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资本大迁徙:五年前后,2025年中国创投11大高增长赛道深度解析
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-20 11:01
IT桔子数据显示,当二手电商、同城物流等消费类赛道的融资金额暴跌超过95%时,无人机、机器人、新材料、航空航天等硬科技赛道的融资却实现了翻 倍甚至数倍增长。 这种"冰火两重天"的格局,清晰地勾勒出中国创投市场的新方向: 从讲故事到拼硬实力,从流量经济到技术壁垒,从短期套利到长期价值。 完整数据全景:11个赛道的"逆袭"记录 分级解剖:按增长速度分类的深度分析 超高速增长类:爆发式崛起的新兴力量(事件数增长>200%) 无人机(事件数504%,金额311%)以最惊人的增速领跑所有赛道。从2021年的23起融资事件、17.57亿元融资额,暴涨至2025年的139起事件、72.27亿元,这一 增长背后是多重因素的叠加:军民融合战略推动下的国防需求释放、低空经济政策红利、物流配送场景的规模化应用,以及消费级无人机向工业级无人机的 升级转型。 机器人(事件数299%,金额195%)成为2025年最大赢家,融资总额达587.76亿元,位列所有硬科技赛道之首。从工业机器人到服务机器人,从传统机械臂到人形 机器人,整个产业链都在经历资本的疯狂涌入。优必选、宇树科技、傅利叶智能等企业的大额融资,以及人形机器人从实验室走向工厂产 ...
2026年宏观经济与资产配置前瞻——专访西部证券首席宏观分析师边泉水
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 07:53
冬浅风清 不负流年 "2026年,中国经济仍处于修复式增长的过程中,内需扩张、政策持续宽松以及物价回升将共同支撑经 济增长。" "从经济增长和产业发展的角度来看,AI与新质生产力成为未来经济发展的关键引擎。" "我们预计2026年A股市场风格可能更趋于均衡,市场催化因素或逐步从'流动性'转向'价格盈利'。" 2026年,中国经济迈入"十五五"开局之年。"十五五"规划建议为未来五年中国经济发展擘画蓝图,在这 一图景之下,2026年的中国经济将会呈现哪些变化,其增长动能主要来自哪里?在此背景下,随着内外 因素变化,大类资产配置的主线将指向何方,投资者该如何布局自己的资产配置图谱?围绕这些问题, 《金融博览·财富》杂志专访了西部证券首席宏观分析师边泉水。 边泉水:是的,我们2026年宏观年度报告叫作《革故鼎新:修复式增长下的再平衡与新动力》。"革故 鼎新"的字面意思指变化,我们借此想强调2026年宏观经济增长、行业发展和政策层面上的一些新变 化。 这些变化,主要表现在如下四个方面。 第一,名义经济增长明显改善。从宏观基本面判断,由于通胀回升,名义GDP增速将明显加快,将对居 民部门、企业部门和政府部门的收入提升带来 ...
ETF盘中资讯|谷歌Gemini业务销售额飙升,AI应用商业化有望加速!科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)近5日连续吸金1.19亿元!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 06:07
今日(1月20日)重点布局国产AI产业链的科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)随市盘整回调,场内价格现跌1.48%,实时成交额超5100万元,交投火热! 资金无惧行情波动,呈现越跌越买的态势,反映出资金仍坚定看好国产AI产业链后市表现!数据显示,科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)近5日连续吸金, 合计金额1.19亿元! 成份股方面,威胜信息领涨超6%,澜起科技涨逾3%,新点软件涨超2%,天准科技、芯原股份等个股跟涨。另一方面,中科星图跌超4%,寒武纪、凌云光 跌逾3%,跌幅居前,拖累指数表现。 【国产替代之光,科创自立自强】 科技摩擦背景下,信息安全、产业安全重要性凸显。AI作为核心技术,实现自主可控至关重要。科创人工智能ETF(589520)及其联接基金(联接A: 024560,联接C:024561)重点布局国产AI产业链、具备较强国产替代特点,成份股囊括国产GPU龙头(如寒武纪),国产ASIC龙头(如芯原股份)、AI 应用龙头(如金山办公),前十大重仓股权重占比近七成,第一大重仓行业半导体占比近一半,集中度高,具备较强进攻性。同时,该ETF是融资融券标 的,是一键布局国产算力的高效工具。 消息面上, ...
谷歌Gemini业务销售额飙升,AI应用商业化有望加速!科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)近5日连续吸金1.19亿元!
