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(活力中国调研行)厚积“薄”发 柔玻璃撑起产业硬脊梁
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-06 03:53
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the advancements in flexible and foldable glass technology developed by China National Building Material Group Glass New Materials Research Institute, showcasing its applications in various high-tech products and its significance in the global glass industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: Product Innovation - The flexible foldable glass produced by the company is only 30 micrometers thick, approximately one-third the thickness of a standard A4 paper, and has a bending lifespan exceeding one million cycles [1]. - This glass maintains high temperature resistance, hardness, light transmittance, gas tightness, and flatness, ensuring stable mechanical and chemical properties even under oxidative and illuminated conditions [1]. - The flexible glass has been widely applied in products such as foldable smartphones, rollable televisions, and flexible medical testing equipment [1]. Group 2: Research and Development - The production of ultra-thin flexible foldable glass required over a thousand experiments for formulation, followed by industrial trials and the design of dedicated production lines [2]. - The team, led by an academician from the Chinese Academy of Engineering, has successfully overcome key technological challenges, establishing a comprehensive industrial chain from high-strength glass to precision post-processing [2]. - The company has developed a "three-chain integration" model, combining innovation, engineering, and industry chains, resulting in numerous "China's first, world-leading" achievements [2]. Group 3: Market Impact - The development of the world's first 8.6-generation OLED ultra-thin float glass substrate is set to be completed by the end of 2024, marking a significant milestone in the production of high-generation OLED glass substrates in China [2][3]. - These innovations support the demand for advanced glass materials in sectors such as information display, new energy, semiconductors, and high-end equipment, ensuring the security of China's industrial supply chains [3]. - The advancements in glass technology signify a shift for China from following and catching up to leading in the global glass industry [3].
预见2025:《2025年中国中硼硅玻璃行业全景图谱》(附市场现状、竞争格局和发展趋势等)
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-07-06 01:10
Industry Overview - Borosilicate glass is a specialized product with excellent thermal shock resistance and water resistance, widely used for packaging pharmaceuticals such as injections, blood products, and vaccines [1][2] - The market for borosilicate glass in China is projected to reach approximately 8.6 billion yuan by 2024, with a penetration rate of about 25% [20] Industry Chain Analysis - The upstream materials for borosilicate glass production include quartz sand, boron sand, and other raw materials, while the downstream applications primarily involve medical institutions and pharmaceutical logistics [2][6] - Key players in the upstream supply include companies like Quartz Co. and Corning, while major manufacturers in the midstream include domestic firms like Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass and Zhengchuan Co. [6] Development History - The development of borosilicate glass in China began in the 1950s, with significant advancements occurring after 2004 when Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass introduced the first domestic production technology [9] - The industry has seen a shift towards domestic production capabilities, reducing reliance on imports and addressing long-standing supply chain issues [9] Policy Background - Recent policies emphasize the importance of quality in pharmaceutical packaging materials, with the National Medical Products Administration reinforcing standards for injection packaging [11][12] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" for the pharmaceutical industry aims to enhance the standardization and quality of pharmaceutical excipients and packaging materials [11][12] Market Structure - The market for borosilicate glass is segmented, with molded bottles accounting for 44% of the market share in 2024, while ampoules and tubular bottles hold similar shares [21] - The competitive landscape features a tiered structure, with leading companies like Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass and Zhengchuan Co. dominating the market, while other firms lag behind in market share and technological advancement [26][29] Future Outlook - The market for borosilicate glass is expected to grow significantly, potentially reaching 21.5 billion yuan by 2030, driven by increased demand and ongoing policy support [32] - The industry is anticipated to experience a trend towards technological innovation and increased competition, with domestic companies improving product quality and reducing costs [35]
银行股,再创新高!是何原因?有何魔力?
券商中国· 2025-07-05 23:23
招商银行在这大市惨淡的4年时间中上涨了40%,其间出现10次以上月度跌幅超过5%的走势。就在上证指 数跌破千点关口之际,招商银行2005年5月的月度跌幅为8.6%。然而,市场给了有定力的投资者丰厚的回 报,2006年招商银行大涨180%,2007年再度上涨143%。 皖通高速在这4年熊市中的整体涨幅为223%,但其间曾四次月度跌幅超过7%。就在上证指数跌破千点之 际,皖通高速2005年5月的跌幅达到了12.4%,市场极度悲观,此后该股在底部盘整了近一年,并在2007年 的牛市中大涨超过60%。 福耀玻璃在这4年中股价几乎没有动,微幅上涨0.2%,但该股在2006年大涨180%,2007年再度大涨145%; 伊利股份在这4年当中微幅上涨10%,此后在2006年上涨140%,2007年再度上涨11%,但伊利股份的走势 并非一帆风顺,在2004年该股曾4次月度跌幅超过10%。 投资应以持股为主 从长期来说,上市公司是一个经济体最优秀企业的代表,其内在价值的增长远远跑赢债券和储蓄。多位成 功的价值投资者除了少数泡沫时期,均以长线持股为主。 A股价值投资大佬张尧的仓位管理法则是:基本满仓状态,除了少数极度泡沫时期;市场 ...
