国新国证期货早报 2026 年 3 月 3 日 星期二 品种观点： 【股指期货】 周一 （3 月 2 日）A 股三大指数涨跌不一，截止收盘，沪指涨 0.47%，收报 4182.59 点；深 证成指跌 0.20%，收报 14465.79 点；创业板指跌 0.49%，收报 3294.16 点。沪深京三市成交额达到 3.04 万亿， 较上一交易日大幅放量 5398 亿。 沪深 300 指数 3 月 2 日强势。收盘 4728.67，环比上涨 18.02。（数据来源：东方财富网） 客服产品系列•日评 【焦炭 焦煤】3 月 2 日焦炭加权指数震荡整理，收盘价 1660.8，环比上涨 22.9。 3 月 2 日焦煤加权指数窄幅整理，收盘价 1113.5 元，环比上涨 12.8。 影响焦炭期货、焦煤期货价格的有关信息： 焦炭：2 月天津准一级冶金焦价格不变，吕梁准一、唐山一级冶金焦价格不变，日照准一级冶金焦价格涨 10 元/吨。焦化企业生产利润有所改善，目前焦化企业吨焦亏损 10 元/吨左右，2 月部分焦化企业复工复产，独立 焦企日均产量增加 1.45 万吨，247 家钢厂焦炭日均产量增加 0.09 万吨。需求，2 月钢厂 ...

Welcome back to Market on Close. I'm Marley Caden alongside Sam Bodis in New York. Let's discuss the energy sector.Welcome in our next guest, Carly Garner, [music] senior commodity strategist and broker at D Carly Trading. Carly, thanks for being with us today. Seeing a big jump in oil prices.You know, we're up more than 7% in crude, more than seven and a half in Brent today. You know, what are some of your thoughts on this move we're seeing. Is it justified. Is it an overreaction.Well, to be honest, I thin ...

期货研究报告 2026年03月02日 周报 关注因素：美国最新经济数据、地缘政治变动、节后需求复苏 | | 单位 | 本周最新 | 上周同期 | 周度环比 | 周度环比 | 频率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 变化量 | 变化率 | | | 电解铜价格（≥99.95%）：上海 | 元/吨 | 101970 | 100275 | 1695 | 1.69% | 周度 | | 电解铜升贴水（≥99.95%）：上海 | 元/吨 | -250 | -5 | -245 | -4900.00% | 周度 | | 干净铜精矿远期现货综合指数（TC计） | 美元/干吨 | -51.06 | -51.17 | 0.11 | 0.21% | 周度 | | 无氧铜杆价格 | 元/吨 | 103090 | 101270 | 1820 | 1.80% | 周度 | | LME铜库存 | 吨 | 253700 | 241825 | 11875 | 4.91% | 周度 | | SHFE铜库存 | 吨 | 391529 | 272475 | 119054 | ...

投资咨询系列报告 山金期货黑色板块日报 一、螺纹、热卷 更新时间：2026年03月02日08时23分 报告导读： 周六美以对伊发动袭击，周一开盘，原油价格大幅拉升，可能会对黑色商品有一定的情绪上的提振 ，但主要还是看市场的供需情况。供需方面，上 周 247家样本钢厂螺纹产量继续下降，表观需求环比回落，总库存继续回升，五大品种总产量大幅下降，库存继续增加，表观需求处于一年中的最 低。整体来看，目前市场整体仍处于供需双弱的状态 ，产量、需求处于低位，库存从低位快速增加，预计要到元宵节之后下游需求才会逐步启动 ， 市场对 2026 年的需求预期相对偏弱。从技术面看，期价出现大幅反弹后回落，显示上方阻力仍大。由于当前估值低，下方的空间或有限。 投资咨询系列报告 操作建议： 维持观望，谨慎交易 | 表1：螺纹、热卷相关数据 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 数据类别 | 指标 | 单位 | 最新 | | 较上日 | | 较上周 | | | 螺纹钢主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 3067 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The same-store revenue growth for Q4 2025 was negative 0.1%, indicating stabilization compared to previous quarters [11] - Funds from Operations (FFO) per share for the quarter was reported at $0.64, with a 1.9% increase in the quarterly dividend to an annualized $2.12 per share, representing a 5.3% dividend yield [12] - The leverage ratio ended the year at 4.8x net debt to EBITDA, indicating a strong balance sheet [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The occupancy gap improved to 88.7% by the end of January 2026, narrowing from year-end 2025 [8] - Move-in rates showed significant improvement, turning positive at +2.8% in Q4 2025, compared to -10% in Q4 2024 [7] - Over 75% of the top 25 markets experienced revenue growth acceleration from Q3 to Q4 2025 [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core urban markets in the Northeast and Midwest outperformed, while supply-impacted markets in the Sun Belt and West Coast began to show improvement [5][9] - Only 19% of same-store assets are projected to face new supply impacts in 2026, the lowest percentage since 2017 [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to return to growth in 2026, focusing on stabilizing fundamentals and improving operating metrics [5] - A new joint venture with CBRE IM was announced, with a $250 million mandate to invest in high-growth markets [13] - The company is considering share repurchases as a strategic option to enhance shareholder value amid disconnected public and private market valuations [15][48] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about returning to historical revenue growth levels, expecting gradual improvement throughout 2026 [9][39] - The company is focused on expense controls, having led the sector in the lowest expense growth over the past several years [18] - Management acknowledged the potential impact of economic conditions, including layoffs, on demand for self-storage services, but emphasized the resilience of the business model [56][99] Other Important Information - The company executed share repurchases during Q4 2025, with an expanded authorization allowing for approximately $475 million in capacity [15] - The company is exploring opportunities to sell or contribute assets to joint ventures to fund additional share repurchases if valuation gaps persist [16][70] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company view supply impacts? - The company assesses supply impacts over a three-year rolling period, with 19% of stores impacted in 2026, reflecting deliveries from 2024 to 2026 [21][23] Question: How is the company responding to the lawsuit in New York? - The company is monitoring the situation and remains focused on compliance and providing optimal customer experiences [25] Question: What is driving the higher operating expenses outlook? - Key drivers include real estate taxes and weather-related costs, with personnel costs expected to rise slightly above inflation [30] Question: What is the outlook for move-in rates? - Management expects steady improvement in move-in rates, with a focus on maximizing revenue from existing customers [36][62] Question: How does the company view its portfolio and potential dispositions? - The company is open to trading assets to enhance portfolio quality and may consider joint ventures for non-core assets [69][70]

