Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform" [5] Core Viewpoints - The construction sector is expected to benefit from increased funding and policy catalysts, with a focus on undervalued and high-dividend investment opportunities [13][19] - The construction index decreased by 1.06% during the week, underperforming the broader market by 0.74 percentage points, while the construction transformation and M&A sectors showed positive growth [4][30] - The government is accelerating the implementation of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools to support major projects, which is expected to enhance infrastructure growth in the fourth quarter [2][13] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Funding and Policy - The Ministry of Finance will continue to advance the 2026 new local government debt limit to ensure funding for key projects, with an increase of 100 billion yuan from the previous year, totaling 500 billion yuan [2][13] - The issuance of special bonds and long-term special government bonds is progressing rapidly, with a total issuance of 1.148 trillion yuan for the year, nearing 90% of the target [15][16] Valuation and Dividend Analysis - Central state-owned enterprises in the construction sector are showing significantly low price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, with China Chemical at a PE of less than 5%, and price-to-book (PB) ratios also low, indicating potential undervaluation [3][24] - China Construction currently has a dividend yield of 4.86%, outperforming other central state-owned enterprises [3][24] Regional Investment Opportunities - The western region's fixed asset investment grew by 6.6% in the first half of the year, with significant projects in Xinjiang and Tibet expected to catalyze further investment opportunities [19][20] - Key projects include the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway and the Yaxia hydropower station, which are anticipated to drive demand for construction and related services [20][21] Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include China Chemical, China Railway Construction, and China Communications Construction, which are expected to benefit from strategic infrastructure projects and regional growth [9][37] - The report highlights the importance of focusing on high-dividend and low-valuation stocks within the construction sector, particularly in the context of ongoing government support for infrastructure development [3][21]

Revenue and Expenditure Trends - From January to September 2025, the cumulative year-on-year growth rate of general public budget revenue was +0.5%, up from +0.3% in the previous period[1] - Cumulative year-on-year growth rate of general public budget expenditure remained at +3.1%[1] - Government fund budget revenue showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of -0.5%, improving from -1.4% previously[1] September Fiscal Performance - In September, general public budget revenue increased by 2.58% year-on-year, a recovery from the previous month[3] - Central government revenue grew by 3.47% year-on-year, while local government revenue increased by 1.96%[3] - Tax revenue in September rose by 8.66% year-on-year, marking a significant improvement[5] Tax Revenue Breakdown - Domestic consumption tax increased by 3.83% year-on-year, with vehicle purchase tax rising by 8.53%[4] - Corporate income tax saw a year-on-year growth of 19.59%, although it was a decline from the previous month[5] - Personal income tax grew by 16.68% year-on-year, reflecting a strong performance[5] Government Fund Budget Insights - Government fund budget revenue in September improved to +5.6% year-on-year from -5.7%[22] - Cumulative progress for government fund budget revenue was 49.1%, below the five-year average of 54.4%[22] - Cumulative expenditure progress for government fund budgets was 60.0%, above the five-year average of 56.1%[22] Special Debt Issuance - By September 2025, the issuance of new local special bonds reached 3.68 trillion yuan, completing 83.6% of the annual plan[31] - The acceleration of fund activation post-special bond issuance is expected to improve liquidity and stabilize infrastructure investment growth[31]

