有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/12 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/06/05 80 805 105791 31687 -1366.56 279.74 79.0 98.0 93.15 138000 83300 2025/06/06 75 974 107404 32278 -1323.74 19.48 41.0 65.0 69.84 132400 77800 2025/06/09 70 944 107404 34242 -1215.58 217.42 43.0 66.0 95.78 122400 67800 2025/06/10 90 1043 107404 33746 -1195.14 161.13 43.0 66.0 84.10 120400 71725 2025/06/11 90 1103 107404 33373 -874.85 136.66 38.0 60.0 55.49 119450 70700 变化 0 60 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 沪镍&不锈钢早报—2025年6月12日 大越期货投资咨询部 祝森林 从业资：F3023048 投资咨询证：Z0013626 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 沪镍 每日观点 1、基本面：外盘继续回落，20均线开始承压。产业链上，镍矿现货成交平静，菲律宾出船有所恢复， 矿山继续挺价。镍铁价格弱稳，成本线小幅下移。不锈钢仓单继续流出，现货供应压力仍大。新能源汽 车产销数据较好，电池向（6镍）倾向，有利于镍的需求提升。中长线过剩格局不变。偏空 2、基差：现货122700，基差910，偏多 3、库存：LME库存197508，-618，上交所仓单21113，+72，偏空 4、盘面：收盘价收于20均线以下，20均线向下，偏空 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空增，偏空 6、结论：沪镍2507：震荡偏弱运行，重心慢慢下移，短期关注下方成本支撑。 多空因素 影响因素总结 利多： 1、新能源汽车 ...

| 镇产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月12日 | | | | 林嘉施 | Z0020770 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日 涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#电解销 | 122700 | 122800 | -100 | -0.08% | 元/肥 | | 1#송川镇 | 123850 | 123900 | -50 | -0.04% | 元/吨 | | 1#金川镍升贴水 | 2450 | 2400 | 50 | 2.08% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇 | 121700 | 121600 | 100 | 0.08% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇升贴水 | 300 | 100 | 200 | - | 元/吨 | | LME 0-3 | -194 | -189 | -5 | 2.79% | 美元/吨 | | 期货进口盈亏 | -3397 | -3024 | -373 | 12.33% | 元/吨 | | ...

有色金属日报 基本金属 ◆ 铜： 截至 6 月 11 日收盘，沪铜主力 07 合约上涨 0.2%至 79290 元/吨。中美 经贸磋商机制首次会议进入第二天，尚未取得任何突破，但美方信息偏 于乐观。市场预期美国将在对钢铝收关税后对铜也加征关税推动铜流向 美国，LME 铜库存过去三个月里减少了一半，美国 COMEX 期铜较 LME 期铜的升水达到每吨 1067 美元，但近期市场对于纽伦套利交易兴趣有 所下降。国内现货市场，铜价震荡上涨，下游消费难有明显提升，但社 库维持低位运行，现货升水于平水附近拉锯，BACK 月差收敛，持货商 低价出货意愿有限。铜矿冶炼 TC 负值低位对供应前景带来持续压力， 中美经贸谈判带来希望，近期国内经济数据继续萎靡，旺季转淡以及低 库存等因素交织，铜价或继续维持高位震荡运行。技术上看，沪铜短期 维持偏强震荡，整体运行于 77500-80000 之间，建议区间谨慎交易。 ◆ 铝： 截至 6 月 11 日收盘，沪铝主力 07 合约上涨 1.25%至 20250 元/吨。几 内亚 AXIS 矿区被划入战略储备区域、禁止开采，博法地区两家矿企发 货中断，另一家矿企仅依靠码头剩余库存维持发货。 ...

Group 1 - The first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism took place in London, with both sides achieving a principled consensus on addressing economic concerns and enhancing cooperation [2][3] - China emphasized the mutual benefits of the economic relationship, stating that trade wars yield no winners and expressing a willingness to engage in dialogue to resolve differences [2] - The US side reported positive outcomes from the meeting, aiming to stabilize bilateral economic relations and implement the consensus reached [3] Group 2 - The China Automobile Industry Association reported that from January to May, automobile production and sales reached 12.826 million and 12.748 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 12.7% and 10.9% [4] - New energy vehicle production and sales during the same period were 5.699 million and 5.608 million units, reflecting year-on-year growth of 45.2% and 44%, with new energy vehicles accounting for 44% of total new car sales [4] Group 3 - The Zhejiang Provincial Department of Commerce and 17 other departments issued measures to support the overseas expansion of the gaming industry, including increased financial support [5] - Companies such as Silver Wheel Co. plan to establish joint ventures to enter the intelligent robot parts market, while Tian Ci Materials intends to build an integrated production base for electrolytes and raw materials in Morocco [7]

