Core Insights - The overall performance of the oil and chemical sector in A-shares has shown a decline in both revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a total revenue of 7.97 trillion yuan, down 0.59% year-on-year, and a net profit of approximately 400 billion yuan, down 6.18% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Oil and Gas Sector Performance - The oil and gas sector continues to face pressure, with total revenue from oil extraction, refining, and oil services amounting to approximately 5.65 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.53%, and a net profit of 282.9 billion yuan, down 8.43% [1][2] - The "Big Three" oil companies (China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC) reported a combined revenue of about 4.6 trillion yuan, a decline of approximately 7%, and a net profit of about 258.2 billion yuan, down 12% [2] Group 2: New Energy Developments - Despite the challenges faced by traditional oil and gas operations, the new energy business is rapidly developing, with China National Petroleum reporting a cumulative power generation of 5.79 billion kWh from wind and solar projects, a year-on-year increase of 72.2% [4] - Sinopec is expanding its new energy sector, actively engaging in hydrogen, solar, wind, and geothermal energy, aiming for a diversified energy supply system [4] - CNOOC is accelerating its development of offshore wind power and advancing CCUS technology, focusing on a multi-energy supply system [4] Group 3: Refining Sector Insights - The refining sector has experienced a decline in performance, with 30 refining companies reporting a revenue of 844.89 billion yuan, down 4.97%, and a net profit of 14.93 billion yuan, down 1.69% [5] - However, there was a quarter-on-quarter increase in net profit by 28.83% [5] - The refining industry is undergoing a significant transformation towards integrated refining and chemical processes, with policies tightening on new refining capacity [5][6] Group 4: Oil Services Sector Growth - The oil services sector has shown positive performance, with 17 oil service companies achieving a revenue of 186.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.03%, and a net profit of 8.42 billion yuan, up 6.29% [8] - Despite falling international oil prices, the overall demand for oil services remains strong, supported by increased investment from oil and gas companies [8][9] - Major contracts have been secured by companies like CNOOC Engineering and China National Petroleum Engineering, indicating a robust outlook for the oil services sector [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with a strong performance in the consumer sector, leading the Shanghai Composite Index to rise by 0.53% and surpass the 4000-point mark again, indicating a potential recovery in consumer demand and economic growth [1][4][8]. Market Performance - On November 10, the A-share market saw all three major indices open higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.53% and 0.18%, respectively, while the ChiNext Index and other indices declined [2]. - The total number of rising stocks in the A-share market reached 3376, with 92 stocks hitting the daily limit up, and the market turnover was 2.19 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase from the previous trading day [2][3]. Sector Analysis - The consumer sector showed robust growth, with notable performances in dairy, liquor, lithium battery electrolyte, pet economy, and new economy sectors. The beauty care, food and beverage, and retail sectors led the gains, with increases of 3.60%, 3.22%, and 2.69%, respectively [3][4]. - Conversely, high-tech stocks experienced adjustments, with significant declines in companies like Guosheng Quantum and New Yi Sheng [4]. Fund Flow and Sentiment - Recent market activity indicated a divergence in fund sentiment, with a net outflow of main funds for six consecutive trading days, despite an increase in A-share financing balance by over 6 billion yuan [5][6]. - The financing balance for A-shares reached approximately 24.94 trillion yuan, with notable inflows in sectors such as power equipment and basic chemicals, while sectors like non-bank financials and metals saw significant net selling [5][6][7]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the rise in core CPI, which increased by 1.2% year-on-year, signals a recovery in consumer demand, supporting the consumer sector's strength and laying a foundation for a gradual upward trend in the A-share market [4][8]. - The market is expected to experience a period of consolidation in the short term, with a focus on sectors like technology and cyclical industries benefiting from economic recovery [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 