【TrendForce】 3月20日，TrendForce集邦咨询公布最新面板价格。具体来看：预期需求走弱，电视面板价格涨势收敛；显示器面板有望全面涨 价，且涨幅稍扩大；笔电面板价格仍持平。 电视面板 TrendForce集邦咨询研究副总范博毓表示，3月份电视面板需求目前虽然仍稳定，但以北美终端市场来看，在超级杯销售结束后，2月份起需求就开 始走弱，加上关税的不确定性高，有可能导致消费趋向保守。 国内虽有以旧换新政策的带动，但政策带动的需求已逐渐出现钝化的效应，加上自4Q24至1Q25，品牌客户持续维持高采购动能，导致目前品牌的 终端库存水位都有偏高的趋势，对于第二季面板需求可能下滑的杂音已经出现。 面板厂当然已经意识到这样的风险，因此持续讨论需要执行产能调控的可能时间点与幅度，以希望维持住整体供需状态稳定。 不过就目前观察，在预期需求走弱的态势下，电视面板价格的涨势有开始收敛的迹象。以3月份的电视面板价格走势来看，32吋预估上涨0.5美元。 43吋预估上涨1美元。50吋持平，55吋，65吋与75吋皆上涨1美元。 显示器面板 整体而言，以3月份的显示器面板价格走势来看，Open Cell面板预估上涨0.2~0 ...

Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has experienced a high-level retreat in the first two months of 2025, underperforming the market by 11.8 percentage points, ranking last among all industry indices [4][14]. - The coal price is expected to stabilize and gradually recover due to improved industrial demand, slowing production growth, and reduced import expectations [4][29]. Group 1: Coal Sector Review - In the first two months of 2025, the coal sector has declined by 10.0%, ranking 30th out of 30 in the industry indices [4][14]. - The sub-sectors of thermal coal, coking coal, and coke have seen respective declines of 15.5%, 11.4%, and 7.4% in the first two months [14]. - As of March 18, 2025, the coal sector's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is at 10.4 times, which is at a historical average level, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio is at 1.33 times, also at a historical average [19][23]. Group 2: Coal Market Review - The growth rate of electricity consumption has dropped to 1.3% in the first two months, while non-electric demand has shown overall improvement [4][29]. - Domestic coal prices have been weak since the beginning of the year, with thermal coal prices stabilizing in March [29]. - The import growth rate of coal has decreased to 1.8% in the first two months of 2025 [4][29]. Group 3: Recent Market Dynamics - Port thermal coal prices have slightly declined, while prices in production areas have generally rebounded [4][29]. - The price of thermal coal is expected to stabilize in the short term due to inventory reductions at southern ports and coastal power plants [4][29]. - Coking coal prices have continued to decline, but demand is expected to improve as the spring construction season approaches [4][29]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The coal price is expected to find support at the bottom, with the sector's valuation and dividend advantages becoming more pronounced [4][29]. - The anticipated average coal price for 2025 may decline, but leading companies are expected to maintain stable profitability due to effective cost control [4][29]. - Key companies with robust dividends include Shaanxi Coal and China Shenhua, while companies with lower valuations and long-term growth potential include Xinji Energy and Yanzhou Coal [4][29].