Market Overview - A-shares experienced a broad-based rally last week (July 7 to July 11), with small-cap stocks significantly outperforming, as micro-cap stocks saw a weekly increase of nearly 3%, leading major indices [2] - The market is gradually adapting to new quantitative trading regulations, with capital shifting towards stocks with clearer fundamentals [2] - Positive mid-year earnings expectations in sectors such as technology innovation, high-end manufacturing, and marine engineering boosted the performance of the ChiNext Index and the Wind Innovation Index [2] Industry Performance - The average increase of Wind's first-level industry indices was close to 2%, with 92% of the top 100 concept indices rising [9] - The real estate sector led with a 6.29% increase, followed by telecommunications services (2.27%), information technology (1.86%), and materials (1.83%) [9] - Defensive sectors like utilities (1.22%) and energy (1.07%) also recorded steady gains, indicating a rise in market risk appetite [9] Fund Issuance - A total of 26 funds were issued last week, including 13 equity funds, 4 mixed funds, 8 bond funds, and 1 fund of funds (FOF), with total issuance of 24.819 billion units [13] Fund Performance - The Wind All-Fund Index rose by 0.54% last week, with the ordinary equity fund index increasing by 0.88% and the mixed equity fund index rising by 0.84% [3] - In the international equity market, European markets showed significant rebounds, while Asian markets were mixed, with Vietnam and South Korea rising notably, while Russia and Brazil declined [3] Bond Market Overview - The domestic 10-year and 30-year government bond futures contracts fell by 0.26% and 0.49%, respectively, indicating a downward trend [12] - The China convertible bond index rose by 0.76%, showing relative resilience in the convertible bond market [12]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance issued a notice to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, establishing a long-cycle assessment mechanism starting from 2025, which aims to enhance investment enthusiasm and stability in A-shares [2] - The State Council's Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang emphasized the need to improve digital infrastructure connectivity and signed 12 digital economy cooperation projects with several countries at the 2025 SCO Digital Economy Forum [3] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) called for accelerating key core technology breakthroughs and focusing state capital on strategic emerging industries [4] Group 2 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) plans to deepen capital market reforms in collaboration with local governments, enhancing communication and cooperation to support high-quality development [6] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange revised the ChiNext Index compilation plan, introducing mechanisms for monthly removal of risk warning stocks and ESG negative screening [6] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges included investors in the Stock Connect program under the scope of algorithmic trading reporting, effective January 12, 2026 [7] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose by 0.46%, with significant inflows from mainland investors, while the market saw a total turnover of HKD 324 billion [8] - The Northbound capital holdings reached a total market value of CNY 2.29 trillion by June 30, 2025, reflecting a growth of over 2% from the previous quarter [8] - The company Zhiyun is preparing for simultaneous listings in Hong Kong and A-shares, with recent strategic financing of CNY 1 billion [8] Group 4 - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security initiated adjustments to the national medical insurance drug list, focusing on innovative drugs with significant clinical value [12] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology highlighted the integration of artificial intelligence in manufacturing, promoting the "AI + Manufacturing" initiative [12] - The National Development and Reform Commission approved a new electricity trading mechanism to enhance cross-regional electricity transactions [12] Group 5 - The China Securities Association issued guidelines to enhance self-regulation and promote high-quality development in the securities industry, indicating forthcoming regulatory updates [13] - The Financial Regulatory Authority released a management approach for financial institutions, emphasizing the importance of client information assessment and compliance in sales practices [13] - The Hunan Rural Credit Union suspended the "pension loan" business, reflecting regulatory tightening in the financial sector [13] Group 6 - The China Iron and Steel Association announced price increases for various coke products, effective from July 14, reflecting market adjustments [14] - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported that the share of new energy vehicles in the market reached 10%, with sales expected to hit 16 million units this year [14] - A market report predicted the global AI agent market to grow from USD 5.1 billion in 2024 to USD 47.1 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 44.8% [14] Group 7 - Emirates Airlines signed a memorandum of understanding with Crypto.com to explore cryptocurrency payment options for ticket bookings [15] - Starbucks received multiple acquisition proposals for its China business, with a valuation of USD 10 billion, attracting interest from various private equity firms [16] - Xpeng Motors announced that its cumulative delivery volume surpassed 800,000 units, indicating strong market performance [17] Group 8 - Apple plans to launch a series of new products in the first half of 2026, including a new budget iPhone and upgraded iPads [18] - Google is set to provide cloud computing services to the U.S. government, with a deal expected to be finalized soon [19] - SK Hynix raised contract prices for DDR4/LPDDR4x memory by approximately 20%, reflecting ongoing price adjustments in the semiconductor market [20]

