Core Viewpoint - Aluminum stocks strengthened in the late trading session, driven by positive macroeconomic sentiment and expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Market Performance - China Aluminum (601600) rose by 5.77% to HKD 11.74 - Nanshan Aluminum (600219) increased by 3.69% to HKD 44.94 - China Hongqiao (01378) gained 1.94% to HKD 33.64 [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The latest ADP employment data showed a decrease of 32,000 private sector jobs in November, marking the largest decline since March 2023, which was significantly below the market expectation of an increase of 10,000 jobs [1] - This data has heightened expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the upcoming meeting [1] Group 3: Aluminum Market Dynamics - Recent aluminum price increases were influenced by the performance of silver and copper [1] - Long-term supply constraints and low inventory levels provide substantial support for aluminum prices [1] - Despite December being a traditional off-peak consumption season, demand remains resilient without significant declines [1] Group 4: Supply Outlook - Global aluminum supply growth is expected to remain constrained, keeping the market in a "tight balance" in the long term [1] - A key risk factor is Indonesia's aluminum production capacity, which is being developed due to low-cost coal power and bauxite resources, although the scale of new capacity remains uncertain [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market recently witnessed the largest IPO in the industrial metals sector in three years, with Innovation Industry Group Co., Ltd. (02788.HK) officially listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, led by Shandong aluminum tycoon Cui Lixin [2][3] Group 1: IPO Details - Innovation Industry's IPO is among the top ten largest in Hong Kong this year and the largest in the industrial metals sector since 2022 [3] - The cornerstone investor list includes China Hongqiao Group, which subscribed for $30 million, signaling strong regional industrial collaboration [3][21] - The IPO attracted 17 cornerstone investors, raising approximately $351 million [21] Group 2: Company Background - Cui Lixin, a 56-year-old entrepreneur, is the chairman of Shandong Innovation Group and the actual controller of the A-share listed company Innovation New Materials [5][6] - Shandong Innovation Group employs over 20,000 people and ranked 330th in the 2024 China Top 500 Enterprises, with annual sales exceeding 120 billion yuan [7] Group 3: Business Operations - Innovation Industry focuses on the upstream aluminum industry chain, including alumina refining and electrolytic aluminum smelting, with operations in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, and Binzhou, Shandong [10][11] - The electrolytic aluminum smelting plant in Hohhot is projected to be the fourth largest in North China by 2024, while the alumina refining plant in Binzhou benefits from strategic logistics advantages [11][14] Group 4: Financial Performance - Innovation Industry's revenue increased from 13.49 billion yuan in 2022 to 15.16 billion yuan in 2024, with net profit rising from 913 million yuan to 2.63 billion yuan [15] Group 5: Client Relationships - Innovation New Materials, controlled by Cui Lixin, is the largest customer of Innovation Industry, accounting for 78.8% and 76.6% of total revenue in 2023 and 2024, respectively [16][17] - The strategic proximity of Innovation New Materials' new production base to Innovation Industry's facilities enhances operational efficiency [18][20] Group 6: Industry Collaboration - The collaboration between local aluminum industry giants, such as Innovation Industry and China Hongqiao, highlights the synergy within the regional aluminum supply chain [21][22] - The listing marks a new phase for Shandong Innovation Group, transitioning to a dual-platform strategy with both A-share and H-share listings [22]

在物料行业中，该行较偏好铝，其后依次为铜、电池、黄金、电池材料、煤炭、水泥及钢铁。股份方 面，该行首选中国宏桥、中国铝业、紫金矿业和宁德时代，目标价分别为36港元、12.41港元/14.77元、 39港元/35.5元，及571元。 花旗发表研究报告指，行业数据显示，今年11月27日至12月3日期间，中国铝总产量为85.6万公吨，按 周持平，按年上升3%，当中铝坯(Aluminum Billet)产量为36.2万公吨，按周持平，按年上升7%。库存方 面，截至12月4日，铝坯加铝锭(Aluminum Ingot)总库存为87.8万公吨，按周下降1%，按年上升3%。库 存水平较2021年同期低，但较2022至24同期高。期内消耗量按周下降，但水平仍高于2022至2024年同 期。 ...

