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市场震荡蓄势,不断试探4000点:——策略周专题(2025年11月第1期)
EBSCN· 2025-11-09 13:14
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a general upward trend this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing the best performance at a gain of 1.1%, while the Small and Medium-sized Enterprises Board Index had the worst performance with a decline of 0.6% [1][10][12] - The valuation of the Wind All A Index is currently at the 89.2 percentile since 2010, indicating a relatively high valuation level [1][10][16] - The sectors of power equipment, coal, and oil and petrochemicals performed relatively well, with respective gains of 5.0%, 4.5%, and 4.5% [1][12][54] Group 2 - The market style this week leaned towards value, with large-cap value stocks showing a gain of 2.3%, while large-cap growth stocks only gained 0.3% [12][51] - The market is currently in a bull phase, but short-term fluctuations are expected due to influences from overseas markets, including the volatility of the US stock market [3][23][24] - The overall market valuation is at a relatively high level, with the PE-TTM valuation of the Wind All A Index at 22.2 times, which may lead to increased market divergence [23][24][36] Group 3 - Recent economic data shows that China's goods trade maintained a steady growth trend, with a year-on-year increase of 3.6% in the first ten months of 2025 [2][20] - The import and export values for October were 3.7 trillion yuan, with exports decreasing by 0.8% and imports increasing by 1.4% [2][20] - The three major memory manufacturers have suspended DDR5 pricing, which may impact the supply chain [2][21] Group 4 - The report suggests focusing on defensive and consumer sectors in the short term, while continuing to pay attention to TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors in the medium term [34][36] - The TMT sector is expected to become a main line in the mid-term due to liquidity-driven market conditions, while advanced manufacturing may gain attention if the market shifts to a fundamental-driven phase [36][38]
ETF基金周度跟踪:港股红利收涨,资金主要流入港股TMTETF-20251108
CMS· 2025-11-08 14:53
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The document does not mention the industry investment rating [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - The report focuses on the performance and capital flow of the ETF fund market in the past week, including overall market, different popular sub - types, and innovative themes and sub - industries, to provide reference for investors [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 ETF Market Overall Performance - Market performance: From November 3rd to 7th, stock ETFs showed mixed performance. Hong Kong dividend ETFs and Hong Kong - themed ETFs (mainly central and state - owned enterprise themes) led the gains, with an average increase of 3.62% and 3.51% respectively for funds above a certain scale. Conversely, Hong Kong and A - share pharmaceutical and biological ETFs led the losses, with an average decline of 3.37% and 3.17% respectively for funds above a certain scale [2][5] - Capital flow: Capital flowed significantly into Hong Kong TMT ETFs, with a net inflow of 9.65 billion yuan for the whole week. In contrast, A - share large - cap ETFs saw a significant net outflow of 12.264 billion yuan [3][9] 3.2 Different Popular Sub - type ETF Fund Market Performance - A - share ETFs: Include various types such as broad - based index (full - market, large - cap/super - large - cap, small - and mid - cap, science and innovation/growth enterprise board), industry (TMT, mid - stream manufacturing, consumption, pharmaceutical and biological, cycle, financial real estate), SmartBeta (value, growth, dividend, free cash flow), and theme. Each type has different fund performance in terms of weekly capital flow, weekly return, recent 1 - month return, and year - to - date return [15][19][25] - Hong Kong ETFs: Include broad - based index, industry (TMT, mid - stream manufacturing, consumption, pharmaceutical and biological, financial real estate), SmartBeta (dividend), and theme. Similar to A - share ETFs, they also have different performance indicators [30][31][34] - Shanghai - Hong Kong - Shenzhen ETFs: Include industry and theme types, with corresponding performance data [35][36] - US ETFs: Include broad - based index and industry types, showing different performance [37][38] - Other QDII - ETFs (excluding Hong Kong and US): Have different performance in terms of capital flow and return [39] - Bond ETFs and commodity ETFs: Also have their own performance characteristics [40][41] 3.3 Innovative Themes and Sub - industry ETF Fund Market Performance - TMT innovation themes: Different themes such as film and television, semiconductor chips, 5G communication, etc. have different weekly and year - to - date returns [43] - Consumption sub - industries: Include national grain, tourism, animal husbandry and breeding, etc., with corresponding performance [44] - Pharmaceutical sub - industries: Such as traditional Chinese medicine, medical care, medical devices, etc., have different performance [45] - New energy themes: Include photovoltaic industry, new energy, low - carbon economy, etc., showing different returns [46] - Central and state - owned enterprise themes: Different themes like inland state - owned enterprises, central enterprise modern energy, etc. have corresponding performance [47] - Steady - growth themes: Include coal, steel, chemical industry, etc., with different weekly and year - to - date returns [48] - Shanghai - Hong Kong - Shenzhen/Hong Kong Connect sub - industries: Such as Hong Kong securities, Hong Kong Connect consumption, etc., have different performance [49] - Dividend/dividend low - volatility index family: Different indices have different performance [50] - Science and innovation/growth enterprise board index family: Include dual - innovation 50, growth enterprise board growth, etc., with corresponding performance [51]