Group 1: Fiscal Policy Measures - The central government has allocated 500 billion yuan from local government debt limits to support local fiscal capacity and address outstanding debts[3] - The local government general debt limit for 2024 is set at 17.3 trillion yuan, with a special debt limit of 29.5 trillion yuan, and an additional 600 billion yuan for debt replacement over three years[3] - The new 500 billion yuan debt limit is expected to be issued quickly, potentially by the end of the year, to support infrastructure projects and debt resolution[5] Group 2: Economic Impact - The issuance of the 500 billion yuan debt is projected to stimulate social financing and improve liquidity in the market[5] - The advance allocation of 2026 local government debt limits allows for 31.2 trillion yuan in total, supporting major strategic projects and addressing hidden debts[6] - The fiscal deposits increased by 1.37 trillion yuan in the first nine months of 2025, indicating accelerated fiscal spending compared to 724.8 billion yuan in the same period of 2024[7] Group 3: Market Outlook - The market is currently experiencing a "weak stock, strong bond" dynamic due to external disturbances and profit-taking after significant stock gains[2] - The ongoing fiscal policies are expected to enhance market stability, especially around the time of the 20th Central Committee meeting[8] - Risks include potential delays in policy implementation and major project commencements not meeting expectations[9]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Copper Industry**: Global copper supply is expected to decrease by nearly 500,000 tons due to the suspension of the Efemçukuru Kakuva project and production cuts from Freeport, exacerbating market tightness [1][3][4]. Domestic demand is weak overall, but sectors like electricity, home appliances, and automobiles account for 70% of demand, with expectations for recovery in the electricity sector in Q4 [1][3]. - **Gold Market**: Gold prices have surged by 50% this year, driven by a weaker dollar, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical risks. Central banks continue to increase their gold holdings, although the pace is expected to slow in the first half of 2025 [5][6][7]. - **Infrastructure Investment**: Infrastructure investment has seen a cumulative year-on-year growth of 5.4% from January to August 2025, with expectations for a boost in Q4 due to the construction peak and major project launches [8][9][10]. - **Cement Industry**: The cement industry is experiencing production contraction and weak demand, with a year-on-year decline of 6.21% in production since August 2025. However, an increase in infrastructure demand may support cement usage in Q4 [11][12][13]. Key Insights and Arguments - **Copper Price Outlook**: The outlook for copper prices remains positive due to supply constraints and better-than-expected demand. The anticipated price range for copper by 2026 is between $12,000 and $14,000 [3][4]. - **Gold Market Dynamics**: The increase in gold prices is attributed to macroeconomic factors and a growing preference for gold as a safe-haven asset. Central banks have significantly increased their gold purchases since 2022, with China accounting for about 20% of global increases [5][6]. - **Infrastructure Investment Trends**: The fourth quarter is expected to see a recovery in infrastructure investment, supported by significant project funding and the issuance of special bonds [8][10]. - **Cement Price Trends**: The cement industry is implementing anti-involution policies to stabilize growth, which may lead to a price increase in Q4 due to improved demand from infrastructure projects [12][13]. Additional Important Points - **Steel Industry Challenges**: The steel industry faces environmental cost pressures and total carbon emissions control, which may lead to the exit of high-cost steel mills and promote industry consolidation [2][15][16]. - **Iron Ore Supply and Price Trends**: Iron ore supply is expected to increase in Q4, with significant growth in imports noted in September. However, if demand for iron and steel declines, raw material prices may face downward pressure [23][27]. - **Black Metal Market Outlook**: The black metal market is influenced by both supportive policies and weak demand from real estate and manufacturing sectors, leading to a cautious outlook for Q4 [20][21][24]. - **Cement Industry Future Expectations**: The cement industry is expected to face weak overall demand in 2026, with infrastructure projects providing some support. Companies with strong supply capabilities in regions like Xinjiang and Tibet are seen as having investment value [13]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and trends across various industries, highlighting potential investment opportunities and risks.