在美股周四创下历史新高之后，市场情绪迅速反转，三大指数在周五集体收跌，原因是美国突然宣布对加拿大征收35%的关税，并威胁对全球其它国家加 征更高关税。这一突如其来的贸易紧张局势升级，再次令投资者神经紧绷。 具体来看，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌279.13点，跌幅0.63%，报44,371.51点；标普500指数下跌0.33%，收于6,259.75点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.22%，收 报20,585.53点。此前一天，三大股指还在积极消化新一轮关税措施，表现稳健，标普500上涨0.3%，创下历史新高，纳指则上涨0.1%。 | 美股指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯 | 纳斯达克 | 标普500 | | 44371.51 | 20585.53 | 6259.75 | | -279.13 -0.63% -45.13 -0.22% -20.71 -0.33% | | | | 中国金龙指数 | 纳指100期货 | 标普500期货 | | 7436.34 | 22938.00 | 6294.00 | | -31.76 -0.43% -75.25 -0.33% -30.25 -0.48% | ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance has issued a notification to implement a long-term assessment framework for state-owned insurance companies, emphasizing the importance of long-term, stable investments to mitigate market volatility and enhance the role of insurance funds as stabilizers in the market and drivers of economic development [1][3]. Summary by Sections Long-term Assessment Implementation - Starting from the performance evaluation for the year 2025, state-owned insurance companies will adopt a three-year and five-year assessment framework alongside annual indicators [2][8]. Performance Evaluation Metrics - The net asset return rate will now be assessed using a combination of annual, three-year, and five-year indicators, with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [1][4]. - The capital preservation and appreciation rate will also shift to include annual, three-year, and five-year indicators, maintaining the same weight distribution [1][6]. Asset-Liability Management - State-owned insurance companies are required to enhance their asset-liability management, ensuring alignment in terms of duration structure, cost-benefit, and cash flow [7]. Investment Strategy - Emphasis is placed on prudent management, with a focus on long-term, value-based investments, and the identification of quality investment targets that offer stable returns and growth potential [7][8]. Investment Management Capability - Companies must strengthen their investment management capabilities, adhering to internal investment management systems, and improving decision-making and risk assessment processes [7].

Core Viewpoint - Despite escalating global trade tensions, the U.S. stock indices continued to rise, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching all-time highs, reflecting strong market resilience and investor confidence in the U.S. economic outlook [1][2]. Market Performance - The S&P 500 index rose by 0.27% to close at 6,280.46 points, while the Nasdaq index increased by 0.09% to 20,630.67 points, both marking historical highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 192 points, or 0.43%, closing at 44,650.64 points [2][3]. Company Developments - MP Materials, a rare earth magnet producer, received a $400 million equity investment from the U.S. Department of Defense to build a new factory, alongside a $1 billion financing commitment from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. This investment aims to reduce U.S. reliance on external rare earth supplies [4]. - The new facility, named the 10X Facility, is expected to begin trial operations in 2028, increasing the U.S. magnet production capacity to 10,000 tons annually. The Pentagon will become the largest shareholder by acquiring a 15% stake and has agreed to a minimum purchase price of $110 per kilogram for the produced neodymium-iron-boron products [4]. Trade Policy Impact - The recent stock market rally occurred after the U.S. announced new tariffs on several countries, including a 50% tariff on copper imports starting August 1. This move was part of a broader strategy to address perceived unfair trade practices [4][6]. - Brazil's President Lula responded to the U.S. tariffs by indicating that Brazil would retaliate under its "economic reciprocity law," leading to a 1.6% drop in the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF [5]. Investor Sentiment - Despite trade friction risks, the U.S. stock market not only recovered from earlier declines but also reached new highs, indicating that investors are becoming desensitized to policy fluctuations. Market focus has shifted towards corporate earnings and technological innovation rather than short-term policy changes [7]. - Key factors supporting current investor sentiment include robust U.S. economic data, a strong labor market, and a gradual easing of inflation, which bolster corporate profitability. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance has heightened expectations for policy easing [9]. Technology Sector Influence - The artificial intelligence theme continues to drive market gains, with Nvidia's stock rising significantly, making it the first company to surpass a $4 trillion market capitalization. Nvidia's stock further increased by 0.8%, solidifying its position in the trillion-dollar club [8].

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 900 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on July 10, with a fixed interest rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 328 billion yuan for the day after accounting for 572 billion yuan in reverse repos maturing [2][3] Group 2: Liquidity Conditions - Liquidity has slightly contracted, with the overnight pledged repo rate rising to 1.32% and the 7-day pledged repo rate increasing by nearly 2 basis points to 1.49% [4] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit is around 1.62%, showing a slight increase from the previous day [7] Group 4: Bond Market Trends - Major interbank bond yields have generally risen, indicating a shift in market sentiment [9] - Government bond futures closed collectively lower, with the 30-year main contract down 0.36%, the 10-year down 0.16%, the 5-year down 0.14%, and the 2-year down 0.04% [13] Group 5: Urban Investment Bonds - Recent trends in urban investment bonds (AAA) show varying yield spreads across different maturities, reflecting market dynamics [11][12] Group 6: Key News and Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission aims to achieve new urbanization goals by 2035, focusing on high-quality development and increased investment in key areas [14] - The Ministry of Commerce responded to U.S. trade concerns, emphasizing that the issue of overcapacity lies with the EU due to insufficient R&D investment [14] - The Bank of Japan maintained its economic assessment across nine regions, noting limited impact from U.S. tariffs on exports and output [15] - The Bank of Korea kept its key interest rate at 2.50%, aligning with market expectations, while expressing concerns over fiscal imbalances [15] Group 7: Bond Market Events - Oceanwide Group is formulating a domestic credit bond resolution plan, while Longfor Group has successfully passed all 21 domestic bond restructuring proposals [16] - Demand for Japan's 20-year government bond auction fell below the 12-month average [16] - A series of negative events have been reported for various bond issuers, including downgrades in credit ratings for multiple companies [16]

