点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 截至2025年公募基金持有房地产业股票组合（证监会行业）总市值388亿元（2025年三季度末为558亿 元），占净值比例0.10%（2025年三季度末为0.15%），占股票投资市值比例0.43%（2025年三季度末为 0.62%），相对于标准行业配置比例低配0.67个百分点（2025年三季度末为0.64个百分点）。 1）1月15日，央行宣布各类再贷款一年期利率从1.5%下调到1.25%，央行2024年5月设立的3000亿元保障 性住房再贷款利率同步降至1.25%。 2）1月22日，上海奉贤发展（集团）在公众号发文，"以旧换新"服务已完成首批50组家庭的正式登记，建 立动态轮候机制，目前有14组家庭进入轮候（如前50组家庭因故退出，轮候家庭按顺序递补）。1月25 日，杭州富阳乐居（杭州富阳城市建设投资集团下属全资子公司）推出商品住房"以旧换新"，由富阳乐居 收购符合条件的旧房，并向旧房权属人（简称"换房人"）发放"以旧换新抵价券"（旧房收购成交价格） 及"以旧换新购房券"用于换房人购置新房。 3）2026年2月2日，上海浦东、静安、徐汇三区和建设银行上海分行进行签约，收购二手住房用 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in January was weak, with varying delivery numbers among major manufacturers, indicating potential challenges in the market [4]. Group 1: January NEV Performance - Li Auto's delivery volume decreased by 7.5% year-on-year and 37.5% month-on-month to 27,668 units [4] - NIO's delivery volume increased by 96.1% year-on-year but decreased by 43.5% month-on-month to 27,182 units, with the NIO brand up by 162.8% year-on-year [4] - Xpeng's delivery volume fell by 34.1% year-on-year and 46.6% month-on-month to 20,011 units [4] Group 2: New Model Launches - BYD announced new long-range versions of its models on January 7, 2026, to enhance product competitiveness [5] - Xpeng officially launched several new models on January 8, 2026, focusing on cost-effectiveness and intelligence [5] - Aito's M7 extended-range version was launched on January 13, 2026, and Leado's L60 model was launched on January 16, 2026 [5] Group 3: Purchase Incentives - Tesla is offering various financial incentives and reduced delivery times for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles [6] - Li Auto has shortened delivery times for several models and extended purchase subsidies into February [6] - NIO and Xpeng have also adjusted delivery times and introduced low-interest financing options across their vehicle ranges [6][7] Group 4: AI Transformation and Material Cost Pressures - New energy vehicle companies are actively transitioning towards AI, with plans for humanoid robot production lines [8] - The prices of upstream materials such as copper, aluminum, and lithium carbonate have been rising since the end of 2025, which may pressure vehicle gross margins [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for 2025, with revenue growth but significant declines in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite increased sales [4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025, the company's operating revenue increased by 10.2% year-on-year to 222.79 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 21.7% to 9.91 billion yuan [4]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw a revenue increase of 15.5% year-on-year and 13.0% quarter-on-quarter to 69.21 billion yuan, but net profit dropped by 43.5% year-on-year and 44.4% quarter-on-quarter to 1.28 billion yuan [4]. - The company's non-recurring net profit for 2025 fell by 36.5% year-on-year to 6.16 billion yuan, with a significant decline in per vehicle profitability [4]. Group 2: Strategic Developments - The company achieved a 7.3% year-on-year increase in total vehicle sales to 1.324 million units in 2025, with a notable 25.4% increase in new energy vehicle sales to 404,000 units [5]. - The high-end strategy is showing results, with the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle rising by 2.7% year-on-year to 168,300 yuan [5]. - The company is expanding its brand value through models like the Tank brand and the Wey brand, focusing on a dual flagship strategy to enhance market presence [5]. Group 3: Global Expansion - The company's overseas sales grew by 11.7% year-on-year to 506,000 units, accounting for 38.2% of total sales in 2025 [6]. - The launch of the "Guiyuan" platform, which supports multiple powertrain types, is expected to drive new vehicle cycles and enhance global competitiveness [6]. - The establishment of a factory in Brazil is anticipated to boost sales in Latin American markets, contributing to future growth [6].

