Core Viewpoint - The May PPI data in the U.S. showed a mild impact from costs of goods and services, with core PPI figures falling short of expectations, indicating potential price pressures in the second half of the year due to high tariffs and corporate profit margin concerns [1] Group 1: PPI Data Insights - The May PPI data revealed an expansion in profit margins for wholesalers and retailers, particularly in the automotive and machinery sectors, following a decline in April [1] - Year-to-date profit margins have shown fluctuations, highlighting the uncertainty of trade policies on prices and demand [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Analysts are closely monitoring the PPI report as certain components are used to calculate the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the PCE data [1] - Areas of weakness in May included declines in airfare prices, investment management fees, and moderate healthcare costs [1] - The PCE report is expected to be released later this month, which will provide further insights into inflation trends [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market experienced significant volatility on the last trading day of May, with major indices showing a "V" shape recovery after a sharp decline triggered by Trump's announcement on tariffs and manufacturing policies [1][10] - Trump proposed to increase the import tariff on steel from 25% to 50% to protect the U.S. steel industry from foreign competition, which led to a rise in steel stocks post-announcement [4][5] - Trump also mandated that U.S. automakers, including Tesla, must produce entire vehicles and all parts domestically, causing Tesla's stock to drop over 3%, resulting in a market cap loss of approximately $38.6 billion [7][8] Group 2 - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieved their best monthly performance in nearly a year, with the S&P 500 rising over 6% and the Nasdaq nearly 10% in May [2][12] - The volatility in the market was exacerbated by increased policy uncertainty in the U.S., with notable investors like Jim Rogers and Michael Burry reportedly liquidating their U.S. stock holdings [3][26] - The U.S. personal consumption expenditure (PCE) growth slowed significantly in April, with core PCE prices at a four-year low of 2.5%, indicating potential economic challenges ahead [21][22]

Group 1: U.S. Tariff Policy Impact - The U.S. will increase the import tariff on steel from 25% to 50% to protect the domestic steel industry from foreign competition [1] - Following the announcement, U.S. steel stocks surged, with Cleveland-Cliffs seeing an increase of over 26% in after-hours trading [1] Group 2: Automotive Industry Developments - President Trump stated that U.S. automakers, including Tesla, must produce vehicles and all parts domestically rather than abroad, causing a significant drop in Tesla's stock by over 3% [2] - Several Chinese concept stocks experienced declines, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index falling by 2.69% [2] Group 3: Consumer Spending Trends - U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rose by 0.2% in April, a slowdown from the 0.7% increase in March, attributed to increased economic uncertainty from changing tariff policies [3] - The PCE price index is a key inflation indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve for monetary policy decisions [3] Group 4: EU-U.S. Trade Negotiations - The EU and U.S. are in critical trade negotiations, aiming for an agreement by July 9, amidst a complex global situation [4] - The EU remains committed to finding solutions to trade tensions, although the outlook for negotiations is uncertain [4]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) showed a significant slowdown in April, indicating increased economic uncertainty and a shift towards saving among households [1] Economic Data Summary - In April, U.S. PCE increased by 0.2% month-over-month, a decrease from 0.7% in March [1] - The PCE price index rose by 0.1% month-over-month, while the core PCE price index, excluding food and energy, also increased by 0.1% [1] - Year-over-year, the PCE price index increased by 2.1%, and the core PCE price index rose by 2.5%, both slightly above the Federal Reserve's long-term inflation target of 2% [1] Consumer Sentiment Analysis - The latest data reflects potential anxiety among U.S. consumers regarding the economy, with the previous quarter showing the weakest consumption spending in nearly two years [1] - Despite the increase in tariffs on imported goods not yet being fully reflected in rising prices, consumer confidence has declined, and expectations for personal financial prospects have reached historical lows [1] Monetary Policy Implications - The PCE price index is a key inflation indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, influencing its monetary policy decisions and thus attracting significant market attention [1]