121.98 billion yuan, a net profit attributable to the parent company of 29.79 billion yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 27.01 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting year-on-year declines of 3%, 9%, and 5% respectively. In Q3 2025, the revenue was 40.30 billion yuan, with a net profit of 9.19 billion yuan and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 8.59 billion yuan, showing year-on-year declines of 4%, 10%, and 8% respectively [2][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - Traditional business remains under pressure, but there is an estimated recovery in Q3 2025. Revenue declined by 4% year-on-year in Q3, but the decline narrowed by 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The smart electrical lighting and electrical connection businesses showed improvement, while the converter and wall switch categories continued to face pressure [10]. Profitability and Cost Management - The change in business structure led to a slight decrease in gross margin, with a year-on-year decline of 1.8 percentage points. The company maintained a cost control trend, with a decrease in the expense ratio by 1.0 percentage points. The net profit margin attributable to the parent company and the net profit margin excluding non-recurring items decreased by 1.5 and 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, respectively [10]. Business Development - The traditional business has strong manufacturing and channel barriers but is currently in a bottoming process due to weak industry demand. The company is focusing on high-end upgrades and innovation in product categories such as converters and wall switches. The lighting business is enhancing its competitive advantage in areas like AI interaction and health lighting [10]. New Energy Business - The new energy business continues to expand its product categories and enhance customer service capabilities. The company has launched new products in the TOC segment and is building comprehensive solutions for high-value applications in the TOB segment [10]. International Expansion - The company is accelerating its international expansion, with its electrical connection and home decoration categories expanding from Southeast Asia to Europe, the Middle East, and Latin America. The new energy category is also expanding into emerging markets [10]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 40.0 billion yuan, 42.2 billion yuan, and 45.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 20, 19, and 18 times. The company has strong cash flow and high dividends, with a projected dividend yield of 3.7% for 2025 based on the 2024 dividend payout ratio [10].

Core Insights - China's commitment to carbon peak and carbon neutrality has led to significant advancements in green and low-carbon development, establishing a comprehensive carbon reduction policy system and becoming a global leader in renewable energy and electric vehicles [1][2][3] Group 1: Waste Management and Recycling - By the end of 2024, 98.5% of urban communities in China will have waste classification facilities, reflecting a shift in public attitude towards environmental responsibility [1] - The transition from single-bin to multi-bin waste disposal signifies a broader commitment to sustainable practices [1] Group 2: Energy Transition - China is prioritizing the development of non-fossil energy, increasing its share from 16.0% in 2020 to 19.8% by 2024, with an annual increase of nearly 1 percentage point [2] - By August 2025, installed capacity for wind and solar power is expected to exceed 1.69 billion kilowatts, tripling the 2020 figures and contributing to 80% of new power installations since 2020 [2] - The proportion of fossil energy consumption is projected to decrease from 84.0% in 2020 to 80.2% by 2024, indicating a steady move towards cleaner energy sources [2] Group 3: New Energy Vehicles - As of June 2025, the number of new energy vehicles in China is expected to reach 36.89 million, accounting for 10.27% of the total vehicle ownership [3] - In 2024, Chinese new energy vehicles are projected to be exported to over 180 countries, helping to reduce global carbon emissions by over 50 million tons [3] - The "new three" sectors, including new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaic products, are becoming key components of China's manufacturing identity, contributing over 18% to GDP in 2024 [3] Group 4: Green Finance and Carbon Market - By the end of 2024, the balance of green loans in China is expected to reach 36.6 trillion yuan, with nearly 70% directed towards carbon reduction projects [5] - The green insurance sector is projected to generate premium income of 333.15 billion yuan in 2024, while green bond issuance is expected to reach 681.43 billion yuan, 2.5 times that of 2020 [5] - The national carbon emissions trading market, launched in July 2021, covers over 60% of carbon emissions and has seen a cumulative trading volume of approximately 728 million tons by September 2025 [5]