TMT板块基金持仓高企 拥挤度警报拉响?机构吵翻了
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-06 09:37
Core Viewpoint - Public funds have significantly increased their holdings in technology stocks, with the TMT sector's allocation surpassing 40%, indicating a potential bubble in institutional holdings [1][2] Group 1: Fund Holdings and Market Trends - Public funds' total market value in the top 50 holdings reached 806.216 billion, with information technology stocks accounting for 415.589 billion, over 50% of the total [1] - Institutional investors' holdings in the TMT sector have reached 40.16%, surpassing previous peaks during the new energy wave [1][2] - Active equity funds increased their stock positions to 85.8%, with significant allocations in the electronic and communication sectors [2] Group 2: Valuation and Market Dynamics - The technology sector is experiencing high valuation levels, with potential risks of overvaluation and market rebalancing due to concentrated holdings [3] - The electronic industry has reached a historical high in institutional holdings, with a 25% allocation [3] - Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for technology stocks remains positive, supported by ongoing AI investments [5][6] Group 3: Investment Strategies and Recommendations - Some funds suggest that the current market conditions may present buying opportunities for quality companies despite recent profit-taking [6] - Investment strategies recommend balanced allocations, with a focus on AI computing and internet sectors during market adjustments [6]
数说公募权益及FOF基金三季报:成长主线多层次扩散,机构抱团同步推进
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-11-03 15:32
Report Title - The report is titled "Analysis of Public Offering Equity and FOF Fund Q3 Reports: Growth Mainline Spreading at Multiple Levels, Institutional Herding Progressing Synchronously" [1] Investment Rating - The document does not mention the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - In Q3 2025, the A-share market showed characteristics of a high-beta, comprehensively rising, growth-led structural bull market, with the Hong Kong stock market moving in tandem. Growth indices outperformed value indices, and the market showed multi-level diffusion of investment opportunities and synchronous institutional herding. Active equity funds continued to experience slight net redemptions, but the overall scale increased significantly driven by net value. Funds concentrated on increasing allocations in the TMT direction and adjusted positions from relatively weak sectors [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Fund Market Overview - **Performance Review**: The A-share market in Q3 2025 showed a high-beta, comprehensively rising, growth-led structural bull market. Broad-based indices generally rose significantly, with the ChiNext leading. The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and CSI 300 rose 12.73%, 29.25%, and 17.90% respectively, while the ChiNext Index and STAR 50 Index rose 50.40% and 49.02%. The Hong Kong stock market moved in tandem with the A-share market. In terms of style, large, medium, and small-cap growth indices significantly outperformed value indices, with large-cap growth leading [10]. - **Industry Index Performance**: In Q3, 30 out of 31 Shenwan industries, except for the banking industry, achieved positive returns. Technology manufacturing and non-ferrous metals performed well, while the financial sector was generally weak. The top 5 industries in terms of increase were communication (48.65%), electronics (47.59%), power equipment (44.67%), non-ferrous metals (41.82%), and comprehensive (32.77%) [13]. - **Equity Fund Performance**: In Q3 2025, the average net value of various types of equity funds increased significantly. The average maximum drawdown of balanced hybrid funds with lower stock positions was the lowest, at 4.72%, while that of ordinary stock funds was the highest, at 6.20%. In terms of the Sharpe ratio, partial equity hybrid and flexible allocation funds were relatively high in the short term, and balanced hybrid funds showed better risk-return performance in the long term [23]. - **Scale and Share**: As of the end of Q3 2025, the total scale of active equity funds was 3.99 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 20.81 pct quarter-on-quarter, and the total share was 2.64 trillion shares, a decrease of 5.27 pct quarter-on-quarter. Equity funds continued to experience slight net redemptions, but the overall scale increased significantly driven by net value [30]. - **Newly Issued Funds**: In Q3, the number and scale of newly issued active equity funds increased significantly. A total of 109 funds were newly issued, with a total scale of 5.3925 billion yuan, an increase of 2.3277 billion yuan compared to the previous quarter, reaching a new high in the past three years. Among them, partial equity hybrid funds had the largest newly issued scale, at 4.8082 billion yuan [32]. 