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A股后市怎么看?券商秋季策略会来了
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-27 12:32
Group 1 - The recent market shows a distinct "high growth narrative" characteristic, with industries or sectors that exhibit high growth performing notably better [2][3] - The A-share market's main line remains focused on growth-oriented assets, with a positive outlook on non-bank financials, A-share real estate chain, Hong Kong real estate sector, overseas computing power chain, innovative pharmaceuticals, domestic computing power, AI infrastructure, and AI edge applications [2][3] Group 2 - Since early April, the A-share market has experienced a significant upward trend, driven by factors such as narrow liquidity easing and the appreciation of the RMB [2] - As of August 27, the micro-cap stock index has surged over 56% this year, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index [3] - The trend of small-cap style dominance continues, supported by the diverse performance of industries, with limited downside risks in the A-share market [3]
两个3万亿,气质大不同!
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 08:00
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a record trading volume of 3.2 trillion yuan on August 27, marking the first time in history that the market saw two trading days with over 3 trillion yuan in volume within a week [1] - Major indices faced significant volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 1.76% at 3800.35 points, the largest single-day drop since April 7 [1] - Technology stocks led the market rally, with notable performances from companies like Cambricon (688256.SH), which saw its stock price surge to 1464 yuan before closing at 1372 yuan, a 3.24% increase [1] Group 2 - On August 25, the market saw a broad-based rally with over 3300 stocks rising, driven by technology, non-ferrous metals, liquor, satellite internet, and rare earth sectors [2] - In contrast, on August 27, only 600 stocks closed in the green, with a significant increase in trading volume during the afternoon session, highlighting a shift in market dynamics [2] - The technology sector remained strong despite market fluctuations, with NewEase (300502.SZ) closing up over 9%, surpassing a total market capitalization of 300 billion yuan [2]
A股收评:沪指冲高回落跌1.76% 超4700股下跌
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-27 07:50
市场午后跳水回落,沪指、深成指双双跌超1%。截至收盘,沪指跌1.76%,深成指涨1.43%,创业板指跌0.69%。 稀土永磁概念股表现活跃,北矿科技涨停。 从板块来看,CPO等算力硬件股维持强势,新易盛等多股再创历史新高。 芯片股一度冲高,瑞芯微涨停。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | | 振幅 | 最高 | 最低 | 量比 | 换手率 | 成交量 | 成交额 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 53.46 c | 4.35 | 8.86% | 10.00% | 54.02 | 49.11 | 1.38 | 14.71% | 5.32亿 | 277.80亿 | | 2 | 688256 | 寒武纪-U | 1372.10 c | 43.10 | 3.24% | 9.33% | 1464.98 | 1341.02 | 1.30 | 4.28% | 1790万 | 250.03亿 | | 3 | 300502 | 新易監 ...
超级主线迎来重要消息
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-27 04:28
Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index down by 0.39% and 0.75% respectively, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.26% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 26,790 billion, a significant decrease of 4,621 billion compared to the previous day [1] - A total of 2,804 stocks rose while 2,470 stocks fell, with a median increase of 0.11% for individual stocks [1] Market Trends - Recent market adjustments were anticipated, with historical analysis indicating minor fluctuations before significant breakthroughs at key resistance levels [1][2] - Defensive sectors such as liquor and real estate have started to strengthen, potentially curbing speculative market sentiment [2] - A shift in speculative focus from stocks with 20% daily limits to those with 10% limits suggests a possible change in market style [2][3] AI Sector Insights - Major AI stocks have experienced corrections, with several companies like Cambricon and Industrial Fulian seeing declines exceeding 4% [5] - The recent downturn in AI stocks is viewed as a normal adjustment after significant gains, with the sector still considered a key focus for future growth [6] - The State Council's recent policy document outlines ambitious goals for AI integration across various sectors by 2027, with expectations for substantial growth in the smart economy [6][7] Investment Strategy - The current bull market is widely accepted, but the rapid rise of small-cap stocks necessitates a controlled pace to sustain the market's upward trajectory [2][4] - Investors are advised to make minor adjustments to their portfolio structures rather than drastic changes in overall positions, focusing on sector-specific movements [4][7] - The military trade sector is experiencing declines, but stocks with commercial space logic may still present opportunities for further research [7]
市场震荡分化,创业板指半日涨2.41%,芯片股再度爆发
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 03:45
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext leading gains, and the STAR 50 Index rising over 4% [1] - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.33%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.34%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.41% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.73 trillion yuan, an increase of 48.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Key sectors showing strong performance included semiconductor, CPO, AI glasses, and rare earth permanent magnet stocks, while sectors like liquor, coal, insurance, and poultry farming saw declines [3] - Notable stocks in the computing power hardware sector surged, with companies like New Yi Sheng reaching historical highs [2] - Chip stocks also saw a resurgence, with Longchuan Technology hitting the daily limit [2] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment indicated a high level of activity, with over 3,000 stocks declining, while the number of stocks hitting the daily limit was 53 [5] - The limit-up rate was recorded at 68%, with a profit rate of 59% [4]
