Group 1: TMT Sector - TMT theme funds experienced significant net value decline, while passive funds increased their positions in TMT theme products. The overall stock market saw fluctuations, with consumer and new energy theme funds performing well, while other theme funds struggled. A total of 24.3 billion yuan flowed out of mid and large-cap theme ETFs, while Hong Kong stock ETFs saw inflows exceeding 10 billion yuan [5]. Group 2: Metals Sector - The prices of non-ferrous metals fell across the board, but gold, tungsten, molybdenum, and vanadium prices increased month-on-month. The financing environment index for small and medium enterprises rose by 6.62% to 50.27 in January. Weekly inventory levels for hot-rolled coils were at a five-year low, while the price of oriented silicon steel hit a new low since 2018 [5][6]. Group 3: Renewable Energy and Environmental Protection - The market remains optimistic about space photovoltaic developments, with a focus on auxiliary materials and equipment. The hydrogen and ammonia sector performed well, with expectations for future carbon policies to enhance green electricity consumption. The dual control of carbon and non-electric applications is anticipated to drive supply optimization [7]. Group 4: Public Utilities - The utilization rates for wind and solar power in 2025 were 94.3% and 94.8%, respectively, both showing year-on-year declines. There is a positive outlook for non-electric applications of renewable energy and direct connections for green electricity, with recommendations to focus on companies like Electric Investment Green Energy and Jinkai New Energy [8]. Group 5: Pharmaceutical Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments issued a plan for the high-quality development of traditional Chinese medicine, aiming for a collaborative system by 2030. This policy is expected to raise compliance thresholds and enhance industry concentration, benefiting leading companies with strong integration, quality control, and research capabilities [8]. Group 6: Company Analysis - Yujian Xiaomian - Yujian Xiaomian, a leading chain of Sichuan-Chongqing flavor noodle restaurants, is expanding its national presence through a combination of direct and franchise operations. The company has shown continuous revenue growth and profitability improvements, despite challenges such as high debt and rental costs. The management team is experienced, and operational optimization is expected to further enhance profitability [9].

Core Viewpoint - Short-term copper prices are fluctuating, but the outlook for copper prices is positive for 2026 due to ongoing supply-demand tightness [4]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of February 6, 2026, SHFE copper closed at 100,100 CNY/ton, down 3.45% from January 30, while LME copper closed at 13,060 USD/ton, down 0.08% [4]. - The market perceives a low probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in March 2026, which supports overall commodity sentiment [4]. Group 2: Inventory - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 4.0%, while LME copper inventory rose by 4.9% [5]. - As of February 6, 2026, domestic mainstream port copper concentrate inventory stood at 638,000 tons, down 5.2% from the previous week [5]. - Global electrolytic copper inventory totaled 1,021,000 tons, up 3.6% from January 30, with LME copper inventory at 183,000 tons, up 4.9% [5]. Group 3: Supply - The price difference between refined copper and scrap copper decreased by 504 CNY/ton this week [6]. - In October 2025, China's copper concentrate production was 137,000 tons, up 12.9% month-on-month but down 9.9% year-on-year [6]. - Global copper concentrate production in November was 1,923,000 tons, down 1.9% year-on-year and 0.6% month-on-month [6]. Group 4: Smelting - The TC spot price reached a new low this week, at -51.23 USD/ton, down 0.9 USD/ton from January 30 [7]. - In January 2026, China's electrolytic copper production was 1,179,300 tons, up 0.1% month-on-month and 16.3% year-on-year [7]. - In December 2025, electrolytic copper imports were 260,000 tons, down 4.0% month-on-month and 29.8% year-on-year [7]. Group 5: Demand - Cable manufacturing, which accounts for 31% of domestic copper demand, saw an increase in operating rate to 60.15%, up 0.69 percentage points from the previous week [8]. - Air conditioning production, which represents 13% of domestic copper demand, is projected to decline by 31.6% in February, 6.5% in March, and increase by 4.0% in April [8]. - Copper rod production, accounting for 4.2% of domestic copper demand, had a January operating rate of 50.86%, down 1.9 percentage points month-on-month but up 9.2 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Group 6: Futures - As of February 6, 2026, SHFE copper active contract positions decreased by 21.4% to 175,000 lots, placing the position at the 47th percentile since 1995 [9]. - COMEX non-commercial net long positions were 48,000 lots, down 1.2% from the previous week, at the 77th percentile since 1990 [9].