2. Fund Holding Characteristics - **Stock/Hong Kong Stock Positions**: In Q3 2025, the equity fund positions increased, with an average stock position of 88.98%, an increase of 1.42 percentage points compared to the end of the previous quarter. The Hong Kong stock position of equity funds slightly decreased this quarter, with the average investment market value of Hong Kong stocks accounting for 13.55% of the net value, a slight decrease of 0.20 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [39]. - **Heavyweight Stock Sector Allocation**: In Q3, the technology sector was the most heavily held by active equity funds, and the holding ratio further increased significantly compared to Q2. The funds concentrated on increasing allocations in the TMT direction and adjusted positions from relatively weak sectors such as banking and food and beverage [43]. - **Heavyweight Stock Industry Allocation**: The electronics industry remained the most heavily held by equity funds, and the allocation ratio further increased, while the banking industry was significantly reduced. The concentration of the top five industries increased from 49.27% in Q2 to 58.58% [47]. - **Top Ten Heavyweight Stocks**: The top 10 stocks by market value accounted for by equity fund heavyweight holdings were Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Tencent Holdings, Xinyisheng, Zhongji Innolight, Alibaba Group Holding Limited, SMIC, Industrial Foresight, Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd., Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd., and Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. Stocks with a relatively large increase in market value accounted for in Q3 were Zhongji Innolight, Industrial Foresight, and Xinyisheng [49]. - **Heavyweight Stock Market Value & Concentration**: The market value style of equity fund holdings strengthened towards large-cap stocks. The concentration of the top 50, 100, and 200 stocks increased significantly in Q3, and the herding trend returned [58]. 3. Fund Company Analysis - **TOP20 Fund Company Scale**: In Q3 2025, the equity fund scales of the top 20 active equity fund companies increased significantly compared to Q2. The top 5 institutions remained unchanged from the previous quarter, and among the companies ranked 6 - 20, the equity scale of Yongying Fund increased significantly, rising 11 places [61]. - **TOP20 Fund Company Heavyweight Industries**: The first major heavyweight industries of the top 20 fund companies were mainly electronics and pharmaceutical biology. Dacheng Fund's first major heavyweight industry was non-ferrous metals, showing some differentiation [62]. - **TOP20 Fund Company Heavyweight Stocks**: In Q3, the average concentration of the top three heavyweight stocks of the top 20 active equity fund companies was 13.49%, and that of the top five was 20.01%, slightly decreasing compared to the previous quarter. Xingquan Fund had the highest concentration of the top three heavyweight stocks, at 24.69% [64]. 4. Theme Fund Analysis - **Fund Performance**: In Q3, the performance of various industry theme funds was differentiated. Technology theme funds performed the best, rising 45.96% in the quarter, followed by new energy and cyclical theme funds. Financial theme funds had the worst performance, only rising 3.25% [68]. - **Pharmaceutical and Consumption Themes**: In pharmaceutical theme funds, the sub - sectors with a relatively high market value accounted for were chemical preparations and other biological products. In consumption theme funds, the sub - sectors with a relatively high market value accounted for were liquor and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery [72]. - **Technology and New Energy Themes**: In technology theme funds, the sub - sectors with a relatively high market value accounted for were artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In new energy theme funds, the sub - sectors with a relatively high market value accounted for were photovoltaics and energy storage [76]. 5. FOF Holding Analysis - **High - Allocation Funds**: In Q3 2025, the active equity fund with the highest allocation in FOF heavyweight holdings was "Fuguo Steady Growth", followed by "Bodaogrowth Zhihang" and "Caixin Asset Management Digital Economy" [78]. - **High - Quantity Funds**: In Q3 2025, the active equity fund most heavily held by FOF was still "Fuguo Steady Growth", followed by "Bodaogrowth Zhihang" and "Invesco Great Wall Quality Evergreen" [80]. - **Allocation/Quantity Changes**: In Q3 2025, the active equity fund with the largest increase in both allocation and quantity in FOF heavyweight holdings was "E Fund Growth Power" [82]. - **New - Generation Fund Managers**: Among the active equity funds managed by new - generation fund managers with less than 3 years of management experience, the FOF heavyweight fund with the highest allocation in Q3 was "E Fund Strategic Emerging Industries", managed by Ouyang Liangqi [84].
