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研选 | 光大研究每周重点报告20250531-20250606
光大证券研究· 2025-06-06 14:09
特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 发布日期: 2 0 2 5 / 0 6 / 0 3 分析师: 姜浩, 孙未未,朱洁宇 市场观点纷繁芜杂,光大研究荟萃本周重点报告,涵盖总量、行业、公司研究,为您筛选有价值的 声音。 每周六早8点,"研选"助您快速厘清投资"点线面"! 公司研究 百尺竿头更进一步,从单品牌单平台向多品牌全渠道集团化蜕变——上美股份(2145.HK)投资价值 分析报告 上美股份2 2年于港股上市,旗下拥有韩束、一叶子、红色小象、一页等多品牌。其中主品牌韩 束为2 4年线上GMV美妆国货品牌第二名、头部美妆品牌增速第一名。公司抓住了抖音平台的发 展机遇,2 3~2 4年业绩高增长。韩束主品牌提质增长,一页等小品牌构建多条增长曲线。 摘 自 : 百 尺 竿 头 ...
【固收】二级市场价格震荡上行,多只REITs产品等待上市——REITs月度观察(20250501-20250531)(张旭)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-05 13:36
Group 1 - As of May 31, 2025, the number of public REITs in China reached 66, with a total issuance scale of 174.39 billion yuan, primarily in transportation infrastructure and park infrastructure [2] - The weighted REITs index closed at 139.99 with a monthly return of 3.71%, outperforming A-shares, gold, and crude oil [3] - The top three asset types with the highest returns were affordable housing, warehousing logistics, and consumer-related REITs [3] Group 2 - The total trading volume of public REITs decreased compared to the previous month, with an average daily turnover rate of 0.65% [4] - The total net inflow of main funds reached 10.056 million yuan, indicating a decline in market trading enthusiasm [4] - The total amount of block trades decreased month-on-month, with a total of 1.12 billion yuan in block trades during the month [5]
【光大研究每日速递】20250606
光大证券研究· 2025-06-05 13:36
Group 1 - The number of public REITs in China reached 66, with a total issuance scale of 174.39 billion yuan as of May 31, 2025 [4] - The weighted REITs index closed at 139.99 with a monthly return rate of 3.71%, outperforming A-shares, gold, pure bonds, and crude oil [4] - The return rates of major asset classes are ranked as follows: US stocks > convertible bonds > REITs > A-shares > gold > pure bonds > crude oil [4] Group 2 - The SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) policy in Europe is set to require a mandatory 2% addition, which is expected to drive price increases in related products [5] - Domestic channels for exporting bio-aviation fuel have been successfully established, indicating promising future development [5] Group 3 - The company Guming has expanded its presence to over 200 cities across 17 provinces in China, with a total of 9,914 stores, making it the largest mass-market fresh tea drink brand in the country [6] - Guming has achieved an average quarterly repurchase rate of 53% and a store operating profit margin of approximately 20%, both leading the industry [6] Group 4 - NIO reported a total revenue of 12.04 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38.9% [8] - The gross margin for NIO was 7.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.1 percentage points [8] - The Non-GAAP net loss for NIO expanded by 28.2% year-on-year to 6.28 billion yuan, although it narrowed by 4.2% quarter-on-quarter [8]
【古茗(1364.HK)】全品类货架型品牌,“结硬寨”践行长期主义——投资价值分析报告(陈彦彤/汪航宇/聂博雅)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-05 13:36
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 古茗深耕现制茶饮十余年,从浙江走向全国。截至24年底,公司在全国17个省份覆盖超过200个城市,共 有9914家门店,主要分布于二线、三线及更低线城市。古茗是中国最大的大众现制茶饮店品牌,亦是全价 格带下中国第二大现制茶饮店品牌。2023年古茗平均季度复购率高达53%,门店经营利润率约20%,均领 先行业。 行业下沉市场空间大,供应链打造核心竞争力 根据灼识咨询数据,按GMV统计,2024年中国现制饮品行业拥有超过6000亿元的市场规模,其中现制茶 饮行业规模最大(超过3000亿元),现制咖啡行业增速较快(24-28年CAGR预计为18.5%)。按城市线级 划分来看,低线市场具有更大的增长潜力,预计三线及以下城市24-28年CAGR均超过20%。按价格带划分 来看,大众价格带产品增长势头最好,预计24-28年CAGR为20.8%。从企业各项能力看,供应链为最核心 的竞争力。 供应链优势和独特渠道策略,公司快速成长为行业第二大品牌 茶饮市场竞争激烈,古茗避开一二线城市的激烈竞争,将目光投向三线及以下城市、乡镇城郊和县域市 场。其强大的加盟体系成为下沉的关键动力,加盟商较 ...
