贸易谈判
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韩国刚划下红线,美国来了个“下马威”!美财长放韩国鸽子,李在明对华加税,韩国开始选边站?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 12:46
Group 1 - The postponement of the "2+2" tariff negotiations between South Korea and the U.S. adds uncertainty to the already tense South Korea-U.S. relations, highlighting South Korea's difficult position in the complex international landscape [1] - South Korea is under pressure due to the U.S. imposing a tariff deadline of August 1, with the country eager to avoid a 25% comprehensive tariff, especially as Japan has already reached a tariff agreement with the U.S. [1] - South Korea has set two "red lines" in negotiations: not opening the rice and beef markets, as its grain self-sufficiency rate is low, with only 19.5% from 2021 to 2023, and zero self-sufficiency in wheat and corn [1] Group 2 - In 2024, South Korea imported $2.22 billion worth of U.S. beef, making it a major importer, but the U.S. is pushing to lift the ban on U.S. beef imports over 30 months, facing strong opposition from the South Korean agricultural sector [3] - South Korea's recent diplomatic interactions with the U.S. have seen multiple cancellations of meetings, indicating U.S. dissatisfaction with South Korea's proposals and an attempt to assert dominance in the bilateral relationship [3] Group 3 - On July 25, South Korea's Ministry of Trade announced a request for anti-dumping duties of 28.16% to 33.57% on carbon steel and hot-rolled steel from China, which raises questions about its timing amid ongoing U.S. tariff negotiations [5] - This anti-dumping investigation was initiated earlier in the year, but its announcement during critical negotiations suggests a strategic move to appease the U.S. while deflecting responsibility from the current government [5] Group 4 - South Korea is navigating a complex geopolitical environment, heavily reliant on U.S. military protection while also depending on China as its largest trading partner, with trade volumes exceeding $300 billion in 2024 [6] - The current administration appears to be leaning towards the U.S., as evidenced by recent actions such as rejecting China's invitation to a military parade and imposing tariffs on Chinese steel, signaling a shift in diplomatic posture [8] Group 5 - Over-reliance on the U.S. could jeopardize South Korea's relationship with China, which is crucial for its economic development, as many industries depend on Chinese raw materials [8] - The imposition of tariffs on Chinese steel may lead to increased costs for South Korean industries, potentially escalating trade tensions and undermining established economic cooperation [8]
德国政府发言人:我们认为有必要就钢铁和铝材问题进行进一步谈判。
news flash· 2025-07-28 09:43
Group 1 - The German government spokesperson emphasized the necessity for further negotiations regarding steel and aluminum issues [1]
中国是否接受与美国达成“次优协议”?中方回应
财联社· 2025-07-28 07:50
外交部发言人郭嘉昆7月28日主持例行记者会。路透社记者提问,关于贸易谈判,欧盟表示他们与美 国达成的协议并不理想,但却是他们能达成的最好的协议。那么,如果桌面上只有次优协议,中国 是否愿意接受?或者说,必要时中国是否会退出谈判? 对此,郭嘉昆表示:"关于你提到的美欧之间达成贸易协议,我想说的是,中方一贯主张各方通过平 等对话协商解决经贸分歧,维护良好的国际经贸合作环境,遵守世贸组织的规则。同时我们坚决反 对任何一方以牺牲中方的利益为代价,达成交易。" ...