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Analysis - In May 2025, Guangdong's Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, maintaining the same decline as the previous month, and a month-on-month decrease of 0.1% compared to a 0.3% increase in the previous month, resulting in a fluctuation of 0.4 percentage points [1] - The average CPI for January to May 2025 was down 0.4% compared to the same period last year [1] - Factors influencing the CPI included a 4.0% increase in fresh fruit prices due to the arrival of lychee season and increased demand from warmer weather, and a 2.3% increase in aquatic product prices due to reduced market supply during the fishing ban and increased demand during holidays, collectively contributing approximately 0.15 percentage points to the CPI increase [1] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Analysis - In May 2025, Guangdong's Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 1.8% year-on-year, with the decline widening by 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month, and a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% [1] - The average PPI for January to May 2025 was down 1.3% year-on-year [1] - The Industrial Producer Purchase Price Index (IPI) also saw a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.4% [1] - The decline in PPI was influenced by falling international crude oil prices, overcapacity in certain industries, and insufficient downstream market demand [1][2] - In the PPI survey of 38 major industries, 6 industries saw price increases, 26 experienced price declines, and 6 remained stable, indicating an industry price increase rate of 15.8% [2] - Specific industries affected included a 3.6% decrease in oil and gas extraction prices, a 3.0% decrease in petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing prices, and a 4.1% decrease in black metal mining prices due to reduced demand in the construction and real estate sectors [2]

上市首日，德福科技盘中最高报56.00元，为该股上市以来最高价。该股目前处于破发状态。 德福科技首次公开发行股票募集资金总额189,084.61万元，扣除发行费用后募集资金净额176,440.75万 元。德福科技最终募集资金净额比原计划多56,440.75万元。德福科技于2023年8月10日披露的招股说明 书显示，该公司拟募集资金120,000.00万元，用于28,000吨/年高档电解铜箔建设项目、高性能电解铜箔 研发项目、补充流动资金。 德福科技首次公开发行股票的发行费用总额为12,643.86万元，其中保荐及承销费用10,173.00万元。 德福科技2023年年度权益分派方案为：以公司现有总股本450,230,000股为基数，向全体股东每10股派 0.55元人民币现金(含税)。同时，以资本公积金向全体股东每10股转增4股。股权登记日为2024年5月17 日，除权除息日为2024年5月20日。 中国经济网北京6月11日讯德福科技（301511）(301511.SZ)近日披露的2025年第一季度报告显示，报告 期内，该公司实现营业收入25.01亿元，同比增长110.04%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润182 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the tin market is experiencing a tug-of-war between tight supply and loose expectations, leading to a short-term strong fluctuation in tin prices [1] - The main contract for tin closed at 265,530 yuan per ton, reflecting a slight increase of 0.69% [1] - The current trading performance in the spot market is relatively quiet, with only a few participants maintaining essential purchases due to strong observation sentiment from downstream [1] Group 2 - Tin ore supply remains tight, which is constraining production at smelting plants, with the combined operating rate in Yunnan and Jiangxi reaching 53.86% as of last Friday [1] - The operating rate of smelting enterprises in Yunnan has continued to decline, with the processing fee for 40% grade tin concentrate remaining at historical lows, nearing the cost line for smelting plants [1] - Some smelting enterprises have already halted production for maintenance, while others are gradually reducing output to cope with the current tight supply of raw materials [1] Group 3 - Thailand has decided to suspend the transportation of tin ore from Myanmar to Thailand starting June 4, which is expected to impact the monthly import of tin ore into China by 500-1,000 metal tons [2] - The ban on transportation is likely to exacerbate raw material supply concerns, although market sentiment may experience a short-term boost [2] - The demand from the semiconductor and photovoltaic sectors is slowing down, and the high prices are leading to reduced purchasing from downstream, indicating that tin prices may maintain a trend of rebound followed by consolidation [2]

Group 1 - Jiangnan New Materials (603124) closed at 45.98 yuan on June 11, 2025, with a 10.0% increase and a turnover rate of 17.01% [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 2.265 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.52%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 36.54 million yuan, up 10.85% year-on-year [1] - The company's liquidity ratios are strong, with a current ratio of 1.806 and a quick ratio of 1.504, while the debt-to-asset ratio stands at 55.51% [1] Group 2 - Jiangnan New Materials has made investments in 3 companies and participated in 47 bidding projects [2] - The company holds 10 trademark registrations and 97 patents, along with 27 administrative licenses [2]

王文虎(F03087656,Z0019472),联系电话:010-82293558 投资策略 上里女只用 t ）宏观：特朗普政府不确定的关税政策引发消费试通胀反弹担忧， 强 加美 匿月捐推荐印就业人数为13. 9万高于预期担保于前值，平均时 薪年率为3. %高于预期和南值，使美联储降息 预期时点推迟至9/12月。 (2) 上游：紫金矿业旗下卡莫阿-卡库拉钢矿西侧正在排水且或于6月下旬复产但东侧排水或持续至9月（25年计划矿产吊52-58万吨），加拿大Teck Resources矿业6月2日宣布旗下智利 | | | --- | | Carnen de Ardaco11οπή 広島ε彦(出现机械)[韓國uebrada Blanca花马格岛机发生无关的阿时刻障而均需停产缩修如个月，印尼自由接麦克集三公司（Freeoort: Mdlkan) 3月 | | ? 已被准许�个身的出口27万吨相精『但将被征收更富出口税，钢陵有由旗下位于厄瓜多尔拉米拉多钢矿二期6万吨产能或于26年下半年投产，巨龙钢矿新增二期20万吨/日扩建工程 | | 或于25年底投产，ACC: Metal s旗下Gediktrepe多金属矿山的流化钢矿扩 ...