Liquidity - The BCI small and medium enterprise financing environment index increased by 6.62% month-on-month to 50.27 in January 2026 [4] - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -4.7 percentage points in December 2025, a month-on-month decrease of 1.6 percentage points [4] - The current price of London gold is $4,967 per ounce [4] Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - Weekly inventory of hot-rolled steel is at a low level compared to the same period over the past five years [5] - Price changes this week include rebar at -0.93%, cement price index at -0.28%, rubber at -2.45%, coke at 0.00%, coking coal at -1.28%, and iron ore at -3.99% [5] - National blast furnace capacity utilization rate, cement, and asphalt operating rates changed by +0.00 percentage points, -3.40 percentage points, and -1.3 percentage points respectively [5] Real Estate Completion Chain - Prices of titanium dioxide and glass are at low levels, with titanium dioxide price unchanged and glass price up by 0.28% [6] - The gross profit for titanium dioxide is -1,880 yuan per ton, while the flat glass operating rate is 73.89% this week [6] Industrial Products Chain - The operating rate of semi-steel tires is at a five-year high [7] - Major commodity price changes this week include cold-rolled steel at -0.53%, copper at -4.34%, and aluminum at -6.21%, with corresponding gross profit changes of turning losses into profits and a loss increase of 10.37% and 17.83% respectively [7] - The national semi-steel tire operating rate is 72.76%, a decrease of 2.08 percentage points [7] Subcategories - The price of oriented silicon steel has reached a new low since 2018 [8] - The price of graphite electrodes is 19,000 yuan per ton, unchanged, with a gross profit of 1,944.04 yuan per ton, up by 1.17% [8] - The price of electrolytic aluminum is 23,110 yuan per ton, down by 6.21%, with a calculated profit of 6,072 yuan per ton (excluding tax), down by 17.83% [8] - The price of electrolytic copper is 100,100 yuan per ton, down by 4.34% [8] - The price of tungsten concentrate is 674,500 yuan per ton, up by 11.49% from last week [8] Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore is 4.09 this week [10] - The price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel is 60 yuan per ton this week [10] - The price difference between Shanghai cold-rolled steel and hot-rolled steel reached 370 yuan per ton, an increase of 10 yuan per ton [10] - The price ratio of stainless steel hot-rolled to electrolytic nickel is 0.10 [10] - The price difference between small rebar (mainly used in real estate) and large rebar (mainly used in infrastructure) is 180 yuan per ton this week, a decrease of 10.00% from last week [10] - The price difference between medium-thick plates and rebar steel is 110 yuan per ton this week [10] Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in January is 47.80%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points month-on-month [11] - The China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) composite index is 1,122.15 points this week, down by 4.55% [11] - The capacity utilization rate for crude steel in the U.S. is 76.00%, a decrease of 0.90 percentage points [11] - Starting January 1, 2026, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs will implement export licensing management for certain steel products, which is expected to further regulate China's steel product exports [11] Valuation Percentiles - The CSI 300 index decreased by 1.33% this week, with the best-performing cyclical sector being engineering machinery at +4.35% [12] - The PB ratio of ordinary steel and industrial metals relative to the PB ratio of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is currently 60.06% and 84.30% respectively [12] - The PB ratio of the ordinary steel sector relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is currently 0.50, with the