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“存钱送LABUBU”喊停后,银行开始花式收服务费了?
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-14 19:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by banks in a low-interest-rate environment, highlighting innovative marketing strategies and new service fees as responses to declining net interest margins and competition for deposits [1][25][39]. Group 1: Bank Marketing Strategies - Banks are increasingly using promotional activities, such as offering blind boxes for deposits, to attract customers amid declining interest rates [1][32]. - The phenomenon of "carbon accounts" in Wuhan, where citizens can use carbon reduction credits to offset loan interest, is presented as a marketing innovation, although it is revealed to be more of a promotional gimmick than a substantial benefit [8][10][13]. - The competition among banks has led to aggressive marketing tactics, including price wars on consumer loans, which can pose risks to financial stability [17][29]. Group 2: Service Fees and Charges - Many small and medium-sized banks have introduced new service fees as a response to the pressure on traditional income sources, reflecting a shift in their revenue models [35][39]. - A table outlines various service fees being charged by banks, indicating a trend towards increased fees for services that were previously free [36]. - The article suggests that the introduction of service fees may become more common as banks adapt to a low-interest-rate environment [39]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Challenges - The banking industry is experiencing a transition to a low-interest-rate, zero-interest-rate, or even negative-interest-rate environment, which is unprecedented in China [39]. - The article compares the current state of Chinese banks to those in developed economies that have navigated similar challenges by increasing service fees and diversifying revenue streams [40][42]. - The need for banks to innovate and adapt their business models is emphasized, as traditional methods of generating income become less viable [39][43].
多地公积金开启互认互贷,汉堡王将淘汰低效门店 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-13 17:02
Group 1: Foreign Investment Policies - The Ministry of Commerce will further relax foreign investment market access and revise the "Encouraging Foreign Investment Industry Catalog" to provide more opportunities for foreign enterprises in emerging fields and future industries [1] - The implementation of the "2025 Action Plan for Stabilizing Foreign Investment" will accelerate pilot openings in areas such as cloud computing and biotechnology [2] Group 2: Housing Fund Policy - Several cities have initiated mutual recognition and lending of housing provident funds, allowing for cross-city loan approvals and information sharing [3] - The mutual recognition of housing funds is expected to stabilize the real estate market and facilitate talent mobility across regions [4] Group 3: Guangzhou Consumption Policy - Guangzhou's draft plan proposes to fully lift restrictions on housing purchases, sales, and prices, and to lower down payment ratios and interest rates to better meet housing consumption needs [5] - The plan also emphasizes increasing residents' income and consumption capacity as prerequisites for stimulating consumption [6] Group 4: AMD AI Chip Launch - AMD has launched the MI350 series AI chips, claiming they outperform NVIDIA's GB200 in various performance metrics, including memory capacity and token generation [7] - The MI350 series represents a significant performance leap for AMD, positioning it competitively against NVIDIA's offerings [8] Group 5: UBS and ICBC Credit Suisse Fund - UBS has become the second-largest shareholder of ICBC Credit Suisse Fund, holding a 20% stake, following its acquisition of Credit Suisse [13] - UBS's investment in the Chinese market has been ongoing since 1989, and it has been expanding its presence through various licenses and entities [14]
洛杉矶混乱一周,损失有多惨重?
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-13 17:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political turmoil in Los Angeles, California, triggered by President Trump's immigration enforcement actions, leading to widespread protests and clashes between demonstrators and law enforcement [1][2][10]. Group 1: Background of the Protests - The protests were ignited by Trump's "largest-ever deportation operation," which involved federal agencies conducting searches for illegal immigrants in Los Angeles [2][12]. - California has the highest number of illegal immigrants in the U.S., approximately 2.6 million, accounting for 24% of the nation's total [12]. - California's "California Values Act" provides sanctuary to illegal immigrants, limiting local law enforcement's cooperation with federal immigration authorities [13][15]. Group 2: Escalation of Violence - The protests escalated into violent confrontations, with law enforcement using riot gear and non-lethal weapons against demonstrators who retaliated with projectiles and vandalism [4][5][7]. - Hundreds were arrested, and significant property damage occurred, including looting of stores and destruction of high-tech vehicles [7][37]. Group 3: Political Implications - Trump's deployment of the National Guard and Marines in response to the protests has intensified the political conflict between him and California's Governor Gavin Newsom, with both sides exchanging harsh criticisms [9][31]. - The protests have become a political tool for both Trump and Newsom, with each seeking to gain political capital from the situation [10][35]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The protests and Trump's immigration policies are affecting local economies, particularly in sectors reliant on immigrant labor, such as construction and food services [42]. - The Los Angeles port has seen a 25% decrease in cargo volume due to Trump's tariffs, leading to significant job losses among dockworkers [44]. - The estimated cost of deploying troops to Los Angeles is around $134 million, adding to the financial strain on the local economy [37].
