Group 1: Industry Changes - The computer industry in 2026 will witness a convergence of "industrial cycles" and "policy cycles," marking a decisive year for both existing tasks and new growth opportunities [2][3] - AI applications are expected to reach a critical point of explosion, transitioning from a phase of high expenditure to profitability, with significant scale deployment in vertical scenarios [11] - Domestic computing power has evolved from being a backup to becoming fully usable in training and inference for domestic large models, with 2026 anticipated to be a year of comprehensive replacement [12] - The completion of the "信创" (Xinchuang) initiative is set for 2027, making 2026 a peak year for bidding and delivery, with strong performance certainty for related companies [13] Group 2: Policy Changes - The "十四五" (14th Five-Year Plan) elevates commercial aerospace to a national strategic level, with 2026 expected to be a year of industry explosion driven by satellite networking and reusable rockets [6] - The low-altitude economy is transitioning from policy enthusiasm to industrial heat, with substantial construction expected in 2026 due to infrastructure standards and special bonds [6] - The integration of AI with various industries is emphasized in the "十四五" plan, aiming for deep integration in manufacturing, healthcare, transportation, and finance, which will enhance productivity and create greater economic value [20][36] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Companies in the AI application sector should be selected based on their alignment with national policies and the "AI+" initiative, focusing on sectors like agriculture, industrial software, and healthcare [36] - Companies with strong foundational platforms and aggregation entry points for large models are recommended for long-term investment, such as Alibaba and iFlytek [37] - Data barrier companies that possess proprietary data to train models are crucial, with a focus on firms like 海天瑞声 (Haitian Ruisheng) and 同花顺 (Tonghuashun) [38] - Companies that dominate high-frequency usage scenarios, such as 金山办公 (Kingsoft Office) and 东方财富 (Eastmoney), are positioned to benefit significantly from AI integration [40]

2026年，我们的行业配置将紧紧围绕以上两条核心线索，具体如下： 科技与安全：AI能力闭环，资源能源安全与前沿产业创新发展 AI产业趋势角度，看好国产算力及芯片制造产业链，关注AI电力建设、AI眼镜新品、人形机器人和ToB 端AI应用 资源安全与能源安全层面，关注战略资源品重估与新型能源体系建设。关注铜、铝、锡等基本金属、供 需格局较好的钴、钨、稀土、铬小金属、储能、 绿色氢氨醇等新能源发展及固态电池、钙钛矿、核能 等未来能源方向 改革与增长：供给侧反内卷与需求侧促消费 来源：东吴证券股份有限公司 行业配置两条主线——科技与安全、改革与增长 2026年行业配置视角要更加"以我为主"，通过科技自立自强巩固国家安全，全面深化改革增强内生增长 韧性，"集中力量办好自己的事"是发展的重中之重： 一方面，突破产业围堵和技术封锁，即通过技术攻关、科技创新在AI革命中掌握主动权，提升产业链 安全水平、实现核心环节自主可控 另一方面，降低经济增长对美国及其战略盟友的依赖水平，即更加重视经济内循环韧性、打破内需生长 的堵点卡点，并重视多边对外开放布局、多元化培养外部需求 风险提示 海外降息节奏及特朗普政府对华政策不确定性风险： ...

市场回顾 上周A股主要指数涨跌不一，量能持续降低。 A股主要指数周涨跌幅（%） 资料来源：wind；统计区间：2025/12/01-2025/12/05 申万一级行业周涨跌幅（%） 资料来源：wind；统计区间：2025/12/01-2025/12/05 宏观数据分析 日本央行行长植田和男12月1日暗示本月晚些时候可能加息，这一表态释放了强烈的鹰派信号，日央行 将在12月18-19日举行货币政策会议，届时加息成为大概率事件。日本在"失去的30年"以来，一直维持 低利率甚至0利率状态，日元也因此成为国际货币套利交易中重要的组成部分。日本当前经济有复苏苗 头，工资持续上行。弱势的日元汇率带来了输入性通胀压力，日央行顺势开始试探加息收紧流动性。国 际市场在日央行表态后对潜在的流动性收紧进行了一定定价但幅度有限，且随着美股小非农不及预期、 美联储换届人选基本确定、特朗普账户支持美股等催化进一步被冲淡。市场的关注点集中于弱美元。后 续需观察日元汇率和日债收益率等指标走强的持续性，再行判断真正影响。 市场上周震荡反弹，资金面层面，市场量能偏低，多种技术指标偏弱，融资数据有好转。 短期观点 年底临近，机构资金活跃度低，市场 ...

