进口玉米成交较好 提振盘面震荡收涨 研究员：许方莉 期货从业资格号F3073708 期货投资咨询从业证书号 Z0017638 取 更 多 资 讯 联系电话：0595-86778969 关 注 我 们 获 业 务 咨 询 添 加 客 服 瑞达期货研究院 「2025.12.26」 玉米类市场周报 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场分析 「 周度要点小结」 总结及策略建议 3 Ø 玉米： Ø 行情回顾：本周玉米期货震荡上涨。主力2603合约收盘价为2222元/吨，较上周+30元/吨。 Ø 行情展望：美玉米步入出口旺季，阶段性供应压力较高。不过，美玉米出口状况良好，且USDA将 2025/26年度美玉米结转库存预测值从上月的21.54亿蒲式耳下调至20.29亿蒲式耳，低于分析师预 期的21.24亿蒲式耳，对美玉米价格有所支撑。国内方面，东北产区今年售粮进度同比偏快，粮质 整体较好，基层种植户售粮意向一般，火运发运量明显减少，下游需求支撑不足，粮点及烘干塔 随行出货为主，上量较为有限，成交情况不理想。受畜禽养殖行情不景气。饲料企业补库积极性 减弱，深加工企业库存水平相对安全，对高价玉米接受 ...

瑞达期货研究院 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 「 周度要点小结」 「2025.12.26」 沪铜市场周报 供给收敛需求韧性，沪铜或将震荡运行 研究员:陈思嘉 期货从业资格号 F03118799 期货投资咨询 从业证书号 Z0022803 取 更 多 资 讯 业务咨询 添加客服 关 注 我 们 获 目录 行情回顾：沪铜主力合约周线震荡偏强，周线涨跌幅为+5.95%，振幅6.79%。截止本周主力合约收盘报价98720元/吨。 后市展望：国际方面，美国经济第三季度以4.3%速度扩张，创两年来最快增速，但美国消费者信心指数连续五个月走低。 国内方面，国家发展改革委产业发展司发布文章《大力推动传统产业优化提升》。文章指出，对氧化铝、铜冶炼等强资源 约束型产业，关键在于强化管理、优化布局。鼓励大型骨干企业实施兼并重组，提升规模化、集团化水平，提高产业竞争 力。基本面原料端，铜精矿TC加工指数现货小幅下行，矿紧预期持续，铜价成本支撑逻辑坚固。供给端，国家政策方面对 铜等冶炼资源提出优化、约束管理，在原料供给持续偏紧的背景下，铜冶炼产能或将逐步收敛，国内精铜供给量增速逐渐 放缓。需求端，铜价强势运行，短期快速 ...

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.12.26」 棉花（纱）市场周报 研究员：王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证Z0021556 关 注 微信客 服 号 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权及股市关联市场 「 周度要点小结」 行情回顾：本周郑棉主力2601合约价格上涨，周度涨幅约3.71%。 行情展望：据美国农业部(USDA)报告显示，12月11日止当周，2025/26年度美国陆 地棉出口销售净增30.47万包，较前周增加99%，较前四周均值增加95%。2025/26 年度美国陆地棉出口装运量13.44万包，较前周增加32%，较前4周平均水平增加 17%。当周美国棉花出口签约量、装运量环比均增加。国内市场：供应端，虽然当 前产量较大，且全国棉花公检量已接近600万吨，但2026年国内外植棉面积有望下 调预期升温，加之籽棉收购成本固化也提供较强支撑。需求端，新疆纱厂订单充足， 高支纱相对紧缺，纺织开机率高于去年同期，企业按需补库。另外中美关税缓和利 好纺织品出口，11月棉纱进口同比大增，外销需求支撑较强，短期棉价延续反弹态 势。 未来交易提示： 业务咨询 添加客服 1、 ...

证监许可【2011】1288号 报告 股指转向进攻 2025年12月26日 更多精彩内容 请关注 格林大华期货 官方微信 研究员：于军礼 联系邮箱：yujunli@greendh.com 期货从业资格证号：F0247894 期货交易咨询号：Z0000112 中美展开激烈的太空基建竞赛，商业航天进入国家意志主导的爆发式高景气 数据来源：WIND，格林大华期货 数据来源：蓝箭航天，格林大华期货 四只股指期货中，中证500指数"含科量"最高，已接近前期高点 蓝箭航天 12月6日验证垂直回收一子级技术 数据来源：WIND，格林大华期货 机构资金通过A500ETF大规模入市，推升上证指数至3950点上方 数据来源：WIND，格林大华期货 美联储每月购买400亿美元短期国债，重启扩表，有利于中国权益市场 0.0000 1.0000 2.0000 3.0000 4.0000 5.0000 6.0000 2008-10-29 2008-12-16 2015-12-17 2016-12-15 2017-03-16 2017-06-15 2017-12-14 2018-03-22 2018-06-14 2018-09-27 20 ...