光伏玻璃行业加速推进“反内卷” 多家企业或7月份起减产
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-07-04 16:08
7月4日,光伏概念板块走强,截至当日收盘,霍普股份、韶能股份、亚玛顿、东材科技等多只光伏概念 股盘中涨停,迪森股份、国际复材、协鑫能科等多只个股跟涨,市场热度提升。 "从时间节点看,近期光伏玻璃企业减产的时机确已到来。5月份抢装潮结束后,国内光伏行业需求骤 降,组件排产下降,光伏玻璃需求减弱、价格快速下跌。在这样的背景下,行业自发减产是合理的选 择。"中信建投期货能化高级分析师胡鹏说。 上海有色网提供的信息显示,预计7月份国内光伏玻璃产量将下降至45GW水平。供应量的收缩有望对 市场价格形成支撑作用,缓解企业持续亏损的困难局面。 消息面上,有传闻称"国内十大光伏玻璃厂商召开会议,决定自7月份起实施集体减产30%的计划"。上 海有色网光伏玻璃分析师郑天鸿表示,部分光伏玻璃企业前期已经规划好的减产计划,正在陆续执行, 7月份减产是大概率事件,未来减产动作可能还会延伸至三季度。 供需失衡倒逼减产 近年来,光伏玻璃行业经历了快速扩张期,导致供需关系急剧恶化。国金证券发布研报显示,截至2024 年末,光伏玻璃在产日熔量达92490吨,而需求端因组件产量连续下滑,库存飙升至45天,接近"爆 仓"临界点。 价格方面,隆众资 ...
【建筑建材】政策信号扭转预期,重点关注光伏玻璃、浮法玻璃、水泥、碳纤维行业——中央财经委提出“治理反内卷”精神学习(孙伟风)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-04 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent policy signals from the Chinese government aimed at addressing issues of low-price competition and promoting high-quality development in various industries, particularly focusing on the construction materials sector and the photovoltaic industry [2][3]. Policy Signals and Market Reactions - The meeting chaired by Xi Jinping emphasized the need to advance the construction of a unified national market and to guide enterprises in improving product quality while phasing out outdated production capacity [2]. - Following the meeting, sectors such as steel, coal, and building materials saw significant gains, indicating a reallocation of funds from previously hot sectors to lower-performing cyclical sectors [3]. Focus on Specific Industries - The article highlights the photovoltaic industry as a key area for potential supply-side reforms due to severe overcapacity and widespread losses across the entire industry chain [3]. - In the construction materials sector, the profitability ranking from weakest to strongest is as follows: carbon fiber (significant losses), photovoltaic glass (losses), float glass (large industry losses, with leading companies barely profitable), cement (some companies in loss), and fiberglass (most companies profitable) [4]. Industry-Specific Insights - Photovoltaic glass prices have reached historical lows, with current prices for 2.0mm single-coated glass ranging from 10.5 to 12 RMB per square meter, and the average net profit in the industry is reported at -362 RMB per ton [4]. - The float glass industry is experiencing a majority of production lines operating at a loss, with specific production costs reported for different fuel types, indicating a challenging profitability environment [5]. - The carbon fiber industry has been in a negative profit situation for nearly two years, with an average gross profit of -8,543 RMB per ton as of late June [6]. Conclusion - The article suggests that the government's clear policy direction may lead to a series of supply-side reforms, potentially reversing supply-demand dynamics and improving product prices and corporate profitability in the affected sectors [3].