金融投资报记者 林珂 在经历短期的快速回调后，12月初A股市场延续震荡格局，进入"上有压制下有支撑"的空间当中。 对于12月的整体行情研判，市场机构的态度谨慎偏多。多家机构认为，震荡洗盘有利于后市运行，"冬 播"行情或将到来。 中金公司：成长风格相对占优 回顾11月，A股市场震荡调整，交易活跃度有所下降，风格演绎阶段性"高切低"，但持续时间短且主线 不清，红利风格略有相对表现。从全球范围看，主要经济体的股票市场出现普跌。投资者一方面对美联 储降息节奏的预期有所反复，另一方面则对当前AI资产是否已经出现泡沫、科技叙事持续性等担忧阶 段性升温。 展望后市，短期的风格切换较难持续，在中外流动性宽松周期共振的背景下，A股市场估值相对合理。 AI科技革命与能源革命支撑从上游原材料到中游制造的需求，成长产业高景气带动上市公司业绩改 善，震荡上行的趋势仍在延续。自当前时点至明年初，仍可重点关注大盘成长风格，而较长时间维度的 风格切换，可能出现在明年第一季度左右。自今年第四季度以来，通胀预期出现普遍下调，关注年末涉 及房地产、促消费等相关领域的政策信号。 12月建议关注如下配置思路：第一是人工智能应用仍在落地过程中，关注国产 ...

Core Viewpoints - The market is expected to remain strong towards the end of the year, but a significant style shift may occur, with mid-cap blue chips likely to rise again, presenting investment opportunities in the consumer, cyclical, and manufacturing sectors of mid-cap blue chips [3][16]. Market Analysis - The market has stabilized and rebounded, with previous adjustments deemed short-term in nature. A recent debt extension plan from a real estate company has drawn market attention, indicating a shift from "potential bottoming" to "value recovery pricing" post-extension. Future debt restructuring and debt-to-equity swaps may occur, with the bond market facing continued negative impacts. If this spreads to the stock market, risk preferences may converge towards mid-cap blue chips, highlighting their stability and growth potential. The stock market is expected to remain strong, but the focus of investment will shift towards mid-range stocks [4][17]. Industry Comparison - From March 2023 to the present, the market has consistently anticipated a tech and dividend-driven trend. Looking ahead, the end of the risk-on style is expected, with future investment opportunities in stocks with moderate risk characteristics. The mid-cap blue chip market, which has been dormant for four years, is poised for a resurgence, and market corrections may present good entry points [5][18]. Industry Allocation - Investment opportunities lie in mid-cap blue chips across three main lines: 1. The consumer sector, which has been quiet for years, is approaching a turning point. Many consumer stocks are undervalued, with supply constraints likely to drive prices up. Focus on mid-sized companies in sectors such as liquor, restaurant supply chains, snacks and beverages, home appliances, hotels, human resources, and beauty care [6][19]. 2. The cyclical sector is experiencing a revaluation driven by technological empowerment and supply constraints. Attention should be given to new materials and strategic minor metals (like antimony and rare earths), as well as industrial metals (copper and aluminum) that are seeing improved supply-demand dynamics, alongside traditional commodities like live pigs and rubber [6][19]. 3. The manufacturing sector is moving away from "dream narratives" to embrace "realization." Investment in manufacturing should shift from mere "story speculation" to verification of orders and revenues. Focus on sectors with ongoing performance verification expectations, such as communications, electronics, power equipment, and machinery [6][19]. Thematic Investments - Key areas of focus include: - **Artificial Intelligence**: Despite some skepticism about AI's future, the market's rational assessment of industry development is expected to lead to upward adjustments in investor expectations. Key areas include edge consumer electronics, robotics, computing power, and software applications [7][20]. - **Semiconductor Expansion and Domestic Substitution**: Domestic wafer fabs are expected to expand next year, and the capitalization of domestic storage chip leaders is progressing. Amid international tensions, domestic semiconductor materials are likely to accelerate development, with a focus on domestic computing power, chip manufacturers, equipment suppliers, and domestic substitutes for semiconductor materials [7][20]. - **Aerospace and Satellites**: There are differing views on the satellite industry’s progress next year. Successful launches of reusable rockets are anticipated to significantly boost industry development. Additionally, the IPO progress of industry leaders is expected to accelerate, with opportunities in satellite constellations, satellite tenders, commercial rockets, and terminal applications [7][20]. - **Solid-State Batteries**: The market remains attentive to the progress of solid-state battery projects. The acceleration of the industrialization process is evident, with the equipment/materials sector entering an order-driven phase, and demonstration vehicle timelines converging to 2025-2027. Focus on core companies in the supply chain [7][20]. - **Upstream Price Increases**: Supply constraints and structural demand growth are expected to provide price elasticity for related products, with attention on price-increasing varieties in the upstream of the new energy industry, chemicals, and non-ferrous metals [8][21].

