.6%, reflecting continued pressure on profit margins [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted to 2.24 yuan, 2.34 yuan, and 2.50 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 5.6, 5.3, and 5.0 times [2][3] - The report expresses optimism about the company's ability to increase market share and enhance competitiveness in high-end residential development, maintaining the "Buy" rating [1][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次覆盖) [2][10] Core Views - The company is experiencing sustained high growth overseas, driven by its IP strategy and "Guzi Economy" which enhances its influence [2] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.523 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 642 million yuan, up 4.8% year-on-year [2] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 12.281 billion yuan, a 22.8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.812 billion yuan, a 12.0% increase year-on-year [2] Financial Performance - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 47.98 billion HKD and a closing price of 38.70 HKD as of November 29, 2024 [4] - The company plans to add 900-1100 new stores in 2024, with a total of 7186 stores as of Q3 2024, reflecting a net increase of 1071 stores year-on-year [5] - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 44.1%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points year-on-year [6] Store Expansion and Strategy - The company has expanded its store network significantly, with 4250 stores in mainland China and 2936 stores overseas as of Q3 2024 [5] - The IP strategy has led to collaborations with over 150 IPs globally, enhancing product differentiation and customer engagement [7] - The company announced a cash dividend of 620 million yuan, representing about 50% of its adjusted net profit for H1 2024, along with a share buyback plan of up to 2 billion HKD [7] Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 17.18 billion yuan, 20.76 billion yuan, and 23.83 billion yuan respectively, with adjusted net profits of 2.828 billion yuan, 3.531 billion yuan, and 4.220 billion yuan [8]

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - JD Group's Q3 2024 revenue reached 260.4 billion yuan (yoy +5.1%), with Non-GAAP operating profit at 13.1 billion yuan (yoy +17.9%) and Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders at 13.2 billion yuan (yoy +23.9%) [1] - JD Retail's operating margin remained stable at 5.2% yoy, with a sequential improvement of 1.3 percentage points [1] - Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) as of September 2024 was 33.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 22 billion yuan from June 2024 and 5.8 billion yuan yoy, primarily due to delayed accounts payable and inventory buildup for the trade-in program [1] - The trade-in policy drove a rebound in 3C and home appliance revenue, with 3C and home appliance sales reaching 122.6 billion yuan (yoy +2.7%), reversing the -4.6% decline in Q2 2024 [1] - JD Logistics saw a significant improvement in profitability, with operating profit surging 624% yoy to 2.09 billion yuan and operating margin increasing to 4.7% from 0.7% in Q3 2023 [1] - JD's Double 11 shopping festival in 2024 exceeded expectations, with active users growing by double digits, daily active buyers increasing by over 20%, and purchase frequency also growing by double digits [1] Business Performance by Segment JD Retail - Revenue: 225 billion yuan (yoy +6.1%) [1] - Operating profit: 11.6 billion yuan (yoy +5.5%) [1] - Operating margin: 5.2% (flat yoy) [1] JD Logistics - Revenue: 44.4 billion yuan (yoy +6.6%) [1] - Operating profit: 2.09 billion yuan (yoy +624%) [1] - Operating margin: 4.7% (up from 0.7% in Q3 2023) [1] New Businesses (Including Dada, Jingxi, Overseas, and JD Property) - Revenue: 5 billion yuan (yoy -25.7%) [1] - Operating loss: 600 million yuan [1] Key Strategies - Low-price strategy: JD has implemented a matrix of low-price activities, including the "JD Super 18" event every month, weekly "Black Friday" promotions, and daily "Midnight Sale" events [1] - Trade-in program: The policy has successfully driven growth in the 3C and home appliance categories [1] Financial Forecasts - Revenue growth for 2024-2026 is projected at 5.26%, 5.09%, and 5.00%, respectively [1] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 45.7 billion yuan, 49.2 billion yuan, and 52.9 billion yuan for 2024-2026 [1] - Long-term profit margin target is set at high single digits [1] Revenue Breakdown by Category Electronics and Home Appliances - Revenue: 553.3 billion yuan (2024E), 568.3 billion yuan (2025E), 585.3 billion yuan (2026E) [6] - Growth