【石化化工交运】2025年欧美SAF政策落地,国内SAF出口渠道顺利打通——行业日报73期(0604)(赵乃迪/蔡嘉豪/胡星月)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-05 13:36
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the growing application and demand for biodiesel, particularly in transportation and aviation sectors, driven by environmental policies and technological advancements [2][3]. Group 1: Biodiesel Development - Biodiesel is recognized for its environmental benefits, good engine performance, and renewable nature, making it crucial for sustainable economic development and energy transition [2]. - The application of biodiesel is expanding beyond road transport to include maritime and aviation sectors, with significant potential for growth [2]. - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) predicts that by 2050, 65% of emissions reductions in aviation will come from the use of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) [2]. Group 2: Policy and Market Dynamics - The Chinese government is promoting the development of non-grain biomass liquid fuels, including biodiesel and biojet fuel, as part of its "3060" carbon neutrality strategy [2]. - The EU mandates that by 2025, at least 2% of aviation fuel supplied at EU airports must be SAF, increasing to 6% by 2030 and 70% by 2050, which is expected to drive demand for SAF [3]. - The export volume of kitchen waste oil in China is projected to grow from 730,000 tons in 2019 to 2.78 million tons by 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 23% [3]. Group 3: Industry Developments - The approval of a "white list" for biojet fuel exports in Jiangsu province marks a significant step for China's biojet fuel industry, allowing for international market access [4]. - The company Jiangsu Jiaao has the capacity to produce 372,400 tons of biojet fuel annually, which can now be exported under the new regulations [4]. - The establishment of export channels is expected to create competitive advantages for leading technology firms in the biojet fuel sector [4].
【蔚来(NIO.N)】1Q25基本面承压,多维度寻求边际改善——2025年一季度业绩点评(倪昱婧)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-05 13:36
Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that NIO's financial performance in Q1 2025 faced pressure, with a significant decline in revenue compared to the previous quarter, but a year-on-year increase was noted [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - NIO's total revenue in Q1 2025 was 12.04 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38.9% [3]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 7.6%, which is an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year but a decrease of 4.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The Non-GAAP net loss attributable to the parent company widened by 28.2% year-on-year and narrowed by 4.2% quarter-on-quarter to 6.28 billion yuan [3]. Operational Insights - In Q1 2025, NIO delivered 42,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 40.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 42.1% [4]. - The automotive business revenue was 9.94 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 18.6% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 43.1% [4]. - The average selling price (ASP) decreased by 15.3% year-on-year and 1.8% quarter-on-quarter to 236,000 yuan [4]. - The Non-GAAP vehicle loss per unit expanded to 149,000 yuan, and free cash flow remained under pressure, with total cash on hand at 26 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2025 [4]. Future Outlook - Management guidance for Q2 2025 estimates delivery volumes of approximately 72,000 to 75,000 vehicles [4]. - The company anticipates that the gross margin may still be under pressure due to the clearance of older models until June, when new models are expected to drive margin recovery [4]. - NIO is implementing multiple strategies to improve its fundamentals, including cost reduction through self-developed chips and enhancing the sales network for its new brand, Lado [5]. - The launch of the "World Model" on May 30 is expected to enhance NIO's leadership in intelligent driving technology [5].