黄金行情低位震荡 等待黄金多头延续
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-28 06:16
Group 1 - The current gold price is experiencing fluctuations, with a recent drop to around 3320 before rebounding, indicating a potential resistance at 3345-47 and 3362 levels [1][3] - COMEX gold has seen a decline for three consecutive days, closing at 3338.5 USD/oz, reflecting a drop of 1.04% [3] - The recent EU-US trade negotiations resulted in an agreement favoring the US, highlighting the EU's weakened position in global economic negotiations [3] Group 2 - The gold market is currently under bearish pressure, with prices trading below key moving averages, but there is potential for a rebound if support levels are tested [4] - Last week's gold market was influenced by fundamental factors, with a high of 3439.2 and a low of 3324.6, closing at 3336.5, forming a long upper shadow candlestick pattern [4] - Current support levels for gold are identified at 3324 or 3304 USD, while resistance levels are at 3340 or 3357 USD [5]
日本首席谈判代表:5500亿美元中只有1—2%是投资,绝大多数是贷款
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-28 06:10
据央视新闻,美日此前就关税问题达成一致。根据协议内容,美国将对包括汽车在内的日本商品统一征 收15%关税,低于此前特朗普威胁的25%税率。作为交换,日本承诺设立规模高达5500亿美元的基金用 于对美直接投资,投资方向将由美方主导。 美国商务部长卢特尼克透露称,该基金的资金将包括"股权、贷款和贷款担保",投资方向将由美方主 导,美国将获得该投资90%的利润。协议明确,这些资金将投向美国战略工业基础的复兴,包括能源基 础设施和生产、半导体制造和研发、关键矿产开采加工、医药和医疗产品生产,以及商业和国防造船等 领域。 但日方却有不同解读。 日本政府首席谈判代表赤泽良圣周六在接受采访时澄清,在日美最新达成的5500亿美元基金中,真正的 投资仅占1%-2%,其余资金将以贷款形式提供。在投资收益分配上,美日将按照90:10的比例分成,而 非日本最初提议的50:50比例。 赤泽良圣强调,这并非将5500亿美元现金直接输送至美国,而是通过不同金融工具的组合实现。对于占 据基金主体的贷款部分,日本将收取利息。在贷款担保方面,如果没有违约发生,日本仅收取担保费 用。 5500亿美元基金中仅1%-2%为投资?美欧之后,美日也就贸易 ...
特朗普拿不到访华邀请?中美谈判再出意外,贝森特放出威胁,不准中国买俄伊石油
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 05:40
当全球目光聚焦于7月27日至30日在瑞典斯德哥尔摩举行的第三轮中美经贸会谈时,一个更深的悬念浮 出水面:特朗普能否如愿踏上9月的访华之旅? 谈判桌上剑拔弩张的气氛背后,是一组让美方如坐针毡的数据:2025年6月,中国对美国原油采购量戏 剧性归零,这是三年来破天荒的第一次;煤炭进口额更从去年同期的9000万美元断崖式跌至248美元。 美国财政部长贝森特7月21日接受采访时抛出一颗震撼弹——他公然宣称要将中国采购俄罗斯和伊朗石 油的议题塞进即将展开的中美贸易谈判议程。 这番赤裸裸的威胁恰似向火药桶投入火星,瞬间点燃了国际舆论场。 美国能源企业在华市场份额的蒸发速度,远超华盛顿的预料。 美财长贝森特(资料图) 贝森特的威胁直指美国精心构筑的石油美元霸权体系。他警告将对购买俄油的国家征收100%"二级关 税",同时向欧洲施压要求协同行动。 这种以金融霸权为武器的策略,在俄乌冲突期间曾让欧洲国家被迫吞下高价购买美国能源的苦果。 但中国市场的反应给了美国当头一棒。当美国挥舞关税大棒,中国转身拥抱俄罗斯与伊朗的能源供应。 这种转向不仅是商业选择,更是对美国单边制裁的无声抗议。 复旦大学辛强教授点明关键:"北京定会坚持贸易谈 ...
长江期货贵金属周报:贸易谈判取得进展,价格承压回调-20250728
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-28 03:00
长江期货贵金属周报 贸易谈判取得进展,价格承压回调 2025/7/28 【产业服务总部|有色中心】 资深研究员:李 旎 执业编号:F3085657 投资咨询号:Z0017083 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格:鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 目录 01 行情回顾 02 周度观点 03 海外宏观经济指标 04 当周重要经济数据 05 当周重要宏观事件和政策 06 库存 07 基金持仓 08 本周关注重点 01 行情回顾:上周 美国与多国贸易谈判结果落地,加征关税幅度基本低于 1610 1810 2010 2210 2410 2610 2810 3010 3210 3410 3610 2024/01/02 2024/02/02 2024/03/02 2024/04/02 2024/05/02 2024/06/02 2024/07/02 2024/08/02 2024/09/02 2024/10/02 2024/11/02 2024/12/02 2025/01/02 2025/02/02 2025/03/02 2025/04/02 2025/05/02 2025/06/02 2025/07/02 市场预期。市场 ...