Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current economic indicators and trends in various sectors, highlighting the liquidity situation, construction and real estate chains, industrial products, pricing dynamics, and export conditions, with a focus on potential investment opportunities and market movements. Group 1: Liquidity - The BCI small and medium enterprise financing environment index for January 2026 is at 50.27, an increase of 6.62% month-on-month [3] - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -4.7 percentage points in December 2025, a decrease of 1.60 percentage points month-on-month [3] - The current price of London gold is $4,981 per ounce [3] Group 2: Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - The capacity utilization rate of blast furnaces is expected to be at the highest level for January in five years [4] - Weekly price changes include rebar down 1.81%, cement price index down 0.87%, rubber down 0.32%, coke unchanged, coking coal up 1.07%, and iron ore down 2.92% [4] - National blast furnace capacity utilization rate increased by 0.36 percentage points, while cement and asphalt operating rates decreased by 4.30 percentage points and increased by 3.7 percentage points, respectively [4] Group 3: Real Estate Completion Chain - The prices of titanium dioxide and glass are at low levels, with titanium dioxide price increasing by 0.76% and glass price decreasing by 0.73% [5] - The gross profit for titanium dioxide is -1,740 yuan per ton, while the flat glass operating rate is 73.89% [5] Group 4: Industrial Products Chain - Major commodity price changes include cold-rolled steel down 1.55%, copper down 0.71%, and aluminum up 0.54%, with corresponding gross profit changes showing a turnaround to profit for cold-rolled steel and an increase in losses for copper and aluminum [6] - The national semi-steel tire operating rate is at 74.56%, an increase of 1.12 percentage points [6] Group 5: Specific Products - The price of oriented silicon steel has reached a new low since 2018 [7] - The price of graphite electrodes is 19,000 yuan per ton, unchanged, with a gross profit of 2,001.58 yuan per ton [7] - The price of electrolytic aluminum is 24,130 yuan per ton, with a profit of 6,911 yuan per ton (excluding tax), an increase of 1.83% [7] Group 6: Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of London spot gold to silver has reached the lowest level since 2013 [8] - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore is 4.01, and the price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel is 70 yuan per ton [8] - The price difference between small rebar (mainly used in real estate) and large rebar (mainly used in infrastructure) is 150 yuan per ton, a decrease of 25% from the previous week [8] Group 7: Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in December is 49.00%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points month-on-month [9] - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates is 1,208.75 points, a decrease of 0.09% [9] - The U.S. crude steel capacity utilization rate is 75.90%, an increase of 0.20 percentage points [9] Group 8: Valuation Percentiles - The CSI 300 index decreased by 0.62%, with the best-performing cyclical sector being oil and petrochemicals, which increased by 7.71% [10] - The PB ratio of ordinary steel and industrial metals relative to the PB of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is 34.11% and 100.00%, respectively [10] - The current PB ratio of the ordinary steel sector relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is 0.51, with the highest value since 2013 being 0.82 [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Lihigh Food, forecasts a total revenue of 4.26-4.42 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.07%-15.