Group 1: Market Overview - The market is expected to maintain a consolidation state due to intertwined internal and external factors, with short-term external risks potentially having peaked [3] - Domestic policies remain proactive, and it is anticipated that these policies will continue to be implemented, supporting economic recovery [3] - The export sector is expected to maintain high growth in the short term, while consumption will be a key driver of economic recovery [3] Group 2: Financial Engineering Insights - A-shares showed a fluctuating upward trend, with small-cap stocks outperforming [4] - The market is currently in a low-volume range, and there is a cautious signal from the volume timing indicators [4] - There has been a noticeable net outflow from stock ETFs, indicating profit-taking behavior among investors [4] Group 3: Quantitative Analysis - The market continues to exhibit significant small-cap characteristics, with the PB-ROE combination yielding an excess return of 3.35% [5] - Public and private fund strategies have outperformed the CSI 800 index, achieving excess returns of 3.37% and 1.31%, respectively [5] - The directed issuance combination has also outperformed the CSI All Index by 1.97% [5] Group 4: Oil and Gas Sector - The "Three Oil Giants" are expected to maintain high capital expenditures and focus on increasing reserves and production, with planned growth rates of 1.6%, 1.3%, and 5.9% for 2025 [6] - The companies are enhancing independent innovation to tackle critical technologies in the petrochemical sector, aiming for high-quality development and a green transition [6] Group 5: Agriculture and Livestock - The pig farming sector is experiencing short-term pressure on prices due to high inventory levels, but policies are driving a reduction in inventory [7] - The industry is expected to enter a long-term profit upcycle once the inventory reduction phase concludes [7] Group 6: Coal Industry - Coal prices are stabilizing, with expectations of reduced volatility in the near future [8] - Recent insights from China Coal Energy indicate that thermal coal prices are nearing the bottom, with a potential for further stabilization [8] - The government is focused on ensuring energy supply stability during peak summer demand periods [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery due to increased risk appetite, with the ChiNext index leading the gains at 2.3% while the Shanghai 50 index saw the smallest increase of 0.4% [3] Market Performance - The overall A-share market experienced a divergence this week, with major indices generally rising. The valuation of the entire A-share market is currently at a medium level historically since 2010 [3] - The communication, non-ferrous metals, and electronics sectors performed relatively well, with respective increases of 5.3%, 3.7%, and 3.6%. In contrast, the household appliances, food and beverage, and transportation sectors saw declines of 1.8%, 1.1%, and 0.5% [3] Domestic and External Factors - Recent domestic events include the launch of the "Service Consumption Season" by the Ministry of Commerce and the deployment of policies for the 2025 New Energy Vehicles initiative. Externally, significant events include a phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump, and the SEC tightening regulations on foreign companies listed in the U.S. [4] - The domestic economy remains stable, supported by growth policies, which are expected to provide a cushion