Group 1: Glass Fiber Industry - The leading companies in the glass fiber sector, such as Chongqing International and Linzhou Guangyuan, have raised prices for G75 electronic yarn by 150-300 CNY/ton and for 7628 electronic cloth by 0.2 CNY/meter, indicating a positive price trend due to supply-demand dynamics [4] - The inventory in the glass fiber industry decreased to 860,000 tons by the end of September, reflecting a 5% month-on-month decline, suggesting a tightening supply situation [4] - The overall supply-demand balance for coarse yarn is expected to improve in Q4 2025, as new production capacity is limited, primarily coming online in the first half of 2025 [4] Group 2: Cement Industry - Post-National Day, the cement market has seen a decline in demand due to factors such as funding shortages and adverse weather conditions, with average shipment rates for major regions falling below 45% [5] - In East China, cement prices have decreased, with prices in Nanjing dropping by 20 CNY/ton, and the current price for P.O42.5 cement in Nanjing is between 200-210 CNY/ton [5] - Despite the current weak demand, companies are still inclined to raise prices to improve profitability, although the implementation of such price increases remains to be monitored [5] Group 3: Glass Industry - As of October 9, the total inventory of glass in monitored provinces increased by 6.96 million weight boxes, a rise of 13.71% compared to September 30, indicating a significant accumulation of stock [6][7] - The production volume was recorded at 16.88 million weight boxes, with a consumption volume of 9.92 million weight boxes, resulting in a production-sales rate of 58.78% [7] - The market has experienced a slowdown in trading activity, with many companies showing a cautious approach to pricing despite plans for potential increases [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - 5000 billion yuan of new policy - based financial instruments are expected to drive 2 - 5 trillion yuan of infrastructure investment, focusing on new infrastructure and consumption - related infrastructure. In addition to accelerating the implementation of these instruments, it is recommended that fiscal policies further strengthen efforts, such as accelerating the use of existing tools like special bonds and special treasury bonds, and considering increasing the deficit ratio and issuing special treasury bonds [5][7]. - Some regions have announced debt - reduction goals. Shandong Zibo Zichuan District plans to eliminate high - interest debts above 7% by the end of the year and keep the government's comprehensive debt ratio below 200%. Anhui Chizhou aims to completely eliminate implicit debts by the end of 2025 [5][13]. - This week, 43 urban investment enterprises prepaid bond principal and interest, and 7 urban investment bonds cancelled their issuance [5][16][17]. Summary by Directory 1. News Commentary - **5000 billion yuan of new policy - based financial instruments**: Compared with the previous two rounds, the scale has moderately shrunk, and the supported fields are tilted towards new infrastructure and consumption - related infrastructure. It can support infrastructure investment this year, especially solve the problem of insufficient project capital, and theoretically drive 2 - 5 trillion yuan of infrastructure investment. It is also recommended to strengthen fiscal policies [5][10][11]. - **Debt - reduction goals in some regions**: Shandong Zibo Zichuan District will replace high - interest debts above 7% and control the comprehensive debt ratio. Anhui Chizhou will eliminate implicit debts and try to complete the exit of financing platforms [13][15]. - **Pre - payment of bonds by urban investment enterprises**: 43 urban investment enterprises prepaid bond principal and interest, involving 45 bonds with a total scale of 70.84 billion yuan [16]. - **Cancellation of bond issuance**: 7 urban investment bonds cancelled their issuance, with a planned total issuance scale of 47.00 billion yuan [17]. 2. Issuance of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds - **Local government bonds**: This week, the issuance and net financing scale increased. The 2 - trillion - yuan replacement quota has only 136.47 billion yuan left, and only Henan and Hubei have not completed the issuance. The weighted average issuance interest rate increased, and the weighted average issuance spread narrowed. The issuance was mainly in 30 - year terms, and Guangdong had the largest issuance scale [18][19]. - **Urban investment bonds**: The issuance scale increased, the net financing scale turned negative, the issuance interest rate increased, and the spread widened. The issuance was mainly private placement bonds, with a 5 - year term, and the issuer's main body level was mainly AA +. This week, 6 overseas urban investment bonds were issued, with a total scale of 57.45 billion yuan [24][25]. 