Market Overview - US stock index futures are slightly lower, while Asian stock markets show mixed performance, with Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index leading the gains in Asia [1][5] - Japan's cabinet approved a record defense budget exceeding 9 trillion yen (approximately 58 billion USD), contributing to a 0.7% increase in the Nikkei 225 index, closing at 50,750.39 points [6] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have surged to historical highs, with gold rising by 0.9% to 4,541.80 USD per ounce and silver increasing by 4.5% to 74.90 USD per ounce, briefly surpassing the 75 USD mark [1][5] - The rise in gold prices is partly attributed to market concerns over the prolonged US federal government shutdown and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which weakened the dollar against other major currencies [1][5] Currency Exchange - The USD/JPY exchange rate increased from 155.83 to 156.25 yen, while the EUR/USD rate slightly declined from 1.1785 to 1.1777 USD [6] Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, closing at 3,963.68 points, while the Korean Composite Stock Price Index increased by 0.5% to 4,129.68 points, and the Taiwan Weighted Index surged by 0.7% [3][6] - Thai and Indian stock markets experienced declines [3] Commodity and Cryptocurrency - Crude oil futures saw a slight increase, with WTI rising by 18 cents to 58.53 USD per barrel and Brent up by 15 cents to 61.95 USD per barrel [4][6] - Bitcoin price increased by 2.2%, reaching 89,705 USD [4][6]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - A - share major indices rose collectively this week, with gains exceeding 2% for all except the Shanghai Composite Index. The four stock - index futures also rose collectively, and small - and medium - cap stocks outperformed large - cap blue - chip stocks. Market trading activity significantly rebounded compared to last week. - Overseas, Trump's statement strengthened the market's expectation that the new Fed Chairman would cut interest rates. Domestically, the economic fundamentals in November were weak, with deflation pressure remaining. The 12 - month LPR quote remained unchanged, which was in line with market expectations. Although the weak economic indicators in November exerted pressure on A - shares, positive tones from political meetings provided bottom support [7][94]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Market Review | Futures/Spot | Contract/Index Name | Weekly Change (%) | Friday Change (%) | Closing Price | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Futures | IF2603 | 2.46 | 0.48 | 4638.4 | | | IH2603 | 1.50 | 0.51 | 3051.4 | | | IC2603 | 4.71 | 0.80 | 7388.0 | | | IM2603 | 4.63 | 0.57 | 7472.4 | | Spot | CSI 300 | 1.95 | 0.32 | 4657.24 | | | SSE 50 | 1.37 | 0.41 | 3045.40 | | | CSI 500 | 4.03 | 0.65 | 7458.84 | | | CSI 1000 | 3.76 | 0.35 | 7605.53 | [10] 3.2. News Overview - The 1 - year and 5 - year - plus LPR remained unchanged, which is neutral [13]. - Trump hoped the next Fed Chairman would cut interest rates when the economy and market perform well, which is neutral - to - bullish [13]. - The PBC's Q4 2025 monetary policy committee meeting proposed measures to maintain capital market stability, which is neutral - to - bullish [13]. - A large number of A - share listed companies completed private placements this year, which is neutral [13]. 3.3. Weekly Market Data - **Domestic Major Indices**: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.88%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 3.53%, the STAR 50 Index rose 2.85%, the SME 100 Index rose 3.88%, and the ChiNext Index rose 3.90% [16]. - **Overseas Major Indices (as of Thursday)**: The S&P 500 rose 1.43%, the FTSE 100 fell 0.27%, the Nikkei 225 rose 2.33%, and the Hang Seng Index rose 0.50% [17]. - **Industry Sectors**: Most industry sectors rose, with non - ferrous metals and national defense and military industries leading the gains. Most industry sectors saw net outflows of main funds, with significant net outflows in computer and national defense and military industries, and significant net inflows in power equipment [21][25]. - **SHIBOR Short - term Interest Rates**: SHIBOR short - term interest rates showed differentiation, and the capital price was at a low level [29]. - **Restricted Share Unlock and Northbound Capital Transactions**: This week, major shareholders net - sold 1.1102 billion yuan in the secondary market, the restricted share unlock market value was 192.473 billion yuan, and northbound capital traded a total of 529.777 billion yuan [32]. - **Futures Basis and Spread**: The basis of the main contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM strengthened [40][43][46][49]. 3.4. Market Outlook and Strategy - The A - share major indices rose collectively this week, and the four stock - index futures also rose. Small - and medium - cap stocks were stronger than large - cap blue - chip stocks, and market trading activity rebounded. - Overseas, Trump's statement strengthened the expectation of interest rate cuts. Domestically, the economic fundamentals in November were weak, and the 12 - month LPR remained unchanged. Although the weak economic indicators in November pressured A - shares, positive policy tones provided bottom support. The expectation of a dovish Fed Chairman led to a weaker dollar and a stronger RMB, supporting the expectation of loose monetary policy in January 2026 [94].