本报讯(记者李雯珊)11月25日，大湾区生态创新中心签约仪式在广州数字科技集团有限公司顺利举行。 广州广电五舟科技股份有限公司与沐曦集成电路(上海)股份有限公司、上海华研企业发展(集团)有限公 司正式签署战略合作协议。三方将依托各自在国产算力产业链中的核心优势，共建大湾区生态创新中 心，加速国产算力技术规模化应用，助力粤港澳大湾区智算生态构建与数字经济高质量发展。 当前，粤港澳大湾区正加速打造全球数字经济与人工智能创新高地。《广东省国家数字经济创新发展试 验区建设方案(2025-2027年)》明确提出，到2027年大湾区人工智能核心产业规模将超4400亿元，算力规 模突破60EFLOPS。在此背景下，大湾区生态创新中心将围绕"算力生态聚合+技术创新突破+行业场景 落地+人才培育+社区共建共享"五大核心，以"品牌赋能+价值共创"为导向，打造大湾区智算技术创新 基地，构建"芯片—整机—系统—场景—人才"全产业链协同生态，成为智算技术赋能千行百业的重要平 台、行业应用的"实验室"和"试验场"。 该创新中心建成后，将重点推动国产算力与医疗、交通、金融、教科研等关键领域的深度融合，加速 AI应用规模化落地；持续深化协同 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a decline on November 20, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.76%, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 1.12%[2] - The total trading volume was 1.72 trillion, a decrease of approximately 20 billion compared to the previous trading day[1] Sector Performance - Most sectors declined, with notable increases in construction materials and comprehensive banking, while coal, oil, chemicals, and power equipment sectors faced significant declines[1] - The technology sector, particularly semiconductor and communication equipment, saw major capital outflows, indicating a shift in investor sentiment[3] Technical Indicators - The market is showing signs of short-term weakness, with the ChiNext Index breaking below the 60-day moving average, and the Shenzhen and Shanghai indices also facing similar tests[1] - A five-day consecutive decline in the daily K-line pattern suggests a bearish trend, necessitating caution in trading strategies[1] Fund Flows - On November 20, net outflows from the Shanghai Stock Exchange amounted to 4.557 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange saw net outflows of 6.478 billion[3] - The top three sectors for capital inflows were IT services, energy metals, and joint-stock banks, while the semiconductor, communication equipment, and photovoltaic equipment sectors experienced the largest outflows[3] Economic Indicators - The October consumption market showed stable growth, with new energy vehicle retail sales increasing by 7.3%[4] - The November Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remained unchanged at 3.5% for five years and 3% for one year, indicating a stable monetary policy environment[5] Industry Trends - The Chinese chip design industry is projected to achieve sales of 835.73 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.4%[8] - The smart glasses market is expected to reach a significant turning point in 2026, with global shipments projected to exceed 23.687 million units, and China's market expected to surpass 4.915 million units[7]