Core Insights - The report highlights the expectation of a minimum 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with a 50 basis point cut deemed appropriate [4] - It notes that the U.S. Senate has reached an agreement to end the federal government shutdown, which may positively impact market stability [4] - The report emphasizes the significant growth in the new energy vehicle sector, with retail sales reaching 1.282 million units in October, achieving a penetration rate of 57.2% [4] - It mentions a breakthrough in solar technology, with the efficiency of perovskite solar cells reaching 27.2% [4] - The report discusses the collaboration between Insilico Medicine and Eli Lilly, valued at over $100 million, focusing on AI in drug development [4] - It indicates that TSMC's sales in October increased by 16.9% year-on-year [4] Economic Data Summary - The Baltic Dry Index closed at 2104.00, up 1.99% [5] - The Nasdaq Index closed at 23527.17, up 2.27% [5] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 47368.63, up 0.81% [5] - The S&P 500 closed at 6832.43, up 1.54% [5] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26649.06, up 1.55% [5] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4018.60, up 0.53% [5]

Report Summary 1. Overnight Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures up 2.83% at $4123.40 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 4.70% at $50.41 per ounce [5] - U.S. oil and Brent crude oil main contracts both rose 0.5%, at $60.05 and $63.95 per barrel respectively [6] - London base metals all rose, with LME copper up 1.47%, aluminum up 1.14%, tin up 1.00%, zinc up 0.95%, lead up 0.46%, and nickel up 0.27% [6] - As of the close on October 10 at 23:00, most domestic futures main contracts rose, with soda ash up nearly 2%, caustic soda and pulp up over 1%, and some falling, like rapeseed meal and glass down nearly 1% [6] 2. Important News Macro News - The State Council issued measures to support private investment, increasing support for eligible projects [9] - Fed's Daly said the U.S. economy may face weak demand, and tariff - related inflation is under control [9] - In October, new - energy passenger vehicle wholesale sales reached 1.621 million, up 18.5% year - on - year and 8.5% month - on - month, with cumulative sales from January to October at 12.058 million, up 29.9% [9] - China and the U.S. suspended relevant 301 investigation measures for one year starting from November 10, 2025 [10] Energy and Chemical Futures - As of November 10, 2025, Jiangsu's pure benzene port inventory was 113,000 tons, down 6.61% from the previous period and up 7.62% year - on - year [12] - As of November 10, 2025, domestic soda ash manufacturers' total inventory was 1.7062 million tons, down 0.47% from last Thursday [14] - Two Indian state - owned refineries bought 5 million barrels of crude oil from the spot market [14] - In September, Thailand's natural rubber production was 451,500 tons, down 5.45% from August and 1.78% year - on - year [14] - From November 10 at 24:00, domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices were raised by 125 and 120 yuan per ton respectively [15] Metal Futures - In October 2025, the overall operating rate of copper strip enterprises was 64.97%, down 1.05 percentage points month - on - month and 7.76 points year - on - year [17] - SMM's seven - region zinc ingot inventory was 159,600 tons, with a slight increase [18] - In the first three quarters of 2025, domestic gold ETFs added 79.015 tons, up 164.03% year - on - year, while gold consumption was 682.73 tons, down 7.95% [18] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange will waive trading fees for certain international board contracts from November 11, 2025, to the end of 2026 [19] Black - Series Futures - From November 3 to 9, 2025, China's 47 - port iron ore arrivals were 2.7693 million tons, down 544,800 tons from the previous period [21] - In October 2025, Mongolia's coal exports were 657,990 tons, down 26.52% month - on - month and 2.07% year - on - year [22] Agricultural Product Futures - As of November 7, 2025, the total commercial inventory of three major oils was 2.2047 million tons, down 5.16% from last week and up 8.52% year - on - year [24] - In the 2024 - 2025 season, China's soybean imports were 109.37 million tons, and exports were 80,000 tons [25] - Malaysia's palm oil exports from November 1 - 10 decreased by 9.5% (AmSpec) and 