for the market. Despite potential market fluctuations, supportive funds are likely to flow into the stock market to stabilize it [4] Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a consolidation phase, with external risks potentially limiting further upward movement. The current level of the Shanghai index is near the points seen in early April, making upward breakthroughs challenging [5] - Short-term external risks may have peaked, but vigilance regarding Trump's policy changes is necessary. Domestic policies are expected to continue to be implemented, with consumption remaining a key driver of economic recovery [5] Investment Focus - Attention should be given to three main lines of investment: 1. Domestic consumption, with a focus on home goods, food processing, professional services, and leisure foods, as policies to expand domestic demand are expected to catalyze growth [6] 2. Domestic substitution, focusing on industries with high import ratios from the U.S. and strong domestic supply capabilities, such as publishing and building materials, as well as sectors like aerospace equipment and medical devices that are expected to improve domestic supply [6] Fund Allocation - The "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" may have a profound impact on fund allocation, with sectors currently underweight by funds, such as banking, non-bank financials, public utilities, and transportation, being worth attention in the medium to long term [7]

点击注册小程序 2025 年以来地缘政治局势不确定性较强，我国能源安全受到较多外部挑战。" 三桶油"将继续维持高资本开 支，大力推进"增储上产"， 2025 年计划分别增长 1.6% 、 1.3% 、 5.9% 。 （ 1 ）中国石油 聚焦重点盆地重点 地区加大风险勘探力度，把天然气业务作为战略性、成长性和价值性工程大力发展， 2024 年天然气产量占油 气当量产量的 54.4% ，持续推动非常规油气勘探突破与规模建产。 （ 2 ）中国石化 将加快攻克深层超深层油 气等核心技术，实现勘探大突破、油气稳增长、盈亏平衡点持续下降，促进上游业务的可持续发展。 （ 3 ） 中国海油 在国内推动新油田上产和老油田稳产， 2025 年已有番禺 10/11 区块联合开发项目、东方 29-1 气田开 发项目、渤中 26-6 油田开发项目（一期）等多项目投产。 坚持自主创新强化科技攻关，谋求高质量发展 " 三桶油 " 加强自主创新，大力攻关石油化工领域的 " 卡脖子 " 技术，推动公司实现高质量发展。 中国石油 制定创新任务时间表，确定 2025 年至本世纪中叶的四阶段发展目标， 2024 年，中国石油取得深地钻探关键技 术、 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 以下文章来源于债券人 ，作者光大证券固收研究 债券人 . 唯有进行扎实的基本面研究，方能行稳致远。 转债价格的均值为121.66元（上周为120.19元），分位值为81.3%（上周为72.9%）； 转债平价的均值为93.22元（上周为92.52元），分位值为65.9%（上周为61.5%）； 转债转股溢价率的均值为29.8%（上周为30.3%），分位值为59.9%（上周为60.9%）；其中，中平价（转 股价值为90至110元之间）可转债的转股溢价率为24.2%（上周为23.4%），高于2018年以来中平价转债转 股溢价率的中位数（19.8%）。 3、可转债表现和配置方向 本周转债市场继续回暖，本周中证转债指数录得+1.1%涨幅。 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 5月降准降息等一揽子货币政策"组合拳"落地，利率频谱系统性下移，存款降息后一般存款"脱媒"与"搬 家"潜在压力上升，对同业存单价格产生扰动，但全月货币市场流动性整体稳定。 进入6月，信贷投放季节性加码，政府债仍将保持一定发行强度，同业存单到期量偏大；但同时考虑到季 末月份财政多支少收、理财等非银资金回表、大型银行注资完成等因素，叠加中央银行"不松不紧"的态 度，预计银行间流动性仍延续中性偏松状态，季末流动性紧缩概率不大。具体观点如下： 一、货币政策进一步加码概率较小，流动性总闸门维持"不松不紧" 往后看，短期内货币政策进一步加力概率较小： 从经济形势看，5月中美日内瓦经贸会谈结果超预期，外贸环境较前期有所改善，预计2Q经济增长有望延 续在 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【宏观】非农数据高于预期，美联储或更偏观望——2025年5月美国非农数据点评兼光大宏观周报（2025- 06-07） 2025年6月3日-2025年6月6日，我国已上市公募REITs二级市场价格整体呈现上行趋势：加权REITs指数收 于142.42，本周回报率为1.74%。与其他主流大类资产相比，回报率由高至低排序分别为：原油>可转债> 黄金>REITs>A股>美股>纯债。本周主力净流入总额为905万元，市场交投热情有所增长。 （张旭） 2025-06-07 您可点击今日推送内容的第3条查看 2025年5月美国新增就业高于市场预期，失业率也稳定在4.2%，显示美国就业市场相对稳健。其中，5月 底美国迎来阵亡将士纪念日， ...

事件： 2025年6月6日，美国劳工部公布2025年5月非农数据：新增非农就业13.9万人，预期13.0万人，前值由17.7 万人修正为14.7万人；5月失业率4.2%，预期4.2%，前值4.2%；平均时薪同比升3.9%，预期升3.7%，前值 由升3.8%修正至升3.9%。 核心观点： 2025年5月美国新增就业高于市场预期，缓和经济衰退担忧。5月非农就业人口增13.9万人，高于市场预期 的增13.0万人，失业率也稳定在4.2%，显示美国就业市场相对稳健。其中，5月底美国迎来阵亡将士纪念 日，拉动出行需求，休闲酒店业新增就业升至+4.8万人，高于前值的+2.9万人，是5月就业数据保持稳定的 主要贡献项。 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 2025年5月劳动参 ...