3. Trading of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds - **Funding situation**: The central bank conducted reverse repurchase and MLF operations this week, with a net investment of 1122.3 billion yuan. Short - term funding rates fluctuated [30]. - **Credit rating adjustment**: There was no credit rating adjustment for urban investment enterprises this week [30]. - **Credit events and regulatory penalties**: No urban investment credit risk events occurred this week [30]. - **Local government bonds**: The spot trading scale increased by 3.21% to 508.935 billion yuan, and most of the maturity yields increased, with an average increase of 3.38BP [32]. - **Urban investment bonds**: The trading scale increased by 12.74% to 358.453 billion yuan, and the maturity yields increased across the board, with an average increase of 6.91BP. The spreads of 1 - year, 3 - year, and 5 - year AA + urban investment bonds widened [32]. - **Abnormal trading of urban investment bonds**: 12 bonds of 11 urban investment entities had 15 abnormal trades. Shandong had the most abnormal trading times [32]. 4. Important Announcements of Urban Investment Enterprises - 35 urban investment enterprises issued announcements regarding changes in senior management, legal representatives, directors, supervisors, etc., changes in controlling shareholders and actual controllers, equity/asset transfers, suspected disciplinary violations, and name changes [35].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 43.536 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.91%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.780 billion yuan, down 13.00% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 43.536 billion yuan, 2.780 billion yuan, and 2.720 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -4.91%, -13.00%, and -13.72% [1] - The company has a projected revenue of 109.295 billion yuan, 117.840 billion yuan, and 123.732 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of +2%, +8%, and +5% respectively [3] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to 2027 is 7.958 billion yuan, 8.410 billion yuan, and 8.914 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of +10%, +6%, and +6% respectively [3] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Sichuan's strategic positioning has been upgraded, with infrastructure investment expected to exceed 280 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.48% [1] - The total planned scale of highways in Sichuan is approximately 20,000 kilometers by 2035, with over 10,000 kilometers already operational by the end of 2024, indicating significant growth potential [1] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - The major shareholder, Shudao Group, has increased the company's dividend payout ratio to 60%, with a projected dividend yield of 6.8% for 2025 [2] - The cash dividend ratio has been steadily increasing, with a commitment to maintain a payout of no less than 60% from 2025 to 2027 [2] Group 4: Order Growth - The company signed new contracts worth 72.240 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.20%, with quarterly growth rates of 18.87% and 25.44% for Q1 and Q2 respectively [2] - The infrastructure sector showed strong performance, with new contracts amounting to 61.740 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.88% [3]

Core Insights - The construction index decreased by 1.67%, while the CSI 300 index increased by 0.74%, indicating that the construction sector underperformed the market by 2.42 percentage points [1] - Mergers and acquisitions, along with semiconductor cleanroom-related stocks, showed significant gains this week, driven by heightened expectations for U.S. production expansion [1][2] - The focus remains on infrastructure opportunities in regions like Xinjiang and Tibet, as well as on mergers and acquisitions and small-cap construction transformation stocks [1] Construction Sector Performance - In the week from September 22 to September 26, the construction index fell by 1.67%, while the CSI 300 index rose by 0.74%, leading to a 2.42 percentage point underperformance of the construction sector [5] - Among sub-sectors, only the architectural design sector recorded a positive return of 1.02%, while other sub-sectors experienced declines [5] - Notable individual stock performances included Huajian Group (+23.17%), Haibo Heavy Industry (+17.25%), Suzhou Planning (+12.08%), *ST Huawang (+11.95%), and Yaxiang Integration (+11.89%) [5] Infrastructure Development - In Sichuan, the number of newly awarded projects reached 218, amounting to approximately 72.2 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.20%, with infrastructure orders growing by 25.88% [3] - Despite the increase in new projects, the commencement of construction has been hindered by land approval and project red line issues, leading to revenue pressure in the first half of the year [3] - A recent meeting emphasized the need to accelerate project initiation and completion in the remaining months of the year, suggesting a potential improvement in the fundamentals for Sichuan Road and Bridge [3] Material Indicators - The cement shipment rate was reported at 50.83%, with a week-on-week increase of 2.50 percentage points, while the asphalt plant operating rate was at 40.10%, up by 5.7 percentage points [4] - The recovery in cement and asphalt rates indicates a positive outlook for the conversion of physical workload in infrastructure projects [4]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Viewpoints - The construction index decreased by 1.67%, while the CSI 300 index increased by 0.74%, indicating that the construction sector underperformed the market by 2.42 percentage points. The cleanroom sector is expected to benefit from the rising production expectations in the U.S. and the upcoming third-quarter reports, which may exceed expectations [1][2][3] - The cleanroom sector is experiencing renewed benefits due to U.S. policies that may require semiconductor companies to match domestic production with imports, potentially benefiting companies like TSMC and Micron Technology [2][13] - The construction sector in Sichuan is seeing a significant increase in new bids, with a total of 218 new projects worth approximately 72.