12.28% (ITS) compared to the same period last month [27][28] - In October, Malaysia's palm oil inventory increased 4.44% month - on - month, and production increased 11.02% [29] - From November 3 - 9, the average purchase price of Xinjiang machine - picked cotton was 6.21 yuan/kg, down 0.1 yuan/kg from the previous week [30] 3. Financial Markets Finance - The Asset Management Association of China solicited opinions on guidelines for public fund thematic investment style management [33] - On Monday, A - shares showed a divergence, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.53%, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.18%, and ChiNext Index down 0.92%, and the trading volume was 2.19 trillion yuan [33] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 1.55%, with southbound funds net buying HK$6654 million, and the cumulative net buying exceeded HK$5 trillion [33] - China Securities Index Company will release two new indices on November 11 [34] - Some people in Beijing, Shanghai, and Hangzhou were notified to pay additional taxes on overseas investment income [35] - TSMC's October revenue was NT$367.473 billion, up 16.9% year - on - year [36] Industry - Domestic refined oil prices were raised for the seventh time this year [38] - Market regulators issued compliance tips for the "Double 11" online promotion [38] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a joint document on new - energy power systems [38] - In October, the retail sales of passenger cars decreased by 0.8% year - on - year, while new - energy passenger vehicle wholesale sales increased by 18.5% [38] - As of October, Shenzhen's second - hand housing transactions showed a stable trend [39] Overseas - The U.S. and Thailand reached a trade framework agreement [40] - Switzerland is close to reaching an agreement with the U.S. to reduce tariffs to 15% [41] - Fed's Milan supported further interest - rate cuts [43] - San Francisco Fed President Daly said the U.S. economy may face demand decline [43] - U.S. container imports in October decreased by 7.5% year - on - year [43] - Japan's new government asked the central bank to postpone interest - rate hikes [43] - Japan plans to raise visa fees for foreign visitors in 2026 [44] International Stock Markets - U.S. stocks rose, with the Dow up 0.81%, S&P 500 up 1.54%, and Nasdaq up 2.27% [45] - European stocks rose, with the German DAX up 1.65%, French CAC40 up 1.32%, and UK FTSE 100 up 1.08% [47] - Goldman Sachs is bullish on Japanese and Indian stocks [47] - Vanguard increased its position in Tesla and Amazon in Q3 [47] Commodities - China's gold consumption in the first three quarters of 2025 decreased by 7.95% year - on - year, while ETFs added 79.015 tons [48] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange will waive trading fees for certain contracts and adjust the minimum redemption unit of "Bosera Gold ETF" [48] - International precious metal futures rose, and crude oil futures also rose [48] - London base metals all rose [50] Bonds - The domestic bond market strengthened, with the 30 - year Treasury futures up 0.22% [51] - The Ministry of Finance will issue up to 47.71 billion yuan of electronic savings bonds [51] - Hong Kong plans to issue multi - currency digital bonds again [52] - U.S. Treasury yields rose [52] Foreign Exchange - On Monday, the on - shore RMB against the U.S. dollar closed up 50 points at 7.1175 at 16:30 [54] - Three RMB exchange - rate indices reached new highs since April [54] - The U.S. dollar index rose 0.07% at the New York close [54] 4. Upcoming Events and Data Releases - Multiple economic data will be released on November 11, including Japan's September trade balance and UK's October unemployment rate [56] - There are also multiple events, such as central bank officials' speeches and industry forums [56]

Hot News - In October, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.621 million, a year-on-year increase of 18.5% and a month-on-month increase of 8.5%. From January to October, the cumulative wholesale was 12.058 million, a growth of 29.9% [4]. - Since 13:01 on November 10, 2025, China has suspended the implementation of countermeasures against the US Section 301 investigation on the maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries for one year [4]. - In October, Malaysia's palm oil inventory was 2,464,452 tons, a month-on-month increase of 4.44%, and the palm oil production was 2,043,886 tons, a month-on-month increase of 11.02% [4]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the net inflow of domestic gold ETFs was 79.015 tons, a year-on-year increase of 164.03%. The gold consumption was 682.730 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.95%. Among