认购股份相当于(i)公司于本公告日期现有已发行股本约16.63%;及(ii)经配发及发行认购股份扩大后的公 司已发行股本约14.26%(假设除配发及发行认购股份外，公司已发行股本自本公告日期起至完成日期止 概无变动)。 认购事项的所得款项总额将为约54.46亿港元。经扣除相关配售代理费、成本及认购事项开支后，认购 事项的所得款项净额合共将约为53.92亿港元。公司拟按以下方式应用认购事项所得款项净额：(i)65% 主要用于三个方面：首先，用于供给侧改革的资金储备，推进多晶硅产能结构性调整;其次，强化第二 曲线，以全球第一的硅烷气产能和产量，完成海外替代，在半导体集成电路对电子特气需求的提升、 TOPCon电池向太阳能BC电池转型对硅烷需求的放量，锂电行业固态、半固态电池对硅烷的应用需求以 及显示面板对硅烷气品质的高要求的多重背景下，以硅烷气打造协鑫新增长极;第三，优化公司资本结 构;及(ii)35%用于一般营运资金用途及偿还现有贷款。 智通财经APP讯，协鑫科技(03800)发布公告，公司于2025年9月16日(交易时段前)与认购方(i)订立认购 协议，据此，认购方已有条件同意认购，而公司已有条件同意发行及配 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited (协鑫科技) has entered into a subscription agreement to issue approximately 4.736 billion shares at a subscription price of HKD 1.15 per share, which represents about 16.63% of the company's existing issued share capital as of the announcement date [1] - The total amount raised from the subscription is approximately HKD 5.446 billion, with a net amount of approximately HKD 5.392 billion after expenses [2] - The company plans to allocate 65% of the net proceeds for supply-side reform, enhancing polysilicon production capacity, and optimizing its capital structure, while 35% will be used for general working capital and repayment of existing loans [2]

Core Insights - The Chinese government aims to exceed 7 trillion yuan in the sports industry by 2030, emphasizing the importance of sports in enhancing public health, fulfilling people's aspirations for a better life, and driving economic and social development [1] Group 1: Supply-Side Reforms - Supply-side reforms are essential for unlocking the potential of sports consumption, addressing shortcomings in high-quality and personalized offerings, and the lag in developing emerging sports projects [2] - The integration of sports with other industries such as culture, tourism, education, health, and technology is crucial for fostering new business models and enhancing consumer choices [2] - The adoption of advanced technologies like 5G, big data, and artificial intelligence is necessary to improve the efficiency and quality of sports supply, catering to diverse and high-quality consumer demands [2] Group 2: Demand-Side Cultivation - The demand for sports consumption is shifting from traditional viewing and physical goods to participation and experiential activities, driven by the largest middle-income group globally and increasing health awareness [3] - Improving the consumption environment by enhancing facilities, events, and public services is vital for lowering barriers to consumption [3] - Companies should focus on consumer needs, improve product value and service quality, and strengthen brand building to enhance consumer loyalty [3] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts - A coordinated effort between supply and demand sides is necessary to create a seamless cycle, requiring government support in terms of land, funding, and talent, while breaking down institutional barriers [3] - Companies must be attuned to market trends, invest in research and development, and maintain compliance with safety and legal standards [3] - Industry associations should facilitate communication, establish standards, and promote self-regulation to enhance the overall market environment [3] Group 4: Overall Impact - The promotion of sports consumption is linked to national strength and the well-being of the populace, necessitating stronger measures to enhance the quality and scale of sports consumption [4]

想留在牌桌上难，要下牌桌也没那么简单。 最近的车圈不可谓不热闹。最新的消息来自停摆已久的威马汽车，随着重整投资人的到位，该公司正打 算开启新一轮的复工复产，目标甚至是百万辆。不过威马汽车负债高达260亿元，而重整投资人深圳翔 飞的注册资金仅1亿元，后者的关联方宝能汽车也早已陷入发展困局。 类似的消息还有很多：破产清算中的众泰汽车，遭遇股票与工厂全部流拍、无人接盘的残酷现状；今年 4月有消息称恒驰汽车正积极筹划复牌事宜，该公司称 "不懈努力继续寻找战略投资者或者买家"；而哪 吒汽车在此前传出中东资本1亿美元接手后，再无下文，仍在苦苦等待白衣骑士。 中国汽车产业早已走过了"用PPT讲故事拿风投的时代"。抛开比亚迪、吉利等造车巨头不谈，"蔚小理 零"等造车新势力也早已走上资本市场，技术力量、产品能力、财务报表被全球投资人翻来覆去详细审 视，甚至吹毛求疵。 头部车企也都或多或少地拥有自己的护城河，要么具备垂直整合能力，要么具备制造技术先发优势。如 果没有核心技术和竞争力，空有一个造车资质，绝不具备参与市场的能力，也不具备为投资人负责的能 力。 更重要的是，减缓对"僵尸车企"的出清速度，甚至进一步扶持其复活，不仅违背了 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The report analyzes the performance of upstream, midstream, and downstream industries in different economic cycles and their historical trends from 2005 to 2024. It also explores the relationship between the ratio of upstream and downstream indices and the A - share market, finding that the correlation reversed around 2015 due to economic structure transformation, policy regulation, and changes in the industry competition pattern. The current weak economic recovery may drive the upstream to take the lead, which helps in stock index style selection and may create medium - to - long - term arbitrage opportunities [1][18][22]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Different Economic States and Industry Performance - **Upstream Industry**: The upstream industry includes raw materials, energy, and mining. It performs best in the economic recovery stage, with the order of performance being economic