highest value since 2013 being 0.82, reached in August 2017 [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article introduces a "Five-Dimensional Industry Comparison Framework" that evaluates industries based on market style, fundamentals, capital flow, trading, and valuation, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive analysis of factors influencing stock prices [4]. Group 1: Five-Dimensional Industry Comparison Framework - The framework scores industries equally across five dimensions during non-earnings seasons, while giving higher weight to fundamentals during earnings seasons and reducing the weight of market style and valuation [4]. - Historical backtesting from 2016 to February 2025 shows that industries with higher scores in this framework tend to perform better, with annualized returns of 11.8% for the top group and -10.5% for the bottom group [5]. - A long-short strategy that involves going long on the top group and shorting the bottom group yields an annualized return of 23.7% with a Sharpe ratio of 1.69 [5]. Group 2: February Subjective Factor Judgments - The framework includes subjective judgments in three dimensions: market style, capital flow, and valuation. It is anticipated that economic resilience will be moderate, with market sentiment expected to fluctuate, favoring a growth style [6]. - It is expected that public funds will see net inflows, with financing funds likely to dominate future capital flows [6]. - Market sentiment is predicted to strengthen, which may benefit high-valuation industries [6]. Group 3: February Industry Allocation Viewpoint - Based on the subjective judgments for February, the framework suggests a focus on growth sectors, with high-valuation sectors being particularly noteworthy [7]. - Industries such as electronics, power equipment, machinery, non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, and computers are expected to score high and warrant investor attention [8].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 量化市场跟踪 大类因子表现： 本周全市场股票池中，杠杆因子获取正收益0.38%；市值因子、Beta因子和非线性市值因子分别获取负收 益-0.83%、-0.45%、-0.43%；市场小市值风格显著；动量因子获取负收益-0.32%，市场表现为反转效应； 其余风格因子表现一般。 单因子表现： 沪深300股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有经营现金流比率 (2.56%)、大单净流入 (2.23%)、动量调整大单 (2.21%)。表现较差的因子有净利润断层 (-2.15%)、单季度净利润同比增长率 (-2.12%)、单季度ROA同比 (-1.81%)。 本周，基本面因子在各行业表现分化，每股净资产因子、每股经营利润TTM因子在家用电器、美容 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Three Barrel Oil" groups emphasize energy security and transformation for the upcoming years, aiming to enhance their core oil and gas operations while striving to become world-class energy resource groups [4][5][6][7]. Group Summaries China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) - CNPC aims to achieve high-quality development by 2030, focusing on value creation and modern governance while advancing state-owned enterprise reforms [5]. - The company emphasizes its strategic mission of "building value projects for a better future" and plans to implement five major strategies to enhance core competitiveness [5]. China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) - Sinopec's "second entrepreneurship" is a strategic choice to address new challenges, focusing on high-quality development as the central task during the 14th Five-Year Plan [6]. - The company aims to establish a new industrial pattern characterized by "one foundation, two wings, three chains, and four innovations" [6]. China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) - CNOOC plans to strengthen its core oil and gas operations, enhance exploration breakthroughs, and accelerate overseas production [8]. - The company is also focusing on refining, chemical, and new materials industries while strategically developing "electricity, hydrogen, and carbon" businesses [8]. - CNOOC aims to improve its technological innovation capabilities and digital intelligence levels [8].