ROE拐点已至:三季报里,谁在领跑,谁在拖后腿?
雪球· 2025-11-03 08:26
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a stabilization and rebound in the ROE (Return on Equity) of A-shares, indicating a recovery in overall profitability across the market, with significant improvements in growth sectors such as TMT and the ChiNext board [3][4]. Group 1: Overall Market Performance - The ROE of the entire A-share market increased from 6.74% in Q3 2022 to 6.80% in Q3 2023, marking a year-on-year growth of 0.75% and breaking a downward trend [5][6]. - The growth sectors, particularly the ChiNext and technology-focused indices, showed substantial improvements, with the ROE of the ChiNext index rising by 12.30% year-on-year [7][8]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector maintained high growth, with the ROE of technology leaders increasing from 8.04% to 10.26%, a growth of 27.59% [16]. - The consumer sector exhibited mixed results, with the ROE of the consumer index declining from 17.18% to 16.51%, while the household appliances sector showed a slight increase from 12.66% to 12.90% [17][18]. - The pharmaceutical sector showed signs of stabilization, with the overall ROE rising from 8.43% to 8.52%, while the renewable energy sector began to show improvement, with the ROE of the photovoltaic industry increasing from 1.50% to 1.75% [19][20]. Group 3: Profitability Drivers - The rebound in A-share ROE is primarily driven by improvements in net profit margins and stabilization in asset turnover rates, indicating enhanced operational efficiency rather than increased leverage [22][23]. - The sectors with the most significant revenue improvements include TMT, financial services, and midstream manufacturing, while the consumer sector remains under pressure [24].
负债行为跟踪:资金接力的缺位
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-11-02 13:12
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints of the Report - After the market reached a new high, the STAR 50 index experienced a decline with increased trading volume, and the behaviors of different types of funds began to diverge significantly. There are disagreements on technology and the entry of incremental funds. It is recommended to maintain a balanced portfolio and control the absolute position. Bonds can be used as a hedge against stock risks, and sectors weakly related to technology and previously underperforming should be added to the portfolio [5][8] - The market has already priced in the previous positive news in advance. Although there were no real negative factors this week, only positive news was realized, the market failed to rise. The TMT sector has shown a narrowing trend, with only storage, PCB, and semiconductor materials having excess returns in October [6] Summary by Related Catalogs Asset Price Performance - **Large - scale Asset Performance**: Overseas stocks were strong while bonds were weak, Chinese bonds strengthened, the US dollar appreciated, and precious metal prices declined. The yields of overseas bonds rose due to the decline in interest - rate cut expectations, while the yields of Chinese government bonds decreased. Commodity prices were differentiated, with precious metals falling and natural gas and soybeans rising. The US dollar index increased, but the RMB and Hong Kong dollar appreciated against the US dollar. In the domestic stock market, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, the ChiNext Index rose by 0.5%, and the STAR 50 Index fell by 3.2% [12][15] - **A - share Market Performance**: This week, small - and medium - cap stocks led the gains, while the STAR 50 index underperformed. The trading volume of the A - share market increased, with most indices' average daily trading volume returning to the level of late September. The sectors of power equipment, non - ferrous metals, and computers led the gains, while sectors such as banks, beauty care, and real estate led the losses. In the TMT sector, only storage, PCB, and semiconductor materials had excess returns in October [17][23][27] Capital Behavior Tracking - **Leveraged Funds**: The proportion of margin trading and short - selling turnover in A - share turnover rebounded slightly this week. On Friday, a large amount of funds flowed into large - cap ETFs. Stocks with a market capitalization of over 50 billion yuan were de - leveraged, while stocks with a market capitalization of less than 50 billion yuan were generally