Group 1: Global Market Performance - The MSCI Global Stock Index decreased by 0.34%, while the Bloomberg Global Commodity Index fell by 0.42%, the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index dropped by 0.89%, and the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Global REITs Index declined by 0.90% [1] - Emerging markets outperformed developed markets, with only the Chinese stock market rising among the BRICS nations; the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.82% and the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.93% [1] - In developed markets, the European STOXX Index rose by 1.15%, with Germany's DAX Index up by 1.97% and France's CAC40 Index up by 1.73%, while U.S. indices fell, with the S&P 500 down by 0.31% [1] Group 2: Commodity Market Insights - Brent crude oil futures rose by 3.02% to $70.36 per barrel, while WTI crude oil futures increased by 2.16% to $68.45 per barrel [4] - Industrial metals showed mixed performance; aluminum prices increased by 0.50%, while copper prices fell by 2.07% [2] - Gold prices rose by 0.55% to $3,355.59 per ounce, and silver prices increased by 4.02% [2] Group 3: Bond Market Developments - U.S. Treasury yields saw a slight increase, with the 10-year yield rising by 6.4 basis points to 4.411% [2] - European countries also experienced rising yields, with the UK's 10-year yield up by 3.6 basis points to 4.620% [2] - The U.S. dollar index rose by 0.69% to 97.853, while the Japanese yen depreciated by over 2% against the dollar [2] Group 4: Economic Data and Trends - U.S. initial jobless claims were reported at 227,000, slightly below expectations, while continuing claims rose to 1.965 million [3] - The Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes indicated a divergence in views on interest rate adjustments, with some members favoring rate cuts while others expressed concerns about persistent inflation [3] - The Eurozone's retail sales increased by 1.8% year-on-year, surpassing expectations [3] Group 5: REITs and Real Estate Market - The global REITs market saw a decline, with the STOXX Global 1800 REITs Index down by 1.03% [10] - U.S. REITs showed varied performance across sectors, with hotel REITs outperforming expectations [10] - The outlook for REITs remains mixed, with healthcare REITs showing consistent growth while retail REITs face volatility [10] Group 6: Investment Opportunities - Investors are advised to monitor oil price fluctuations due to geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production increases [7] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may enhance gold's safe-haven appeal, prompting investors to consider gold price trends [9] - The potential for further monetary easing by central banks could create long-term investment opportunities in REITs [10]

专家认为，从双边贸易角度来看，巴西对美国市场的依赖程度相对较低也给了卢拉政府"说不"的底气。 卢拉10日接受巴西媒体采访时说："巴美贸易只占巴西国内生产总值（GDP）的1.7%，并不是说没有美 国我们就活不了。" 不容忍干涉内政 特朗普在关税信函中要求巴西停止对前总统博索纳罗的司法调查。国际舆论认为，特朗普政府通过加征 关税等对巴西政府施压，有干涉巴西内政的意图。 美国总统特朗普日前在社交媒体上公布致巴西总统卢拉的信函，称将自8月1日起对从巴西进口的商品征 收50%的关税，同时要求巴西停止对前总统博索纳罗的司法调查。巴西政府及总统卢拉都强硬发声批驳 特朗普，并表示将"对等回应"美国。 巴西专家认为，特朗普政府对巴西加征关税等行为无理无据，体现出美国对拉美一贯的霸道和霸凌。无 论是从卢拉政府坚持独立自主的现行政策，还是从美国"门罗主义"给巴西带来的历史伤痛来看，卢拉政 府均无法容忍美方行为。 不接受"贸易不公平说" 特朗普在信函中声称美国与巴西的贸易关系"非常不公平"，但巴西专家和媒体都注意到，美国在对巴西 贸易中实际上享有顺差。 卢拉批评特朗普的指责失实，指出2024年美国在对巴西贸易中约有70亿美元顺差，过 ...

