Workflow
券商
icon
Search documents
突破4000点后A股怎么走?
雪球· 2025-10-28 08:38
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the historical context and implications of the A-share market breaking through the 4000-point mark, analyzing past bull markets in 2007 and 2015 to draw insights for the current market situation [2][4][9]. Historical Analysis - In the history of A-shares, there have been 16 instances of breaking through 4000 points, with seven instances based on closing prices, notably five times in 2007 and two times in 2015 [2][3]. - The maximum increase after breaking 4000 points in 2007 was 51.8%, taking 160 days, while in 2015, the maximum increase was 28.06%, occurring in just 63 days [4][6]. 2007 Bull Market - The 2007 bull market was driven by resource and financial real estate sectors, with significant gains in non-ferrous metals (250%), coal (220%), and financial sectors (190%) [6]. - Macroeconomic indicators supported this bull market, including a GDP growth rate of 11.4%, fixed asset investment growth of 24.8%, and a trade surplus of $262.2 billion [6]. 2015 Bull Market - The 2015 bull market was characterized by the "Internet+" policy and the rise of new industries, with notable stock performances from companies like Dongfang Finance (600% increase) and China CNR (500% increase) [7][8]. - However, this market was marked by excessive leverage and regulatory shortcomings, leading to a peak in margin financing of 2.27 trillion yuan in June 2015 [8]. Current Market Context - The current A-share market exhibits characteristics of a "water bull," with structural features in both the economy and capital markets, indicating a shift towards high-end manufacturing [9]. - Despite economic challenges, there is a noticeable change in fiscal spending towards long-term projects, suggesting a more sustainable growth trajectory compared to previous bull markets [9].
野村(NMR.US)第二财季净利润下滑6% 股票交易营收创新高
智通财经网· 2025-10-28 08:32
智通财经APP获悉,日本最大规模券商兼投资银行野村(Nomura)于周二公布最新业绩报告,财报显示, 这家日本金融巨头在截至9月的第二财季中净利润意外下降6%,野村在该期间实现净利润921亿日元 (6.1082亿美元),而相比之下的上年同期大约为984亿日元。 据了解,野村旗下批发业务主要由两大板块构成:1)全球市场(Global Markets):向大型机构客户们提供 固定收益与股票市场紧密相关的做市、销售与交易,覆盖货币、利率、信用等现金、衍生品与结构化金 融交易产品;2)投资银行(Investment Banking):提供并购顾问(M&A)、股权融资(ECM)、债务融资(DCM) 及各类风险/解决方案业务,面向企业、金融机构与公共部门客户。 随着美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的关税宣布引发的"投资者观望期"基本结束,此前抑制大型并购交易以及 IPO上市活动的相关影响大幅消退,野村投行业务顾问费用随着交易活动大幅回升而增长。 野村在与日本市场相关的2025年并购榜单中保住头名。该季度的重大交易包括私募股权基金领导者黑石 (Blackstone)以大约35亿美元将工程人力服务公司TechnoPro Holding ...
时隔十年,A股盘中突破4000点,3只新股暴涨,中一签最高赚3万
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-28 08:05
10月28日,沪指早盘盘中突破4000点,最高触达4010.73点,创下近十年来新高。上一次沪指盘中4000点是在2015年8月18日。 前一日,A股迎政策"组合拳"。10月27日,证监会主席吴清在2025金融街论坛宣布,证监会将启动实施深化创业板改革。当天晚上,证监会发布《关于加 强资本市场中小投资者保护的若干意见》,进一步健全投资者保护机制。 今日,禾元生物、西安奕材、必贝特三家未盈利公司登陆科创板,成为科创板科创成长层首批新注册公司。截至收盘,N奕材- U、N禾元-U、N必贝特-U 分别上涨198.72%、213.49%、74.41%。按照科创板中一签500股,若以盘中最高价计算,打新股民分别能在N奕材- U、N禾元-U、N必贝特-U赚约15580 元、30720元、15565元。 时隔十年,A股再度站上4000点! 根据Wind数据统计,2015年至今的十年间,沪深两市上市公司数量从不到2800家增长至超过5100家,增加超过2400家;沪深两市总市值从56万亿元攀升 至105万亿元,增长超过80%,其中沪市增长27万亿元,深市增长21万亿元。 某券商分公司财富管理总监向时代周报记者表示,A股站上40 ...
