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医保迎来大变革?7月起个人账户取消?那卡内余额去哪了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 06:15
医保改革:从个人账户优化到全民共享 医保改革事关每个人的切身利益,其核心在于优化个人账户,增强统筹基金的保障功能,最终目标是构建一个更加公平、可持续的医疗保障体系,让有限的 医保资金发挥最大效益,真正实现"保大病、保重病"的基本功能。这项改革并非简单地取消个人账户,而是基于对现有制度中结构性问题的深刻反思。 我国医疗保险制度建立之初,个人账户的设计主要用于解决参保人的小额医疗支出。然而,随着医疗费用的迅速增长,这种模式已难以满足当前的医疗保障 需求。中国社会保障学会副会长丁长发教授指出,个人账户资金使用效率低下,存在"小病花不完,大病不够花"的矛盾。 2024年度报告显示,全国医保个 人账户年度累计结余超过7200亿元,但实际使用率仅为42.3%。大量资金沉淀,未能充分发挥其应有的医疗保障功能。 从国际经验来看,医保改革是全球趋势。美国2024年将个人医疗账户(HSA)与高免赔额医疗计划(HDHP)相结合,以提高资金灵活性;德国则完全采用统筹 模式,取消个人账户。我国的改革路径兼顾国际经验与国情,探索出一条具有中国特色的医保发展道路。 2025年5月,国家医保局发布《关于进一步优化基本医疗保险个人账户改革的指 ...
中金:硅料报价大幅上涨 供给侧改革拐点渐行渐近
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 05:51
Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in silicon material prices indicates a potential turning point in the photovoltaic industry's supply-side reform, with a focus on the silicon material segment as the first to reflect changes [1][3]. Group 1: Silicon Material Price Trends - Silicon material prices have shown a continuous upward trend in July, with current average prices rising to 40-50 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 25-35% [1][2]. - The average price of various types of silicon materials in June was approximately 5% lower than in May due to demand front-loading from the current photovoltaic installation surge [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The production data for July indicates a silicon material output of 109,000 tons, which is higher than the output of silicon wafers, suggesting that the supply-demand relationship has not yet significantly improved [2]. - The acceptance of rising silicon material prices by downstream sectors remains uncertain, as current price increases are reflected more in quotes than in actual transaction prices [2]. Group 3: Government and Industry Response - The government's increased focus on combating low-price bidding and promoting high-quality development in the photovoltaic sector is expected to reshape the supply structure in the silicon material segment [3]. - The restructuring of the silicon material industry is anticipated to involve a selection process based on financial strength, cost management, and product quality among manufacturers [3].
辽沈银行行长杨法德升任董事长
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-15 04:43
21世纪经济报道记者张欣 北京报道 加入辽沈银行前,杨法德长期在招商银行系统任职:2013年10月获批担任招商银行银川分行行长,2015 年7月调任招商银行佛山分行行长,2018年10月担任招银金融租赁有限公司董事,2018年12月至2022年 10月担任招商银行广州分行行长。 辽沈银行行长杨法德新去向已落定! 据沈阳市沈河区委宣传部微信公众号"幸福沈河"消息:近日,沈河区委书记林宇航到辽沈银行走访调 研。辽沈银行董事长杨法德、辽沈银行行长吴川对林宇航一行的到来表示热烈欢迎。这意味着,杨法德 现已出任该行董事长。 公开资料显示,杨法德出生于1964年8月,拥有上海财经大学统计学专业硕士研究生学历,职称是高级 经济师。2024年8月,杨法德代为履行辽沈银行行长职责,同年12月获核准担任辽沈银行第二任行长, 这也是该行成立以来首次进行行长级别调整,任期至2025年5月。并于同年12月起任辽沈银行行长、执 行董事等职。 接替杨法德担任辽沈银行行长的是辽宁农商行原监事长吴川。2025年3月30 日,辽宁省委组织部发布省 管干部任前公示,明确原辽宁农村商业银行股份有限公司监事长吴川拟任省管企业正职;公示结束后, 吴川正 ...