recovery > economic expansion > economic stagflation > economic recession. In the recovery stage, it rebounds first due to increased demand for raw materials and energy, rising commodity prices, and positive market expectations. In the expansion stage, demand grows, but high raw material prices may lead to policy regulation. In the stagflation stage, demand growth slows, and profits fluctuate. In the recession stage, demand and profits decline [3]. - **Midstream Industry**: Comprising manufacturing and related sectors, it performs strongest in the economic expansion stage, with the order of performance being economic expansion > economic recovery > economic stagflation > economic recession. In the expansion stage, it benefits from increased manufacturing orders and high capacity utilization. In the stagflation stage, demand growth slows, and costs rise. In the recession stage, demand and profits decline significantly [5]. - **Downstream Industry**: Including consumer goods and services, it performs best in the economic expansion stage, with the order of performance being economic expansion > economic stagflation > economic recession > economic recovery. In the expansion stage, consumer demand is strong, and optional consumer goods perform better. In the stagflation stage, inflation affects consumption, but essential consumer goods are relatively stable. In the recession stage, demand and profits decline [6]. 3.2 Historical Review of Upstream, Midstream, and Downstream Trends - **2005 - 2007 (Upstream Explosion)**: The stock market rose overall, with the style being upstream > midstream > downstream. The economic fundamentals first expanded and then contracted. Upstream industries, represented by coal and non - ferrous metals, rose more than five times due to factors such as global commodity bull markets and China's industrialization. Midstream industries, like machinery, benefited from the real - estate market. Downstream industries were relatively weak due to lagging resident income growth [10]. - **2008 - 2009 (Full - Industry Chain Collapse and Policy Rescue)**: The stock market was weak, with the style being downstream (defensive) > midstream > upstream. Affected by the financial crisis, the upstream industry declined sharply, the midstream was supported by falling raw material prices and government investment, and the downstream rebounded first due to policy support [14]. - **2010 - 2015 (Midstream Upgrade and Downstream Consumption Rise)**: The stock market had a "V" - shaped trend, with the style being downstream > midstream > upstream. The economy was in a transformation stage. The upstream was affected by over - capacity, the midstream benefited from falling raw material prices and the development of high - end manufacturing, and the downstream reached its peak due to industry upgrades, policy support, and a loose financial environment [15]. - **2016 - 2020 (Supply - Side Reform and Consumption Differentiation)**: The stock market fluctuated and generally rose, with the style being upstream (2016 - 2017) > downstream > midstream. Supply - side reform led to a significant increase in upstream profits from 2016 - 2017. The midstream was affected by trade frictions and supply - side reform, and the downstream benefited from global liquidity and the "drinking and medicine - taking" market during the epidemic [15][16]. - **2021 - 2024 (Carbon Neutrality and Global Supply Chain Reconfiguration)**: The stock market declined, with the style being upstream (2021) > midstream (2022 - 2023) > downstream. The upstream was boosted by new energy demand in 2021. The midstream was affected by geopolitical conflicts and the epidemic but was supported by the development of photovoltaic and energy - storage industries. The downstream was affected by the epidemic and the real - estate downturn [17]. - **Summary**: Midstream performance is usually in the middle, and the upstream and downstream show obvious differentiation. Upstream indices rise first in the economic recovery, followed by the midstream, and finally the downstream. In the economic decline, the downstream has some defensive properties. Upstream is sensitive to supply - side policies, downstream to demand - side policies, and midstream is passively affected by events and policies [17]. 3.3 Industry Comparison and A - Share Market Review - The ratio of the upstream index to the downstream index is expected to be positively correlated with the A - share market. However, the correlation reversed around 2015. Before 2015, the upstream was more elastic, and the ratio was positively correlated with the A - share market. After 2015, the downstream became more elastic due to economic transformation, policy regulation, and other factors. Despite the change, the upward trend of the ratio still has indicative significance, and the current weak economic recovery may drive the upstream to take the lead [18][20][22].