leveraged. Sectors such as banks, home appliances, automobiles, steel, and pharmaceuticals were leveraged, while sectors such as petroleum and petrochemicals and coal were significantly de - leveraged. Popular stocks in the electronics and communication sectors were leveraged [39][42][46] - **Quantitative Funds**: The excess returns of quantitative funds turned negative this week. The basis discount of stock index futures narrowed but remained at a relatively high level since July [64][68] - **Main Funds**: Main funds flowed out significantly from the STAR Market this week, mainly from the electronics and communication sectors, and flowed into the banking sector [71][76] - **North - bound Funds**: The total trading volume of north - bound funds rebounded this week, but the proportion decreased. The performance of their heavy - holding stocks was poor [78][82] - **South - bound Funds**: The trading volume of south - bound funds rebounded this week, but the proportion decreased. The net buying amount increased. South - bound funds flowed into the banking sector significantly and flowed out of the pharmaceutical and biological sector [84][88]
A股财报深度分析系列:2025年三季报深度分析:两非盈利改善,ROE低位反弹
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-02 04:01
Overall Analysis - The overall performance of A-shares in Q3 2025 shows a significant improvement in profitability, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11.55% in net profit attributable to shareholders, a substantial increase compared to Q2 2025 [1][11] - The cumulative net profit growth rate for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 5.55%, indicating a recovery in profitability driven by active trading in the A-share market and notable improvements in non-banking sectors [1][10] Industry Analysis - The industries with the highest year-on-year net profit growth in Q3 2025 include steel (+202.9%), defense industry (+73.2%), non-bank financials (+64.9%), media (+57.2%), and non-ferrous metals (+50.9%), primarily concentrated in anti-involution and high-prosperity TMT sectors [3][4] - The recovery in profitability is particularly evident in upstream and midstream sectors, while downstream consumption remains under pressure [3][4] Profitability Analysis - The return on equity (ROE) for A-shares (excluding financials and petrochemicals) rebounded slightly to 6.31% in Q3 2025, although it remains at a low level, necessitating further observation for upward elasticity [2][25] - The main drivers for the ROE rebound include improvements in net profit margin and stabilization of asset turnover, with a slight decrease in the debt-to-asset ratio [2][25] Cash Flow Analysis - The net cash flow as a percentage of revenue in Q3 2025 is at a relatively low level compared to the past decade, with operating cash flow showing improvement year-on-year [2][3] - The financing cash flow has also increased year-on-year, indicating some debt repayment pressure on enterprises [2][3] Sector Performance - The growth rates of net profit attributable to shareholders in various sectors show that the innovation and entrepreneurship sector has significantly improved, while the growth style continues to lead in profitability [2][21] - The main board, STAR Market, and ChiNext have shown stable performance, with the STAR Market achieving a remarkable year-on-year net profit growth of 65.40% in Q3 2025 [2][21]
2025年三季报公募基金十大重仓股持仓分析
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-30 12:50
Market Performance - Since July 2025, major indices have risen significantly, with the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, and Sci-Tech 50 increasing by over 45%[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and CSI 2000 have risen by 15.79%, 19.20%, 24.10%, 17.67%, and 14.89% respectively[1] Fund Establishment and Holdings - A total of 90 equity-oriented active funds were established in Q3 2025, with a total share of 554.04 billion[2] - The average stock position of various types of equity-oriented active funds increased compared to Q2 2025[3] Industry Distribution - The industries with increased holdings of over 100 billion include electronics, communication, power equipment and new energy, computer, non-ferrous metals, machinery, pharmaceuticals, and media[4] - The electronics sector saw a holding increase of 5.17%, while communication increased by 3.95%[4] Individual Stock Distribution - The top five stocks