2025新一线城市大洗牌:成都杭州“争霸”,苏州无锡掉队,郑州合肥晋升
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
Core Viewpoint - The evaluation of cities is shifting from traditional economic indicators like GDP and housing prices to more human-centric metrics such as consumer power, brand preference, commercial maturity, hub status, and talent attraction [1][2][3]. Group 1: New First-Tier Cities Ranking - The 2025 New First-Tier Cities Charm Ranking identifies 15 cities, including Chengdu, Hangzhou, and Chongqing, based on their performance in five categories: commercial resource aggregation, hub status, urban activity, new economic competitiveness, and future potential [3][12]. - Notable changes in the ranking include Foshan returning to the list while Wuxi dropped out, with cities like Wuhan and Hefei showing significant improvements [3][34]. Group 2: Evaluation Metrics - Commercial resource aggregation assesses a city's appeal to major brands and the strength of its commercial districts, reflecting its commercial vibrancy [8]. - Hub status measures a city's ability to radiate influence through transportation and industrial collaboration [9]. - Urban activity is linked to everyday consumer behaviors such as online shopping and dining [10]. - New economic competitiveness and future potential relate to a city's development prospects, including its industrial ecosystem and talent attraction [11]. Group 3: City Comparisons - Chengdu has maintained its top position for ten years, while Hangzhou is emerging as a strong competitor, particularly in digital economy and innovation [18][23]. - Chengdu excels in urban activity, ranking just below first-tier cities like Shanghai and Beijing, with a notable night economy where nighttime consumption accounts for 54.6% of total spending [28][29]. - Hefei has shown remarkable growth, achieving a GDP of 1.35 trillion yuan in 2024, with significant increases in population and talent attraction [52][54]. Group 4: City Dynamics - Foshan's return to the new first-tier list reflects its advancements in smart manufacturing and tourism, with a 21.4% increase in tourism revenue [40]. - Wuxi's decline is attributed to a lack of differentiation in emerging industries and lower young population retention compared to other cities [42]. - Cities like Qingdao have improved their rankings due to enhanced commercial resources and hub status, benefiting from regional development initiatives [56].
黄金成全球第二大储备资产,南京打造“机器人之城” | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
点击按钮▲立即预约 随着美国逐渐与全球多国达成贸易协定,美国发生"二次通胀"的概率正在降低。美联储本月的议息会议很难作出降息决定,9月关税和通胀前景 基本明确后,再进行降息也不算迟。像欧盟一样连续降息至2%,后续货币政策空间所剩无几时,若再有超预期事件,只能再次启用非常规货币 政策。 美国5月CPI同比上涨2.4% 南京发力打造"机器人之城" 6月11日,江苏南京举行2025智能机器人发展大会。会上提出,南京计划到2027年,具身智能机器人核心产业规模力争超过100亿元,培育5家以 上整机量产企业,产业综合实力跻身全国前列。在本次大会上,南京揭牌了具身智能机器人产业园,并成立具身智能机器人产业生态联盟。去 年,南京提出打造具有影响力的"机器人之城"。今年3月,该市成立4个产业攻坚推进办公室,其中之一就是机器人产业。 近年来,南京机器人产业发展迅猛,已形成整机、关键零部件以及系统集成应用的全链条机器人产业体系,集聚产业链上下游重点企业近200 家,总体发展水平居全国前列。(澎湃新闻) |点评| 具身机器人的难点不仅在机器人制造上,在于机器人能否适应多种场景、独立完成复杂任务并自主学习技能,整个行业还处在较为早 ...