收评:沪指跌0.22%,4000点得而复失,券商等板块走低
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 07:55
Market Overview - The stock indices experienced a pullback after an initial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 4000 points, closing down 0.22% at 3988.22 points, the Shenzhen Component down 0.44% at 13430.1 points, and the ChiNext Index down 0.15% at 3229.58 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21,656 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as non-ferrous metals, brokerage, steel, gas, and electricity saw declines, while military, automotive, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors experienced gains [1] - Active concepts included military trade, storage chips, and solid-state batteries [1] Market Outlook - HuLong Securities indicated that the market is likely to continue being driven by positive factors, including progress in China-US economic negotiations and a potential rebound in risk appetite following adjustments in growth sectors [1] - Key areas for industry and thematic allocation include: - Growth sectors like technology and advanced manufacturing, benefiting from positive fundamental data and policy catalysts, with a focus on AI+, self-controllable technologies, humanoid robots, low-altitude economy, and national defense [1] - Sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy, with positive feedback from data, including power equipment and basic chemicals [1] - Industries benefiting from domestic demand policies, such as machinery, home appliances, automobiles, consumer electronics, and service consumption [1]
东海证券晨会纪要-20251028
Donghai Securities· 2025-10-28 05:08
Group 1: Key Recommendations - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological self-reliance and focuses on the independent industrial chain of new materials, indicating a significant market opportunity in the chemical new materials industry, particularly in semiconductor materials and high-end engineering plastics [6][10] - The chemical new materials industry is expected to benefit from accelerated domestic substitution, with key players in various segments likely to gain from this trend [6][10] Group 2: Non-Banking Financial Sector Insights - The non-banking financial index rose by 2% last week, with brokerages and insurance indices showing synchronized increases of 2.1% and 1.8% respectively, indicating a recovery in market sentiment [12][13] - Major brokerages reported significant profit growth in Q3 2025, driven by improved market conditions, with average daily A-share trading volume reaching 2.1 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 211% [13][14] Group 3: Industrial Profit Trends - In September 2025, industrial profits for large enterprises increased by 3.2% year-on-year, reflecting a positive trend influenced by low base effects and improved production growth [16][17] - The profit margin for industrial enterprises was reported at 5.5%, with a notable increase in revenue growth driven by both volume and price factors [17][18] Group 4: Electronics Sector Developments - The storage chip market is experiencing significant price increases, with major suppliers like Samsung and SK Hynix planning to raise DRAM and NAND prices by up to 30% in Q4 2025, driven by strong demand and reduced supply [20][21] - The partnership between AI company Anthropic and Google for a multi-billion dollar computing resource deal highlights the ongoing demand for AI-related computing power, further boosting the electronics sector [22][24]
A股突破4000点,十年沉寂终迎爆发,“慢牛”新格局开启
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-28 03:35
今日(10月28日)早盘,上证指数震荡上行,于10:14突破4000点大关,为最近10年来首次。 这一整数关口的突破,也被券商首席经济学家们赋予极大意义。其中,德邦证券研究所所长兼首席经济学家程强对《每日经济新闻》记者表示,4000点的 信号意义巨大,一方面是市场信心转变的标志,另一方面也是政策改革深化见效的标志。 值得注意的是,和前两轮突破4000点行情相比,本轮行情"科技牛"的特征十分明显。回顾历史,上证指数一旦强势突破4000点,强势格局在短期内将无法 被打破! 与此同时,海外投资者对中国股票兴趣渐浓,高盛、摩根大通继续看好中国股市。其中,高盛最新报告指出,中国股市将进入更为持久的"慢牛"行情! 结合受访的多位机构人士观点来看,以科技突破与战略信心为核心动力的A股"慢牛"新格局已开启,成为海内外机构的共识。 1 沪指历史第三次突破 4000点 券商热议:信号意义巨大! 今日,上证指数正式突破4000点,这是沪指历史第三次突破这一关键点位,也是其最近10年来首次站上4000点整数关。 谈及此次沪指突破4000点背后的信号意义,程强对记者表示,"过去一年,A股市场的核心驱动逻辑并非源于企业盈利的显著改善或无 ...
和讯投顾高璐明:央行重磅!黄金大跌!今天还能涨吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 01:59
说完昨天晚上的消息面,接下来我们就聊市场,那今天市场到底会怎么走?首先在这里面说一下我观 点,我认为今天市场上涨的概率仍然更大一点,因为一方面我们可以看到从外围走势来看,欧美主要指 数仍然表现强势,整体上以上涨为主,尤其是美股基本上涨幅在1%以上。大宗商品这块虽然是出现了 这种分化和回落,但是主要防着点黄金白银这些贵金属就可以了。另外一方面我们看到不管是汇率也 好,a50也好,包括中概念股也好,昨天都是强势状态,所以对于我们的A股今天会有推动的预期。当 然了外部环境是辅助的,关键还是在于我们A股的自身走当中。那么在技术上来看的话,一方面我们可 以发现首先做多力量还在增强,上周五市场涨了27个点,在昨天的市场最终涨了46点,说明做多力量还 在增加当中,这种做多力量还没有给出减弱的信号,这里面也有助于推动市场上攻。另外一方面,场外 资金大资金还在持续不断的跑步进场。在昨天我们可以看到市场再次出现放量放量幅度超过3,600亿, 也就代表着一些大资金大机构,他们还在持续不断的买入,那么只要他们在持续不断的买入,市场呢就 有继续上攻的预期。因为大家记住一点,他们进来也是为了要赚钱的,所以没有打出足足够的空间之 前,他们 ...