Core Points - Beijing Shanggao Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. transferred a total of 13,566,633 shares of Pingao Co., accounting for 12.00% of the total share capital, to two strategic investors [1] - Before the transfer, Beijing Shanggao held 47,224,294 shares (41.77% ownership), and after the transfer, it will hold 33,657,661 shares (29.77% ownership) [1] - The transfer price was set at 36.817 yuan per share, totaling approximately 499 million yuan [1] - Despite the share transfer, Beijing Shanggao remains the controlling shareholder, and the actual controllers Huang Hai, Liu Xin, and Zhou Jing have not changed [1] - The purpose of the transfer is to introduce strategic investors to promote cooperation and development in domestic computing power, cloud services, and big data [1] - The transaction is subject to compliance review by the Shanghai Stock Exchange and registration with the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation [1] - There are currently no plans for further share increases or decreases by the information disclosure obligor within the next 12 months [1]

Core Insights - Nearly 80% of listed companies in China's stock market reported profits, indicating a stabilization and recovery in overall performance, with a clear trend of structural optimization and quality improvement [1][2][3] Group 1: Overall Performance - In the first three quarters, listed companies achieved a total revenue of 53.46 trillion yuan and a net profit of 4.7 trillion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 1.36% and 5.5% respectively [2] - The number of companies with positive revenue growth reached 3,182, while 2,467 companies reported positive net profit growth, with 1,957 companies achieving growth in both metrics [2] - The third quarter saw significant improvements, with revenue and net profit growing by 3.82% and 11.45% year-on-year, and 2.4% and 14.12% quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - High-end manufacturing, new energy, digital economy, smart terminals, and healthcare sectors showed rapid growth and high prosperity, indicating an upgrade in industrial structure [2][4] - The total market capitalization reached 107.32 trillion yuan, with the electronics sector surpassing the banking sector to become the largest, accounting for 12.42% of the total market [4] Group 3: R&D and Innovation - R&D investment by listed companies reached 1.16 trillion yuan, marking a 3.88% year-on-year increase, with the R&D intensity of the ChiNext, STAR Market, and Beijing Stock Exchange at 4.54%, 11.22%, and 4.42% respectively [4] - The semiconductor industry saw net profit growth of 82% driven by artificial intelligence, while companies in the storage chip sector reported revenue growth of 16.08% and net profit growth of 26.44% [6][7] Group 4: Consumer Market Dynamics - Consumer sectors are showing signs of recovery, with significant growth in optional and service consumption, as evidenced by a box office revenue exceeding 40 billion yuan and a 24.4% increase in the gaming sector [8] - The precious metals industry reported a revenue increase of 22.36% and a net profit increase of 55.96%, reflecting the potential and diversity of the domestic consumption market [8] Group 5: Corporate Governance and Market Confidence - The number of companies announcing cash dividend plans increased to 1,033, with a total cash dividend amounting to 734.9 billion yuan, indicating strong corporate performance [9] - The report emphasizes the importance of sound corporate governance, transparent financial information, and stable dividend policies in boosting market confidence [10]

Group 1 - The computing power sector is still in the performance realization stage and has a relatively moderate valuation level, with continued optimism for computing-related PCB, domestic computing, IP licensing, and chip inductors [1] - The year 2026 may be a key year for the recovery of the foldable screen market, with rumored foldable products from Apple expected to stimulate overall category discussions and potentially bring new insights in software interaction and hardware design, further activating market demand [1] - Newly launched wearable devices this year are also expected to drive market recovery [1] Group 2 - AR glasses manufacturers are pushing AR glasses from being "niche geek toys" to "mainstream smart terminals" through technological breakthroughs, ecosystem integration, and market penetration, with the maturity of AI and AR technologies suggesting that smart glasses could become the next mainstream computing terminal after smartphones [1]