关于中美的现代化之争,一定会发生的3件事|吴晓波激荡讲堂
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of learning from history to navigate current and future challenges, particularly in the context of China's modernization over the past 180 years [1][6]. Group 1: Historical Context and Lessons - The "Self-Strengthening Movement" is highlighted as a significant reform that transformed China from an agrarian society to an industrial one, but it lacked comprehensive changes in finance, currency, and land, which limited its effectiveness [9][10]. - In contrast, Japan's "Meiji Restoration" implemented a holistic transformation, including constitutional reforms and public education, leading to a more robust modernization process [11][12]. - The article discusses the distinction between modernization (economic growth) and modernity (awakening of individual consciousness), indicating that while China has achieved modernization, the challenge of modernity remains [13][14]. Group 2: Economic Development Phases - The article outlines the phases of China's reform and opening-up, starting with a bottom-up approach that allowed certain regions to prosper first, leading to uneven development [27][28]. - The transition from incremental reforms to comprehensive systemic reforms is noted, particularly from 1992 to 2012, marking a shift in governance from local to central control [30][31]. - The current phase of reform is characterized by the need for continuous adaptation to global economic changes and challenges, particularly in the context of U.S.-China relations [32][33]. Group 3: U.S.-China Relations and Global Dynamics - The article discusses the historical context of U.S. responses to rising powers, drawing parallels between past and present challenges faced by China in the global arena [35][36]. - It highlights the potential for trade wars, technology conflicts, and currency battles as China seeks to assert its position as a leading global economy [38][39]. - The future of China's modernization is framed as a process of restructuring global supply chains and enhancing national production capabilities, with an emphasis on proactive reforms [40][41].
津上俊哉:出海没有所谓成功经验,都是交学费交出来的 | 出海峰会
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
点击上图▲立即报名 2025年6月19日—6月20日,相约"生而全球·共融共建"第二届出海全球峰会, 1500+企业出海掌舵人再聚狮城,与吴晓波、王辉耀、秦朔、津上俊哉、杨宇东、张 华荣等嘉宾,共 同探索中企出海从"产能迁徙"到"文明共生"的新路径。 【点击马上 报名】 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号: 吴晓波频道) 历史总是惊人的相似。今天的中国,正在经历拉锯且充满变数的中美贸易战;而1960—1990年间的日本,也经历了长达三十年之久的日美贸易摩 擦,并直接导致了日本企业大规模出海。 在许多中国人看来,《广场协议》的签订是日本经济转折的重要诱因,日本由此陷入了"失去的20年",大家把它视为前车之鉴,希望从中吸取教 训。 与此同时,日本的全球化进程加速,日本企业在海外攻城略地,再造了一个"影子日本",如今中国企业掀起新一轮出海浪潮,也希望从中获取宝贵 的经验。 可以说,贸易战只是一个表象,背后是全球产业链的分化与重构。 我们相信在历史循环中可以找到更多答案,经济周期和规律会给我们启发,日 本在出海过程中的经验教训可以为我们指点迷津。 为此,我们邀请到日本著名的国际经济学者和中国问题专家、国际问题研究所客座研究员 ...
中美贸易原则上达成框架,腾讯音乐收购喜马拉雅 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-11 18:12
Group 1: US-China Trade Negotiations - The US and China have reached a preliminary framework for trade negotiations, indicating a mutual desire for a stable foreign trade environment to support domestic economic growth [1][2] - The US is considering lifting recent restrictions on various sectors, contingent on China easing its export restrictions on rare earths [1] - Both countries have demonstrated that a cooperative relationship benefits them, while conflict leads to mutual harm [1] Group 2: Gaming Industry Support - Zhejiang province has introduced measures to support the international expansion of the gaming industry, focusing on nurturing market players and promoting high-quality 3A game projects [3] - Local governments are increasingly implementing policies to enhance the global influence of gaming brands, reflecting a growing emphasis on the international market [3] - The success of games like "Black Myth: Wukong" has prompted a stronger focus on developing high-quality games for global audiences [3] Group 3: Automotive Industry Payment Terms - Multiple automotive companies, including BYD and Xiaomi, have committed to keeping payment terms within 60 days in response to new regulations aimed at improving the payment environment for small and medium enterprises [5][6] - The new regulation is designed to address the issue of delayed payments, which has been a common practice in the industry [5] - The effectiveness of this regulation remains to be seen, especially in a competitive market where price wars are prevalent [6] Group 4: Smartphone Market Trends - A UBS survey indicates that the expected replacement cycle for smartphones has extended to 2.6 years, reflecting a mature market with limited hardware innovations [7][8] - Consumer intent to purchase new smartphones has decreased, particularly in the US, where interest dropped significantly [7] - The lack of compelling new features has led consumers to retain their devices longer, impacting sales for manufacturers [7][8] Group 5: Cloud Services Market - ByteDance's Volcano Engine has captured 46.4% of the Chinese public