金瑞期货表示，此前公布的非农以及CPI数据偏弱，市场降息预期小幅回升，叠加议息会议偏鸽，使得 金银获得一定支撑。白银继续受到工业和金融双重属性影响，在供需缺口和现货偏紧的驱动下强势上 涨；铂钯则在外盘休市和国内市场情绪和资金带动下走出独立行情。而中长期来说，宏观上包括主权国 家赤字问题、地缘风险以及去美元化驱动的央行购金等因素并未改变，金银价格的长期核心驱动因素仍 保持稳健。 新湖期货表示，市场投资热情高涨，叠加国内库存在10月底接近干涸，虽然本月以来有所回升，但仍处 于较低水平，使得国内沪银溢价大幅飙升，创下历史新高。国际方面，全球白银ETF持续流入，全球最 大的白银ETF——SLV（美国）22日单日流入533吨，是历史上第四大单日流入量。同时COMEX白银通 知交割单量持续增加，目前仍未看到交割压力缓解迹象。预计白银在12月底交割前可能仍有一定上涨空 间，但追高风险较大，建议投资者谨慎考虑。中长期来看，央行购金具有持续性，叠加全球货币的泛滥 和去美元化趋势不可逆甚至加速，将继续支撑贵金属中枢上行，后续贵金属可能仍偏强。 金瑞期货：宏观与低库存共振，银价保持强势 新湖期货：白银在12月底交割前可能仍有一定上 ...

股指早报 大盘临近 4000 点 2025 年 12 月 26 日 股指期货早报 2025.12.26 报告摘要： 海外方面，圣诞假期，外围金融市场休市。 国内盘面上看，周四大盘低开震荡上涨 0.47%，深成指上涨 0.33%，创业板指上涨 0.3%，市场延续稳步反弹走势。题材商业航天、 人形机器人等保持活跃，券商板块则基本与指数节奏保持一致。市场 指数很稳，但很大风险偏好回升也说不上，基本还是处于结构性行情 当中。板块上看，军工、轻工制造、机械设备、汽车涨幅居前，有色、 商贸零售、煤炭、通信跌幅居前。全市场 3768 只个股上涨，1469 只 个股下跌。消息上看，商务部回应 TikTok、美对华半导体产品加征 301 关税。以后中美科技博弈边谈边打的状况或成常态。 整体上看，近期人民币的升值对于市场信心起到提振，而 A 股也 走出七连阳。市场处于指数稳步上升中的结构性行情，资金布局春季 行情明显。目前指数已经离 4000 点不远，指数可能在冲击 4000 点整 数关口后才会有大波动。 创元研究 股指研究员：刘钇含 邮箱：liuyh@cyqh.com.cn 投资咨询资格号：Z0015686 请务必阅读正文后的 ...

12月26日盘中，胶版印刷纸期货主力合约震荡上行，最高上探至4108.00元。截止收盘，胶版印刷纸主 力合约报4108.00元，涨幅1.48%。 胶版印刷纸期货主力涨超1%，对于后市行情如何，相关机构该如何评价？ 基本面看，供应端产能利用率微降至52.5%，但生产企业库存环比增至139.3万吨，供应充裕与需求疲软 的矛盾依旧。成本端受木浆价格上涨影响，纸厂亏损压力加剧。实际走势已突破原预测区间，短期强势 或延续，策略上可转为偏多思路，关注价格在4060附近能否站稳形成新支撑，上方压力参考前期高点。 风险在于高库存下需求若持续疲软，价格可能回踩确认支撑。 瑞达期货：双胶纸区间操作 供应端，本期双胶纸产量20.4万吨，较上期减少0.1万吨，降幅0.5%，产能利用率52.4%，较上期下降 0.1%。库存端，截至2025年12月25日，本期双胶纸生产企业库存139.5万吨，环比增幅0.1%。OP2602合 约建议下方关注3900附近支撑，上方4100附近压力，区间操作。 中原期货 胶版印刷纸短期强势或延续 瑞达期货（002961） 双胶纸区间操作 中原期货：胶版印刷纸短期强势或延续 机构 核心观点 ...

Core Viewpoint - 弘业期货 is a significant player in the futures market, with a focus on various financial services, and has recently experienced a decline in revenue and profit margins [2][7]. Company Overview - 弘业期货股份有限公司 primarily engages in commodity futures brokerage, financial futures brokerage, futures investment consulting, asset management, fund sales, and financial asset investment [2][7]. - The company is the first A+H share listed company in the futures industry and is controlled by the Jiangsu Provincial Government's State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [3][7]. - As of September 30, 2025, 弘业期货 reported a revenue of 462 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 76.77%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.09 million yuan, down 87.27% year-on-year [7]. Financial Performance - The company has a market capitalization of 10.703 billion yuan and a trading volume of 115 million yuan with a turnover rate of 1.42% [1]. - The average trading cost of the stock is 11.30 yuan, with the current stock price near a resistance level of 10.69 yuan, indicating potential for upward movement if the resistance is broken [6]. - The company has distributed a total of 44.3422 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [8]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders is 54,400, a decrease of 13.10% from the previous period [7]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI 1000 ETF, with notable reductions in their holdings [8].