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Qicai Chemical and Deepverse aims to establish an AI-driven laboratory to enhance the research and development of high-performance materials, transitioning from traditional trial-and-error methods to data-driven predictive models [4][5]. Group 1: Collaboration Details - Qicai Chemical, a leader in high-performance organic pigments, is expanding into high-end new materials, focusing on complex chemical products like MXD6 nylon and PPDI polyurethane elastomers [5]. - Deepverse leverages materials informatics, artificial intelligence, and high-throughput experimentation to accelerate the development of new materials by integrating cross-domain data [5]. - The partnership aims to create a long-term collaborative research mechanism, enhancing efficiency, quality, and iterative processes in material development [5]. Group 2: Policy and Industry Context - Since the second half of 2025, the Chinese government has been actively promoting the integration of AI in various industries, including chemicals, through a series of policies aimed at enhancing productivity and innovation [6][7]. - The policies emphasize the need for AI to improve quality and efficiency in the petrochemical and new materials sectors, marking a shift towards intelligent transformation as a foundation for high-quality development [6][7]. Group 3: Industry Challenges and Opportunities - The chemical industry is currently navigating a phase of "stabilizing growth" and "anti-involution," facing weak macro demand despite attempts to improve profitability through collaboration [8]. - Companies are encouraged to adopt AI technologies to shorten product development cycles and optimize production processes, which can mitigate cost fluctuations and enhance operational quality [8]. - Firms that successfully implement intelligent transformations are expected to maintain resilience during industry downturns and capitalize on recovery phases [8].

Group 1: Market Overview - The market sentiment is currently high, with over 60% of stocks in the CSI 300 index showing an upward trend, indicating a slight decrease in the proportion of rising stocks compared to the previous month [5] - Momentum indicators suggest a bullish outlook for the near future, with both fast and slow lines trending upwards [5] - The CSI 300 index is currently in a sentiment boom zone, reflecting positive market conditions [5] Group 2: Real Estate Sector - Multiple regions have initiated old housing buyback programs, accelerating the "old for new" strategy, which is expected to stabilize the real estate market [6] - Shanghai's Fengxian district has completed the first batch of registrations for 50 families under the "old for new" program, while Hangzhou's Fuyang district has also launched similar initiatives [6] - The government’s direct purchase of second-hand homes is aimed at promoting sales and reducing inventory, signaling a potential recovery in the housing market [6] Group 3: Automotive Sector - In January, the performance of new energy vehicles was weak, with various automakers increasing purchase incentives [8] - Li Auto's delivery volume decreased by 7.5% year-on-year and 37.5% month-on-month to 27,668 units; NIO's deliveries increased by 96.1% year-on-year but fell by 43.5% month-on-month to 27,182 units; Xpeng's deliveries dropped by 34.1% year-on-year and 46.6% month-on-month to 20,011 units [8] Group 4: Chemical Sector - Qicai Chemical and Huanliang Technology have established an AI laboratory to significantly shorten product development cycles, marking a shift from experience-driven to model-driven approaches in the chemical industry [7] - The implementation of AI in the chemical sector is becoming essential due to national policies and the need to reduce competition [7] Group 5: Company Performance - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials expects to turn a profit in 2025, projecting a net profit of 16-20 million yuan, and plans to raise 186 million yuan for expanding its BPEF projects [8] - Baihehua plans to invest up to 100 million yuan in a project to produce 1,000 tons of PEEK materials annually, capitalizing on the growing market for high-end applications [8] - Great Wall Motors reported a 10.2% increase in revenue to 222.79 billion yuan for 2025, but net profit fell by 21.7% to 9.91 billion yuan, indicating pressure on profitability [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, with a projected net profit of 16-20 million yuan, compared to previous losses [4] Group 1: Company Performance - In 2025, the company anticipates a significant recovery in the agricultural pesticide sector, leading to improved performance due to the effective digestion of high inventory levels [5] - The subsidiary Fujian Gaobao has significantly reduced its losses, with a projected net profit loss of approximately -68.98 million yuan in 2024 [5] - The company has implemented technological upgrades to reduce material and energy consumption, optimizing production efficiency and adjusting product structures, resulting in a double-digit revenue growth year-on-year for 2025 [5] Group 2: Capital Raising and Expansion Plans - The company plans to raise 186 million yuan through a private placement to fund the construction of new projects, including an annual production capacity of 2,000 tons of BPEF and 500 tons of BPF [6] - The total investment for the BPEF and BPF projects is estimated at 194 million yuan, with 134 million yuan coming from the raised funds [6] - The expansion aims to meet the rapid growth in downstream product demand and ensure raw material supply for the new production lines [6]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 由于PEEK材料具有耐热性、耐磨性、耐疲劳性、耐辐照性、耐剥离性、抗蠕变性、尺寸稳定性、耐冲击 性、耐化学药品性、无毒、阻燃等优异的综合性能，在电子电气、航空航天、汽车、能源及其他工业、医 疗等多个领域得到广泛应用。PEEK 自 1978 年商业化生产以来，生产能力不断提升，消费量也稳步增 长。2024年全球 PEEK 消费量约 10000 吨，同比增长 13.8%，据预测2027 年全球市场规模达 12.26 亿美 金。随着全球电子电气、航空航天和汽车产能不断向中国以及东南亚地区转移，这些地区 PEEK 市场的增 长速度远超欧洲。其中，中国是PEEK 需求快速增长区域，成为全球重要的市场之一。国内 PEEK 市场增 长迅猛，需求量从2018 年1100吨增至 2024 年 3904 吨，2024 年市场规模达 14.55 亿元。PEEK材料有望凭 借其优异性能，持续掘金高端制造领域，未来发展空间广阔。 事件： 公司发布《关于对外投资的公告》，公司计划总投资不超过 10000 万元建设"年产1,000吨聚醚醚酮 （PEEK）材料项目"（以下简称项目）。 点评： 拟投资1亿元建设1 ...

