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广西 建设面向东盟的金融开放门户
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-07-01 04:41
Core Viewpoint - The National Foreign Exchange Administration's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region branch is actively promoting financial openness towards ASEAN, enhancing cross-border trade and investment, and facilitating high-quality economic development in the region. Group 1: Financial Openness and Trade Growth - From January to April 2025, Guangxi's foreign-related income and expenditure reached $22.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19% [1] - The goods trade income and expenditure amounted to $18.72 billion, growing by 21.5% year-on-year [1] - Guangxi's goods trade with ASEAN reached $2.42 billion, with an 11.6% year-on-year increase, maintaining ASEAN as Guangxi's largest trading partner for 25 consecutive years [1] - The proportion of cross-border funds from ASEAN in Guangxi's total has increased from 23% to 28% over the past three years [1] Group 2: Cross-Border Investment Initiatives - Guangxi is pushing for more high-level open pilot projects for cross-border trade and investment, including the expansion of the Qualified Foreign Limited Partner (QFLP) pilot to the entire region [2] - As of April 2025, registered capital for QFLP pilot enterprises reached $3.377 billion, injecting significant vitality into the regional economy [2] - Guangxi has been approved for a new pilot policy for cross-border trade agency payment, enhancing support for border residents engaging in trade with ASEAN [2] Group 3: Streamlining Foreign Exchange Operations - The Guangxi branch has introduced nearly 30 measures to improve the convenience of cross-border trade and investment financing [3] - Key measures include delegating registration tasks to banks and allowing online processing for various foreign debt registrations [3] - By April 2025, 1,400 entities benefited from these measures, involving $27.61 billion, while over 6,600 capital project digital transactions amounted to $10.454 billion [3] Group 4: Case Studies of Trade Facilitation - A copper company in Guangxi, as a pilot enterprise for trade foreign exchange facilitation, processed 61 transactions worth $170 million, significantly reducing time and costs for payment processing [4] - An automotive group successfully completed a cross-border payment within 48 hours for an urgent software procurement, achieving an 85% speed increase compared to conventional processes [5]
新能源及有色金属日报:现实及预期,供给压力依旧不减-20250701
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-01 04:32
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-01 现实及预期供给压力依旧不减 重要数据 现货方面:LME锌现货升水为-0.24 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌80元/吨至22490元/吨,SMM上 海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌35元/吨至80元/吨,SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日下跌60元/吨至22490元/吨。 SMM广东锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌15元/吨至80元/吨,SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日下跌70元/吨至 22410元/吨。SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌25元/吨至0元/吨。 期货方面:2025-06-30沪锌主力合约开于22330元/吨,收于22495元/吨,较前一交易日上涨70元/吨,全天交易日成 交160924手,较前一交易日减少64900手,全天交易日持仓140186手,较前一交易日减少2242手,日内价格震荡, 最高点达到22530元/吨,最低点达到22330元/吨。 库存方面:截至2025-06-30,SMM七地锌锭库存总量为8.06万吨,较上周同期增加0.28万吨。截止2025-06-30,LME 锌库存为117475吨,较上一交易日减少1750吨。 市场分 ...