20cm速递|创业板50ETF(159375)涨超2.0%,科技板块或带来新一轮的投资机遇
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-15 04:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that capital market reforms will enhance mechanisms supporting the development of technology growth enterprises, with a focus on sectors like biomedicine, artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy [1] - Reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, such as the establishment of a growth tier, the resumption of listing standards for unprofitable companies, and the introduction of a third set of standards for the Growth Enterprise Market, will significantly increase market support for technology companies, creating more investment opportunities in related fields [1] - The AI computing power industry chain is expected to recover continuously, presenting new investment opportunities, particularly in sub-sectors like operators, optical communications, satellite internet, and quantum technology [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext 50 ETF tracks the ChiNext 50 Index, which can experience daily fluctuations of up to 20%. This index, published by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, selects 50 stocks with larger market capitalization and better liquidity from the ChiNext market, aiming to reflect the performance of the most representative and influential companies in the market, especially focusing on technology innovation sectors like information technology and healthcare [1]
以实践成果申请工程硕士学位!全国首批67人“吃螃蟹”
Zhong Guo Qing Nian Bao· 2025-07-15 04:30
此外,教育部组织有关高校联合企业,聚焦培养过程中的关键环节研制工作指南,汇总发布《工程硕博 士培养标准汇编(第二卷)》,3年来举办了4期校企导师研修班,培训校企导师2000余人;围绕行 业"卡脖子"技术难题,企业向国家卓越工程师学院提供5100多个来自产业一线的研究课题,作为工程硕 博士开展科研和学位论文选题的主要来源;校企联合建成300多个工程师技术中心,为工程硕博士在真 实环境中开展科研创造有利条件。 中国青年报客户端北京7月15日电(中青报·中青网记者 张渺)今天,教育部在北京召开新闻通气会,教 育部学位管理与研究生教育司副司长郝彤亮重点介绍了卓越工程师培养改革有关情况。他提到,自今年 1月起《中华人民共和国学位法》正式施行以来,今年首批毕业的2100多名专项试点硕士中,已有67人 以实践成果申请学位。 来源:中国青年报客户端 据介绍,教育部自2022年正式启动卓越工程师培养改革,目前已取得积极进展,推动培养体系重构、流 程再造、能力重塑、评价重建,强化校企接续培养。截至目前,已建设了3批共40家国家卓越工程师学 院,4个国家卓越工程师创新研究院,支持高校、企业、国家实验室成立"中国卓越工程师培养联合 ...
“反内卷”对中国银行业构成“方向性”利好,摩根大通:2016年供给侧改革银行股几乎翻倍,但这次会更温和
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-15 03:29
据追风交易台消息,摩根大通在其最新研报中表示,"反内卷"利好银行业,尤其是股份制银行,可能推动净息差反弹并提升收益,但影响将较2016年供给 侧改革更温和。 今年以来,中央层面对"反内卷"密集发声。在政策支持及各行各业快速响应下,"反内卷"热度持续升温。 据新华社报道,7月1日召开的中央财经委员会第六次会议提出,依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争,引导企业提升产品品质,推动落后产能有序退出,释放 国家层面"反内卷"新信号。 报告预计,在"反内卷"推动下,2026年银行业盈利有望实现8%的上行潜力,主要驱动因素为净息差回升,其中股份制银行的净盈利影响可达14%。 历史经验显示,净息差存在显著改善空间 报告表示,2016-2018年的供给侧改革成功减少了某些行业的过剩产能,推动PPI从2015年-5.2%反弹至2017年+6.3%,并与名义GDP增长正相关。 期间,MSCI中国银行指数从2016年2月至2018年1月上涨97%,银行收入随名义GDP恢复,净息差在无政策利率上调情况下反弹18个基点,不良贷款生成 率从2015年峰值开始下降。 报告预计,本轮"反内卷"的积极影响可能小于前次改革,但可能带来净息差和收入上行, ...