Core Points - The article discusses the escalating trade tensions between the United States and Brazil, particularly following President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, which has been met with strong resistance from Brazilian President Lula [1][2][4]. Trade Policy Impact - The U.S. plans to impose high tariffs on goods from Brazil and 14 other countries starting August 1, 2025, significantly affecting Brazil's economy, especially its major exports like coffee, beef, and orange juice [4][6]. - Brazil's response includes legal measures to counteract the U.S. tariffs, indicating a readiness for a trade conflict [6][13]. Political Context - Trump's tariff decision appears to be politically motivated rather than economically justified, as the trade balance shows a surplus of $6.8 billion for the U.S. from Brazil [9][11]. - The tariffs are seen as a reaction to Brazil's shift in foreign policy under Lula, moving closer to China and away from U.S. influence [11][12]. Brazil's Economic Alliances - Brazil's economic ties with China are strengthening, with bilateral trade reaching $188.17 billion in 2024, compared to $72.2 billion with the U.S. [15]. - Brazil is diversifying its economic partnerships, reducing reliance on the U.S. market, and exploring new opportunities through cooperation with China [17][19]. Conclusion - The trade conflict highlights Brazil's determination to defend its economic interests and sovereignty against U.S. unilateralism, with China's role as a significant ally in this context [19].

Group 1 - The European Parliament passed a resolution on July 10, demanding China to lift its export controls on rare earths, reflecting the EU's strong demand for these resources [1] - China's response emphasized that rare earths are dual-use materials and that its export controls are in line with international law, aimed at ensuring global security and stability [1][3] - The EU's stance appears contradictory as it criticizes China's controls while simultaneously working to strengthen its own rare earth industry and reduce reliance on external sources [3][4] Group 2 - The EU's recent diplomatic dynamics indicate a wavering policy towards China, focusing on maintaining a balanced economic relationship while reducing dependency on Chinese resources [4][6] - New proposals from the EU aim to enhance control over critical materials and prevent supply chains from being "weaponized," indicating a strategic shift in policy [4][6] - Ongoing trade negotiations between the EU and the US are accelerating, with potential agreements that may ease tariffs and reflect a shift towards closer alignment with US interests [6][8]

Group 1 - Trump's recent announcement of imposing tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, starting August 1, has escalated global trade tensions [1][5][7] - The underlying motive behind Trump's tariff policy appears to be aimed at pressuring China by constricting trade opportunities for its neighboring countries, which are significant for China's export costs and supply chain efficiency [5][20] - The U.S. economy is facing challenges, with the first quarter GDP showing contraction and predictions for the second quarter being pessimistic, indicating a potential technical recession [7][20] Group 2 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent's unexpected friendly overtures towards China, emphasizing mutual respect and cooperation, suggest underlying anxieties within the U.S. administration [11][13] - The U.S. has been attempting to exert pressure on China regarding rare earth resources, but China's strengthened export controls have enhanced its leverage in the global rare earth market [13][16] - China's response to U.S. pressures has been measured, maintaining control over rare earth resources while allowing some U.S. companies access to its market, showcasing its confidence and patience [16][22] Group 3 - The ongoing trade rivalry between the U.S. and China is far from over, with rare earth issues likely to remain a central topic in negotiations, where China's control gives it a favorable position [20][22] - The potential rifts in U.S. relations with traditional allies may provide China with more diplomatic space, as countries like Japan and South Korea might seek a balanced approach with China amid economic pressures [22]

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by Trump to impose tariffs on Canadian goods has prompted Canada to seek support from China, indicating a shift in international trade dynamics and alliances [1][3][5]. Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Implications - On July 10, Trump announced tariffs of up to 35% on Canadian imports, citing Canada's high tariffs on U.S. dairy products as a significant threat to U.S. economic and national security [3][5]. - This move is seen as part of a broader strategy to restart a global trade war, with 23 countries receiving similar tariff notifications, including major economies like Japan and Brazil [5][6]. - The decision to target Canada, despite its status as a close ally and major trading partner, reflects Trump's "America First" policy and the need to demonstrate quick results to his voter base [6][8]. Group 2: Canada's Response and Shift Towards China - Following the tariff announcement, Canadian Foreign Minister Anand met with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, expressing a desire to "recalibrate" Canada-China relations and restore cooperation across various sectors [8][9]. - Canada's pivot towards China is driven by the unpredictability of U.S. trade policies, which have repeatedly put Canada at a disadvantage, and the need to diversify its economic partnerships [9][11]. - The meeting signaled a willingness from both Canada and China to engage in constructive dialogue and explore mutually beneficial cooperation, highlighting the potential for a stronger economic relationship [9][11]. Group 3: Broader Trade Dynamics - The current trade tensions and the U.S.'s aggressive tariff policies are eroding its credibility in the international trade system, pushing countries like Canada to seek alternative partnerships [11]. - China's commitment to multilateralism and free trade positions it as a stable and reliable partner for countries looking to reduce dependence on the U.S. market [8][11].