弱美元提振市场风险偏好,基本金属价格震荡抬升
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-01 03:31
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Weak US dollar boosts market risk appetite, and base metal prices oscillate upwards. In the short - to - medium term, weak US dollar, low LME inventories, and weakening demand expectations are intertwined, with non - ferrous metals oscillating higher. Pay attention to structural opportunities and short - term long opportunities in copper, aluminum, and tin. In the long term, the demand outlook for base metals remains uncertain, and consider shorting opportunities for some oversupplied or expected - to - be - oversupplied varieties on price rallies [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Copper - **Viewpoint**: The US dollar index declines, and copper prices operate at a high level. - **Information Analysis**: China's June manufacturing PMI is 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. The 2025 mid - year TC/RC negotiation result between Antofagasta and Chinese smelters is 0.0 dollars/dry ton and 0.0 cents/pound. May electrolytic copper output increased. Spot copper premiums rose, and copper inventories decreased [3]. - **Main Logic**: Macroscopically, expectations of Fed rate cuts drive the US dollar index down, boosting copper prices. Supply - side raw material shortages lead to smelter production cuts. Demand weakens in the off - season, but low inventories support prices. There is also a risk of a short squeeze on the LME [4]. - **Outlook**: Copper supply constraints remain, and low inventories support copper prices. In the short term, copper may show high - level oscillations [4]. Alumina - **Viewpoint**: Warehouse receipt numbers remain low, and the alumina futures market oscillates. - **Information Analysis**: Spot prices in different regions are stable or slightly changed. An overseas transaction price increased. Warehouse receipts on the SHFE were flat [5][6]. - **Main Logic**: In the short - to - medium term, there is no shortage of ore, with rising production capacity and inventories, and a downward - moving spot price center. However, significant warehouse receipt reduction causes concerns. Long - term events have limited impact for now [5]. - **Outlook**: In the long - term, it oscillates weakly. Observe near - month warehouse receipt numbers. Consider shorting cautiously after the far - month contract rises further. Participate in reverse arbitrage if warehouse receipts increase or there is a risk - free arbitrage opportunity in the near - month contract [5]. Aluminum - **Viewpoint**: The sustainability of inventory accumulation needs to be observed, and electrolytic aluminum prices oscillate at a high level. - **Information Analysis**: The average price of SMM AOO aluminum decreased, and inventories increased [7][12]. - **Main Logic**: Short - term geopolitical conflicts ease, the US dollar weakens, and risk appetite recovers. Domestic inventories are accumulating, but the sustainability is uncertain. In the long term, aluminum demand depends on actual consumption [9]. - **Outlook**: In the short term, market sentiment improves, and prices may oscillate strongly. In the long term, consumption is a concern, and consider shorting on price rallies [9]. Aluminum Alloy - **Viewpoint**: Spot trading is light, and the aluminum alloy futures market oscillates. - **Information Analysis**: The price of ADC12 decreased, and there are uncertainties in trade policies [9]. - **Main Logic**: Short - term costs are driven up by aluminum prices, but demand is seasonally weak. In the future, the price difference between ADC12 and A00 may rise [10]. - **Outlook**: In the short term, spot ADC12 and ADC12 - A00 oscillate weakly, and the futures market follows electrolytic aluminum. In the medium term, there is room for price recovery [10]. Zinc - **Viewpoint**: Supply and demand are slightly oversupplied, and pay attention to shorting opportunities at high zinc prices. - **Information Analysis**: Spot premiums vary in different regions, inventories increased, and a mine's production forecast is adjusted [10][13]. - **Main Logic**: Macroscopically, the situation is neutral. Supply is loosening, and smelters are profitable. Demand is in the off - season, and inventories are accumulating. In the long term, supply will increase while demand growth is limited [14]. - **Outlook**: In July, zinc production will increase, demand will weaken, and inventories will accumulate. Zinc prices are expected to oscillate weakly [14]. Lead - **Viewpoint**: Cost support is stable, and lead prices oscillate. - **Information Analysis**: Scrap battery prices are stable, lead ingot prices decreased slightly, and inventories increased slightly [14][15]. - **Main Logic**: On the spot side, premiums are stable. Supply - side production may decrease slightly, and demand - side battery factory operating rates are recovering [15]. - **Outlook**: After tariff cuts, demand recovers, and supply may decrease. Cost support is strong, and lead prices will oscillate [15]. Nickel - **Viewpoint**: Indonesian nickel enterprises' construction accelerates, and nickel prices oscillate widely in the short term. - **Information Analysis**: LME and SHFE nickel inventories changed, and there are multiple industry - related events such as project construction and policy changes [16][17]. - **Main Logic**: Market sentiment dominates the market. The industrial fundamentals are weakening marginally. Raw material supply may loosen, and there is an oversupply of electrolytic nickel with high inventories [20]. - **Outlook**: Market sentiment improves. Long - term positions can be closed. In the short term, nickel prices will oscillate widely [20]. Stainless Steel - **Viewpoint**: Nickel iron prices continue to decline, and the stainless - steel futures market oscillates weakly. - **Information Analysis**: Futures warehouse receipts decreased, spot premiums exist, and there are industry - related events in Indonesia and South Korea's anti - dumping policies [21][23]. - **Main Logic**: Nickel iron and chrome iron prices are weakening, and steel mills are under pressure. Production may decrease, and demand may weaken. Inventory accumulation is limited [26]. - **Outlook**: Cost support weakens, but price drops may lead to production cuts. Pay attention to inventory and cost changes. In the short term, it may maintain range - bound oscillations [26]. Tin - **Viewpoint**: The supply - demand fundamentals are resilient, and tin prices oscillate. - **Information Analysis**: Warehouse receipts on the LME were flat, and those on the SHFE increased. Spot prices decreased [26][27]. - **Main Logic**: Domestic tin ore shortages are intensifying, and Indonesian export license replacement causes supply problems. Supply is expected to decrease, but demand may weaken in the second half of the year [27]. - **Outlook**: Tin prices are supported by tight ore supply. The extent of the transmission of ore shortages to ingot supply will determine the price level in July. Tin prices are expected to oscillate [27].