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 311-331 million yuan, indicating a growth of 16.06%-23.52% [4] Group 1 - In Q4 2025, the company expects a revenue of approximately 1.195 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.92%, and a net profit of 73 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 12.79% [4] - The revenue growth in Q4 2025 is anticipated to slow down due to a high base from Q4 2024 and the later timing of the 2026 Spring Festival, leading to increased promotional and incentive expenses [4] - Despite rising raw material prices in 2025, the company has improved its cost efficiency and product quality, leading to an overall enhancement in profitability [4] Group 2 - For 2026, the company has clear growth drivers, particularly in cream products benefiting from domestic substitution trends, with new products entering trial sales in January [5] - The frozen baking segment is receiving positive feedback from major customers in core supermarkets, and the company is expected to continue expanding in the new retail dining channel [5] - The company has implemented locking measures for certain raw materials in the second half of 2025, which is expected to alleviate cost pressures in 2026 [6]

点击注册小程序 （1）重点关注电新滞涨板块轮动： 氢氨醇："十五五"期间，基于中国未来产业、26年欧盟碳关税双重利好加持下，看好氢氨醇统筹、规模 化、超前建设，碳、氢等相关政策也可与化工板块形成轮动。 AIDC：黄仁勋近日到访中国，关注国产算力机会；看好国内AIDC建设，亦可配合AI应用形成板块轮动； 海外层面HVDC方案放量、SST技术合作进展有望兑现。 （2）景气度较高板块持续波段操作： 风电：欧洲行业景气度高，26年订单催化有望持续兑现；中国可再生能源学会风能专委会对国内风电 2026-2028年装机预测均为120GW。 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 整体观点： 1、本周的市场热点无疑是太空光伏：马斯克表示特斯拉与SpaceX计划未来三年在美国建设总计200GW光 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 一、消费品 消费品中电动工具、手动工具、草坪割草机以欧美高端消费市场为主。 总体表现：2025年，电动工具、手动工具、草坪割草机出口金额累计同比增速分别为-2%、-6%、+32%； 其中12月单月同比增速分别为-13%、-9%、+20%，环比变动-5pcts、-4pct、+7pcts。从边际变化看，12月 消费品出口同比增速有降有升，或与海外需求节奏波动有关。同时，近年来受全球关税扰动等影响，国内 企业加速在东南亚等地新增产能以满足北美等市场订单，因此国内海关统计的部分机械出口金额同比压力 有所增大。 北美市场：2025年，我国出口至北美地区的电动工具、手动工具、草坪割草机累计金额分别同 比-25%、-10%、-17%，其中 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 本周行情回顾： 本周SW公用事业一级板块上涨2.27%，在31个SW一级板块中排名第15；沪深300下跌0.62%，上证综指上 涨0.84%，深证成指上涨1.11%，创业板指下跌0.34%。细分子板块中，火电上涨2.71%，水电下跌0.89%， 光伏发电上涨7.21%，风力发电上涨2.82%，电能综合服务上涨4.56%，燃气上涨7.21%。 复。26年电力供需预期延续25年偏宽松态势，板块电价继续承压，但在绿电装机增长加持下，基荷电源火 电仍具备装机需求；因此我们认为火电、绿电投资回报应匹配社会的综合投资回报水平，进而满足两者可 融资性；若年度长协电价签署不及预期，依然有望提供其他措施（容量补贴提升、度电成本下行等）满足 板 ...

查看完整报告 点击注册小程序 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 地缘局势紧张加剧，地缘政治不确定性为油价提供景气基础 本周伊朗、古巴地缘局势紧张程度加剧，原油的地缘政治风险溢价上升，油价上涨。截至2026年1月23 日，布伦特、WTI原油期货价格分别报收65.44、61.28美元/桶，较上周收盘分别上涨1.9%、3.5%。古巴 方面，特朗普政府考虑对古巴石油进口实施海上封锁，该举措是控制委内瑞拉原油出口的延续。伊朗方 面，美国宣布对与伊朗相关实体及油轮实施新一轮制裁，重点指向协助伊朗石油、能源及衍生品出口的航 运和管理网络，此次被列入制裁名单的对象包括多家航运公司及其关联船只。此外，美国已派遣军舰驶向 伊朗，加剧了该地区地缘冲突升级风险。长期来看，全球局势持续动荡，地缘政治的不确定性有望为 ...

特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 2025年末，杭州银行总资产同比增长12%，较3Q末小幅下降1.8pct；其中，贷款、非信贷类资产同比增速 分别为14.3%、10.1%，较3Q末分别变动+1.7、-4.6pct。年末贷款占总资产的比重为45.3%，较年初提升 0.9pct。杭州银行深耕浙江省内及省外重点城市区域客户，在有效信贷需求不足的行业背景下，仍实现了 贷款占比提升。2025年末，制造业、科技、绿色、普惠型小微企业等贷款增速分别为22.3%、23.4%、 22.8%、17.1%，重点领域贷款投放维持高景气度。2026年开门红对公信贷投放整体良好，较往年同期有所 多增，资产投放收益率较25Q4保持稳定。 存款保持较高增速，年末存款占比升至65%以上 截至2025年末 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the key characteristics of the banking wealth management market in 2025, emphasizing the significant growth in wealth management scale, the shift towards "fixed income+" products, and the decline in average yields, while also noting the stability of the number of wealth management companies and their market share exceeding 90% [4][6]. Group 1: Scale - The wealth management scale increased by nearly 3.3 trillion yuan in 2025, achieving a year-on-year growth of 11.2%, with the end-of-year scale expected to be between 33 trillion and 34 trillion yuan [4]. - The second half of 2025 saw a significant contribution to scale growth, with 78.4% of the annual increase occurring in this period, amounting to 2.62 trillion yuan [4]. - Factors contributing to this growth included the outflow of funds from deposits, the release of "floating profits" due to valuation adjustments, and the expansion of products with embedded rights [4]. Group 2: Product Structure - Fixed income products maintained a stable share of around 97%, with internal structural shifts observed between "fixed income+" and pure fixed income products, as well as between current management and non-current management products [5]. - The transition towards comprehensive "net value" management is evident, with low to medium-risk products remaining a cornerstone, and the ratio of open-ended to closed-end wealth management products stabilizing at approximately 8:2 [5]. Group 3: Asset