Group 1 - China Merchants Industry announced the termination of the restructuring and spin-off of its subsidiaries, China Merchants Jinling and China Merchants Roll-on Roll-off, due to a lack of consensus on transaction terms and changes in market conditions [2] - Sichuan Road and Bridge is planning a related party transaction to acquire 100% equity and debt rights of Chengdu New Road and Bridge Machinery Co., which is expected to be a related party transaction but not a major asset restructuring [2] - Guotai Junan Securities plans to increase its capital by 1.5 billion yuan to Guotai Junan Futures Co., Ltd. to supplement its net capital [5] Group 2 - Innovation New Materials intends to register and issue short-term financing bonds not exceeding 500 million yuan and medium-term notes not exceeding 1.5 billion yuan to enhance liquidity management [3] - Gree Electric's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to sell 5.9088% equity of Winshang Technology for 62.6333 million yuan, which will improve asset liquidity and cash flow [4] - Yapu Co. plans to purchase approximately 54.5% of Winshang Technology for about 578 million yuan to accelerate its strategic development in key automotive components [6] Group 3 - Deep Highway announced that Yunshan Capital increased its holdings in the company's H-shares by 10.81 million shares, bringing its total shareholding to 254 million shares, accounting for 10% of the total share capital [7] - Aichuang Data plans to procure servers worth up to 4 billion yuan to provide computing power leasing services [8] - Luoping Zinc Electric is transferring 22.4% of its shares to Qujing Development Investment Group, with trading suspension starting from May 28 due to control change planning [9] Group 4 - Zhongke Haixun signed a contract for an information processing subsystem procurement project worth 163 million yuan [10] - Enhua Pharmaceutical's associate company Jiangsu Haoxin Qing plans to go public overseas to expand financing channels and is establishing a red-chip structure [11] - Yunnan Energy Investment has been awarded the development rights for three wind farm projects, including the Fuyuan Nanchong Wind Farm [13]

Group 1 - The private economy is a crucial entity for advancing supply-side structural reforms, promoting high-quality development, and building a modern economic system [1] - The All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce conducted annual key research focusing on "stimulating private investment vitality and expanding effective domestic demand" in regions like Tianjin and Shanxi [1] - In Shanxi, private investment grew by 10.2% in the first quarter, contributing 4.9 percentage points to overall investment growth [3] Group 2 - Shanxi Jinbo Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. invested over 200 million yuan in technological innovation over the past two years, leading to the development of a hundred billion-level industrial cluster [3] - The company emphasized the need for stronger intellectual property protection and a well-established market for intellectual property transactions to enhance innovation returns and boost private investment confidence [3] - The development of artificial intelligence and emerging industries is becoming a hotspot for private investment, with companies like Shanxi Baixin Information Technology Co., Ltd. making significant advancements in AI computing [5] Group 3 - The "super-intelligent integration" of supercomputing and AI is emerging as an investment hotspot, with companies like Sugon focusing on high-value products and services in AI and computing infrastructure [7] - Sugon's "super-intelligent integration" solutions have been implemented in over 30 industries, but the domestic ecosystem for AI computing still requires time for development [7] - Traditional industries are also focusing on high-end, intelligent, and green development, as seen in Tianjin Rongcheng Xiangtai Investment Holding Group's transition towards hydrogen energy and green transformation [9] Group 4 - The All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce conducted extensive surveys and discussions with over 126,000 private enterprises to understand the current state and challenges of private investment [11] - Two new trends were identified in private investment: a strong positive momentum and a shift towards new driving forces, particularly in emerging and future industries [11] - The Federation plans to promote policies that support private enterprises and enhance their investment efficiency, contributing to the expansion of domestic demand [11]

Group 1 - Shenghong Technology has preliminarily determined the inquiry transfer price at 65.85 yuan per share, with 24 institutional investors participating and a total of 25.73 million shares to be transferred [1] - Foton Motor plans to establish a new energy technology company with EVE Energy, investing 500 million yuan to enhance its new energy heavy truck business and battery leasing solutions [1] - Jiadu Technology disposed of 7.6647 million shares of CloudWalk Technology, realizing a post-tax investment loss of 16.29 million yuan, which is 14.18% of the company's audited net profit for 2024 [1] Group 2 - Rongsheng Environmental's controlling shareholder and actual controller, Feng Ronghua, has been subjected to compulsory measures by the police, but this matter is unrelated to the company, which continues normal operations [2] - Chongqing Steel has terminated the absorption merger of its wholly-owned subsidiary, New Port Changlong, to leverage its independent operational advantages in logistics and supply chain services [3] - Ha Welding Huatong's products can be used in controllable nuclear fusion projects, but the revenue from this sector is currently minimal, and there are no significant changes in the company's operations [4] Group 3 - Xinhua Medical's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by 100 million to 200 million yuan within the next 12 months [4] - Pingzhi Information signed a framework agreement for AI computing power technology services with China Telecom, totaling approximately 246 million yuan, which will not significantly impact the company's annual performance [5]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests treating the situation with a bearish bias in a volatile market [2][3] 2) Core Viewpoint of the Report - The report recommends short - selling on rebounds [4] 3) Summary Based on Related Content - **Steel Production Data**: Last week, the blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 91.32%, a decrease of 0.44 percentage points from the previous week; the steel mill profitability rate was 59.74%, an increase of 0.43 percentage points from the previous week; the daily average pig iron output was 2.436 million tons, a decrease of 11,700 tons from the previous week. The average operating rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 77.18%, a rise of 1.98 percentage points; the average capacity utilization rate was 59.5%, a rise of 2.93 percentage points. In mid - May, the daily output of crude steel of key steel enterprises was 2.199 million tons, a decrease of 0.3% from the previous period; the steel inventory was 16.35 million tons, an increase of 1.8% from the previous ten - day period and a decrease of 2.1% from the same ten - day period last month [3] - **Market Situation**: Last week, the price of finished steel fluctuated downward with a lower price center. The macro - environment was relatively stable, and the varieties continued to trade based on their own fundamentals. Currently, steel mills have a good profitability rate, and the enterprise operating rate and pig iron output are at relatively high levels, but the downstream demand has not improved significantly and is likely to decline further after entering the seasonal off - season, showing a situation of strong supply and weak demand [3] - **Later Concerns**: Macro - policies and downstream demand conditions [4]