2025年7月，一场由特朗普总统发起的"关税风暴"席卷全球，标志着美国全球霸权的深刻裂痕。这场看似荒唐的贸易战，实则暴露了美国国际信誉的崩塌以 及其霸权地位的衰落。其核心，是一封措辞强硬、数据错误百出，甚至使用了"复制粘贴"模板的威胁信件，被巴西总统卢拉原封退回。这封信，成为了美国 霸权时代走向终结的象征性标志。 这场风暴的导火索是特朗普政府对巴西商品征收50%的关税，理由是所谓的"贸易逆差"和"政治迫害"。然而，巴西外交部很快查明，信中所述的贸易逆差根 本不存在，美国对巴西长期保持贸易顺差，2024年高达68亿美元，2025年第一季度更是达到6.53亿美元，15年累计顺差更是高达4100亿美元。如此低劣的错 误，甚至连最基本的证据都无法自圆其说，暴露了美国政府在国际事务中的草率与傲慢。 卢拉总统的回应干脆利落，他毫不犹豫地退回了这封充满谎言的信件，并召见美国代办要求解释。他在社交媒体上简洁有力的回应："巴西不会接受任何人 的控制"，宣示了巴西以及其他国家拒绝美国霸凌的决心。这一事件，也迅速点燃了全球对美国单边主义行径的抵制。 但这封信的荒唐背后，隐藏着更阴暗的政治算计。特朗普政府利用关税作为武器，并非仅仅为 ...

2025年盛夏的十字路口：全球金融在深夜的抉择 高盛的紧急预测与降息逻辑 世界经济的巨轮驶入2025年盛夏的十字路口，每个深夜传来的消息都可能成为改变航向的海风。货币政策、地缘博弈与国家战略在历史的节点上交汇，世界 永远在深夜的消息与黎明的市场反应间，重塑它的面貌。这一关键时刻，由7月7日深夜爆发的四重奏拉开序幕，最终在7月9日高盛的紧急报告中达到高潮。 金融风暴前的预兆：7月7日深夜的四重奏 7月7日，全球金融市场被四大重磅消息接连震动，如同深夜惊雷，预示着风暴的来临。首先，美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上发布关税威胁，任何与金砖国 家"反美政策"保持一致的国家将面临额外10%的关税。这道深夜推文如同闪电划破国际经贸夜空，全球贸易市场瞬间紧张起来。同时，美国政府宣布将于当 日中午公布与贸易伙伴的关税信函或协议，为8月1日起最高达70%的惩罚性关税铺路。 几乎与此同时，乌克兰战场上演了开战以来最大规模的无人机袭击。数百架无人机如同复仇蜂群，袭击了俄罗斯境内16个地区，从南部罗斯托夫到西部卡卢 加，从西北部圣彼得堡到首都莫斯科，甚至远至540公里外的克拉斯诺扎沃茨克化工厂——这座为俄国防部生产多管火箭炮和弹药的关键设 ...

The president announced tariffs on a larger group of trading partners, reigniting a trade war that looked to be on pause for several months.*Stock prices used were the afternoon prices of July 8, 2025. The video was published on July 10, 2025. ...

Group 1 - The U.S. is intensifying its tariff pressure strategy to enhance its influence and compel trade partners to make concessions on various political issues [3] - The U.S. has threatened to impose a 50% tariff on imports from Brazil, using punitive tariffs for non-trade-related matters, which has been criticized as interference in Brazil's internal affairs [3] - The recent tariff notifications from the U.S. have been described as a "political performance," with unclear demands that may further limit cooperation with exporting nations, particularly in Asia [5] Group 2 - Starting August 1, the U.S. will impose a 35% tariff on imports from Canada, leading to increased anti-American sentiment among Canadian consumers who are pledging to boycott U.S. products [7] - The trade war is damaging not only trade relations but also the foundational trust and cooperation between the U.S. and Canada [7] - The U.S. is facing supply-demand imbalances across multiple industries, and the imposition of tariffs is seen as a blunt tool that will inevitably lead to increased costs for American consumers [9]