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 国贸期货股份有限公司 成为一流的衍生品综合服务商 装置检修动态:华东一套250万吨PTA装置预计2月10日开始停车,具体开车时间未定。 ·PTA现货价格 MEG内盘 PTA现货价格 -- PTA主力期货价格 县 8000 1700 9200 1500 7000 1300 8200 1100 6000 7200 900 5000 700 6200 500 5200 4000 300 100 4200 3000 -100 3200 -300 2000 2023-01 2021-01 2024-01 2026-01 2022-01 2025-01 2025-10 2025-12 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 2025-08 数据图表 800 POY现金流 现货加工区间 -- 盘面加工区间 DTY到金流 FDY 现金流 800 涤短现金流 600 切片到 700 400 600 200 500 400 0 300 -200 200 -400 100 0 -600 2023-01023-02024-02024-02024-02024-020 ...

期货市场交易指引 2026 年 02 月 26 日 | | 宏观金融 | | --- | --- | | ◆股指： | 中长期看好，逢低做多 | | ◆国债： | 震荡运行 | | | 黑色建材 | | ◆焦煤： | 短线交易 | | ◆螺纹钢： | 区间交易 | | ◆玻璃： | 震荡偏弱 | | | 有色金属 | | ◆铜： | 建议逢低做多 | | ◆铝： | 建议加强观望 | | ◆镍： | 建议逢低适度持多 | | ◆锡： | 区间交易 | | ◆黄金： | 区间交易 | | ◆白银： | 区间交易 | | ◆碳酸锂： | 区间震荡 | | | 能源化工 | | ◆PVC： | 区间交易 | | ◆烧碱： | 低位震荡 | | ◆纯碱： | 逢高做空 | | ◆苯乙烯： | 区间交易 | | ◆橡胶： | 区间交易 | | ◆尿素： | 区间交易 | | ◆甲醇： | 区间交易 | | ◆聚烯烃： | 偏弱震荡 | | | 棉纺产业链 | | ◆棉花棉纱： | 震荡偏强 | | ◆苹果： | 震荡偏强 | | ◆红枣： | 震荡运行 | | | 农业畜牧 | | ◆生猪： | 05 谨慎追空，待反弹 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - The report does not explicitly mention overall industry - wide investment ratings. Instead, it provides trend intensities for various commodities, which can be used as a reference for investment sentiment. For example, rubber has a trend intensity of 1, indicating a relatively strong upward trend; while many commodities like synthetic rubber, LLDPE (in some cases), and methanol have a trend intensity of 0, suggesting a neutral trend [4][7][10]. 2. Core Views of the Report - The report analyzes the fundamentals, market conditions, and price trends of multiple energy - chemical commodities. Each commodity has its own unique supply - demand situation, cost factors, and external influencing factors. For instance, some commodities are affected by raw material price fluctuations, while others are influenced by seasonal demand changes, production capacity adjustments, and geopolitical events [10][14][20]. 3. Summary by Commodity Rubber - **Price Trend**: Expected to be oscillating strongly. The main contract's price increased on both the day and night sessions, with the day - closing price rising from 17,030 yuan/ton to 17,240 yuan/ton, and the night - closing price from 17,180 yuan/ton to 17,315 yuan/ton. The open - interest also increased [4]. - **Market Conditions**: After the Spring Festival, most tire enterprises resumed production as planned, with semi - steel tire orders in February better than those of all - steel tires. Market orders are better than last year, and trading is expected to improve [6]. Synthetic Rubber - **Price Trend**: Expected to oscillate downward. The main contract's price decreased, with the day - closing price dropping from 13,140 yuan/ton to 13,045 yuan/ton, and the open - interest also decreasing [7]. - **Market Conditions**: As of February 25, 2026, domestic cis - polybutadiene rubber inventory increased significantly compared to before the Spring Festival. In the short - term, it is expected to oscillate, with the upper pressure coming from the weakening fundamentals and the lower support from international energy prices and international butadiene prices [8][9]. LLDPE and PP - **LLDPE**: Crude oil provides strong cost support, but its own supply - demand pattern is average. After the holiday, the demand for mulch films is expected to improve, and the packaging film industry will gradually recover. The supply - side contradictions are not significant for now [10][11]. - **PP**: The C3 raw material is strong, and PDH maintenance is still high. There is no new production capacity before the 2605 contract, and the supply - demand game among existing capacities intensifies. Attention should be paid to the marginal changes of PDH devices [10][11]. Caustic Soda - **Price Trend**: The near - month delivery pressure is high, but the cost still provides support. The 05 - contract futures price is 2167 yuan/ton, and the basis is - 167 yuan/ton [13]. - **Market Conditions**: During the Spring Festival, liquid chlorine was weak, which supported the caustic soda price. After the festival, due to high inventory, the short - term sharp increase space is limited. The market will first deal with the delivery pressure and then consider future production reduction expectations and improved downstream demand [14]. Pulp - **Price Trend**: Expected to oscillate. The main contract's price had a slight increase during the day session and a decrease during the night session. The open - interest decreased [19]. - **Market Conditions**: The futures market oscillated at a high level, and the spot market remained stable after the price increase. The demand side is favorable, but there is also pressure from port inventory accumulation. The price of household paper is expected to be stable, and attention should be paid to the inventory and downstream procurement sentiment [20][21]. Glass - **Price Trend**: The original sheet price is stable. The