Market Overview - Major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.23%, Nasdaq down 0.67%, and S&P 500 down 0.43% [1] - Large tech stocks mostly declined, with Nvidia down over 2%, Google down over 1%, and Amazon, Apple, and Meta showing slight declines, while Tesla and Microsoft experienced minor gains [3] Individual Stock Performance - Apple shares decreased by 0.59% to $198.780, while pre-market trading showed a slight decline of 0.31% [4] - Tesla shares increased by 0.44% to $360.025, but pre-market trading indicated a drop of 0.80% [4] - Meta's stock fell by 0.25% to $643.450, with a pre-market decline of 0.16% [4] - Amazon shares dropped by 0.82% to $204.020, with a pre-market decline of 0.39% [4] - Nvidia shares fell by 2.85% to $135.230, with a pre-market decline of 0.28% [4] - Google shares decreased by 1.20% to $169.790 [4] Sector-Specific News - Apparel retail giant GAP saw a significant drop of over 20% in its stock price, warning that tariffs would erode its annual operating profit [5] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 2.67%, with major Chinese stocks like Alibaba, Xpeng Motors, and NIO dropping over 3% [6] Commodity Market - Spot gold prices decreased by 0.73% [8] - International oil prices fell, with both Brent and WTI crude oil dropping over 1% [10] Economic Indicators - The U.S. Census Bureau reported a dramatic 19.8% month-over-month decline in April's goods imports, the largest drop on record, bringing the total to $2760.97 billion [13] - The trade deficit narrowed to $876 billion in April, significantly better than the market expectation of $1430 billion [13] - The core PCE price index rose by 2.5% year-over-year, matching expectations and marking the smallest increase in over four years [13][14]

另据美国商务部最新公布的数据，美联储最青睐的通胀指标——4月核心PCE物价指数同比上涨2.5%，符合预 期，为四年多来最小涨幅。数据发布后，交易员仍押注美联储将在9月降息。 号称"美联储传声筒"的《华尔街日报》记者NickTimiraos警告称，预测人士估计，随着关税政策的影响显现， 预计今年5月，尤其是6月，美国商品价格涨幅将会加快。美股开盘后，三大指数呈现窄幅震荡格局，美股大型 科技股多数走弱。 美国关税政策的扰动仍在持续。 重磅数据出炉 受关税政策影响，美国贸易数据出现史诗级波动。今晚，美国普查局发布的《经济指标预览》报告显示，4月 份美国商品进口额从3月的3444.70亿美元下降至2760.97亿美元，环比暴跌19.8%，创有记录以来的最大降幅。 北京时间5月30日晚间，美国商务部普查局表示，随着关税政策实施前进口抢跑带来的推动作用消退，美国4月 商品贸易逆差大幅收窄。 据最新发布的《经济指标预览》报告，美国4月份商品贸易逆差收窄至876亿美元，市场预估为逆差1430亿美 元，前值为逆差1632亿美元。 报告显示，4月份美国商品进口额从3月的3444.70亿美元下降至2760.97亿美元，环比大幅下降 ...

智通财经5月22日电，英国将考虑季节性调整CPI以改善通胀指标。 ...

英国将考虑季节性调整CPI以改善通胀指标。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to adopt a dovish stance regarding interest rate cuts, with a 25 basis point reduction anticipated in the upcoming policy meeting, marking the first cut since February [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Monetary Policy - The RBA is likely to indicate that inflation indicators have returned to target levels, but due to global economic uncertainties and a robust Australian job market, a series of rate cuts is unlikely [1] - The option of a 50 basis point cut does not seem to be under consideration in the current calm financial market environment [1] Economic Indicators - The RBA's decision will be influenced by the active employment market and steady wage growth amidst weak productivity [1]

Group 1 - The report highlights a growing gap between income and actual living costs for low-income families in the U.S., with a shortfall exceeding $29,000 for the bottom 60% of households [1] - The study indicates that traditional inflation metrics fail to accurately reflect the economic pressures faced by these families, as their spending on necessities is disproportionately high compared to wealthier households [1][2] - Since 2001, the median household income in the U.S. has decreased by 4% when adjusted for the "Minimum Quality of Life Index," while the commonly used Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows an 11% increase in income during the same period [1] Group 2 - The rising cost of child-rearing has significantly contributed to the economic strain on low-income families, with expenses for raising children more than doubling since 2001, exceeding $30,000 for a typical family of four in 2023 [2] - High-income families have experienced stable economic surpluses, maintaining over 60% above the minimum quality of life standard, with an average annual income of approximately $200,000 in 2023, leaving a surplus of nearly $128,000 after basic living expenses [2]