with the largest increase in holdings are Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Industrial Fulian, CATL, and Cambricon[5] - The largest holdings in A-shares are CATL, Xinyi Sheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, Luxshare Precision, and Industrial Fulian[5] Large Fund Holdings Analysis - As of October 28, 2025, there are 34 equity-oriented active funds with holdings exceeding 100 billion, an increase of 10 from the previous quarter[6] - The stocks with the most significant changes in holdings among large funds include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Luxshare Precision, CATL, and Industrial Fulian[6] Hong Kong Stock Holdings - The top six Hong Kong stocks held by funds in Q3 2025 include Tencent Holdings, Alibaba-W, SMIC, Innovent Biologics, Pop Mart, and Xiaomi Group-W, each with a market value exceeding 10 billion[7]
AI数据中心液冷设备+柴油机/压缩机,这家公司深度绑定台资OEM厂商资源
摩尔投研精选· 2025-10-30 10:23
Group 1: TMT Sector Insights - Public funds have increased their positions in the TMT sector, with a notable rise of 11.20 percentage points to a historical high of 39.85% [1] - The most significant increases in the TMT sector were observed in electronics (+6.85 percentage points), telecommunications (+3.95 percentage points), power equipment (+2.39 percentage points), and non-ferrous metals (+1.31 percentage points) [1] - The overall market trend shows a preference for large-cap growth stocks, with significant increases in the ChiNext, STAR Market, and CSI 300 indices [1] Group 2: Aluminum Industry Dynamics - Rio Tinto is considering halting operations at its Tomago aluminum smelter in New South Wales, Australia, which produces 590,000 tons of aluminum annually, accounting for approximately 40% of Australia's total aluminum output [2] - The rising electricity costs, which currently constitute over 40% of the operational costs at Tomago, are a critical factor influencing the potential shutdown [2] - The global aluminum demand is expected to grow significantly, particularly in the new energy vehicle and photovoltaic sectors, with emerging demand projected to increase from 14% to 22% between 2024 and 2030 [3] Group 3: Demand Trends in Aluminum - Rapid economic growth in South Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East is anticipated to drive aluminum demand, with a CAGR of 3.7% and 2.4% respectively from 2024 to 2030, making these regions the fastest-growing in terms of aluminum demand [4] - The global visible inventory is continuously declining, increasing the sensitivity of aluminum prices to supply and demand changes, while trade tariffs may lead companies to maintain higher inventory levels [4] - The aluminum industry is entering a historically significant period of supply-demand improvement, supporting the notion that aluminum prices are likely to rise, while industry profits are expected to continue increasing [4]
同类最活跃A500ETF基金(512050)连续3日吸金近21亿元,年内跑赢沪深300超5%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-30 08:32
Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rebounded, stabilizing above 4000 points, with market hotspots showing signs of rotation, particularly in new energy concepts such as lithium batteries, power batteries, energy storage, and solid-state batteries [1] - The A500 ETF (512050) saw a slight increase of 0.08%, with a trading volume exceeding 2.88 billion yuan, ranking first among similar funds. Notable stocks included Penghui Energy hitting the daily limit, and Bluefocus and Xinwangda rising over 10% [1] - Year-to-date, as of October 29, the A500 ETF (512050) has accumulated a 26% increase, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index's 20.66% rise by over 5% [1] Group 2 - Everbright Securities forecasts a strong market performance, supported by new policy deployments and upcoming US-China trade negotiations, alongside the Federal Reserve's continued interest rate cuts, which may enhance market risk appetite [2] - Mid-term industry focus includes TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and advanced manufacturing sectors, with a shift towards high-dividend and consumer sectors if market volatility occurs [2] - The current market is likely in a mid-term phase, with advanced manufacturing being a key area of interest, while high-dividend sectors such as banking, utilities, food and beverage, and personal care may be considered during market fluctuations [2]