Allocation - The asset allocation in wealth management saw a significant increase in deposits, with the proportion of deposit-type assets rising to 28.2%, the highest in recent years [5]. - The total asset allocation scale increased by 3.53 trillion yuan in 2025, with deposits contributing 2.38 trillion yuan, while public funds and interbank lending increased by 890 billion yuan and 400 billion yuan, respectively [5]. Group 4: Wealth Management Returns - The average yield of wealth management products in 2025 was 1.98%, a decrease of 14 and 67 basis points compared to the first half of 2025 and 2024, respectively [6]. - The outlook for 2026 suggests that the customer experience regarding wealth management returns may weaken, as the yield center and performance benchmarks continue to decline [6]. Group 5: Customer Behavior and Competitive Landscape - The number of investors reached 143 million, with individual investors primarily exhibiting a conservative risk preference [7]. - The market share of wealth management companies still has room for upward movement, with distribution channels becoming a significant variable affecting institutional behavior [7].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 1、二级市场 2026年1月19日-2026年1月23日（以下简称"本周"），我国已上市公募REITs二级市场价格整体呈现上行趋 势：中证REITs（收盘）和中证REITs全收益指数分别收于806.72和1047.51，本周回报率分别为2.09%和 2.17%。与其他主流大类资产相比，回报率由高至低排序分别为：黄金>可转债> REITs >A股>原油>纯债> 美股。 从项目属性来看，本周产权类和特许经营权类REITs的二级市场价格均有所上涨，其中，产权类REITs回报 率为3.05%，特许经营权类REITs回报率为1.63%。 从底层资产类型来看，本周新型基础设施类REITs涨幅最大。本周回报率排名前三的底层资产类型分别为 新 ...

Core Viewpoint - The copper market is expected to remain tight in 2026, supporting upward price movement despite current demand pressures [2]. Supply and Demand - As of January 23, 2026, SHFE copper closed at 101,340 CNY/ton, up 0.57% from January 16, while LME copper closed at 13,129 USD/ton, up 2.54% [2]. - The TC spot price has reached a new low, indicating tight procurement of copper concentrate; cable enterprises' operating rates have increased week-on-week, but domestic social inventory continues to grow, which may suppress demand due to rising copper prices [2]. - The supply-demand outlook for 2026 remains tight, with continued optimism for rising copper prices [2]. Inventory - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 2.9%, while LME copper inventory rose by 16.9% [3]. - As of January 23, 2026, domestic mainstream port copper concentrate inventory stood at 719,000 tons, up 4.1% from the previous week [3]. - Global electrolytic copper inventory totaled 960,000 tons, up 6.2% from January 16; LME copper global inventory was 172,000 tons, up 16.9% [3]. Supply - The price difference between refined copper and scrap copper decreased by 526 CNY/ton week-on-week [4]. - In October 2025, China's copper concentrate production was 130,000 tons, down 8.1% month-on-month and 12.1% year-on-year; global copper concentrate production in November was 1.923 million tons, down 1.9% year-on-year and 0.6% month-on-month [4]. Smelting - The TC spot price reached -50 USD/ton, marking a historical low [5]. - In December 2025, China's electrolytic copper production was 1.1781 million tons, up 6.8% month-on-month and 7.5% year-on-year [5]. - In December 2025, electrolytic copper imports were 260,000 tons, down 4.0% month-on-month and 29.8% year-on-year; exports were 96,000 tons, down 32.7% month-on-month but up 473.4% year-on-year [5]. Demand - The cable industry accounts for approximately 31% of domestic copper demand, with cable enterprises' operating rate at 58.71%, up 2.72 percentage points week-on-week [6]. - The air conditioning sector, which represents about 13% of domestic copper demand, is projected to see production changes of +11%, -11.4%, and -2.4% from January to March 2026 [6]. - Copper rod production, accounting for about 4.2% of domestic copper demand, had a brass rod operating rate of 52.74%, up 2.56 percentage points month-on-month but down 3.40 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Futures - As of January 23, 2026, the SHFE copper active contract position increased by 6.4% week-on-week, with a total position of 231,000 lots [7]. - The COMEX non-commercial net long position was 53,000 lots, down 1.6% week-on-week [7].