futures price increased slightly, with the 05 - contract closing at 1064 yuan/ton, up 1.53% [23]. - **Market Conditions**: After the Spring Festival, domestic float glass factories plan to raise prices, but the downstream market starts slowly. The implementation of the new price needs further follow - up [23]. Methanol - **Price Trend**: Expected to oscillate. The main contract's price decreased, with the closing price dropping from 2285 yuan/ton to 2249 yuan/ton [26]. - **Market Conditions**: The spot price index decreased slightly. The port inventory increased slightly. In the short - term, it is expected to oscillate, with the upper pressure at 2300 - 2350 yuan/ton and the lower support at 2100 - 2150 yuan/ton [28][29]. Urea - **Price Trend**: Expected to oscillate in the short - term. The main contract's price decreased, with the closing price dropping from 1855 yuan/ton to 1838 yuan/ton [31]. - **Market Conditions**: As of February 25, 2026, the total inventory of urea enterprises increased significantly. In the short - term, the futures price will enter an oscillating pattern, and the medium - term focus is on the start of the grass - roots market [32][33]. Styrene - **Price Trend**: Expected to oscillate strongly. The prices of each contract decreased slightly [34]. - **Market Conditions**: During the Spring Festival, the overseas styrene price was strong, and the domestic port inventory increased slightly. In the short - term, it will oscillate strongly, and attention should be paid to the destocking amplitude after March and the restart progress of marginal devices [35]. Soda Ash - **Price Trend**: The spot market has little change. The futures price increased, with the 05 - contract closing at 1191 yuan/ton, up 2.58% [37]. - **Market Conditions**: The domestic soda ash market is stable, with enterprises' device operation oscillating and downstream demand in a wait - and - see state. In the short - term, the market will adjust weakly and stably [37]. LPG and Propylene - **LPG**: Supply tightened, and the night - session price soared. The prices of each contract had different degrees of increase and decrease [40]. - **Propylene**: Supply and demand remained tight, and the spot price was stable. The prices of each contract also had different degrees of increase and decrease [40]. - **Market Conditions**: Saudi Arabia cancelled the FOB loading plan from March 1 - 24 due to a facility failure, which led to a sharp rise in the international paper - cargo price. There are many domestic PDH and LPG plant maintenance plans [45][46]. PVC - **Price Trend**: Expected to oscillate within a range. The 05 - contract futures price is 4963 yuan/ton, and the basis is - 243 yuan/ton [48]. - **Market Conditions**: The PVC market's high - production and high - inventory structure remains unchanged. In 2026, the supply - side production reduction during the maintenance peak season may exceed expectations, which is beneficial to the profit repair of the chlor - alkali industry [48]. Fuel Oil and Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - **Fuel Oil**: The night - session price rebounded, and the weakness was temporarily alleviated. The prices of each contract decreased [50]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The price dropped from a high level, and the spot price difference between high - and low - sulfur fuels in the overseas market slightly shrank. The prices of each contract also decreased [50]. Container Freight Index (European Line) - **Price Trend**: Should be treated with an oscillating mindset. The prices of each contract decreased [52]. - **Market Conditions**: The short - term price was under pressure due to Maersk's price cut in the 11th week of March. In the medium - and long - term, the uncertainty lies in the resumption of shipping routes. Different contracts have different investment suggestions [61][63][64]. Staple Fiber and Bottle Chip - **Staple Fiber**: Expected to oscillate at a high level. The futures price decreased, the spot price was mostly stable, and the downstream demand was weak [66]. - **Bottle Chip**: Expected to oscillate at a high level. The upstream polyester raw materials oscillated and decreased, the factory price was mostly stable, and the market trading atmosphere improved [67]. Offset Printing Paper - **Price Trend**: It is recommended to wait and see. The spot price and cost of each paper type remained stable, and the futures price had a slight decrease [69]. - **Market Conditions**: The prices in the Shandong and Guangdong markets were stable, the market started slowly after the holiday, and the trading was light. The industry was in a wait - and - see mood [70][72]. Pure Benzene - **Price Trend**: Expected to oscillate strongly. The prices of each contract decreased slightly, and the spot price increased slightly [74]. - **Market Conditions**: As of February 24, 2026, the port inventory of pure benzene increased. The market atmosphere was average on the day, and the trading volume decreased [75][76].