cloud large model service market, surpassing competitors like Baidu and Alibaba [9][10] - The company has adopted aggressive pricing strategies to attract clients from established cloud service providers [9] - The demand for AI large models has leveled the playing field among cloud service providers, allowing newer entrants to compete effectively [10] Group 6: Tencent Music Acquisition - Tencent Music has announced a $1.26 billion cash acquisition of Ximalaya, aiming to expand its presence in the long audio content market [11][12] - This acquisition is seen as a strategic move to enhance user experience and creator revenue amid increasing competition in the audio content space [11] - The integration of resources from both companies is expected to strengthen their market position, although user base differences may pose challenges [12] Group 7: Tesla's Autonomous Driving Developments - Tesla plans to deliver its first fully autonomous vehicle in Texas, marking a significant step in its self-driving technology rollout [13][14] - The vehicle will utilize Tesla's Full Self-Driving software, although it currently operates at Level 2 autonomy [13] - Safety remains a critical concern as the company navigates the challenges of achieving full autonomy [14]
车圈60天账期革命,压力最大的是新势力
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-11 18:12
点击上图▲立即收听 " 如果对所有车企都是 ' 一刀切 ' ,那么对那些持续亏损、现金流不足、融资能力又一般的新势力们,恐怕将是一场灾难。 " 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 气温在升高,车圈的火药味也没降温。六月,一场由账期引发的"反内卷热浪"正在席卷汽车江湖。 周二 晚上,广汽、一汽、东风三家国企及赛力斯率先发声,承诺供应商账期不超过60 天。紧随其后,吉利、长安接力响应。 昨日凌晨一点,中国第一大车企比亚迪发文称,将供应商支付账期统一至60天内。 图源:比亚迪官微 随后,北汽、上汽、长城、奇瑞等传统车企以及小米、小鹏、零跑等造车新势力纷纷跟进。 就这样,一场由头部车企发起的"账期革命"迅速蔓延,在产业链上空缓缓荡起涟漪,一点点渗入旧有的游戏规则。 口水战 本质而言,此番密集表态,时机微妙,似乎是对近期车企内卷加剧的回应。 五月底,比亚迪宣布了年内第三次大规模价格调整,王朝网、海洋网共计22款智驾版车型最高降幅达5.3万元,创下其智驾车型价格新低。 随后,奇瑞、上汽通用等约10个车企跟进,混战拉开帷幕,引发新一轮车企价格战恐慌。 对此,工信部、汽车工业协会等纷纷发文批评此番降价,车企之间也不再保 ...
全球生育率空前下降,银行下架5年期大额存单 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-10 16:40
Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to propose significant projects in the livelihood sector, with a projected increase of over 30% in central budget investment compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [1] - The NDRC aims to enhance social security fairness, improve the balance of basic public services, expand the universality of basic livelihood services, and enhance the accessibility of diverse social services through ten specific recommendations [1][2] - The government's focus on livelihood construction is seen as essential for stimulating consumer confidence and economic growth, particularly for low-income groups [1][2] Group 2 - Seven departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, have issued a plan to accelerate the digital transformation of the food industry, targeting an 80% digital management penetration rate among key food enterprises by 2027 [3] - The current digitalization rates for key processes in the food industry are 63.3% for numerical control and 72.8% for digital design tools, indicating progress but also room for improvement [3][4] - The digital transformation aims to enhance efficiency and safety across the entire food production and supply chain, moving away from small-scale production to more regulated industrial processes [3][4] Group 3 - The United Nations warns of a historic decline in global fertility rates, attributing it to economic factors rather than a lack of desire to have children, with 39% of respondents citing financial constraints as a reason for having fewer children than desired [5][6] - The aging population and declining birth rates are leading to labor shortages and a shift in social consumption structures, necessitating more effective policies to support families and reduce living pressures [6] Group 4 - JD.com is reportedly expanding into the hotel and travel business, offering salaries up to three times higher than industry standards to attract talent, indicating a strategic move into the local lifestyle sector [7][8] - The company has quietly launched travel services on its app, including hotel and ticket bookings, with significant discounts to attract customers [7][8] Group 5 - OpenAI has announced an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $10 billion, a nearly 80% increase from the previous year, driven by its consumer products and API sales [11][12] - The company aims to reach $125 billion in annual revenue by 2029, with a growing number of paid commercial users, indicating a strong commercial outlook despite increasing competition in the AI space [11][12][13] Group 6 - Major banks in China have begun to withdraw five-year large-denomination time deposits, with some banks reducing the maximum term to two years, reflecting pressure on net interest margins [14][15] - The current interest rates for three-year large-denomination time deposits have decreased significantly, indicating a broader trend of declining rates amid a monetary easing cycle [14][15]