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宝城期货铁矿石早报(2026年2月27日)-20260227
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 01:28
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货铁矿石早报(2026 年 2 月 27 日) ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明:短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 铁矿 2605 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 关注 MA10 一线压力 | 基本面未好转,矿价低位震荡 | 说明: 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格,无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格,当日日盘收盘价为终点价格, 计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势,跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱,涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强,涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点,短期和中期不做区分。 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 2 请务必阅读文末免责条款 期货研究报告 公司地址:浙江省杭州市求是路 8 号公元大厦南裙 1-5 楼。 咨询热线:400 618 1199 获 取 每 日 期 货 观 点 推 送 扫码关注宝城期货官方微信·期货咨询尽在掌握 服 务 国 家 走 向 ...
宏观金融类:文字早评2026/02/27星期五-20260227
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 01:26
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report In the short - term, the market may enter an oscillation and volatility - reduction cycle. The overall market atmosphere is under certain suppression, but in the medium - to - long - term, the commodity bull market is expected to continue. Different industries have their own supply - demand situations and influencing factors, and corresponding investment strategies are proposed based on these [39][45]. Summary by Directory Macro Finance Stock Index - **Market Information**: The annualized basis ratios of IF, IC, IM, and IH for current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter are presented. For example, IF's ratios are 4.70%/2.97%/5.48%/4.74% [2]. - **Strategy View**: Affected by factors such as the US - Iran conflict, US tariff policy, RMB exchange rate, and AI business, the stock index is expected to have a relatively strong performance [3]. Treasury Bond - **Market Information**: The closing prices and changes of TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts on Thursday are provided. There are also news about Sino - US economic and trade consultations and the stance of the Bank of Japan. The central bank conducted 320.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 79.5 billion yuan [4]. - **Strategy View**: Although inflation recovery has potential suppression on the bond market, and the endogenous power of economic recovery is not stable, the capital side is expected to remain loose. The bond market is expected to continue to oscillate [6]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: The prices of Shanghai gold and silver, COMEX gold and silver have declined. The US 10 - year Treasury yield and the US dollar index are reported. The precious metal prices are in horizontal consolidation, with support from Trump's tariff plan and the US - Iran nuclear negotiation, and resistance from the Fed's officials' statements and the expectation of stable US short - term interest rates [7]. - **Strategy View**: The precious metal prices are expected to remain in high - level oscillation. It is recommended to wait and see, with the reference ranges of 11,300 - 12,000 yuan/gram for Shanghai gold and 22,000 - 23,000 yuan/kilogram for Shanghai silver [9]. Non - ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: Affected by the US - Iran negotiation and other factors, copper prices are in oscillatory adjustment. LME inventory has increased, and domestic social and bonded area inventories have also changed. The spot discount in the East China region has expanded [11]. - **Strategy View**: The US tariff policy provides emotional support, but the refined copper supply is relatively excessive. Short - term copper prices are expected to be oscillatory, with reference ranges of 101,000 - 103,000 yuan/ton for Shanghai copper and 13,100 - 13,400 US dollars/ton for LME copper [12]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum prices have adjusted. LME inventory has decreased, and domestic inventory has increased. The spot discount in the East China region has narrowed [13]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term price support is strong. The reference ranges are 23,400 - 23,900 yuan/ton for Shanghai aluminum and 3,100 - 3,170 US dollars/ton for LME aluminum [14]. Zinc - **Market Information**: Zinc prices have declined. The social inventory of zinc ingots in China has increased, and the downstream enterprise start - up rate is average [15][16]. - **Strategy View**: The zinc industry in China shows a weak trend. Zinc prices may follow the rise of copper and aluminum prices. The zinc ore TC has stopped falling and stabilized [16]. Lead - **Market Information**: Lead prices have increased. Both domestic and foreign inventories have risen rapidly, and the industrial situation is weak [17]. - **Strategy View**: The strategic stockpiling of battery enterprises may support the lead price in the short - term. It is necessary to observe the start - up of downstream battery enterprises after the Spring Festival [17]. Nickel - **Market Information**: Nickel prices have declined. The prices of nickel ore are stable, and the price of nickel iron has increased [18]. - **Strategy View**: The supply of nickel is shrinking, and nickel prices are expected to rise. It is recommended to go long on dips, with reference ranges of 120,000 - 160,000 yuan/ton for Shanghai nickel and 16,000 - 20,000 US dollars/ton for LME nickel [19]. Tin - **Market Information**: Tin prices are in oscillatory operation. The inventory has decreased, and the supply and demand are marginally loose [20]. - **Strategy View**: Tin prices are expected to oscillate widely in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see, with reference ranges of 380,000 - 450,000 yuan/ton for domestic tin and 48,000 - 53,000 US dollars/ton for LME tin [21]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The price of lithium carbonate has increased. The production has increased, and the inventory has decreased [22]. - **Strategy View**: Affected by the export ban, the short - term spot shortage is expected to continue. It is necessary to be cautious about the increase of selling orders. The reference range for the 2605 contract is 164,000 - 180,000 yuan/ton [23]. Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina index has declined. The spot price in Shandong has increased, and the overseas price is stable. The inventory has increased [24]. - **Strategy View**: The over - capacity situation in the alumina smelting end is difficult to change in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see, with a reference range of 2,750 - 2,950 yuan/ton for the AO2605 contract [26]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: Stainless steel prices have increased. The raw material prices have changed, and the inventory has increased [27]. - **Strategy View**: The supply pressure will be relieved, and the price has a strong bottom support. It is recommended to be bullish, with a reference range of 14,000 - 14,500 yuan/ton [28]. Casting Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The price of casting aluminum alloy has increased. The inventory has changed, and the trading volume has increased [29]. - **Strategy View**: The cost has support, and the demand is expected to improve. The short - term price is expected to oscillate strongly [30]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market Information**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil have declined. The inventory and trading volume have changed [32]. - **Strategy View**: The black series is in a bottom - game stage. It is expected to oscillate within a range with a weak center of gravity in the short - term. It is necessary to focus on the demand recovery and policy trends [33]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: Iron ore prices have declined. Some steel enterprises in North China will implement emission reduction measures during important meetings [34]. - **Strategy View**: The overseas supply has recovered, and the demand is okay. The price is expected to oscillate weakly and stably. It is necessary to pay attention to domestic terminal demand and policy guidance [35]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Information**: The prices of coking coal and coke have declined. The spot prices have different changes, and the basis is positive [36]. - **Strategy View**: In the short - term, the upward catalysis of coking coal is weak. It may face a callback risk in March - May, but it may rise in the second half of 2026 [39]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: Glass prices have declined, and the inventory has increased. Soda ash prices are stable, and the inventory has increased [40][42]. - **Strategy View**: Glass is expected to oscillate, with a reference range of 1,025 - 1,100 yuan/ton. Soda ash is expected to oscillate weakly and stably, with a reference range of 1,140 - 1,200 yuan/ton [41][43]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Information**: Manganese silicon prices have increased, and ferrosilicon prices have also risen slightly [44]. - **Strategy View**: The future market is mainly affected by the black market and cost factors. It is recommended to pay attention to manganese ore supply and "dual - carbon" policies [45][46]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: Industrial silicon prices have declined, and polysilicon prices have also decreased [48][50]. - **Strategy View**: Industrial silicon prices are expected to be weak. Polysilicon prices are expected to oscillate weakly. It is recommended to wait and see [49][51]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **Market Information**: Rubber prices are in oscillatory operation. The start - up rates of tire enterprises are low, and the inventory has increased [53][54]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to trade according to the short - term trend of the disk and set stop - losses. It is also recommended to go long on NR and short on RU2609 [56]. Crude Oil - **Market Information**: Crude oil prices have declined, and the inventory data of related products have changed [57]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to take profits on rallies and focus on medium - term layout [58]. Methanol - **Market Information**: Methanol prices have changed, and the MTO profit has increased [59]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on dips in the medium - term [60]. Urea - **Market Information**: Urea prices have changed, and the basis is negative [61]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to short urea due to the expected negative fundamentals [62]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Information**: The prices and basis of pure benzene and styrene have changed. The supply and demand sides have different performances [63]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to take profits gradually as the non - integrated profit of styrene has been significantly repaired [64]. PVC - **Market Information**: PVC prices have declined. The supply is strong, and the demand is weak [66]. - **Strategy View**: The domestic supply - demand situation is poor, and the fundamentals are weak [67]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Information**: Ethylene glycol prices have declined. The supply and demand sides have changed, and the inventory has increased [68]. - **Strategy View**: The supply - demand pattern needs to be improved by increasing production cuts. There is a risk of rebound [69]. PTA - **Market Information**: PTA prices have declined. The supply and demand sides have changed, and the inventory has increased [70]. - **Strategy View**: The inventory cycle is about to end. It is recommended to go long on dips in the medium - term [71]. p - Xylene - **Market Information**: p - Xylene prices have declined. The load and inventory have changed [72]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on dips following crude oil in the medium - term [73]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Market Information**: PE prices have declined. The supply and demand sides are weak, and the inventory has changed [74]. - **Strategy View**: The PE valuation has room to decline, and the demand is in a seasonal off - season [75]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Market Information**: PP prices have declined. The supply and demand sides are weak, and the inventory pressure is high [76]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on the PP5 - 9 spread on dips [78]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **Market Information**: Pig prices have different changes. The actual supply pressure has been reduced [80]. - **Strategy View**: The spot price is expected to be weak, but there may be support for the far - month contracts [81]. Eggs - **Market Information**: Egg prices are mainly stable. The supply is normal, and the market digestion speed is okay [82]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term spot price decline is limited. It is recommended to wait and see or trade short - term [83]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market Information**: The export and production data of soybeans in the US and Brazil are provided. The domestic soybean inventory has changed [84]. - **Strategy View**: The protein meal price may be bottoming out due to the increase in import costs [86]. Oils and Fats - **Market Information**: The production, export, and inventory data of palm oil in Malaysia and Indonesia are provided. The domestic oil inventory has increased [87]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term soybean oil price is stronger. It is recommended to buy when the oil prices stop falling at low levels [88]. Sugar - **Market Information**: The production data of sugar in India, Brazil, and Thailand are provided. The domestic import data are also given [89][90]. - **Strategy View**: It is not advisable to be overly bearish on the international sugar market. The domestic sugar price is suppressed by high inventory. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [91]. Cotton - **Market Information**: The US cotton export data and the domestic cotton inventory data are provided [92]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to buy on dips if the downstream start - up rate after the Spring Festival is good [93].
中泰期货晨会纪要-20260227
Zhong Tai Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 01:19
Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - **Macro Outlook**: China's post - holiday market is active with increased trading volume and risk appetite. The A - share market is expected to see better performance from IC than IH. The bond market has limited short - term odds and should be traded with a band strategy. Global economic factors such as US - China trade talks, exchange rate fluctuations, and geopolitical events impact the market. The smartphone and automotive industries face challenges, while the real estate market shows signs of recovery in some areas [7][14][15]. - **Commodity Markets**: Different commodities have different trends. For example, steel and iron ore are expected to oscillate, and the future of these markets depends on demand. Some commodities like lithium carbonate are expected to be bullish in the short - term, while others like沪锌 and沪铅 may continue to be under pressure [16][25][29]. 3. Summary by Category **Macro News** - **Trade and Policy**: The sixth round of China - US economic and trade consultations is upcoming. The central bank supports cross - border RMB inter - bank financing. The RMB has appreciated rapidly against the US dollar [7]. - **Resource and Energy**: Zimbabwe bans the export of raw minerals and lithium concentrates, which impacts the lithium market. The third - round of indirect talks between Iran and the US ends, with significant differences remaining [7][8]. - **Financial and Market**: Compensation for investors affected by the valuation adjustment of Guotou Silver LOF starts. IDC predicts a 12.9% year - on - year decline in global smartphone shipments in 2026. Multiple smartphone brands plan price adjustments. The Chinese brand passenger vehicle sales decline in January 2026. The real estate market in some areas shows signs of recovery [8][9]. **Macro Finance** - **Stock Index Futures**: After the holiday, the A - share market is active. It is expected that IC will perform better than IH due to different sector performances and increased risk appetite [14]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market