rate: 2.7% (2024E), 2.7% (2025E), 3.0% (2026E) [6] Daily Necessities - Revenue: 360 billion yuan (2024E), 387 billion yuan (2025E), 414.1 billion yuan (2026E) [6] - Growth rate: 8.3% (2024E), 7.5% (2025E), 7.0% (2026E) [6] Platform and Advertising Services - Revenue: 88 billion yuan (2024E), 91.6 billion yuan (2025E), 95.2 billion yuan (2026E) [6] - Growth rate: 3.9% (2024E), 4.0% (2025E), 4.0% (2026E) [6] Logistics and Other Services - Revenue: 140.3 billion yuan (2024E), 152.9 billion yuan (2025E), 165.2 billion yuan (2026E) [6] - Growth rate: 9.0% (2024E), 9.0% (2025E), 8.0% (2026E) [6] Key Assumptions - Electronics and home appliances: Continued growth driven by trade-in policies and government subsidies, with 3C and home appliance revenue expected to increase in Q4 2024 [5] - Daily necessities: Lower shipping thresholds and optimized platform rules are expected to sustain a 7%+ GMV growth rate for 2025-2026 [5]

Investment Rating - The report does not specify a clear investment rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company is initiating a restricted stock incentive plan, granting 12.34 million shares at a price of HKD 6.65 per share, reflecting confidence in its development [1][2]. - The performance targets for the incentive plan are ambitious, with revenue goals set at HKD 1.5 billion, HKD 1.75 billion, and HKD 2 billion for the years 2025-2028, indicating a projected growth rate of 50% to 100% [2]. - Strong sales growth of the drug Acalbrutinib, with Q3 sales reaching HKD 276 million, a 75.5% increase year-over-year, and total sales for the first three quarters at HKD 693 million, a 45% increase [3]. - The company is advancing its pipeline with two TYK2 inhibitors, with ongoing clinical trials showing promising results [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company expects revenues of HKD 1.01 billion, HKD 1.54 billion, and HKD 2.09 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 37.08%, 52.53%, and 35.54% [5][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to improve from a loss of HKD 631.26 million in 2024 to a profit of HKD 232.04 million in 2026, indicating a significant turnaround [5][10]. Product Pipeline - Acalbrutinib is the first and only BTK inhibitor approved for MZL in China, with ongoing clinical trials for various indications, including PPMS and ITP [3]. - The company is in the first tier of domestic development for TYK2 inhibitors, with two products making significant progress in clinical trials [3]. Market Position - The report highlights the company's strong market position in the hematology field and its potential to lead in the treatment of autoimmune diseases [3][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2024 revenue of RMB 93.577 billion, a year-over-year increase of 22.38%. The GAAP net profit was RMB 12.865 billion, with a NON-GAAP net profit of RMB 12.829 billion, resulting in a NON-GAAP net profit margin of 13.71% [3][11]. - The core local business showed resilience with revenue of RMB 69.373 billion, up 20.25% year-over-year, and operating profit of RMB 14.582 billion, up 44.44% year-over-year. New business revenue reached RMB 24.204 billion, a 28.91% increase year-over-year, although it incurred an operating loss of RMB 1.026 billion [3][11][18]. - The company is optimistic about its overseas expansion, particularly with the launch of Keeta in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which is expected to drive growth in new business segments [3][23]. Summary by Sections Q3 2024 Performance - Revenue for Q3 2024 was RMB 93.577 billion, a 22.38% increase year-over-year. The core local business generated RMB 69.373 billion in revenue, with an operating profit of RMB 14.582 billion [3][11][18]. - The company reported a total of 7.078 billion instant delivery transactions, reflecting a 14.54% year-over-year growth [3][11]. Business Segments - The core local business maintained strong growth, with a year-over-year revenue increase of 20.25% and an operating profit margin improvement of 3.52 percentage points to 21.02% [3][11][18]. - New business revenue grew by 28.91% year-over-year, with significant improvements in loss reduction across various segments, excluding Meituan Preferred [3][23]. Profitability Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company expects revenues of RMB 336.5 billion and RMB 396.6 billion for 2024 and 2025, respectively, with adjusted net profits of RMB 45.9 billion and RMB 57.1 billion [3][24][25]. - The report raises the company's fair value estimate to HKD 189.36 per share, reflecting confidence in the core business's strong barriers and profitability [3][24][25].