1 、人社部、财政部印发通知明确，从 2025 年 1 月 1 日起，为 2024 年底前已按规定办理退休手续并按月领取基本养老金的退休人员提高基本养老金水 平， 总体调整水平为 2024 年退休人员月人均基本养老金的 2% 。 2 、 商务部回应中美是否会在 8 月初进行谈判表示，双方在多个层级就经贸领域各自关切保持密切沟通。 对于 " 英伟达 CEO 黄仁勋计划访华 " 传闻，商 务部称目前没有可以提供的信息。商务部还驳斥冯德莱恩 " 产能过剩 " 言论表示，过剩的不是中国产能，恐是欧方的过度焦虑。 3 、 美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上发文，再度敦促美联储主席鲍威尔降息。 此前一天，特朗普批评美联储当前的利率政策，称美联储设定的利率至少偏 高 3 个百分点，利率每个百分点每年给美国造成了 3600 亿美元的再融资成本。消息称特朗普正考虑在美联储主席鲍威尔明年离任前为美联储任命一位 " 影子主席 " ，以向美联储施压，迫使其降息。 1 、国务院总理李强在开罗同埃及总理马德布利举行会谈。李强指出，中方愿同埃方加强发展战略对接，在高质量共建 " 一带一路 " 框架下促进投资合作 扩容增效， 推动双边贸易优化发展， ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes increasing investment in new urbanization, targeting key areas to support China's modernization goals by 2035 [4]. Group 1: New Urbanization Investment - The focus is on leveraging "two heavy" and "two new" funds to enhance investment in new urbanization, particularly in significant projects related to agricultural population urbanization, urbanization in potential areas, metropolitan area development, urban renewal, and resilience enhancement [4]. - There will be differentiated policies for various agricultural migrant populations to address their consumption characteristics and needs, included in the "two new" special support [4]. - Cities with population inflows are encouraged to utilize long-term special government bonds and local government bonds to recover idle land and purchase existing housing, thereby expanding affordable housing supply for agricultural migrants [4]. Group 2: Real Estate Market Response - On July 10, A-share real estate stocks surged, with companies like Huaxia Happiness, Deep Deep Housing A, and Nanshan Holdings hitting the daily limit [2][7]. - The A-share market showed a positive trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.48% to 3509.68 points, and real estate stocks leading the gains [7]. - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.57%, with property stocks performing strongly, including significant gains from companies like China Overseas Land and Investment and Longfor Group [9].

周三，美股市场全面上涨，芯片巨头英伟达（Nvidia）盘中市值一度突破4万亿美元，成为全球首家达成此里程碑的公司，领涨科技股。 标普500指数上涨0.61%，收于6,263.26点，纳指则大涨0.94%，创下历史新高20,611.34点，道指也上涨217.54点，涨幅0.49%，收于44,458.30点。 | 美股指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯 | 纳斯达克 | 标普500 | | 44458.30 | 20611.34 | 6263.26 | | +217.54 +0.49% | +192.88 +0.94% | +37.74 +0.61% | | 中国金龙指数 | 纳指100期货 | 标普500期货 | | 7401.71 | 23047.00 | 6307.00 | | -83.19 -1.11% | -5.75 -0.02% | -0.25 0.00% | | 美国国债 | | | | 3个目期 | 10年期 | 2年期 | | 4.346 | 4.332 | 3.832 | | ▼ 1.03bp | - 0.20bp | ▼ 0.62bp | | 美股ETF | ...

Group 1: Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 755 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40%, with a net withdrawal of 230 billion yuan on the same day due to 985 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing [2] - The overnight pledged repo rate slightly increased to 1.31%, while the 7-day pledged repo rate rose to 1.47% [4] - The yield on major interbank bonds mostly increased, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [9] Group 2: Economic Indicators - China's June CPI rose by 0.1%, marking a turnaround after four consecutive months of decline, primarily driven by a rebound in industrial consumer goods prices [13] - The June PPI fell by 3.6%, worse than the expected decline of 3.2%, influenced by seasonal price drops in raw materials and increased green energy supply [13] Group 3: Bond Market Developments - The central government plans to issue 60 billion yuan of government bonds in Macau on July 16 [16] - The National Development Bank will auction up to 38 billion yuan of fixed-rate bonds on July 10 [16] - A series of negative credit events were reported for various companies, indicating a trend of downgrades in credit ratings [16]