is weak after the "Shanghai Seven" policy for the property market. Without interest - rate cut expectations, it is difficult for bond yields to decline further. Attention should be paid to the government's monetary and fiscal policies [15]. **Black Metals** - **Steel and Iron Ore**: The current supply - demand contradiction is limited, and there is unlikely to be a large price change. The future market depends on the start of steel demand. Iron ore supply is abundant [16]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Prices are expected to oscillate weakly in the short - term, and attention should be paid to the resumption of coal mines and downstream demand [19]. - **Ferroalloys**: For manganese silicon, it is not recommended to chase long positions after a large increase. Silicon iron long positions are recommended. Attention should be paid to the start - up of semi - coke plants [20]. - **Soda Ash and Glass**: Currently, it is advisable to wait and see. For soda ash, focus on the supply stability of leading enterprises and new production capacity. For glass, pay attention to the actual changes in production lines and demand [21]. **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials** - **Copper**: In the short - term, copper prices will oscillate due to unstable macro - environment and inventory accumulation. In the long - term, tight raw material supply supports prices [23]. - **Zinc**: Domestic zinc inventories are increasing, and previous short positions should be held [25]. - **Lead**: Social lead inventories are at a 5 - month high. Previous short positions can be held, but lead consumption may improve in March [27]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: In the short - term, it is expected to be bullish due to increased demand and supply disruptions. Attention should be paid to buying opportunities on pull - backs [29]. - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: Industrial silicon will oscillate, and polysilicon will have a wide - range oscillation. Caution is advised in operation [31]. **Agricultural Products** - **Cotton**: Domestically, it is expected to be bullish, and low - buying and rolling operations are recommended. Attention should be paid to the demand after the holiday and international factors [34]. - **Sugar**: There is a short - term supply surplus, but the domestic sugar price may rebound due to restocking demand. It is in a low - level oscillation [35]. - **Eggs**: In the short - term, the spot price is weak, and the futures price will oscillate. Attention should be paid to inventory reduction and old - hen culling [37]. - **Apples**: High - quality apple prices will remain stable, and the overall price will oscillate in a range [38]. - **Corn**: The futures price will oscillate, and attention should be paid to the upper pressure. After the holiday, corn trading has not fully recovered, and there are supply pressures [39]. - **Jujubes**: Currently, the price is expected to oscillate weakly. Attention should be paid to the sales in the sales area and the mentality of buyers [40]. - **Hogs**: After the holiday, the market has a supply - demand imbalance with more supply. It is not recommended to short near - month futures contracts [41]. **Energy and Chemicals** - **Crude Oil**: The market is in a game between geopolitical risks and fundamental oversupply. The upside space is limited [43]. - **Fuel Oil**: The supply - demand situation has marginally improved, and the short - term focus is on the impact of oil prices dominated by geopolitics [44]. - **Plastics**: Polyolefins have large supply pressure but are slightly supported by rising raw material prices. An oscillating and weakening trend is expected [45]. - **Rubber**: In March, the downstream export orders are good, and there is support at the cost side. Caution is advised when chasing long positions [46]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: There is still room for decline in the short - term. Attention should be paid to the changes in butadiene and downstream devices [47]. - **Methanol**: The current supply - demand situation has slightly improved, but there may be a price correction. Attention should be paid to port inventory and Iranian supply [48]. - **Caustic Soda**: The futures price is expected to oscillate weakly. Attention should be paid to the recovery of demand and the impact of warehouse receipts [49]. - **Asphalt**: It follows oil price fluctuations, and attention should be paid to restocking demand after winter storage in March [51]. - **PVC**: In the short - term, it may be bullish, but the long - term supply - demand contradiction remains. Caution is advised [52]. - **Polyester Industry Chain**: In the short - term, the supply - demand situation is under pressure, and prices follow oil price fluctuations. Consider long - short spreads for PX and PTA 5 - 9 contracts [53]. - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas**: In the absence of further geopolitical escalation, the main contract is expected to be bearish [54]. - **Pulp**: The port inventory is at a new high, and the market sentiment has declined. Attention should be paid to inventory changes and price increases of finished products [56]. - **Logs**: The forward spot price is supported by cost, and attention should be paid to the impact of new delivery rules and market sentiment [57]. - **Urea**: The futures price is expected to oscillate bearishly. Attention should be paid to the difference between agricultural and industrial demand [57].