【导读】公募密集布局化工主题基金，看好反内卷下的中游周期制造行业机遇 中国基金报记者 张燕北 近期反内卷政策持续深化推进，直接受益的化工板块稳步上涨。基金公司布局相关产品的步 伐也在加快， 9 月以来多只化工主题基金近期密集申报。在业内人士看来，未来，随着库存 周期本身临近景气向上阶段，叠加反内卷政策，以化工为代表的中游周期制造行业值得关注 。 化工板块迎来反弹 日前上证指数一度逼近 3900 点，科技股重回市场 "C 位 " 。在市场热度的另一端，以化工 行业板块为代表的周期股悄然反弹。 从走势来看，在中证细分产业主题指数中，周期板块近期表现领先。截至 9 月 12 日收盘， 细分有色指数近一月涨幅为 19.63% ，细分机械指数上涨 11.93% ，细分化工指数紧随其 后，涨幅为 11.84% 。从近三月来看，该指数的涨幅分别为 38.51% 、 26.42% 、 23.66% 。 工银瑞信基金表示，此前，化工行业自 2023 年一季度盈利触底以来，已在底部震荡 11 个 季度，行业经历长时间亏损后产能开始出清。海外龙头业绩普遍严重承压，近两年不间断有 产能退出，多数子行业小型工厂处于盈亏线附近甚至亏损。 ...

以下文章来源于地球知识局 ，作者地球知识局 地球知识局 . 人文+地理+设计，全球视野新三观。 合作请联系：xiaobaibai_9999（注明品牌和需求） 2024年，中国粗钢产量10.05亿吨，在全球占比53.38%，连续5年成为十亿钢铁大国。产量榜TOP10中，中国 钢企独占6席。在产量这块，中国钢铁恐怖如斯。 这还是全国到处在抓过剩产能、落后产能的大环境下实现的。不过中国钢企也同时存在大而不够强、产量 多而不赚钱的阿喀琉斯之踵。 在净利润这块，中国最挣钱的四家上市钢企（宝钢、中信特钢、南钢、华菱钢铁），24年的净利润加在一 起，却还没有日本排第一的日本制铁高。 ▼ 上世纪末，日本制铁也曾遇到过产能过剩的情况，2018年甚至出现严重亏损。但短短几年，日本制铁就成 功扭亏为盈、大赚特赚，还出资149亿美元收购了美国钢铁（USS）。 日本制铁24年粗钢产量3964万吨，而中国宝武集团的产能则高达1.3亿吨，但日本制铁的净利润竟然如此之 高，究竟是咋搞的呢？ 日本之石，可以攻玉？ 在战后的1946年，彼时的日本不说是回到石器时代，那也是彻底去工业化和城市化了。当年，日本钢产量 只有56.4万吨，而美国同期则高 ...