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 本周市场核心观点： 本周（2026.02.02-2026.02.06，下同）A股市场震荡回落，主要宽基指数量能持续收缩。截至周五 （2025.02.06），主要宽基指数量能择时指标维持谨慎信号。资金面方面，股票型ETF资金延续净流出、 净流出幅度环比上周大幅收窄，被动资金情绪或有缓和。 行业主题表现方面，受黄金等重要资源品价格回落影响，A股资源品相关板块周度表现不佳，TMT整体表 现亦受拖累，消费、金融等表现相对占优。市场交易情绪短期尚未出现提振，后市或延续震荡上行表现， 中长线持续看好"红利+科技"配置主线，短线"红利"方向或占优。 本周市场各指数均表现为下跌，上证综指下跌1.27%，上证50下跌0.93%，沪深300下跌1 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 中央一号文件发布，农化行业稳健发展将奠定农业强国基础 农药：价格筑底行业景气有待改善，关注国产创制农药放量进展 农药行业整体仍处于周期底部磨底阶段，主流原药及除草剂品种的价格维持在较低水平。根据iFinD数 据，截至2月6日国内农药原药以及除草剂、杀虫剂、杀菌剂农药原药价格指数分别为 70.37/77.05/62.66/69.32点，均处于历史偏底部位置，且近期波动幅度较小。我们认为随着库存周期的见 底以及全球农业需求的稳定修复，行业整体景气度呈现出边际好转的趋势。此外，在供给端"反内卷"与产 能自然减压的过程中，行业的竞争重点已由单纯的规模扩张转向技术驱动的附加值提升。我们一方面看好 拥有完整产品和中间体产能布局的行业头部企 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【策略】持股过节，关注成长——2026年2月五维行业比较观点 2月行业配置观点：关注成长板块。结合我们对于2月主观因素的判断，五维行业比较框架视角下，预计市场风 格或主要偏向成长，高估值板块相对更值得关注。从打分的情况来看，电子、电力设备、机械设备、有色金 属、通信、计算机等行业得分较高，未来或值得投资者重点关注。 （张宇生/王国兴）2026-02-08 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【金工】市场小市值风格显著，大宗交易组合再创新高——量化组合跟踪周报20260207 本周全市场股票池中，杠杆因子获取正收益0.38%；市值因子、Beta因子和非线性市值因子分别获取负收 益-0.83%、-0.45%、-0.43%；市场 ...

Primary Market - In the week from February 2 to February 6, 2026, a total of 432 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 399.33 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.10% week-on-week [4] - Among the issuances, industrial bonds accounted for 184 bonds with an issuance scale of 166.02 billion yuan, down 30.88%, representing 41.57% of the total issuance [4] - Local government bonds issued 210 bonds with an issuance scale of 141.50 billion yuan, an increase of 19.61%, making up 35.43% of the total [4] - Financial bonds totaled 38 bonds with an issuance scale of 91.82 billion yuan, down 17.94%, accounting for 22.99% of the total [4] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 2.82 years, with industrial bonds at 2.29 years, local government bonds at 3.49 years, and financial bonds at 2.19 years [4] - The average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.13%, with industrial bonds at 2.03%, local government bonds at 2.25%, and financial bonds at 1.91% [4] - Four credit bonds were canceled during the week [4] Secondary Market - In terms of credit spreads, the largest increase for AAA-rated industries was in food and beverage, up 2.2 basis points, while the largest decrease was in light industry, down 1.2 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated industries, the largest increase was in non-ferrous metals, up 5.6 basis points, and the largest decrease was in agriculture, down 2.4 basis points [5] - The largest increase for AA-rated industries was in non-bank financials, up 1.8 basis points, while the largest decrease was in computers, down 6.3 basis points [5] - Regionally, the largest increase in AAA-rated local government bonds was in Jilin, up 5.9 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Inner Mongolia, down 2.1 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated local government bonds, the largest increase was in Beijing, up 5.8 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Fujian, down 2.7 basis points [5] - The largest increase for AA-rated local government bonds was in Guangxi, up 1.5 basis points, while the largest decrease was in Yunnan, down 6.7 basis points [5] Trading Volume - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1,470.41 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.17% week-on-week [6] - The top three categories by trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes [6] - Commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 497.06 billion yuan, down 8.95%, accounting for 33.80% of the total trading volume [6] - Corporate bonds had a trading volume of 413.42 billion yuan, down 9.23%, representing 28.12% of the total [6] - Medium-term notes had a trading volume of 312.07 billion yuan, down 7.75%, making up 21.22% of the total [6]