晨报 铝锭 成材：重心下移 偏弱运行 铝锭：下游开工分化 关注高价位反馈 投资咨询业务资格： 逻辑：云贵区域短流程建筑钢材生产企业春节期间停产检修时间大多 在 1 月中下旬，复产时间预计在正月初十一至正月十六左右，停产期间预 计影响建筑钢材总产量 74.1 万吨。安徽省 6 家短流程钢厂，1 家钢厂已 证监许可【2011】1452 号 逻辑:昨日沪铝偏强运行。宏观上市场普遍预计美联储下周会议将降 息，并将关注未来政策路径的信号，美元持续走软，有色金属价格受到提 振，铜铝价格在近期强势上涨。 以伊冲突 于 1 月 5 日开始停产；其余大部分钢厂均表示将于 1 月中旬左右停产放假， 个别钢厂预计 1 月 20 日后停产放假，停产期间日度影响产量 1.62 万吨左 右。2024 年 12 月 30 日-2025 年 1 月 5 日，10 个重点城市新建商品房成 交（签约）面积总计 223.4 万平方米，环比下降 40.3%，同比增长 43.2%。 成材昨日继续震荡下行，价格再创近期新低。在供需双弱的格局下， 市场情绪同样偏悲观，导致价格重心持续下移。无论从宏观上还是产业上， 市场近期均无太多亮点。且今年冬储偏低迷， ...

金吾财讯 | 铝业股向好，南山铝业国际(02610)涨3.37%，中国铝业(02600)涨3.05%，兴发铝业(00098)涨 2.29%，中国宏桥(01378)涨1.76%。 华泰期货指出，北方地区因环保等因素影响出现减产情况，对当前过剩局面贡献极为有限，电解铝厂原 料储备充足，冬储难有短期扰动。铝土矿价格坚挺，国产矿短期面临环保压力，进口矿供应开始增加， 对价格的情绪开始转弱，当前考验矿端成本支撑。当前氧化铝估值偏低，铝土矿价格已经跌至几内亚边 际最高成本，几内亚铝土矿的不确定性风险需要防范。 此前华泰证券指出，供需改善或成金属行业2026年主基调。货币宽松经济恢复阶段，有望触发金银比收 敛，2026年白银价格或较黄金更为强势上行。铜、铝行业2026年供需格局或为供不应求。 华泰期货指出，北方地区因环保等因素影响出现减产情况，对当前过剩局面贡献极为有限，电解铝厂原 料储备充足，冬储难有短期扰动。铝土矿价格坚挺，国产矿短期面临环保压力，进口矿供应开始增加， 对价格的情绪开始转弱，当前考验矿端成本支撑。当前氧化铝估值偏低，铝土矿价格已经跌至几内亚边 际最高成本，几内亚铝土矿的不确定性风险需要防范。 此前华泰证 ...

绝对价格上涨抑制下游采购需求 新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-12-05 重要数据 铝现货方面：SMM数据，华东A00铝价22020元/吨，较上一交易日变化220元/吨，华东铝现货升贴水-60元/吨， 较上一交易日变化-10元/吨；中原A00铝价21890元/吨，现货升贴水较上一交易日变化-20元/吨至-190元/吨； 佛山A00铝价录21900元/吨，较上一交易日变化210元/吨，铝现货升贴水较上一交易日变化-20元/吨至-180元/ 吨。 铝期货方面：2025-12-04日沪铝主力合约开于21935元/吨，收于22060元/吨，较上一交易日变化165元/吨，最 高价达22220元/吨，最低价达到21925元/吨。全天交易日成交246366手，全天交易日持仓244457手。 库存方面，截止2025-12-04，SMM统计国内电解铝锭社会库存59.6万吨，较上一期变化0.0万吨，仓单库存66833 吨，较上一交易日变化0吨，LME铝库存530900吨，较上一交易日变化-2500吨。 氧化铝现货价格：2025-12-04SMM氧化铝山西价格录得2810元/吨，山东价格录得2760元/吨，河南价格录得 284 ...

gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn 综合晨报 2025年12月05日 隔夜沪铝上涨。近期资金推涨有色,铝市远期存在偏紧预期，短期供需矛盾有限,铝锭社库维持窄 幅波动，季节性库存表现中性。沪铝站稳22000元打开上方空间，震荡偏强趋势或有一定延续。 (铸造铝合金) 昨日保太ADC12现货报价上调200元至21100元。废铝货源偏紧，税率政策调整仍未明确，行业库存 和交易所仓单均处于高位水平。宏观驱动下铸造铝合金跟涨乏力，与沪铝价差扩大至千元以上，关 注年末可能存在收窄空间。 (氧化铝) (原油) 油价夜盘收涨。市场预期美联储降息，俄乌和平计划进展停滞，削弱了市场对达成协议后恢复俄沟 出口预期。 周四调查显示，尽管OPEC+同意提高11月份产量，但由于一些成员国的停产， OPEC11月 石油产量仍有所下降，故该组织的供应量进一步低于其目标且略低于10月产量。综上，短期内利多 因素占据主导下油价震荡偏强。 【贵金属】 隔夜美国公布周度初请失业金人数降至19.1万人远低于预期，创2022年9月以来新低,缓解劳动力 市场急剧恶化担忧。12月降息已基本定价，贵金属震荡为主，黄金突破前高阻力前贵金属整 ...

12 636984 2601 1212 图 2：氧化铝期货日行情表 20251202 | 交割月份 | 前结算 | 今州區 | 图层(N | 图纸价 | 收盘价 | 程总容案例 | 涨跌1 | 涨跌2 | 成交手 | 成交領 | 持仓手/变化 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 商品名称:室化铝 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2512 | 2620 | 2622 | 2630 | 2602 | 2611 | 2613 | -9 | -7 | 195 | 1019.28 | 2565 | -195 | | 2601 | 2682 | 2687 | 2697 | 2661 | 2670 | 2677 | -12 | -5 | 177845 | 952423.86 | 358708 | -1212 | | 2602 | 2707 | 2710 | 2720 | 2690 | 2696 | 2704 | -11 | -3 | 26448 | 143057.8 ...

证券代码：600219 证券简称：南山铝业公告编号：2025-075 重要内容提示： ● 每股分配比例 A股每股现金红利0.2584元 ● 相关日期 ■ ● 差异化分红送转： 是 山东南山铝业股份有限公司2025年临时权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 2.分派对象： 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公司（以下简 称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 根据《上市公司股份回购规则》规定，公司回购账户中的股票不享受利润分配权。 3.差异化分红送转方案： （1）本次差异化分红方案： 根据公司股东会审议通过的方案，公司实施权益分派股权登记日的总股本为11,613,670,848股，扣减同 日回购专用证券账户持有的112,651,689股，以11,501,019,159?股为基数，每股派发现金红利0.2584元 （含税），共计派发现金红利2,971,863,350.68元（含税）。 （2）除权（息）参考价格 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Tianshan Aluminum has successfully launched a green low-carbon upgrade project for its 1.4 million tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity, which is expected to increase annual production by 20% to 1.4 million tons and achieve industry-leading power consumption levels [1] - Since its listing, Tianshan Aluminum has established industrial bases in resource-rich areas, possessing a complete industrial chain from bauxite, alumina, prebaked anodes, power generation, electrolytic aluminum, high-purity aluminum, to deep processing of aluminum, showcasing strong cost competitiveness [1] - The company has been enhancing its shareholder return system through high dividends and share buybacks, with cumulative cash dividends amounting to 7.17 billion yuan since its listing [1] Group 2 - In the 2025 interim dividend plan, Tianshan Aluminum has committed to a cash dividend totaling no less than 50% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, an increase from the 41% proposed in 2024, positioning it as one of the highest dividend-paying companies in the A-share non-ferrous sector [2] - The company has completed multiple rounds of share buybacks, with a total of 23.7 million shares repurchased by September 30, 2025, representing 0.51% of the total share capital, and a total expenditure exceeding 200 million yuan [2] - The decision to cancel the repurchased shares is interpreted as a "quasi-dividend" operation, enhancing shareholder equity and demonstrating management's confidence in the company's intrinsic value and future development [3]