宏观利好情绪继续推动??上
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 07:08
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⿊⾊建材策略⽇报 2025-07-04 宏观利好情绪继续推动⿊⾊上⾏ "反内卷"叠加唐⼭减排进⼀步强化供给减量预期,乐观情绪主导市 场,现货和期货共振上⾏。与此同时,炉料也表现强势,形成正反馈 驱动。⿊⾊基本⾯处于相对均衡状态,各环节⽭盾均不明显,铁⽔⼩ 幅回落同⽐维持⾼位,钢材保持低库存。淡季悲观预期修复,价格重 ⼼回升⾄4-5⽉区间。此次利好预计能刺激贸易商等中游环节补库, 提升现货流动性。后续则需要关注政策具体落实情况以及需求转弱程 度,预计短期震荡偏强运⾏。 ⿊⾊:宏观利好情绪继续推动⿊⾊上⾏ "反内卷"叠加唐山减排进一步强化供给减量预期,乐观情绪主导市 场,现货和期货共振上行。与此同时,炉料也表现强势,形成正反馈 驱动。黑色基本面处于相对均衡状态,各环节矛盾均不明显,铁水小 幅回落同比维持高位,钢材保持低库存。淡季悲观预期修复,价格重 心回升至4-5月区间。此次利好预计能刺激贸易商等中游环节补库, 提升现货流动性。后续则需要关注政策具体落实情况以及需求转弱程 度,预计短期震荡偏强运行。 1、铁元素方面,供应端压力较小,需求端钢企盈利率持稳 ...
申银万国期货每日报告-20250704
报告日期:2025 年 7 月 4 日 申银万国期货研究所 首席点评:美国国会众议院通过"大而美"法案 黄金:金银价格反弹。美国 6 月 ADP 就业人数减少 3.3 万人,大幅不及预期, 加剧市场对美联储年内提前降息预期。临近对等关税暂缓截止日令市场有所不安, 大而美法案推升财政赤字预期,美元表现疲软。近期美联储官员们表态继续维持 观望,尽管官员表示最快 7 月降息,但有通胀降低、贸易政策明朗等前提条件。 近期美国方面数据所显示关税政策的冲击比担忧中的要小,不过目前看贸易谈判 进展有限,财政部长暗示协议或要到 9 月达成。随着政策框架的修改,市场或为 未来宽松进行铺垫,如关税政策明朗,降息预期将进一步明确。黄金方面尽管长 期驱动仍然提供支撑,但价位较高上行迟疑。考虑 7 月关税暂缓截止期临近,警 惕特朗普相关政策的不确定性和关税再度升温的相关炒作。 一、当日主要新闻关注 1)国际新闻 美国商务部已通知全球三大芯片设计软件供应商——新思科技、楷登电子和西 门子,此前要求其在华业务必须申请政府许可的规定现已撤销。西门子称已全 面恢复中国客户对其软件和技术的访问权限,新思科技与楷登电子称正在逐步 重启相关服务。美 ...
《特殊商品》日报-20250704
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 06:40
| 天然橡胶产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年7月4日 | | | | 寇帝斯 | Z0021810 | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 7月3日 | 7月2日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 云南国营会乱胶(SCRWF):上海 | 13950 | 14000 | -50 | -0.36% | | | 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) | -65 | -125 | 60 | 48.00% | 元/吨 | | 泰标混合胶报价 | 13900 | 13950 | -50 | -0.36% | | | 非标价差 | -115 | -175 | 60 | 34.29% | | | 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 48.55 | 48.20 | 0.35 | 0.73% | 泰铢/公斤 | | 胶水:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 54.50 | 55.00 | -0.50 | -0.91% | | | 天然橡胶:胶块 ...
市场投机情绪放缓,钢价震荡偏强
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 06:26
黑色建材日报 | 2025-07-04 市场投机情绪放缓,钢价震荡偏强 玻璃纯碱:供应有所扰动,玻碱震荡运行 市场分析 玻璃方面:昨日玻璃期货盘面震荡运行。现货方面,市场成交以刚需采购为主,交易情绪有所降温。据隆众数据 显示:本周浮法玻璃市场均价1174元/吨,较上期下降3.27元/吨。企业开工率 75.43%,环比上升0.29%;厂家库存 6908.5万重箱,环比减少13.1万重箱。供需与逻辑:供应方面,前期点火产线陆续释放产能,供给环比有所回升。 步入淡季,需求有近一步走弱预期,且地产成交持续低迷,部分城市压力凸显。受此影响,玻璃消费持续低迷。 库存整体维持高位,市场通过跌价出清玻璃产能,但并未造成实际的供应收缩。持续关注后续玻璃厂冷修计划及 玻璃利润情况。 纯碱方面:昨日纯碱期货盘面震荡下行。现货方面,下游情绪较为谨慎,以刚需补库为主。据隆众数据显示:本周 纯碱产能利用率 81.32%,环比下跌0.89%;产量 70.9万吨,环比下跌0.77万吨。库存 180.95万吨,环比增加 2.41%。 供需与逻辑:供应方面,纯碱复产及检修情况并存,但检修量高于复产量,产量环比有所回落。需求缺乏增量, 且面临后期 ...
纯碱、玻璃日报-20250704
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 03:08
行业 纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2024 年 7 月 4 日 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015157 021-60635727 期货从业资格号:F03134307 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工业 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯 ...