（原标题：医药股趋势强，接力银行股） 春哥祝大家平安吉祥、万事如意。今日早盘股指平稳，午后大盘突然跳水，虽无确定性消息，但种业、稀土永磁等反制板块逆市走强，推测与会 谈进展有关，但目前均为臆测。沪指临近3400点现放量阴线，面临震荡压力，市场短期受消息面影响有不确定性，短炒难度大。春哥期待超跌成 长类板块，认为后市关键看双创指数。板块上，医药股趋势强，接力银行股，新能源或借固态电池东风，后市突围看券商、科技和人形机器人。 此外，春哥还分享了鸡汤感悟，提醒大家有空多开心、少生气，善良要有锋芒。最后提示投资风险。 午后急跳水，原因找到了 和讯自选股写手 风险提示：以上内容仅作为作者或者嘉宾的观点，不代表和讯的任何立场，不构成与和讯相关的任何投资建议。在作出任何投资决定前，投资者 应根据自身情况考虑投资产品相关的风险因素，并于需要时咨询专业投资顾问意见。和讯竭力但不能证实上述内容的真实性、准确性和原创性， 对此和讯不做任何保证和承诺。 股票名称 板块名称 "种业","稀土永磁","医药","银行","新能源","券商","科技","人形机器人" 大盘跳水、消息面不确定性、成长类板块 看多看空 短线受消息面影响有不确 ...

Group 1 - The non-bank financial sector saw a net inflow of over 38 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1][2] - The securities and transportation equipment sectors also experienced significant net inflows of 32.65 billion yuan and 29.20 billion yuan, respectively [2] - In contrast, the pharmaceutical, basic chemicals, and new energy sectors faced substantial net outflows, with pharmaceuticals leading at -28.82 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The top stock by net inflow was N影石, attracting 17.03 billion yuan, with a net inflow rate of 49.54% [3] - Other notable stocks with significant net inflows included 东方财富 (6.37 billion yuan), 比亚迪 (6.34 billion yuan), and 兴业证券 (6.01 billion yuan) [3] - On the sell side, 联化科技 experienced the highest net outflow at -8.61 billion yuan, followed by 中科曙光 (-7.23 billion yuan) and 乐山电力 (-3.66 billion yuan) [4]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on June 11, with the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) rising over 1.5%, driven by stocks like NIO, Xiaomi, BYD, JD.com, and BYD Electronics [1] - As of June 10, the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) has seen a cumulative increase of 22.51% since April 8, entering a technical bull market [1] - Institutions predict that investment opportunities in Hong Kong stocks will continue to expand in the second half of 2025, particularly in the broad growth sectors represented by internet technology and pharmaceuticals [1] Group 2 - As of June 10, southbound capital has net bought HK stocks amounting to HKD 6741.77 billion this year, which is 83.5% of the projected net buy of HKD 8078.69 billion for the entire year of 2024 [2] - China International Capital Corporation estimates that the relatively certain incremental southbound capital for the year is between HKD 200 billion to HKD 300 billion, with total inflows potentially exceeding HKD 1 trillion [2] - The current macroeconomic environment in China, which requires repair but has structural highlights, is favorable for Hong Kong stocks, as they offer stable returns through dividends and structural opportunities in new consumption, AI technology, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2] Group 3 - The focus on hard technology and new consumption in Hong Kong stocks includes the Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230), which covers e-commerce and new consumption sectors that are relatively scarce compared to A-shares [3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) includes core AI assets and encompasses technology leaders that are also relatively scarce in A-shares [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of industries and the necessity for policy innovation in response to economic changes since 2022, highlighting the divergence in economic indicators and the impact of external factors on domestic industries [1][6]. Group 1: Industry Transformation and New Challenges - Since 2022, the economic transformation has entered a "new stage," characterized by a downward trend in the contribution of traditional sectors like real estate, with growth rates for real estate-related industries dropping below 2% [7][24]. - The pressure in this new stage is increasingly focused on terminal demand, leading to a decline in PPI while CPI remains weak, indicating a shift of excess capacity to downstream sectors [13][24]. - The transformation has resulted in a significant decline in the growth rate of traditional industries, similar to trends observed from 2011 to 2015, which ultimately stabilized the economy [7][13]. Group 2: Policy Innovation - The effectiveness of traditional policy frameworks has diminished, necessitating comprehensive policy innovation to address the new economic landscape [1][35]. - By the end of 2024, a comprehensive optimization of the policy framework was initiated, focusing on supply-side structural reforms and enhancing the targeting of structural policies [35][42]. - The new policy framework emphasizes high-quality development, high-level openness, and sustainable growth, with a shift from investment-driven to people-centered approaches [3][121]. Group 3: External Shocks as Accelerators - External shocks, particularly during the tariff phases, have accelerated domestic industrial upgrades, with significant shifts in trade structures observed [64][65]. - The first phase of tariffs led to a notable increase in high-value-added industries, while the second phase primarily impacted low-value-added consumer goods, which were already experiencing significant internal competition [64][101]. - The export structure has improved, with a decrease in the proportion of exports to the U.S. and an increase in exports to non-U.S. economies, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative [83][90]. Group 4: Focus on "Anti-Internal Competition" and Service Sector - The new policy framework is expected to focus on "anti-internal competition" and the service sector, which can absorb structural employment pressures during the transformation process [4][121]. - The service sector has become the largest employment absorption area, yet it faces significant supply shortages, indicating a need for increased support and demand stimulation [4][121]. - By the second half of 2025, the main macroeconomic indicators may experience a "strong-weak conversion," with potential downward pressure on manufacturing and positive improvements in service sector investments and consumption [4][121].

6月10日，申万宏源2025资本市场夏季策略会在北京举行。会上，申万宏源首席经济学家赵伟、申万宏源研 究所A股策略首席分析师傅静涛等分享了宏观和市场的最新观点。 宏观方面，赵伟表示，2025年下半年关注"反内卷""服务业"等关键词。支撑经济运行的主要宏观指标结构上或 迎来"强弱转换"。伴随"抢出口"与设备自然更新周期结束、"反内卷"政策的加码，前期表现强劲的制造业，下 半年或面临一定下行压力。前期表现较弱的服务业投资和消费，上半年已出现积极改善。下半年政策有望进一 步加码，服务业修复有望适度对冲制造业压力。 策略方面，傅静涛表示，A 股市场具备演绎牛市级别行情的潜力。居民"资产荒"愈演愈烈，2025年是存款到期 再配置高峰期；A 股投融资功能建设，公司治理水平提升、股东回报改善，将抬升A股回报中枢；此外，中国 企业"反内卷"将抬升企业盈利。一个历史级别的供给出清周期正在到来。 傅静涛预计，本轮潜在牛市，最终演绎出第一个"中国版慢牛"。时间已经是市场的朋友，2026年好于2025年， 牛市主要区间在2026年—2027年。2026年开始，供需格局将改善，市场赚钱效应有望进一步累积。 产业蜕变已成"星火燎原"之势 ...

市场表现：今日(20250610) 市场全线下跌，规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较 好，板块指数中上证综指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 价值指数表现较好。 银行、医药、交通运输、有色金属、传媒行业表现较好，国防军工、计算机、 综合金融、电子、通信行业表现较差。离境退税、胶原蛋白、熊去氧胆酸、 单克隆抗体、稀土永磁等概念表现较好，移动转售、边缘计算、宽带提速、 寒武纪、机顶盒等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：今日收盘时有 62 只股票涨停，有 2 只股票跌停。昨日涨停股票 今日收盘收益为 2.98%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为-1.59%。今日封板率 62%，较前日下降 4%，连板率 29%，较前日下降 4%。 市场资金流向：截至 20250609 两融余额为 18161 亿元，其中融资余额 18039 亿元，融券余额 123 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.3%，两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 9.1%。 折溢价：20250609 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是半导体 ETF 南方，ETF 折价较多的 是沪港深 500ETF 基金。近半年以来大宗交易日均成交金额达到 14 亿元， 20250609 当日大宗交易成 ...

【金工】TMT主题ETF资金显著流入，行业主题基金集体上涨——基金市场与ESG产品周报20250609 本周国内新基市场发行火热，合计发行310.13亿份。长期行业主题基金指数方面，各类行业主题基金集体上 涨，TMT主题基金表现强势、医药主题基金优势延续，分别上涨3.64%、2.24%。股票型ETF资金转为流出， 各类宽基ETF全面净流出，科创创业主题ETF资金净出规模相对较小，大盘宽基ETF资金净流出明显，信创 ETF等TMT主题ETF资金显著流入。 （祁嫣然）2025-06-09 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 COFs是一种新兴的结晶性多孔高分子材料，下游潜在的应用领域较为丰富。COFs的制备方法包括溶剂热 法合成、离子热合成、机械化学合成、微波 ...