创业板指,2808.08点
财联社· 2025-08-27 03:44
从板块来看, CPO等算力硬件股集体大涨, 新易盛等多股再创历史新高。芯片股再度爆发,长川科技等涨停。稀土永磁概念股表现活跃, 北矿科技涨停。下跌方面,地产股展开调整,深深房A跌停。 今日A股早盘震荡分化, 创业板指领涨,突破2800点,科创50指数涨超4%。 沪深两市半日成交额1.73万亿,较上个交易日放量483亿。盘面上热点 集中在算力和芯片方向,个股跌多涨少,全市场超3000只个股下跌。 板块方面,半导体、CPO、AI眼镜、稀土永磁等板块涨幅居前, 白酒、煤炭、保险、养鸡等板块跌幅居前。 截至午间收盘,沪指涨0.33%,深成指涨1.34%,创业板指涨2.41%。 下载财联社APP获取更多资讯 准确 快速 权威 专业 7x24h电报 头条新闻 VIP资讯 实时盯盘 ...
缩量洗盘!系好安全带!周三,A股走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 13:46
Core Insights - The market sentiment is currently divided, with a high-level doji candlestick indicating indecision in the market direction [1] - Institutional investors have significantly reduced their short positions, suggesting a potential for upward movement in the market [2] - The recent volume contraction after a strong bullish day is seen as a healthy adjustment rather than a sign of distribution [3] Market Analysis - The market index has the potential to rise, with fluctuations in sectors such as banking, insurance, and real estate indicating a lack of clear direction [5] - The market has undergone an 8-month adjustment since the previous high, with large funds completing their positioning, leading to controlled index movements [5] - The likelihood of a significant market pullback is low as long as key sectors have not yet reached their previous highs [5] Trading Strategy - Investors are advised to manage their positions carefully and avoid chasing after price increases, as there may be opportunities in previously lagging sectors [7] - The current market environment suggests that patience is required, with potential volatility ahead for those entering the market [3][7] - The focus should be on aligning trading plans with the current market conditions, rather than making impulsive decisions [7]
股债商品共振上涨,人民币汇率走强
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-26 05:24
Market Analysis - In July, the global economic data remained resilient. China's official manufacturing PMI in July dropped to 49.3, while the non - manufacturing sector stayed in expansion. China's exports in July increased by 7.2% year - on - year in dollar terms, higher than expected. Financial data showed that money supply exceeded expectations, but financing and loan data were still weak. Investment data faced significant pressure [2]. - The State Council emphasized measures to stabilize the real - estate market. The central bank conducted 600 billion yuan of Medium - term Lending Facility (MLF) operations, with a net MLF injection of 300 billion yuan in August, and a total net medium - term liquidity injection of 600 billion yuan [2]. - A - shares had a significant increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching 3900 points and the trading volume reaching 3.14 trillion yuan. AI hardware stocks soared, and sectors like real estate and liquor rose. In the bond market, treasury bond futures went up, with the 30 - year main contract rising over 0.7%. Domestic commodity futures all increased, led by coking coal and coke. The RMB central parity rate was raised by 160 points [2]. - In the US, the July non - farm payroll data was lower than expected, but the August PMI continued to improve. The "Big Beautiful" Act might support subsequent consumption [2]. Policy and Tariff News - On July 31, the White House re - set "reciprocal tariff" rates for some countries. On August 19, the US Commerce Department added 407 product categories to the steel and aluminum tariff list with a 50% tariff rate. Trump said he would announce semiconductor tariffs within two weeks, with a possible rate of 300% [3]. - On August 22, Powell's speech at the global central bank annual meeting showed a dovish turn, suggesting a possible policy adjustment due to increased downside risks to employment. This cleared the way for a Fed rate cut in September [3]. Commodity Analysis - The black and new - energy metal sectors are most sensitive to domestic supply - side factors. The energy and non - ferrous sectors benefit significantly from overseas inflation expectations. The black sector is still dragged down by downstream demand expectations, and the non - ferrous sector's supply constraints remain unrelieved [3]. - The government will regulate the photovoltaic industry to prevent low - price competition. By 2027, industries with relatively stable carbon emissions will be subject to quota - based total control. OPEC+ accelerated production, increasing by 548,000 barrels per day in August, higher than expected [3]. - In the chemical sector, the "anti - involution" space of products like methanol, PVC, caustic soda, and urea is worth attention. Agricultural products are currently driven by tariffs and inflation expectations but need fundamental signals [3]. Strategy - For commodities and stock index futures, it is recommended to go long on industrial products on dips [4]. To - do List - This week, 2.077 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases in the Chinese central bank's open market will mature, and there will also be 300 billion yuan of MLF and 90 billion yuan of term reverse repurchases maturing [5]. - On August 25, the National Development and Reform Commission held a corporate symposium to listen to opinions on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing employment [5]. - The Shanghai Composite Index continued to reach a new high in more than a decade, approaching 3900 points. Over 3300 stocks in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets rose, and the trading volume exceeded 3 trillion yuan [5]. - On August 25, the Ukrainian president announced that Ukraine and the US would hold talks this weekend to discuss the possibility of peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia [3][5].