帮主郑重盘前策略 :4000点临门一脚!冲关时刻盯紧这三条线
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 01:16
朋友们,今天#A股# 开盘前估计不少人的心情就像这天气——又期待又忐忑!昨天A股那根放量阳线,硬生生把指数推到了3999.07点,离4000点大关就差那 么一口气。我是帮主郑重,做了20年财经记者,专攻中长线投资。这种关键时刻,咱们更得冷静,别被市场情绪带偏了节奏。 二是资源周期线,有色金属、稀土这些板块供需结构在改善,全球制造业复苏的东风还能吹一阵; 三是防御互补线,券商、银行这些大金融估值还在低位,进可攻退可守。 仓位管理是老生常谈,但今天特别重要。我建议保持在5-6成,留出现金等回调。要是突破4016点,可以加到7成;要是回踩3978点企稳,就分批补仓。记 住,不在沸腾时追高,不在恐慌时割肉——这是中长线玩家的基本功。 帮主最后说句实在的:4000点从来不是行情的终点,而是新阶段的起点。市场永远在"绝望-犹豫-疯狂"中循环,咱们要做的就是在别人犹豫时布局,在别人 疯狂时冷静。我是帮主郑重,投资路上,咱们一起稳扎稳打! 从技术面看,3990-4016点成了关键区间。今天要是能放量突破4016点,下一个目标就看4030点;要是回踩3978点附近企稳,也算是健康整理。但得警惕要 是指数跌破3950点,短期可能 ...
中金 • 全球研究 | 富时罗素调升评级:越南开启新兴市场征程
中金点睛· 2025-10-27 23:40
Economic Outlook - Vietnam's economy showed strong performance in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, marking the highest growth rate since 2011, excluding the post-pandemic recovery phase [2][12] - The government maintains a GDP growth target of 8.0% for the entire year, with inflation expected to be controlled around 4.0% [9][12] - Key economic drivers include robust public investment, which grew by 27.9% year-on-year, and foreign direct investment reaching $18.8 billion, a five-year high [12] Development Goals - Vietnam aims for an average GDP growth rate exceeding 10% from 2026 to 2030, with a target of reaching a per capita GDP of $8,500 by 2030 [3][10] - The government announced a cash distribution plan to citizens and a special pardon for prisoners, aimed at stimulating the economy and enhancing social stability [6][10] Trade Dynamics - Vietnam's exports reached $348.6 billion in the first nine months of 2025, growing by 15.9% year-on-year, with significant resilience in exports to the U.S. [13][25] - The trade risk exposure has narrowed, with a successful reduction of U.S. tariffs on Vietnamese goods from 46% to 20% [24][25] Infrastructure Development - Vietnam has set ambitious infrastructure goals for 2030, including 5,000 km of highways and 1,541 km of high-speed rail, which are expected to drive economic growth and reduce logistics costs [4][38] - Major projects include the North-South High-Speed Railway and Long Thanh International Airport, aimed at enhancing domestic and international connectivity [32][35] Financial Center Initiatives - Vietnam is developing international financial centers in Ho Chi Minh City and Da Nang, expected to be operational by the end of 2025, to attract global capital [5][39] - The government is implementing tax incentives and regulatory reforms to create a competitive environment for financial services [41][42] Capital Market Upgrades - The Vietnamese stock market is set to transition from frontier to secondary emerging market status by September 2026, which is anticipated to attract $10-15 billion in foreign capital over the next 1-3 years [6][46] - The market upgrade is expected to enhance liquidity, with daily trading volumes projected to increase from approximately $1.4 billion to $2 billion [47][50] Sectoral Opportunities - Key sectors expected to benefit from economic growth include manufacturing, services, real estate, and financial services, driven by infrastructure investments and capital market reforms [10][46] - The focus on digital transformation and green energy is seen as a new growth engine for Vietnam's economy [10][12]
科技、金融、周期板块普涨 沪指放量上攻逼近4000点
Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market continued its strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing 4000 points, closing at 3996.94, up 1.18% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.40, up 1.51%, and the ChiNext Index closed at 3234.45, up 1.98% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 23,401 billion yuan, an increase of 3,659 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Group 2: AI Hardware Sector - The AI hardware sector has shown significant recovery, with several leading stocks reaching historical highs, boosting market sentiment [2] - CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) and storage chip concepts saw a surge, with stocks like Dazhi Co., China Electronics Port, and Jingwang Electronics hitting the daily limit [2] - Companies in the CPO sector reported substantial profit growth, with Shijia Photon achieving a net profit of 300 million yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 727.7% [2] Group 3: Financial and Cyclical Sectors - The financial and cyclical sectors also performed strongly, with major banks' stocks, including Agricultural Bank, rising by 2.38% [3] - The brokerage sector saw significant movements, with Xiangcai Securities hitting the daily limit and closing up 5.55% [3] - The A-share market's total market capitalization has surpassed 100 trillion yuan, providing a broad growth space for brokerage firms [3] Group 4: Growth of Large-cap Stocks - Since August, large-cap technology stocks have outperformed small-cap stocks, driving the Shanghai Composite Index upward [4] - The proportion of emerging growth sectors in the capital market has increased, with a notable rise in the number and market capitalization of large-cap growth companies [4] - Current macroeconomic conditions favor emerging growth sectors, with policies supporting innovation and technology [4]