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery industry is at a critical turning point, transitioning from laboratory experiments to commercial mass production, with increasing clarity in technology routes and growing policy support, indicating a potential market breakout [1][2] Industry Outlook - The A-share market has shown strong performance this year, with investor enthusiasm on the rise. The outlook for 2026 remains optimistic, supported by confidence in liquidity and corporate performance improvements [2] - Solid-state batteries are expected to become one of the main market trends, driven by their high safety and energy density advantages, with applications in electric vehicles, consumer electronics, robotics, and low-altitude aircraft [3] Market Potential - The solid-state battery market has significant growth potential, with expectations that it could replace approximately 20% of the high-end lithium battery market in the long term, leading to substantial growth for related upstream and downstream companies [3] Investment Opportunities - The solid-state battery sector is characterized by performance improvement and growth elasticity, with some companies already showing revenue and profit recovery. The investment opportunities in the solid-state battery supply chain are expected to follow a systematic layout along the logic of "equipment first - material breakthroughs - scenario expansion," with current opportunities focusing more on the equipment segment [3][4] Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy emphasizes a combination of deep industry research and broad market coverage, allowing for the identification of long-term value industries and companies while adapting to market changes [4][5] - The investment process includes three key stages: value discovery through deep industry research, mean reversion during industry nascent or reversal phases, and dynamic selection of investment products based on market conditions [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "anti-involution" as a new phase of supply-side reform, termed "Supply-Side Reform 2.0," highlighting the structural imbalance between supply and demand as the core contradiction driving economic challenges in China [5]. Group 1: Similarities between Anti-Involution and Supply-Side Reform - Both anti-involution and supply-side reform are characterized by structural imbalances in supply and demand, leading to decreased capacity utilization, falling prices, shrinking corporate profits, and increased economic downward pressure [7]. - Industrial capacity utilization has significantly declined, with a drop from 76.8% in Q4 2013 to 72.9% in 2016 during the supply-side reform, and from 77.4% in Q4 2021 to 74.0% by Q2 2025 in the anti-involution phase [7]. - Industrial prices have seen substantial declines, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) entering negative growth for 54 months during the supply-side reform and continuing negative growth for 34 months since October 2022 in the anti-involution phase [9]. - Corporate profits have decreased, with a 2.3% decline in industrial profits in 2015 during the supply-side reform, and a 1.8% decline in the first seven months of 2025 during the anti-involution phase [12]. - Economic downward pressure has intensified, with GDP growth slowing from 8.1% in Q4 2012 to 6.9% in Q4 2015 during the supply-side reform, and stabilizing around 5% during the anti-involution period [14]. Group 2: Differences between Anti-Involution and Supply-Side Reform - The macroeconomic environment differs, with anti-involution facing more severe demand shortages due to population decline and a downturn in the real estate market, while supply-side reform had resilient demand supported by post-crisis recovery [18][22]. - Industry characteristics vary, as supply-side reform focused on traditional industries like steel and coal, whereas anti-involution encompasses a broader range of sectors, including emerging industries and platform economies [25][27]. - The underlying causes differ, with supply-side reform driven by excess capacity from previous stimulus policies, while anti-involution is influenced by a range of macroeconomic and industry-specific factors, including real estate adjustments and technological shifts [36][37]. - Implementation paths diverge, with supply-side reform relying on administrative measures to cut excess capacity, while anti-involution emphasizes legal and market-based approaches to regulate competition and foster innovation [45][49].

Group 1 - Steel stocks mostly rose, with Angang Steel (000898) up 5.63% to HKD 2.25, Chongqing Steel (601005) up 4.55% to HKD 1.38, and Maanshan Steel (00323) up 2.85% to HKD 2.53 [1] - According to Galaxy Securities, steel demand is transitioning from real estate to high-end manufacturing, indicating a potential continuous recovery in steel production as the domestic manufacturing sector upgrades [1] - The "anti-involution" policy is promoting supply-side reforms, which are expected to stabilize and recover corporate profits, while infrastructure demand is anticipated to be released in a concentrated manner, leading to an overall stabilization in future demand [1] Group 2 - As the manufacturing sector accelerates its transformation and upgrading, the marginal improvement in steel demand from high-end manufacturing industries is expected [1] - The development of downstream industries such as aerospace, automotive manufacturing, and the replacement of old home appliances is benefiting special steel consumption, indicating a favorable outlook for special steel enterprises to achieve stable growth [1]