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.20% [3][23] - The cement shipment rate and asphalt operating rate have rebounded, indicating a positive outlook for the conversion of physical workloads in construction projects [4][24] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The construction index fell by 1.67% from September 22 to September 26, while the CSI 300 index rose by 0.74%, with only the architectural design sub-sector recording a positive return of 1.02% [5][32] Investment Recommendations - Focus on infrastructure investment opportunities in regions with high growth potential, such as Sichuan, Xinjiang, and Tibet, as well as sectors like hydropower, coal chemical, and nuclear power [1][36] - Emphasize the cleanroom sector, particularly companies like Baicheng Co., Shenghui Integration, and Yaxiang Integration, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing semiconductor industry developments [17][38] Key Projects and Orders - Sichuan Road and Bridge has seen a significant increase in new bids, with a focus on major provincial projects and government special bond projects to accelerate construction progress [3][23] - The cleanroom sector's order volume remains robust, with Baicheng Co. and Shenghui Integration reporting significant year-on-year growth in new orders [18][19] Sector Performance - The cleanroom sector is expected to maintain a high level of activity, driven by domestic demand for new semiconductor production facilities and the ongoing transition of the semiconductor industry [17][21] - The construction sector is experiencing a structural recovery, with a focus on major transportation infrastructure projects and regional opportunities in high-demand areas [36][39]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - In the fourth week of September, the peak-season effect on the demand side was gradually released, especially the investment-related indicators showed a month-on-month recovery. Inflation-wise, food prices stopped falling and rebounded. In terms of exports, both the CCFI and SCFI indices continued to decline month-on-month, while port freight volume remained high and volatile. Industrially, industrial electricity consumption decreased before the holiday, coal consumption entered the off-season, and the increase in the operating rate slowed down. In investment, the price increases of cement and rebar expanded, and the operating rate of asphalt accelerated, indicating that the infrastructure investment climate may be improving. In the real estate sector, the sales of new homes further soared while second-hand homes remained stable month-on-month. Overall, the "Golden September" was mediocre, and the year-on-year growth of new homes remained negative [2][32]. - For the bond market, production weakened marginally before the holiday, but the signs of investment stabilization became more prominent this week. The release of peak-season investment demand, the expectation of supply contraction, and the increase in costs may boost the prices of midstream investment products. Attention should be paid to the month-on-month improvement of PPI. Although the "Golden September" was mediocre in terms of real estate sales and investment indicators, demand began to improve in the last week of September. After the holiday, attention should be paid to its sustainability. Especially in October, the weather is conducive to construction, and policy-based financial tools are expected to be implemented, so the fourth quarter may be the period when the "broad credit" effect is realized. Short-term macro expectations may still disturb the bond market sentiment [2][32]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Inflation-related - Food prices stopped falling and rebounded. This week (September 22 - 26), the average wholesale price of pork in the country decreased by 0.94% month-on-month and continued to fall. Vegetable and fruit prices rose. The 200-index of agricultural product wholesale prices and the wholesale price index of basket products increased by 0.41% and 0.48% month-on-month, respectively, ending the decline [7]. Import and Export-related - The CCFI and SCFI indices continued to decline. This week, the CCFI index decreased by 2.93% month-on-month, and the SCFI decreased by 6.98% month-on-month, continuing the downward trend. The demand for China's export container transportation weakened, and the freight rates in the ocean shipping market continued to adjust. Among them, the demand on the North American route had not improved, and the spot booking prices continued to fall. The freight rates on the West and East Coast routes of the United States decreased by 10.8% and 6.7% month-on-month, respectively. In terms of port freight volume, from September 15 to September 21, the container throughput and cargo throughput of ports increased by 0.18% and 0.14% month-on-month, respectively, and the year-on-year increases were 12.95% and 18.76%, respectively, with a significant expansion of the increase, indicating