Group 1 - Since 2025, A-share listed companies have shown a trend of going public in Hong Kong, with four companies including CATL and Hengrui Medicine successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in May, indicating a potential record high for new "A+H" companies in recent years [1] - A-share companies primarily consist of manufacturing sectors such as power equipment, automotive, and pharmaceuticals, while the Hong Kong market is more diversified, focusing on healthcare, consumer goods, and technology [1] - Over the past five years, there has been a significant divergence in financing scale between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with A-share financing remaining above $80 billion from 2021 to 2022, dropping to $60 billion in 2023, while Hong Kong's financing plummeted from $50 billion in 2020 to $6 billion in 2023, but is expected to rebound in 2024 [1] Group 2 - The choice to list in Hong Kong is supported by policy measures from the China Securities Regulatory Commission, which announced in April 2024 to support leading domestic companies in going public in Hong Kong, along with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's "Tech Company Fast Track" for rapid review [2] - A-share companies are seeking internationalization due to tightened refinancing in the A-share market, with Hong Kong's flexible mechanisms for placement and rights issues providing more financing channels, as seen with CATL's fundraising for its Hungary project [2] - The valuation gap between certain sectors in Hong Kong and A-shares has narrowed post-policy adjustments, and listing in Hong Kong helps companies align with global valuation systems, supported by continuous inflow of southbound funds and the profitability of Hong Kong stocks [2] Group 3 - For companies, listing in Hong Kong provides access to a wider range of financing channels and flexible capital operation space, while inclusion in international indices like MSCI and FTSE Russell attracts more international passive investment [3] - The strict requirements for information disclosure and ESG in Hong Kong can compel companies to improve their governance structures, although lower valuations in some sectors may affect fundraising efficiency [3] - The influx of quality A-share companies into the Hong Kong market is expected to enhance market liquidity, improve market structure, and solidify Hong Kong's position as an international financial center, aided by reforms like dual-counter trading in RMB [3]

Group 1: Core Insights - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has implemented measures to enhance the quality and efficiency of companies listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market), with over 470 companies expected to disclose their annual improvement plans for 2024 and 479 for 2025, representing over 80% of the board [1] - Companies are focusing on innovation-driven strategies, increasing R&D investments, and pushing for the practical application of patented technologies, with leading firms like Shengmei Shanghai committing to maintain R&D spending at around 15% of revenue by 2025 [1] - More than 60% of STAR Market companies have announced cash dividend plans for 2024, totaling over 38.6 billion yuan, with over 290 companies planning dividends exceeding 30% of their profits [2] Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - Mergers and acquisitions are becoming a key strategy for STAR Market companies to rapidly acquire technological capabilities and enhance competitiveness, with companies like Huahai Chengke planning significant acquisitions to break through overseas technology monopolies [3] - Completed acquisitions are transitioning into deeper business cooperation and technological collaboration, as seen with Zhongchuan Special Gas's acquisition of Huai'an Pairui Gas and Sanyou Medical's acquisition of French orthopedic firm Implanet [4] Group 3: Investor Relations and Engagement - Companies are enhancing communication with investors, with Haiguang Information planning multiple investor relations activities, including at least three performance briefings and six investor research activities in 2025 [5] - Jinpan Technology aims to host open days for investors to visit its digital factory, while China Resources Microelectronics is focusing on international investor engagement through online and offline roadshows [5]

证券研究报告｜资产配置跟踪周报 2025 年 6 月 10 日 股债商短期走高 "向内看"下市场走出阶段性行情 【20250602-20250608】 核心观点 大类资产总览：股债商短期缓幅上行。 本周，A 股整体呈现上行趋势，在国际重大事件进入博弈期， 场内投资者再度将目光转移至国内，在相对温和平稳的宏观 经济数据带动下，权益市场预期向好，并在"苏超"、5G、 创新药等短期概念的推动下，走出阶段性积极态势。而债市 则在阶段性震荡后再度回稳上行，当前市场仍处于波动期， 部分投资者对债市的青睐仍未结束，市场仍有意愿延续防御 姿态，在此背景下，高位震荡或将是债市进入六月后的主要 走势。大宗商品市场触底反弹，贵金属的强势反弹，以及金 属、能化的波段震荡，或是大宗商品短期回暖上行的主要原 因。 本周 A 股观点：科技板块短期有望成为主线行情。 本周 A 股表现较好，持续上行。具体来看，短期内，权益市 场外部表现平稳，中美贸易竞争相关事项已从情绪期步入稳 定期，后续仍需关注中美谈判核心表现。因此，场内投资者 关注目标正在从国际转向国内，宏观经济数据、短期热点事 项或将成为影响市场的主要推手。 A 股配置建议：短期来看， ...