【海南华铁(603300.SH)】拟在新加坡上市,加快出海步伐——跟踪研究之三十一(孙伟风)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-05 13:36
Group 1 - The company is planning to issue shares overseas (S shares) and list on the Singapore Exchange to enhance its international strategy and global business expansion [3] - Singapore ranks first globally in AI infrastructure with a score of 8.91, surpassing South Korea (7.71) and the UK (6.93), indicating a strong environment for AI industry development [4] - In terms of AI talent, Singapore has 8.8 AI professionals per 1,000 LinkedIn users, and 31.8% of published research papers are focused on AI [4] Group 2 - Singapore is recognized as one of the most crypto-friendly jurisdictions globally, ranking fourth in cryptocurrency regulatory friendliness [5] - The cryptocurrency ownership rate among Singapore residents is 23%, significantly higher than the global average of 7.8% [5] - In 2024, Singapore issued 13 major payment institution (MPI) cryptocurrency licenses, double the number from 2023, showcasing the growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrency [5]
【欧普照明(603515.SH)】聚焦照明主业,高分红属性延续——动态跟踪报告(洪吉然)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-04 13:56
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 ①现金分红比例持续提升:公司2024年度现金分红6.66亿元(含税),每10股派现9.0元(含税),全年现 金分红比例73.8%,同比+6.1pcts,创2016年以来历史新高。②分红比例仍有提升潜力:公司2024年股东大 会决议通过了《关于未来三年(2025-2027年)股东分红回报规划的议案》,公司规划在满足正常经营的 资金需求的前提下,25-27年每年度现金分红比例不低于40%,若公司发展阶段属成熟期且无重大资金支出 安排,则现金分红比例不低于80%。 渠道竞争力持续优化,营收降幅环比收窄 25Q1公司实现营业收入14.9亿元,YoY-5.8%;2024年公司实现营业收入71.0亿元,YoY-9.0%,其中24Q4 实现营业收入20.3亿元,YoY-11.1%。公司继续优化渠道,巩固综合竞争力。照明行业显现出智能化、节 能化、健康化发展趋势,公司家居业务以 "场景化解决方案" 优化零售渠道,构建标准化运营体系,创新 社区营销模式,开拓流通渠道网点,深耕下沉市场提升产出;商照业务在航运集团办公楼、商业连锁超市 等低碳节能改造项目中取得突破,在物流园区、新能源厂房等多个领域持续 ...
【金工】5月上市新股规模缩量,首日平均涨幅回落,打新收益率较低——打新市场跟踪月报20250603(祁嫣然)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-04 13:56
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 新股发行概况: 5月上市新股数量和规模均有所缩减。2025年5月,共6只新股上市,其中主板2只、创业板2只、科创板1 只、北交所1只,募集金额共计34.56亿元,环比-58.20%。 其中,参与网下发行的个股共计5只,其中主板2只、创业板2只、科创板1只,募集金额合计31.85亿元,环 比-58.69%。 新股上市首日平均涨幅水平回落。2025年5月,主板采用网下打新的新股2只,上市首日平均涨幅为 110.58%,环比-130.11pct,初步询价配售对象为7110家,报价入围率为94.92%,环比+1.54pct;网下中签 率分别为A类:0.14‰、C类:0.12‰。 双创板块(本文统计范围为创业板和科创板)采用网下打新的新 ...
【基础化工】新一轮环保督察启动,持续关注农药和颜料板块——行业周报(20250526-20250601)(赵乃迪/胡星月)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-04 13:56
Group 1 - The third round of the fourth batch of central ecological environment protection inspections has been fully launched, with eight inspection teams focusing on five provinces and three central enterprises [2] - The pesticide industry is undergoing capacity optimization, with the recent explosion at Youdao Chemical affecting the supply of chlorantraniliprole, which may lead to price increases [3] - Chlorantraniliprole is a highly efficient and low-toxicity insecticide, currently the top-selling insecticide globally, with the explosion impacting short-term supply [3] Group 2 - The organic pigment industry is experiencing continuous consolidation, with a focus on high-performance organic pigment domestic substitution due to stricter environmental policies and tightening profit margins [4] - High-performance organic pigments are becoming a new trend in the industry, with few domestic companies mastering core production technologies, leading to a favorable competitive landscape for industry leaders [4]