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 原油： （钟美燕，从业资格号：F3045334；交易咨询资格号：Z0002410） 周三油价下行，其中WTI 4月合约收盘下跌0.21美元至65.42美元/桶，跌幅0.32%。布伦特4月合约收盘上 涨0.08美元至70.85美元/桶，涨幅0.11%。SC2604以486.5元/桶收盘，下跌3.1元/桶，跌幅0.63%。伊朗外 长阿拉格齐率领伊朗代表团抵达瑞士日内瓦，参加即将于26日举行的伊美第三轮谈判。在阿曼斡旋下， 伊朗与美国第三轮间接谈判将于26日在日内瓦举行。美国近期在中东地区大规模集结兵力。美国总统特 朗普近日承认，他在考虑对伊朗进行"有限军事打击"。EIA周三公布的数据显示，由于炼油厂产能利用 率下降且进口增加，上周美国原油库存增幅创2023年2月以来新大，推动库存增至八个半月来最高水 平。EIA数据显示，截至2月20日当周，美国原油库存增加了1600万桶，远超分析师预期的150万桶增 幅，库存增至逾八个月来最高的4.358亿桶。斯洛伐克总理菲佐表示，乌克兰总统泽连斯基一再推迟恢 复"友谊"管道送油的做法是"敌对行为"。乌克兰已多次更 ...

光大期货能化商品日报 光大期货能化商品日报（2026 年 2 月 25 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周二油价小幅下跌，其中 WTI 4月合约收盘下跌 0.68 美元至 65.63 | | | | 美元/桶，跌幅 1.03%。布伦特 4 月合约收盘下跌 0.72 美元至 70.77 | | | | 美元/桶，跌幅 1.01%。SC2604 以 485.5 元/桶收盘，下跌 4.4 元/ | | | | 桶，跌幅 0.9%。伊朗外交部副部长周二表示，德黑兰愿意采取任 | | | | 何必要措施，以达成与美国的协议。此前，美国全国公共广播电 | | | | 台的一则报道称，伊朗已准备尽快与美国达成协议。美国 API 公 | | | 原油 | 布的数据显示，上周美国原油库存增加，汽油和馏分油库存下降。 | 震荡 | | | 截至 2 月 20 日当周，美国原油库存增加 1143 万桶，汽油库存减 | | | | 少 154 万桶，馏分油库存减少 277 万桶。本月，伊朗原油装船量 | | | | 飙升至多年高位，在伊朗与华盛顿举行第三轮核谈判之 ...