Market Overview - The secondary market for publicly listed REITs in China showed an upward trend during the week of June 3-6, 2025, with a weighted REITs index closing at 142.42 and a weekly return of 1.74% [2] - In comparison to other major asset classes, the return rates ranked from highest to lowest are: crude oil, convertible bonds, gold, REITs, A-shares, US stocks, and pure bonds [2] - Among different project attributes, both property-type REITs and concession-type REITs experienced overall price increases, with concession-type REITs showing a larger increase [2] - The municipal facilities REITs had the highest increase in returns, followed by transportation infrastructure and water conservancy facilities [2] Individual REIT Performance - A total of 54 REITs increased in value while 12 decreased during the week, with the top three gainers being China Merchants Highway REIT, Huatai Jiangsu Transportation REIT, and Ping An Ningbo Transportation REIT [2] - The total trading volume for publicly offered REITs was 2.09 billion yuan, with water conservancy facilities REITs leading in average daily turnover rate [2] - The average daily turnover rate for all listed REITs was 0.67% during the week [2] Trading Activity - The top three REITs by trading volume were Huaxia Hefei High-tech REIT, Bosera Shekou Industrial Park REIT, and Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT [3] - The top three REITs by trading value were Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT, CICC Anhui Transportation REIT, and Guojin China Railway Construction REIT [3] - The total net inflow from major investors was 9.05 million yuan, indicating increased market trading enthusiasm, with the top three asset types for net inflow being transportation infrastructure, park infrastructure, and water conservancy facilities [3] Bulk Trading - The total amount of bulk trading reached 123.93 million yuan, showing an increase from the previous week, with four trading days featuring bulk transactions [3] - The highest single-day bulk trading amount was 38.25 million yuan on June 4, 2025 [3] - The top three REITs by bulk trading value were CICC Yinyi Consumption REIT, Huaxin Zhangjiang Industrial Park REIT, and CICC Shandong Expressway REIT [3] Primary Market - No new REIT products were launched during the week [5] - As of the end of the week, there were 28 REITs awaiting listing, including 16 for initial issuance and 12 for expansion [5]

特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 受政策及监管的影响，我国的农药产品结构不断优化 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 ST红太阳上调氯虫苯甲酰胺价格，氯虫苯甲酰胺成本端支撑偏强 友道化学的工厂爆炸将影响氯虫苯甲酰胺原药的短期供应，从而有望推升价格。此外，目前氯虫苯甲酰胺的上 游中间体K胺市场供应紧缺，氯虫苯甲酰胺的成本端支撑偏强。根据百川盈孚数据，5月30日，氯虫苯甲酰胺 市场部分成交价格参考23万元/吨，相较5月29日的涨幅为2.22%。25年6月5日，ST红太阳发布调价函，称由于 上游原材料供应受限，主要原材料货紧价扬，导致公司氯虫苯甲酰胺成本急剧上升，受此影响，97%氯虫苯甲 酰胺产品价格调整至30万元/吨，限量供应。行业产能布局方面，ST红太阳具有年产2000吨氯虫苯甲酰胺的产 能，另有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to invest 1.402 billion yuan in a high-performance carbon fiber project, aiming for an annual production capacity of 2,000 tons, with a projected annual revenue of 158.8 million yuan and a net profit of 77.374 million yuan upon reaching full capacity in the seventh year [2][3]. Group 1: Project Overview - The project will utilize self-owned funds to construct a high-performance carbon fiber production facility, with a total investment of 1.402 billion yuan and a construction period of 3 years [2][3]. - The project aims to produce T700 grade and above high-strength carbon fibers, addressing the growing market demand and expanding the company's production capacity [3][4]. Group 2: Market Demand and Growth - The demand for carbon fiber is expected to grow significantly, with global demand projected at 156,100 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, and the aerospace and military sectors accounting for 26,400 tons of this demand [5]. - In China, the total demand for carbon fiber is anticipated to reach 84,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.7%, with the aerospace and military sectors demanding 9,000 tons [5]. Group 3: Competitive Advantage - The company has achieved advanced performance levels in its aerospace-grade carbon fibers, surpassing international standards, and has successfully transitioned from imitation to independent innovation in key materials for aviation [4]. - The expansion of production capacity is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge, particularly in high-end applications within the aerospace sector [4].