史诗级上涨,幕后主导出乎意料!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 01:31
虽然今天A股再一次刷新了多个数据,而且都是历史级别的,但是正如我在上一期文章里面说的,如果此刻你还没有选边站队的觉悟,那么今天对你而言就 只剩下痛的领悟,A股这轮牛市并不寻常。 一,今日要点 二,散户聚焦 对于今天的上涨,其实还是在交易降息预期,毕竟鲍威尔已经明确松口,那么美联储降息就是板上钉钉,目前大家都觉得央行这边会跟进,坦率地说,只从 二季度报告把降息拿掉之后,我觉得这事情并非这么简单,除非美国这边一次性降息力度比较大,我们为了对冲资金流入过快会降息之外,不排除按兵不 动,很显然,缩小利差更有利于我们吸收外资。 别看今天数字很漂亮,但实际今天的盘面非常复杂,既有半导体这样一波三折守住底线的,也有银行这样低开高走的,更有地产这样涨得惊心动魄,大有回 春的味道,从指数来看,沪深300大涨,明显强于小微盘,市场风格切换愈发明显。 为什么市场风格会切换呢?一方面源自于FOMO(错失恐惧),上周五A股轻松突破3800点,有那么一点出圈的味道,聊股票的人多了,加上中信证券周末 那篇文章的作用,结论是本轮行情不是散户制造的,如果你听说有个地方能免费送鸡蛋,但很多人还没有去,你会做如何打算?我想100%就是抢在别人前 ...
[8月25日]指数估值数据(A股港股继续上涨;A股牛市是结构性牛市么;月薪宝发薪日;黄金星级更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-08-25 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the A-share market, highlighting the structural bull market characteristics and the recent performance of various sectors, including the rotation between growth and value styles. Market Performance - The market continues to rise, currently at 4.3 stars, with a potential return to 3.x stars if the rapid increase continues for a few more days [1] - Both large and small-cap stocks are experiencing gains, with large-cap stocks recently outperforming small-cap stocks [1] - Growth style is strong, while value style shows slight increases [1] - The liquor index has rebounded, moving from a year-to-date decline to a slight increase [1] Sector Analysis - The real estate and consumer sectors have been underperforming this year, with many related stocks still undervalued [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of controlling investment proportions, suggesting a stable allocation of 15%-20% per sector [1] - Recent trends show a recovery in the consumer sector, which had been lagging [11] Structural Bull Market Characteristics - A-share market is characterized by structural bull markets, where only certain stocks perform well while others may decline [1] - Historical examples include the 2016-2017 bull market focused on large-cap value stocks and the 2019-2021 bull market dominated by large-cap growth stocks [2][6] - The article notes that in structural bull markets, some sectors may lag behind but could perform well in future cycles [1][12] Investment Strategy - The article suggests that the rotation of different styles allows for extended periods of holding undervalued stocks, avoiding situations where there are no undervalued options available [13] - It also highlights the opportunity for "buy low, sell high" strategies when some stocks are overvalued while others remain undervalued [14] - The current market favors growth styles, with some small-cap growth indices nearing overvaluation [16][17] Upcoming Events - A live session is scheduled to discuss common profit-taking strategies and case studies of "buy low, sell high" [19]