Core Viewpoint - SpaceX is planning to deploy up to 1 million AI satellites to create a space-based data center, aiming to provide large-scale AI inference and data center services globally [4][5]. Group 1: SpaceX's Satellite Deployment Plan - The core objective of this large-scale plan is to establish a new "space-based computing network" that utilizes solar energy and the unique environment of space to handle high-intensity computing tasks, overcoming the energy costs and physical limitations faced by terrestrial data centers [5]. - The satellites will be distributed across three orbital layers at altitudes of 500 km, 1000 km, and 2000 km, targeting billions of users worldwide [4]. Group 2: Cost Reduction and Launch Capabilities - SpaceX has reduced the cost of launching payloads to approximately $1,400 to $2,000 per kilogram through the regular recovery and reuse of Falcon 9 rocket boosters, with plans to further lower this cost to $100 per kilogram or less with the next-generation fully reusable Starship [6]. Group 3: Communication Infrastructure - Inter-satellite laser communication is the key communication method for SpaceX's orbital data center system, responsible for major data transmission and network routing tasks, ultimately forming a laser network connected to the existing Starlink [7]. Group 4: Potential Asset Integration - Elon Musk is considering the possibility of merging SpaceX with his AI company xAI or Tesla, which could enhance the computing power for xAI through SpaceX's orbital data centers and leverage Tesla's energy storage capabilities to operate these centers using solar energy [9].

Group 1: Copper Industry - The market believes that the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in March 2026 is low; short-term declines in gold and silver may negatively impact overall commodity sentiment [5] - Cable companies' operating rates have rebounded week-on-week, but demand may weaken as the Spring Festival approaches; copper prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term [5] - The supply-demand tightness in 2026 remains unchanged, and there is continued optimism for copper price increases [5] Group 2: Commercial Aerospace - SpaceX plans to deploy one million computing power satellites, further expanding the commercial aerospace demand space [5] - The manufacturing and launch capabilities of reusable rockets are fundamental for large-scale constellation construction [5] - Laser communication networks are key to achieving large-scale inter-satellite communication [5] Group 3: Jiuri New Materials (688199.SH) - Jiuri New Materials expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 21 to 31.5 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit year-on-year [5] - The company anticipates a net profit of 14.4 to 21.6 million yuan after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, also turning from loss to profit year-on-year [5] - The recovery in the price of photoinitiators and the gradual production of new projects are solidifying the company's leading position in the industry [5] Group 4: Keda Manufacturing (600499.SH) - Keda Manufacturing is planning a major asset restructuring to acquire 51.55% of the shares of Tef International, aiming to hold 100% of the shares post-transaction [7] - The transaction is expected to significantly enhance the company's net profit attributable to shareholders [7] Group 5: Tesla (TSLA.O) - Tesla's total revenue for 2025 decreased by 2.9% year-on-year to $94.83 billion, while the Non-GAAP net profit fell by 26.4% to $5.86 billion [8] - In Q4 2025, Tesla's total revenue decreased by 3.1% year-on-year and 11.4% quarter-on-quarter to $24.9 billion, with a Non-GAAP net profit decline of 16.4% year-on-year to $1.76 billion [8] Group 6: Apple (AAPL.O) - Apple's FY1Q26 performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong demand for the iPhone 17 series and the continued penetration of AI features [8] - Despite rising storage costs, Apple managed to maintain and even increase its gross margin through product mix optimization and high-margin service business [8] Group 7: Ausnutria (1717.HK) - Ausnutria is expected to see a 1.1% year-on-year revenue growth in 2025, with a slowdown in growth primarily due to domestic milk powder business challenges [9] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to remain flat year-on-year, with a decline in H2 2025 profits due to slower internal code adjustment progress and intensified industry competition [9]

坦诚供应链挑战，但指引 FY2Q26核心指标韧性凸显 FY2Q26 指引：1) 公司预计总营收同比增长13%-16%，增速强劲；2) 服务业务收入将保持与FY1Q26相似 的增速；3) 毛利率指引为48%-49%，尽管承认存储成本上涨将带来更大影响，但指引水平仍维持历史高 位，超市场预期；4) 运营支出预计为184-187亿美元，主要由研发投入驱动（我们预计研发将投入于AI自 有基础模型开发、私有云建设及新业务投入）。公司坦言3nm芯片产能供应紧张以及内存价格上涨影响， 但需求仍旺盛。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： FY1Q26苹果营收、利润均创历史新高，下季度毛利率指引超预期。苹果于美东时间1月29日盘后公布 FY1Q26(CY4Q25)业绩。 ...