宝城期货橡胶早报-20250715
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-15 02:26
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Report's Core View - Both Shanghai rubber (RU) and synthetic rubber (BR) are expected to run strongly in the short - term, with an intraday view of being strongly volatile and a medium - term view of being volatile [1][5][7] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Shanghai Rubber (RU) - **Short - term, Medium - term, and Intraday Views**: Short - term: volatile; Medium - term: volatile; Intraday: strongly volatile; Overall reference view: strongly running [1][5] - **Core Logic**: A new round of supply - side reform may boost domestic commodity futures. The supply side is in the peak tapping season with strong incremental expectations and large month - on - month output pressure. Downstream demand is weak, with slowing tire production and sales growth and a terminal demand off - season. Benefiting from better - than - expected domestic new car production and sales data in June, the 2509 contract of Shanghai rubber futures showed a strongly volatile trend in the overnight session on Monday, with the price slightly rising 0.87% to 14,430 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain a volatile and stable trend on Tuesday [5] Synthetic Rubber (BR) - **Short - term, Medium - term, and Intraday Views**: Short - term: volatile; Medium - term: volatile; Intraday: strongly volatile; Overall reference view: strongly running [1][7] - **Core Logic**: A new round of supply - side reform may boost domestic commodity futures. The operating loads of some private butadiene rubber plants in East and South China have increased slightly, driving up production and capacity utilization. Downstream demand is weak, with slowing tire production and sales growth and a terminal demand off - season. Benefiting from better - than - expected domestic new car production and sales data in June, the 2509 contract of synthetic rubber futures showed a strongly volatile trend in the overnight session on Monday, with the price slightly rising 0.22% to 11,570 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain a strongly volatile trend on Tuesday [7]
宝城期货甲醇早报-20250715
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-15 02:23
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Report's Core View - The methanol 2509 contract is expected to run strongly, with short - term, medium - term, and intraday trends being oscillatory, oscillatory, and oscillatory - bullish respectively [1][5]. - Due to factors such as increased domestic and overseas supply and weakening downstream demand, the methanol supply - demand structure is becoming looser. However, after the release of negative sentiment from the previous sharp correction and the potential new round of supply - side reform, the domestic methanol futures may maintain an oscillatory - bullish trend. The night - session of domestic methanol futures on Monday slightly rose 0.46% to 2398 yuan/ton, and the 2509 contract on Tuesday is expected to maintain an oscillatory - bullish trend [5]. 3. Summary by Related Content 3.1 Price Change Calculation Rules - For varieties with night - trading, the starting price is the night - trading closing price; for those without, it is the previous day's closing price. The ending price is the day - trading closing price of the current day to calculate the price change [2]. - A decline greater than 1% is considered a fall, 0 - 1% a weak oscillation; a rise of 0 - 1% is a strong oscillation, and a rise greater than 1% is an increase [3]. - Oscillatory - bullish/weak only applies to the intraday view, not for short - term and medium - term views [4]. 3.2 Methanol Market Analysis - The continuous release of domestic methanol production capacity and the arrival of overseas shipments increase the supply pressure. Meanwhile, downstream demand enters the off - season, leading to a looser supply - demand structure [5]. - After the previous sharp correction, negative sentiment has been released. The domestic high - level meeting's tone on governance of low - price disorderly competition and the exit of backward production capacity may bring a new round of supply - side reform, which boosts domestic commodity futures [5].
工业硅、多晶硅日评:供给端扰动不断,硅系价格走势坚挺-20250715
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-07-15 02:06
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The price of industrial silicon is expected to continue a relatively strong consolidation in the short - term, but the volatility may increase. It is recommended to focus on short - term operations. In the long - term, the selling pressure on the upper side after the rebound of the futures market may stimulate the resumption of production in the southwest region, and there is still upward pressure [1]. - The polysilicon price may continue a relatively strong trend in the short - term, driven by bullish sentiment and the rise of industrial silicon, but the upward space may be limited. It is advisable to consider taking profits on previous long positions [1]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Industrial Silicon - **Price Changes**: The average price of industrial silicon non - oxygenated 553 (East China) increased by 1.16% to 8,750 yuan/ton, and the average price of 421 (East China) increased by 1.09% to 9,300 yuan/ton. The closing price of the futures main contract increased by 3.33% to 8,695 yuan/ton [1]. - **Supply Side**: Northern large - scale factories have production reduction arrangements with no resumption news. The southwest production area is about to enter the wet season, with lower electricity costs and a steady increase in enterprise operation, but the resumption speed is slow. After offsetting the increase and decrease on the supply