芝加哥联储行长:若通胀回落美联储可能多次降息
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 01:01
日度报告——综合晨报 芝加哥联储行长:若通胀回落 美联储可能多 次降息 [T报ab告le_日R期an:k] 2026-02-27 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 芝加哥联储行长:若通胀回落 美联储可能多次降息 伊朗外长称美伊谈判取得进展,市场风险偏好回落,美元指数 走低。 宏观策略(股指期货) A 股放量震荡整理 综 市场成交逐渐放量,更多流动性回归场内交易,这是我们判断 春季躁动仍未结束的原因之一。海外 AI 泡沫担忧逐渐深化,A 股或受映射。科技股短期回调压力增加,但中期仍看好。 巴西 2 月前两周出口糖和糖蜜 131.38 万吨 本榨季印度糖估产大幅下调 165 万吨至 2930 万吨,这将支撑印 度国内糖价,并限制其出口量,同时也有利于减轻本榨季全球 糖市供应过剩压力。 有色金属(碳酸锂) 芬兰启动欧洲首座商业化锂辉石矿山运营 短周期内仍以偏多思路看待。 合 宏观策略(国债期货) 晨 央行开展了 3205 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作 报 稳地产政策可以理解为临时扰动,在其他利空出现之前,债市 难以持续下跌,部分时刻还会存在反弹动力。不过后续潜在的 风险因素仍然存在。 黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板) 巴西 ...
贵属策略报:?银冲?回落,??窄幅震荡
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 00:41
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|贵⾦属策略⽇报 2026-2-27 ⽩银冲⾼回落,⻩⾦窄幅震荡 万得数据显⽰,⽇内贵⾦属价格整体回落,其中⽩银跌幅显著⼤于⻩⾦, 海内外⽩银跌幅均超 3%;尽管美国关税政策不确定性与中东地缘紧张局 势持续对贵⾦属形成⽀撑,但美伊第三轮核谈判⽇内启动、叠加美国当周 初续请失业⾦数据显⽰劳动⼒市场边际改善,市场⻛险偏好趋于谨慎,共 同推动贵⾦属盘中⾛弱。据⼈⺠⽇报报道,伊美在瑞⼠⽇内⽡举⾏的新⼀ 轮间接谈判暂停,计划于当天晚些时候继续进⾏。短线来看,⾦银价格企 稳后有望震荡⾛强,短线动能略有减弱、波动放⼤,需等待市场更多确定 性指引,突破前期⾼点仍存较⼤阻⼒;后续需重点关注美伊⽇内⽡核谈判 结果、27 ⽇公布的 PPI 数据、下周⾮农就业数据及中美互动进展。 黄金观点:短期震荡偏强,关注美伊核谈判结果和关税政策进展等 逻辑:万得数据显示,日内黄金窄幅震荡,海内外金价小幅回落、跌 幅不足1%,美国关税政策不确定性、中东地缘紧张局势延续及日内开 启的美伊第三轮核谈判提升市场风险敏感度;与之同时,日内最新公 布的初、续请失业金数据指向美国劳动力市场有一些好转 ...
中天期货:商品指数高开低走小停顿 白银震荡向上
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 00:38
热点品种分析 一、商品指数 二、股指 中国上证综指2月26日(周四)收盘下跌0.60点,跌幅0.01%,报4146.63点; 中国深证成指2月26日(周四)收盘上涨31.15点,涨幅0.22%,报14507.01点; 中国沪深300指2月26日(周四)收盘下跌9.01点,跌幅0.19%,报4726.87点; 中国创业板指2月26日(周四)收盘下跌8.61点,跌幅0.26%,报3346.21点; 中国科创50指2月26日(周四)收盘上涨12.58点,涨幅0.85%,报1485.86点。 三、碳酸锂2605 四、白银2604 五、螺纹 2605 六、原油2603 七、PTA2605 八、 棉花2605 十、橡胶 2605 九、白糖2605 十一、PVC 2605 十二、焦煤2605 十三、棕榈2605 十四、纯碱2605 十五、生猪2605 十六、豆粕2605 十七、玻璃2605 十八、红枣2605 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑:陈平 热点品种分析 一、商品指数 二、股指 中国上证综指2月26日(周四)收盘下跌0.60点,跌幅0.01%,报4146.63点; 中国深证成指2月26日(周四)收盘 ...