021-60635736 期货从业资格号：F3033782 投资咨询证书号：Z0014484 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 日期 2025 年 5 月 26 日 黑色金属研究团队 研究员：翟贺攀 zhaihepan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：聂嘉怡 研究员：冯泽仁 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | | | | 表1：5月23日焦炭焦煤期货主力合约价格、成交及持仓情况（单位：元/吨、手、亿元） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 代码 | 前收 盘价 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 持仓量 变化 | 资金流 入流出 | | J2509 | 1406.5 | 1406 | 1418 | 1376 | 1383 | -1.81% | 25,439 | 55,648 | | 940 0.00 | ...

Group 1 - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility Index decreased by 0.52% as of May 26, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Minsheng Bank led the gains with an increase of 0.72%, followed by Ninghu Expressway at 0.63% and China Unicom at 0.56%, while Shanghai Bank, Conch Cement, and Huayu Automotive experienced declines [1] - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF (515300) underwent a rebalancing adjustment [1] Group 2 - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF recorded a trading volume of 54.8688 million yuan during the session, with an average daily trading volume of 110 million yuan over the past week [3] - The latest scale of the CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF reached 5.643 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 30.3007 million yuan recently [3] - Over the past five trading days, there were three days of net inflows totaling 36.9613 million yuan [3] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility Index accounted for 37.43% of the index, including China Shenhua, Gree Electric, and Daqin Railway [3] - Dongfang Wealth Strategy suggests that the relative return probability of dividends remains high, with a potential marginal increase in stable dividend style profitability from Q2 to Q3 [3] - The micro liquidity environment is expected to limit the valuation elasticity of high sensitivity styles, supporting the relative return probability of stable dividend styles in the near future [3] Group 4 - According to estimates from Founder Securities, long-term holding of dividend assets shows a higher success rate compared to broad indices like the CSI 300, aligning with the long-term performance assessment direction of the "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds" [4] - Institutions indicate that dividend assets are a valuable investment direction for long-term investors, especially in the context of ongoing policy encouragement for long-term capital market entry [4] - Investors without stock accounts can access investment opportunities through the corresponding CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF linked fund (007606) [4]

Market Overview - The market is experiencing volatility, with many investors selling U.S. Treasury bonds, leading to a 30-year Treasury yield of 5.089%, the highest level since October 2023, and a 10-year yield of 4.595%, the highest since February 2023 [1] - The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.19% amid these developments [1] Geopolitical Events - A shooting incident involving Israeli embassy staff in Washington has heightened concerns among the Jewish community, potentially leading to increased investment in safe-haven assets like Bitcoin and gold [2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have surged, with prices for gold jewelry from Chow Tai Fook and Lao Miao rising to 1008 CNY and 1004 CNY per gram, respectively, reflecting a significant increase due to international gold price movements [2] ASEAN and Logistics Sector - The ASEAN concept is gaining traction, with Chinese Premier Li Qiang set to visit Indonesia and attend the ASEAN-China-GCC summit, highlighting Indonesia's market potential [3] - J&T Express has captured a 30% market share in Indonesia, with plans for network expansion, indicating a competitive edge in logistics due to lower cost structures compared to self-operated logistics by e-commerce platforms [3] Retail Sector Dynamics - U.S. high tariff policies are creating challenges for retailers like Sam's Club, which has seen a 40% increase in domestic beef procurement to mitigate tariff impacts, yet still faces significant cost pressures due to over 35% of imported goods [4] - Local retailers like Hema are positioned to benefit, with their M membership store brand accounting for 30% of sales and offering lower prices compared to Sam's Club, potentially capturing price-sensitive customers [4] Gaming and Entertainment Sector - Pop Mart's Labubu toy gained global attention after being featured by David Beckham, leading to a surge in sales and stock price [5] - The company reported a significant increase in sales in Europe and North America, with TikTok followers rising by 68% [5] Steel Industry Insights - The integration of steel and financial markets is deepening, with the China Steel Industry Association noting the growing influence of futures markets on the steel industry [8] - Major steel companies like Ansteel and Maanshan Steel are expected to benefit from this trend as futures trading becomes more prominent [8] Corporate Developments - Dongfeng Motor and Changan Automobile are progressing with a restructuring plan, which is anticipated to enhance operational synergies [6] - Pharmaceutical stocks are performing well ahead of the upcoming listing of Hengrui Medicine's H shares, which are priced at 44.05 HKD, indicating strong market interest [6] Dividend Stocks - Following interest rate cuts, there is a shift towards high-dividend stocks, with banks and public utilities like Jiangsu Ninghu Expressway announcing dividend payouts [7] Gaming Collaboration - Zhongxu Future has signed a three-year cooperation memorandum with Kaiying Network, focusing on overseas business growth and the development of popular IP games [9] - The company reported a 44.9% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue, indicating strong international market performance [10]