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2026-01-20 06:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance and investor confidence in the domestic AI industry chain, as evidenced by the trading activity of the Huabao Sci-Tech AI ETF (589520) which saw a price drop of 1.48% but maintained a high trading volume of over 51 million yuan, indicating a "buy the dip" mentality among investors [1] - The Huabao Sci-Tech AI ETF has attracted a total of 119 million yuan in inflows over the past five days, reflecting ongoing investor interest in the domestic AI sector [1] - Among the ETF's constituent stocks, Weisheng Information led with a gain of over 6%, while other stocks like Lanke Technology and Xindian Software also saw increases, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] Group 2 - Google has experienced a significant surge in its Gemini AI model sales, with API call volume increasing over 100% to 85 billion times and enterprise subscriptions reaching 8 million, which is expected to boost revenue for Google Cloud services [3] - The current dynamics in the AI industry are marked by substantial activity, with overseas companies like xAI and Anthropic securing funding, and domestic policies promoting "AI + manufacturing," suggesting a robust growth trajectory for the sector [3] - By 2025, the synergy between self-sufficiency and AI is projected to drive strong performance in related sectors, with trends expected to strengthen further into 2026 [3] Group 3 - The Huabao Sci-Tech AI ETF (589520) is strategically positioned across four key segments of the AI industry chain: application software, terminal applications, terminal chips, and cloud chips, reflecting a shift from reliance on foreign technology to self-sufficiency [4] - The ETF focuses on domestic AI industry chains, emphasizing strong domestic substitution characteristics, with significant holdings in leading domestic GPU and ASIC companies, indicating a high concentration and aggressive investment strategy [5] - The ETF serves as an efficient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to domestic computing power, being a financing and margin trading target [5]
半导体设备ETF(159516)近20日资金净流入超78亿元,半导体行业边际预期正向上加速
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-20 04:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the semiconductor industry is experiencing a positive shift in marginal expectations, moving from concerns about a peak cycle and AI bubble to confidence in long-term growth driven by AI and an accompanying capital expenditure cycle [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) has seen a net inflow of over 7.8 billion yuan in the past 20 days, indicating a strong market interest in the sector [1] - TSMC's optimistic outlook is expected to lead to a revaluation of the semiconductor industry, with domestic wafer fabs anticipated to expand production this year [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor materials and equipment index (931743), which the semiconductor equipment ETF tracks, focuses on companies involved in the production and processing of semiconductor materials and manufacturing of semiconductor equipment [1] - The national strategy emphasizes self-sufficiency, highlighting opportunities in domestic chip manufacturers, equipment suppliers, domestic computing power, and semiconductor material replacements [1]
2026年十大关键问题
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 12:44
在增长分化、政策趋异与地缘博弈交织的复杂格局下,亚洲经济将呈现"总量超预期、结构不均衡、政策不同步"的显著特征。宏观层面,我们预测区域GDP 增长4.8%显著高于4.6%的市场共识,但增长引擎高度依赖外部需求——中国出口竞争力与超额顺差持续扩张,台湾AI芯片产业链乘势而上,新西兰在经历 长期疲软后迎来周期性反弹。 与此同时,中国房地产市场将在"政策托底"与"市场出清"之间艰难寻衡,全面触底仍需时日;日本在财政可持续性约束与日元贬值边界压力下,债收益率上 行空间有限但货币政策正常化路径清晰,预计年内加息至1.5%以上。贸易政策方面,印度有望成为最大赢家,无论是双边谈判突破还是美国关税司法约 束,均指向其50%高税率有望实质性缓解。通胀环境整体温和,除日澳新外多数经济体处于目标下沿,为政策宽松留有空间。 汇率市场将在美联储降息周期与亚洲基本面韧性的双重驱动下,见证多数货币对美元的系统性走强。贯穿全文的主线是,2026年亚洲经济的超预期表现将主 要源于制造业优势与外部需求,而非内需复苏,这一结构性特征既带来增长韧性,也隐含政策挑战。 当前印度面临美国50%的最高税率,但印美谈判进展积极,叠加最 高法院可能驳回 IE ...
低空经济系列(九):通航动力产业深度:国产替代,道阻且长
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 07:56
Investment Rating - The report indicates a clear investment value in the aviation engine industry, emphasizing the importance of domestic substitution despite the challenges ahead [4][10]. Core Insights - The aviation engine sector is crucial for a country's technological, industrial, and defense capabilities, with significant investment potential despite the long road to domestic substitution [4][10]. - The global general aviation engine market is projected to grow from approximately $5.66 billion in 2025 to $8.71 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.9% [4][17]. - The U.S. dominates the global market with a 28% share, while China holds a significant position in the Asia-Pacific region with a 9% share, primarily driven by flight training needs [4][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Global Aviation Power Industry Development - The aviation engine industry has evolved from piston engines to turbine engines, reflecting advancements in materials science, thermodynamics, fluid mechanics, and control technologies [14]. - The market is primarily composed of turboprop, turbofan, turboshaft, and piston engines, each suited for different aircraft types [20]. 2. Competitive Landscape - Major players in the aviation engine market include GE Aviation, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls-Royce, and Safran, which have established significant barriers to entry through technology, market, and policy advantages [38][40]. - The domestic aviation engine industry is supported by national policies aimed at breaking through existing barriers and enhancing competitiveness [52]. 3. Market Trends and Investment Opportunities - The report identifies a transition phase for the aviation engine sector in China, where leading companies are moving from military to civilian applications, while smaller firms focus on high-power and hybrid propulsion technologies [5]. - The report highlights the need for breakthroughs in high-end materials, manufacturing equipment, and control systems to enhance domestic production capabilities [2][5]. 4. Engine Types and Market Share - In the piston engine segment, major manufacturers include Lycoming, Continental, and Rotax, with the global market size estimated at $570 million in 2025 [54]. - The turboprop engine market is led by Pratt & Whitney Canada with the PT6 series, which has a significant share in both military and civilian applications [61]. 5. Domestic Substitution Challenges - Key challenges for domestic substitution in the aviation engine industry include high-end material production, manufacturing equipment reliance on imports, and stringent airworthiness certification barriers [2][4].
ETF盘中资讯|寒武纪登顶中国AI企业50强!科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)近5日狂揽1.5亿元!机构:或迎1-10加速放量阶段
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 06:33
消息面上,1月19日,胡润研究院发布《2025胡润中国人工智能企业50强》,榜单聚焦于主营业务为AI算力或算法的中国企业。其中,AI芯片企业寒武纪以 6300亿元的企业价值位居榜首,比去年增长165%。 值得一提的是,芯片类产业持续迎机遇。一方面,算力被纳入新基建,地方政府提供能耗指标倾斜、补贴与税收优惠,推动智算中心集中落地于武汉、合 肥、太原等算力走廊,政策红利持续释放。另一方面,资本密集加持,AI 芯片、半导体设备等细分领域融资渠道通畅,头部企业估值与业绩形成正向循 环,加速技术迭代与产能扩张。中泰证券分析认为,算力国产链历经供应链调整,预计将进入1-10加速大放量阶段。 今日(1月19日)重点布局国产AI产业链的科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)随市盘整回调,场内价格现跌1.16%,数据显示,该ETF此前5日连续吸金,合 计狂揽1.56亿元,反映资金看好国产AI产业链后市表现,积极进场布局! 成份股方面,星环科技领涨超6%,奥比中光、海天瑞声涨逾4%,威胜信息、芯原股份、寒武纪等个股跟涨。另一方面,合合信息跌超6%,亚信安全跌逾 5%,虹软科技、奇安信等个股跌幅居前,拖累指数表现。 【国产替代之光 ...
寒武纪登顶中国AI企业50强!科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)近5日狂揽1.5亿元!机构:或迎1-10加速放量阶段
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 06:24
今日(1月19日)重点布局国产AI产业链的科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)随市盘整回调,场内价格 现跌1.16%,数据显示,该ETF此前5日连续吸金,合计狂揽1.56亿元,反映资金看好国产AI产业链后市 表现,积极进场布局! 成份股方面,星环科技领涨超6%,奥比中光、海天瑞声涨逾4%,威胜信息、芯原股份、寒武纪等个股 跟涨。另一方面,合合信息跌超6%,亚信安全跌逾5%,虹软科技、奇安信等个股跌幅居前,拖累指数 表现。 消息面上,1月19日,胡润研究院发布《2025胡润中国人工智能企业50强》,榜单聚焦于主营业务为AI 算力或算法的中国企业。其中,AI芯片企业寒武纪以6300亿元的企业价值位居榜首,比去年增长 165%。 值得一提的是,芯片类产业持续迎机遇。一方面,算力被纳入新基建,地方政府提供能耗指标倾斜、补 贴与税收优惠,推动智算中心集中落地于武汉、合肥、太原等算力走廊,政策红利持续释放。另一方 面,资本密集加持, AI 芯片、半导体设备等细分领域融资渠道通畅,头部企业估值与业绩形成正向循 环,加速技术迭代与产能扩张。中泰证券分析认为,算力国产链历经供应链调整,预计将进入1-10加速 大放量阶段。 中 ...
2026年投资机会在哪?权益/固收/商品/海外
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 03:25
1月14日,财通资管16 位一线投研人员齐聚云端,深度解码宏观经济新变局,挖掘资本市场新机遇。 2026年中美关系或进入"平台期",国内"十五五"开局将强化逆周期调节,有望推动中国资产整体价值重 估。中性及乐观假设下,PPI有望触底回升,助力企业盈利改善,从而催化A股出现第二轮上涨。 重点看好三大投资方向:一是AI科技创新,尤其是国产算力、端侧硬件与半导体产业链;二是资源与 制造业的再定价,关注有色(如铜)、化工(行业格局改善)及航空(供需缺口)等;三是企业出海, 依托中国制造优势,在工程机械、电力设备、创新药等领域拓展全球份额。另外,非银金融板块中的保 险(投资增效+负债降本+本币升值+开门红预期)、券商(经纪与自营受益市场回暖),以及消费板块 (估值低+基本面复苏)的投资机会也值得关注。 股市方面,2026年有望成为一个业绩增长驱动的年份。受海外宽松+国内反内卷驱动,PPI周期有望回 升,从而带动上市公司整理盈利的改善。在此背景下,关注三条投资主线:一是受益于全球复苏、盈利 弹性较大的周期性行业;二是紧扣中国自主可控与全球科技共舞的产业方向,如集成电路、工业母机等 关键领域;三是深化出海,并在技术和成本方 ...