期货开户服务优选东吴期货,多品类开户支持,低佣金助力高效交易
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 23:22
在金融市场的浪潮中,期货交易凭借其独特的杠杆机制与双向交易特性,成为众多投资者实现资产配置与风险对冲的重要工具。然而,面对复杂 的开户流程、高昂的交易成本以及平台安全性等核心问题,如何选择一家专业、可靠且服务全面的期货机构,成为投资者开启期货交易之旅的关 键一步。东吴期货有限公司作为国内期货行业的**参与者,凭借多年深耕积累的行业经验与资源优势,为投资者提供涵盖期货开户、港指期货交 易开户、低佣金期货交易开户、股指期货交易开户、期货平台开户、期货账户开户、期货交易开户及期货网上开户等全场景服务,以透明化流 程、专业化团队与多元化产品,助力投资者轻松迈入期货市场,实现稳健交易目标。 东吴期货有限公司的主营业务覆盖期货交易全链条,从开户到交易,从平台选择到佣金优化,为投资者提供"一站式"解决方案。具体而言,其核 心服务包括:期货开户,支持个人与企业投资者快速完成账户注册,流程简化至3个步骤,平均耗时仅15分钟;港指期货交易开户,针对香港恒生 指数等热门标的,提供跨境交易通道,满足投资者全球化配置需求;低佣金期货交易开户,通过与主流交易所合作,将交易成本压缩至行业平均 水平的70%,以单笔交易为例,若行业平均佣金为 ...
多空僵持不下 金价向上突破还是向下回调
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 22:30
● 本报记者 葛瑶 最近四个交易日,伦敦金现货价格在5200美元/盎司关口附近持续震荡。2月26日午后,虽然金价再度冲 高至5205.47美元/盎司,但仍未能站稳脚跟。 当前市场多空分歧加剧。一方面,美联储降息预期出现松动,美国2025年12月核心PCE同比涨幅为 3%,仍高于政策目标1个百分点;另一方面,地缘局势不确定性支撑了避险需求。因此,金价处于短期 震荡整理阶段。 机构相关人士认为,在降息信号进一步明确之前,金价短期内难以实现快速突破。中长期来看,供需关 系偏紧与货币体系变革为金价上行提供支撑,美联储政策走向与白银价格的传导效应仍是重要观察变 量。 金价高位震荡 今年春节期间,周大福、老庙黄金、中国黄金等国内多家主流黄金品牌的首饰金价重回1500元/克。这 使得黄金首饰成为不少游客免税购物的首选,三亚多家免税店的黄金珠宝柜台前排起长龙,人潮涌动, 消费热情可见一斑。 近期,国际金价高位震荡加剧。2月26日午后,伦敦金现货价格再度站上5200美元/盎司关口,盘中最高 报5205.47美元/盎司。 从供给侧来看,瑞银援引伍德麦肯兹的测算称,按照当前既有生产计划,到2028年全球将有80座黄金矿 山面临资源 ...
原油期货夜盘收涨 贵金属下挫
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-26 19:36
上期所原油 期货主力合约夜盘收涨0.74%,报489.80元人民币/桶。沪金夜盘收跌0.25%,沪银收跌 2.93%。 ...
“玩转”期权工具箱 助力钢企风险管理升级
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2026-02-26 16:51
例如,2024年6月,某钢贸商手握10000吨热卷库存,恰逢雨季施工停滞导致需求萎缩。南华期货使 用"比例领子看跌期权"这一利器,在6月11日当HC2410价格在3800元/吨时,让客户买入10000吨7月10 日到期的领子看跌期权。当7月初价格跌至3681元/吨时,卖出领子看跌期权。盈利如及时雨般覆盖了库 存减值,钢贸商反而净赚119万元。这种"卖出高行权价看涨+买入低行权价看跌"的组合,巧妙地将套保 成本转化为额外收益,优化了企业的套期保值。 近年来,钢材行业面临着复杂多变的市场环境,钢材价格波动频繁且幅度增大。贸易商作为钢材产业链 中的重要环节,在采购、销售及库存管理等方面面临着巨大的压力,尤其是价格的下跌极大地压缩贸易 商的利润空间。 当传统的"囤货待涨"模式在单边下跌行情中频频失灵时,钢贸商们意识到,传统的风险管理手段已难以 满足日益复杂的市场环境需求。他们需要更专业、更有效的风险管理解决方案,以稳定经营利润、增强 市场竞争力。 在这片红海中,南华期货提供了一套专业方案。依托杭州浓厚的钢贸氛围,南华期货黑色团队以华东地 区钢贸企业为重点服务对象,主动与企业深入交流,通过面对面沟通、实地走访等,了解企 ...