side, there may be a reduction [1]. - **Demand Side**: Polysilicon enterprises maintain a production - reduction trend, with some silicon material factories planning to resume production in July, bringing some demand increase. The organic silicon industry has a strong willingness to reduce production to support prices, but the demand is weak, and the actual transaction price has declined. The operation of domestic monomer enterprises is mixed, with overall operation declining, further weakening the demand for industrial silicon. Silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed, and the downstream has insufficient willingness to stockpile at low prices [1]. Polysilicon - **Price Changes**: The price of N - type dense material decreased by 1.12% to 44 yuan/kg, the price of N - type re - feeding material decreased by 1.09% to 45.5 yuan/kg, the price of N - type mixed material remained flat at 43.5 yuan/kg, and the price of N - type granular silicon remained flat at 43.5 yuan/kg. The closing price of the futures main contract decreased by 0.04% to 41,330 yuan/ton [1]. - **Supply Side**: Polysilicon enterprises maintain a production - reduction trend, and some may have new production capacity put into operation. After offsetting the increase and decrease, the output is expected to increase slightly, generally remaining within 100,000 tons [1]. - **Demand Side**: The photovoltaic market is weak overall, with the inventory of silicon wafers and silicon materials increasing. Recently, due to the expected increase in polysilicon prices, the price of downstream silicon wafers has followed the increase, and the trading atmosphere has improved. However, the terminal market is still weak due to the large over - consumption of demand in the first half of the year [1]. Other Information - After the domestic photovoltaic silicon wafer enterprises generally raised their quotations on the afternoon of July 9, the domestic silicon wafer market has carried out transactions at the new prices over the weekend, and battery factories have started to purchase in large quantities. At the same time, the 210 and 210R models of battery cells have gradually started transactions at 0.26 yuan/w [1]. - A 1,200 - ton/day photovoltaic glass kiln in Anhui was cold - repaired today. As of now, the cold - repaired kiln capacity in July in China is 3,600 tons/day, and there is still a planned cold - repaired capacity of 1,400 tons/day in the follow - up of July [1].
大摩闭门会-供给侧改革反内卷,是新瓶装旧酒吗?- 纪要
2025-07-15 01:58
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry and Company Involved - The conference call primarily discusses the **Chinese economy** and the **supply-side reform** initiatives, particularly focusing on the **steel**, **cement**, and **photovoltaic glass** industries. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Impact of Tariffs on U.S. Economy**: Despite the U.S. imposing tariffs on multiple countries, the market's reaction has been muted. However, the long-term effects on U.S. corporate profits and inflation are expected to be significant post-Q3 2023, necessitating vigilance from companies regarding potential risks [1][3][21]. 2. **Differences in Supply-Side Reform 2.0**: The current supply-side reform differs from the 2015-2018 reforms in its broader scope, complexity due to international factors, and emphasis on institutional adjustments for long-term stability [1][4][5][17]. 3. **Economic Performance in H1 2025**: China's economy showed resilience with a GDP growth exceeding 5%, driven by export activities and policy support. However, challenges are anticipated in H2 2025 due to supply-demand imbalances and deepening deflation [1][8][9]. 4. **Sector-Specific Production Cuts**: The steel industry plans to cut production by approximately 30 million tons, while the cement industry has a reduction plan set to begin in November 2024. The coal industry is unlikely to be involved in this round of reforms due to electricity safety concerns [1][10][11][12]. 5. **Challenges in the Photovoltaic Industry**: The photovoltaic glass sector is currently facing losses, with leading companies beginning to reduce production. The industry struggles with low concentration and weak demand, making comprehensive supply-side reform a lengthy process [1][13][30][31]. 6. **External Demand Pressures**: China faces external demand pressures from high tariffs, potential declines in exports to the U.S., and a global trade cycle downturn, which could impact economic growth and inflation [1][18][19]. 7. **Stock Market Outlook**: The Chinese stock market has entered a volatile phase since June, with recommendations to focus on A-shares while maintaining caution towards Hong Kong stocks. The long-term impact of supply-side reforms is expected to be positive for the overall stock market [2][20][25][27][28]. 8. **Future Economic Predictions**: The macroeconomic outlook for 2025 and 2026 suggests a potential deflationary environment, but successful supply-side reforms could lead to upward risks in economic growth [1][29]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Institutional Adjustments Needed**: The current reform emphasizes the need for institutional changes, including local government fiscal systems and social security frameworks, to achieve sustainable development [1][5][36]. 2. **Market Reaction to Policy Changes**: The market's response to new tariff policies has been characterized by investor fatigue, indicating a desire for clarity and stability in trade relations [1][22]. 3. **Long-Term Investment Strategies**: The call suggests a cautious approach to investments in the short term, with a focus on individual A-share opportunities, while the overall market is expected to improve in terms of investment returns over the next 6 to 12 months [1][24][28].