Core Insights - The real estate development industry is experiencing widespread losses, with a significant decline in revenue and profitability for 2024, indicating a challenging environment for developers [12][13] - Despite the overall industry downturn, leading real estate companies maintain a notable competitive advantage, suggesting potential investment opportunities in top-tier firms [12][13] Industry Overview - In 2024, the total revenue for 168 real estate development companies was 4.33 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 19.2% [12] - The net profit for the industry was -376.3 billion yuan, a substantial decline from -19 billion yuan in 2023, indicating a severe profitability crisis [12] - The overall gross margin for the industry was 15.3%, down by 1.9 percentage points, while the net profit margin was -8.6%, a drop of 7.8 percentage points [12] - Out of the 168 companies, only 68 reported positive net profits, while 100 incurred losses, highlighting the financial strain across the sector [12] Competitive Landscape - The report emphasizes that the competitive dynamics are shifting, with state-owned enterprises and a few mixed-ownership and private firms outperforming others in land acquisition and sales [13] - The investment strategy suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, particularly in first-tier and select second- and third-tier cities, which are expected to perform better during market rebounds [13] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains an "overweight" rating for the real estate sector, advocating for investments in companies that are likely to benefit from policy changes and market recovery [13] - Specific companies highlighted for potential investment include Green Town China, China Overseas Development, and Poly Development, among others, indicating a diversified approach to capitalizing on market opportunities [13]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the Chinese stock market and various sectors including finance, technology, basic materials, real estate, steel, and construction materials [1][3][4][21][23]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Stock Market Dynamics**: The core driver for the rise in the Chinese stock market is the reduction in discount rates, with the risk-free rate (domestic long-term bond yield below 2%) and risk premium levels decreasing, enhancing the attractiveness of equity products [1][6][10]. - **Economic Outlook**: Although the economic situation in China is improving slowly, investor sentiment has shifted from overly pessimistic to a more balanced view, leading to a diminishing impact of valuation contraction [5][9]. - **Policy Support**: Fiscal policies are expected to be introduced around mid-year, with financial policies taking precedence as the main strategy [1][4][5]. - **Sector Recommendations**: The financial, technology, and certain basic materials sectors are favored due to their potential for growth and innovation, benefiting from lower funding costs due to reduced discount rates [1][7][8]. - **Real Estate Recovery**: The real estate market is anticipated to undergo a comprehensive recovery, with new home prices in first-tier cities beginning to rise. Developer financial recovery is expected to become evident by Q4 2025 [1][12][13]. - **Construction Materials**: The construction materials sector is showing signs of stabilization in volume and profitability, with improved corporate governance. Key companies to watch include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Oriental Yuhong [1][16]. - **Basic Chemicals**: Recommendations include domestic demand products (compound fertilizers, civil explosives), price-increasing products (refrigerants), and leading companies in technical chemicals [1][17][18]. Additional Important Insights - **Steel Sector**: The steel sector is experiencing a demand cycle bottoming out, with a supply contraction phase beginning and raw material prices declining. Recommended companies include Baosteel and Hualin Steel [2][21][22]. - **Investor Behavior**: New investors in the Chinese stock market are adopting different investment logic, focusing on companies with perpetual growth and monopoly positions, as well as emerging technology leaders [11]. - **Market Sentiment**: The overall sentiment in the market is shifting towards a more optimistic outlook, with expectations of policy support and economic recovery driving interest in equities [4][10][19]. - **Construction Sector Recovery**: The construction sector is rebounding due to improved expectations for project financing and seasonal construction activity [20][23]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the current state and future outlook of various sectors within the Chinese market.

研究员: 蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任自负。 本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人 不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 螺纹钢产业链日报 2025/5/15 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | RB主力合约收盘价(元/吨) | 3,118.00 | -9↓ RB主力合约持仓量(手) | 2088127 | -23398↓ | | | RB合约前20名净持仓(手) | -32944 | -43297↓ RB10-1合约价差(元/吨) | -32 | -4↓ | | | RB上期所仓单日报(日，吨 ...