五矿期货文字早评-20250701
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-01 01:38
文字早评 2025/07/01 星期二 宏观金融类 股指 前一交易日沪指+0.59%,创指+1.35%,科创 50+1.54%,北证 50+0.52%,上证 50+0.16%,沪深 300+0.37%, 中证 500+0.88%,中证 1000+1.26%,中证 2000+1.54%,万得微盘+1.67%。两市合计成交 15176 亿,较上 一日-581 亿。 宏观消息面: 1、在岸人民币兑美元收盘报 7.1656,较上一交易日上涨 34 点,创 2024 年 11 月 8 日以来新高。在岸人 民币兑美元 6 月升值 0.41%,二季度累计升值 1.2%,上半年累升 1.86%。 2、《深圳证券交易所股票发行上市审核业务指引第 8 号——轻资产、高研发投入认定标准》发布。 3、中国 6 月官方制造业 PMI 为 49.7,预期 49.7,前值 49.5;非制造业 PMI 为 50.5,预期 50.5,前值 50.3;综合 PMI 为 50.7,前值 50.4。 期指基差比例: IF 当月/下月/当季/隔季:-0.75%/-1.09%/-1.28%/-2.04%; IC 当月/下月/当季/隔季:-0.89%/- ...
【私募调研记录】汐泰投资调研嘉元科技
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-01 00:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Jia Yuan Technology has shown significant growth in revenue and profitability, with a projected revenue of 1.981 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a 113% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 24.4564 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - Jia Yuan Technology anticipates continued growth in profitability in the second half of this year, driven by an increase in high-value-added products, the introduction of overseas clients, and sales expansion [1] - The company’s copper foil products include lithium battery copper foil and electronic circuit copper foil, focusing on high-tech products such as ultra-high strength and special alloy copper foil, and is advancing domestic alternatives for high-end electronic circuit copper foil [1] Group 2 - Jia Yuan Technology has made breakthroughs in the research and development of copper foil for solid-state batteries, including high specific surface area copper foil and composite copper foil, and has begun supplying solid-state battery copper foil to five companies [1] - The company has developed relationships with top overseas battery enterprises, with product gross margins exceeding those in the domestic market, and is actively entering emerging overseas markets [1] - Jia Yuan Technology believes that its current stock price does not accurately reflect its long-term intrinsic value and will continue to strengthen its operational management to solidify its foundation for conversion [1]
广汇能源股份有限公司关于转让控股子公司合金投资股权的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-30 20:03
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:600256 证券简称:广汇能源 公告编号:2025-053 广汇能源股份有限公司 关于转让控股子公司合金投资股权的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ● 广汇能源股份有限公司(简称"公司")与九洲恒昌物流股份有限公司(简称"九洲恒昌")签署了《股 份转让协议》,将公司所持新疆合金投资股份有限公司(简称"合金投资")无限售流通股股份 79,879,575股(简称"标的股份")予以转让,占合金投资总股本20.74%。经双方协商一致,本次股权转 让交易单价为人民币7.5元/股,交易总价为人民币599,096,812.50元。 ● 本次协议转让完成后,九洲恒昌将持有合金投资79,879,575股股份,占合金投资总股本20.74%,成为 合金投资控股股东;公司不再持有合金投资股份。 ● 本次交易公司旨在立足能源主业长期发展战略,剥离非主营业务资产以提升核心竞争力,九州恒昌旨 在整合物流产业链,联动合金投资协同发展。 ● 本次股权转让事项不存在 ...
华宝期货有色金属周报-20250630
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 12:43
目录 【华宝期货】有色金属周报 华宝期货 2025.6.30 01 有色周度行情回顾 02 本周有色行情预判 03 品种数据(铝、锌、锡) 周度行情回顾 | 品种 | | | 期货主力合约收盘价格 | | | 现货价格 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2025.6.27 2025.6.20 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | | | 2025.6.27 2025.6.20 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | | 铜 | CU2508 | 79920 | 77990 | 1930 | 2. 47% | 中国:平均价:铜:上海物贸 | 80160 | 78370 | 1790 | 2. 28% | | 铝 | AL2508 | 20580 | 20465 | 115 | 0. 56% | 中国:平均价:铝(A00):有色市场 | 20940 | 20700 | 240 | 1.16% | | 锌 | ZN2508 | 22410 | 21845 | 565 | 2. 59% | 中国:价 ...
49.7%!6月份制造业PMI出炉→
新华网财经· 2025-06-30 09:24
三大重点行业继续扩张。装备制造业、高技术制造业和消费品行业PMI分别为51.4%、50.9%和50.4%, 均连续两个月位于扩张区间。其中,装备制造业生产指数和新订单指数均高于53.0%,相关行业产需两 端较为活跃。高耗能行业PMI为47.8%,比上月上升0.8个百分点,景气水平有所改善。 产需指数均位于扩张区间。生产指数和新订单指数分别为51.0%和50.2%,比上月上升0.3和0.4个百分 点,制造业生产活动加快,市场需求有所改善。从行业看,食品及酒饮料精制茶、专用设备等行业生产 指数和新订单指数连续两个月位于扩张区间,相关行业产需释放较快;非金属矿物制品、黑色金属冶炼 及压延加工等行业两个指数继续低于临界点,市场活跃度仍显不足。在产需回升的带动下,企业采购意 愿增强,采购量指数为50.2%,比上月上升2.6个百分点。 价格指数回升。主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格指数分别为48.4%和46.2%,均比上月上升1.5个百 分点,制造业市场价格总体水平有所改善。从行业看,受近期国际原油价格上涨等因素影响,石油煤炭 及其他燃料加工业主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格指数明显回升;此外,由于铁矿石等原材料价格 继 ...
【权威解读】6月份制造业采购经理指数继续回升 非制造业商务活动指数扩张有所加快
中汽协会数据· 2025-06-30 07:19
6 月份制造业采购经理指数继续回升 非制造业商务活动指数扩张有所加快 6 月份,制造业 PMI 升至 49.7% ,在调查的 21 个行业中有 11 个位于扩张区间,比 上月增加 4 个,制造业景气面有所扩大。 (一)产需指数均位于扩张区间。生产指数和新订单指数分别为 51.0% 和 50.2% ,比 上月上升 0.3 和 0.4 个百分点,制造业生产活动加快,市场需求有所改善。从行业看,食品 及酒饮料精制茶、专用设备等行业生产指数和新订单指数连续两个月位于扩张区间,相关行 业产需释放较快;非金属矿物制品、黑色金属冶炼及压延加工等行业两个指数继续低于临界 点,市场活跃度仍显不足。在产需回升的带动下,企业采购意愿增强,采购量指数为 50.2% ,比上月上升 2.6 个百分点。 (二)价格指数回升。主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格指数分别为 48.4% 和 46.2% ,均比上月上升 1.5 个百分点,制造业市场价格总体水平有所改善。从行业看,受近 期国际原油价格上涨等因素影响,石油煤炭及其他燃料加工业主要原材料购进价格指数和出 厂价格指数明显回升;此外,由于铁矿石等原材料价格继续下行及终端需求不足,黑色金属 冶 ...
20250630申万期货有色金属基差日报-20250630
Shen Yin Wan Guo Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 06:05
研究局限性和风险提示 | | 20250630申万期货有色金属基差日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 铜: 可能短期区间波动 | | | | 锌: 可能短期宽幅波动 | | | 摘要 | 铝: 可能短期内震荡 | | | | 镍: 可能短期内震荡 | | | 品种 | 观点 | 策略方向 | | | 铜:周末夜盘铜价收平。目前精矿加工费总体低位以及低铜价,考验冶炼产 | | | 铜 | 量。根据国家统计局数据来看,国内下游需求总体稳定向好,电力行业延续 正增长;汽车产销正增长;家电产量增速趋缓;地产持续疲弱。多空因素交 | 可能短期区 | | | 织,铜价可能区间波动。关注美国关税进展,以及美元、铜冶炼和家电产量 | 间波动 | | | 等因素变化。 | | | | 锌:周末夜盘锌价收涨。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来 看,国内汽车产销正增长,基建稳定增长,家电产量增速趋缓,地产持续疲 | 可能短期宽 | | 锌 | 弱。市场预期今年精矿供应明显改善,冶炼供应可能恢复。短期锌价可能宽 | 幅波动 | | | 幅波动,关注美国关税进展,以及美元、锌冶炼和家电产量等因素变化。 ...