them, gold jewelry consumption was 270.036 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 32.50%; gold bars and coins consumption was 352.116 tons, a year-on-year increase of 24.55%; industrial and other gold consumption was 60.578 tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.72% [4]. - As of November 10, 2025, the total inventory of domestic soda ash manufacturers was 1.7062 million tons, a decrease of 0.008 million tons from last Thursday, a decline of 0.47%. Among them, the inventory of light soda ash was 0.7977 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 0.0169 million tons, and the inventory of heavy soda ash was 0.9085 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 0.0089 million tons [4]. Plate Performance - Key focus: Soda ash, glass, coking coal, SHFE copper, SHFE gold [5]. - Night session performance: Non-metallic building materials rose 3.25%, precious metals rose 29.09%, oilseeds rose 9.52%, non-ferrous metals rose 23.21%, soft commodities rose 2.72%, coal, coke, steel and minerals rose 13.02%, energy rose 2.90%, chemicals rose 11.18%, grains rose 1.20%, and agricultural and sideline products rose 3.90% [5]. Large - Class Asset Performance | Category | Name | Daily Return (%) | Monthly Return (%) | Year - to - Date Return (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Equity | Shanghai Composite Index | 0.53 | Fetching... | 19.90 | | | SSE 50 | 0.51 | -0.12 | 13.75 | | | CSI 300 | 0.35 | -0.29 | 19.32 | | | CSI 500 | 0.22 | -1.39 | 28.26 | | | S&P 500 | 1.54 | -0.64 | 16.17 | | | Hang Seng Index | 1.55 | 0.11 | 32.85 | | | German DAX | 1.65 | 0.38 | 20.35 | | | Nikkei 225 | 1.26 | -4.20 | 27.62 | | | FTSE 100 | 1.08 | 0.62 | 19.75 | | Fixed - Income | 10 - year Treasury Bond Futures | 0.01 | -0.18 | -0.40 | | | 5 - year Treasury Bond Futures | 0.02 | -0.12 | -0.56 | | | 2 - year Treasury Bond Futures | -0.00 | -0.07 | -0.49 | | Commodity | CRB Commodity Index | 1.38 | -0.09 | 2.81 | | | WTI Crude Oil | 0.47 | -2.09 | -16.53 | | | London Spot Gold | 2.88 | -0.57 | 56.84 | | | LME Copper | 1.47 | -1.46 | 23.83 | | | Wind Commodity Index | 1.61 | -2.67 | 30.21 | | Other | US Dollar Index | 0.07 | 0.43 | -8.17 | | | CBOE Volatility Index | 0.00 | 3.27 | 9.97 | [7]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes China's significant progress in achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, highlighting the establishment of a comprehensive carbon reduction policy system and the rapid development of renewable energy [1][2][3] Group 1: Waste Management and Recycling - By the end of 2024, 98.5% of urban communities in China will have waste classification facilities, reflecting a shift in public attitude towards environmental responsibility [1] - The transition from a single waste disposal method to a four-bin system symbolizes a broader commitment to green development [1] Group 2: Energy Transition - China is focusing on renewable energy to achieve its carbon neutrality goals, with non-fossil energy consumption increasing from 16.0% in 2020 to 19.8% in 2024, averaging nearly a 1 percentage point increase per year [2] - By August 2025, installed capacity for wind and solar power is expected to exceed 1.69 billion kilowatts, tripling the capacity from 2020 and contributing to 80% of new power installations since 2020 [2] - The share of fossil energy consumption is projected to decrease from 84.0% in 2020 to 80.2% in 2024, indicating a steady move towards cleaner energy sources [2] Group 3: New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) - As of June 2025, the number of NEVs in China is expected to reach 36.89 million, accounting for 10.27% of the total vehicle ownership, showcasing the rapid adoption of electric vehicles [3] - In 2024, NEVs are projected to be exported to over 180 countries, helping to reduce global carbon emissions by more than 50 million tons [3] - The contribution of the green low-carbon industry to China's GDP is increasing, with the "new economy" accounting for over 18% of GDP in 2024 [3] Group 4: Green Finance and Carbon Market - China has established a robust green finance framework, with green loan balances reaching 36.6 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with nearly 70% directed towards carbon reduction projects [5] - The national carbon trading market, launched in July 2021, covers over 60% of carbon emissions, with cumulative trading volume reaching approximately 728 million tons and transaction value around 49.83 billion yuan by September 2025 [5] - The voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market was initiated in January 2024, with 31 projects registered and a total reduction of 15.04 million tons by October 2025 [5]