that the export boom remained high [9]. - The BDI index continued to rise, but the increase narrowed. This week, the BDI and CDFI indices increased by 2.2% and 1.7% month-on-month, respectively, continuing the upward trend. Before the holiday, the coal cargo volume increased, and the typhoon affected the ship turnover, driving up the bulk shipping rental prices [9]. Industry-related - The price of thermal coal continued to rise. This week, the price of thermal coal (Q5500) at Qinhuangdao Port increased by 1.6% month-on-month (2.6% the previous week). In terms of demand, this week, the typhoon brought heavy rainfall to the South China coast, effectively alleviating the high temperature in the south. Coupled with the maintenance of power plant units, the civilian electricity load significantly decreased, and coal consumption entered the off-season. As the National Day holiday approached, downstream industrial enterprises would enter a centralized shutdown period, and industrial electricity demand would also weaken accordingly [13][15]. - The price of rebar increased slightly, and the inventory reduction accelerated. The spot price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) increased by 0.2% month-on-month (0.6% the previous week). The rebar inventory decreased by 2.8% month-on-month, with an accelerated reduction. This week, both the factory and social inventories of rebar decreased, and the apparent demand rebounded. According to Jinlian Chuang statistics, the rebar production has been continuously decreasing since September. In some regions, the profit decreased, and steel mills actively reduced production. The supply side shrank significantly, and the dual-energy control policy fermented in some regions, restricting the release of production capacity. The survey showed that as of the end of September, the terminal procurement volume in East China had only recovered to 92% of the same period last year, and it was still less than 90% in North and Northeast China. The "Golden September" was mediocre. Looking forward to October, as engineering projects enter the year-end sprint stage, attention should be paid to the demand performance of rebar [15]. - The increase in copper prices slightly expanded. This week, the average prices of Yangtze River Nonferrous Copper and LME Copper increased by 0.66% and 0.57% month-on-month, respectively, maintaining an upward trend. This week, the suspension of copper mines in Indonesia led to an expectation of supply contraction, the social inventory of Shanghai copper decreased, and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in October and December increased, all of which boosted copper prices [17]. - The increase in glass futures narrowed. At the beginning of the week, the glass trading was mediocre. During the week, boosted by macro expectations, manufacturers generally raised their price expectations significantly, and the downstream procurement rhythm accelerated accordingly, resulting in a significant increase in the market price. However, the actual improvement in the glass demand side was limited [17]. Investment-related - The price increase of cement significantly expanded, supported by both cost and demand. This week, the weekly average of the cement price index increased by 2.0% month-on-month (0.01% the previous week). Recently, the cost of cement raw materials has increased, the demand in the traditional peak season has been gradually released, and environmental protection policies require some regions to implement staggered kiln shutdowns, jointly driving up the general increase in cement prices [21]. - In the fourth week of September, the sales volume of new homes increased at an accelerated pace month-on-month but was lower year-on-year. From last Friday to this Thursday (September 19 - 25), the transaction area of new homes in 30 cities was 1.793 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 52.4% and a year-on-year decrease of 4.6%. New homes entered the end-of-month sprint stage and improved at an accelerated pace compared with the previous week, but the year-on-year performance was still low, and the overall performance was mediocre. The sales of second-hand homes decreased slightly. This week, the transaction area of second-hand homes in 17 cities was 1.973 million square meters, a month-on-month decrease of 0.5% and a year-on-year increase of 8.3% (61.6% last week), with the upward momentum weakening marginally [23]. Consumption-related - The retail sales of passenger cars turned positive year-on-year in the first three weeks of September. According to the Passenger Car Association, from September 1 to 21, the retail sales of passenger cars increased by 1% year-on-year and 8% month-on-month. The retail growth rate of passenger cars improved in the third week, but to some extent, it was supported by the low base caused by the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday in mid-September last year, and the market trend was generally stable [25]. - The increase in crude oil prices expanded. As of Friday, the prices of Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil increased by 5.2% and 4.9% month-on-month, respectively, turning from a decline to an increase. During the week, the uncertainty of Iraq's crude oil export supply and the month-on-month decrease in US commercial crude oil inventories supported the oil prices [25].