Group 1 - Tesla's 2025 shareholder meeting approved Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation plan, with over 75% of shareholders in favor [4] - Tesla plans to mass-produce Cybercab by April 2026, targeting an annual capacity of 5 million units [4] - The price of chromium has shown a significant upward trend, with metal chromium priced at 79,060 RMB/ton as of November 7, 2025, reflecting a 2,020 RMB increase from October 31 [14] Group 2 - The automotive sector underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index from November 3 to November 7, 2025, with the automotive index down 1.2% [3] - Xpeng Motors announced the launch of three Robotaxi models in 2026, featuring high computing power and a vision-based approach [6] - The new generation of humanoid robots from Xpeng, named IRON, is set for mass production by the end of 2026, featuring advanced AI capabilities [6] Group 3 - The new materials sector is expected to experience rapid growth due to increasing demand and policy support, with a focus on electronic information, new energy, and biotechnology [42] - The new energy sector, particularly in storage, has seen significant developments, with over 100 million kilowatts of new storage capacity installed in China by the end of September 2025 [48] - The chemical industry is anticipated to enter a growth cycle, driven by reduced competition and increased demand for specific sectors [41]

Summary of Commodity Market Outlook and Key Insights Industry Overview - The report discusses the global commodity market outlook for 2026, highlighting a transition from surplus to balance, but not entering a super cycle [2][10] - Key commodities analyzed include oil, copper, aluminum, steel, agricultural products, and precious metals like gold [1][10][19] Core Insights and Arguments Commodity Market Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, global tariffs accelerated the restructuring of order, suppressing economic growth and leading to a sluggish commodity market [1][3] - The second half of 2025 saw improvements due to supply-side reforms and geopolitical risks driving price increases, resulting in supply-driven price premiums [1][3] Geopolitical and Economic Influences - Geopolitical tensions and resource protectionism are altering the supply curve of commodities, influenced by factors such as Middle Eastern production decisions, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and U.S.-China trade tensions [2][4] - New industries and emerging economies are driving demand, particularly through investments in AI, electrification, and renewable energy [2][4] Supply Challenges - Insufficient upstream investment is exacerbating supply tightness, particularly in oil and copper markets, with oil supply expected to tighten and Brent crude's breakeven price projected to be higher than current levels [5][10] - Copper supply is also under pressure due to rising disruption rates and declining ore grades, leading to upward price incentives [5][12] Agricultural Market Risks - Global weather patterns, particularly the potential for La Niña, could negatively impact agricultural yields, especially for soybeans, increasing the risk of production cuts [6][17] Infrastructure and Electrification - The development of new industries is significantly enhancing electrification levels, necessitating increased investment in grid infrastructure to avoid supply gaps [7][8] Green Transition and Pricing - The green transition and energy transformation are creating a "green premium," benefiting non-ferrous metals and certain agricultural products [8][9] Strategic Reserves and Inventory Management - The construction of global strategic reserves is likely to alter investment and inventory structures, with a trend towards regionalized inventory management emerging [9][10] Additional Important Insights - The outlook for the oil market in 2026 suggests a balance between supply and demand, with geopolitical risks remaining a concern [11][20] - The copper market is expected to see a 2.7% increase in demand in 2026, driven by electrification and energy transition [12] - The aluminum market faces production risks due to overseas power constraints, while the steel industry may experience oversupply despite improved exports [13][15] - The agricultural market is stabilizing after a two-year downturn, with expectations of reduced supply and improved export conditions for soybeans [17][18] - The precious metals market, particularly gold, remains attractive due to macroeconomic uncertainties and potential inflationary pressures [19][21] This comprehensive analysis provides a detailed overview of the current and future state of the commodity market, highlighting key trends, challenges, and opportunities for investors.