Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for 1H2025, with revenue reaching 4.944 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 38.18%, and net profit of 457 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.68% [7] - The company is preparing for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its international strategy and financing capabilities, which is expected to improve its visibility and transparency [7] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 11.007 billion yuan, 14.937 billion yuan, and 18.129 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 1.162 billion yuan, 1.860 billion yuan, and 2.369 billion yuan for the same years [7] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is forecasted to grow at rates of 47.95%, 59.08%, 48.54%, 35.70%, and 21.37% from 2023 to 2027 [6] - The net profit is expected to grow at rates of 119.46%, 140.80%, 67.90%, 60.10%, and 27.40% over the same period [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.23 yuan in 2023 to 6.84 yuan in 2027 [6] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown a market performance of -19% compared to the CSI 300 index, while the overall consumer electronics sector has seen a growth of 84% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company remains the industry leader in sales despite a decline in sales volume, with a signed sales amount of 18.01 billion yuan in July 2025, down 28.9% year-on-year [7] - The company has increased its investment intensity, focusing on first- and second-tier cities, with over 90% of its land acquisitions in these areas [7] - The company is expected to gradually recover its valuation due to its strong market position and stable operations, despite facing challenges in the real estate market [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company show a decline from 346.83 billion yuan in 2023 to an estimated 287.05 billion yuan in 2025, with a revenue growth rate of -10.14% in 2024 and -7.90% in 2025 [6][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to decrease significantly from 12.07 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.19 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit growth rate of -58.56% in 2024 [6][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.43 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.51 [6][8] Sales and Market Position - The company achieved a signed sales area of 910,000 square meters in July 2025, a decrease of 37.2% year-on-year, but still maintains the top position in the industry [7] - The average sales price for the company in the first seven months of 2025 was 20,260 yuan per square meter, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.1% [7] Investment Strategy - The company acquired 27 plots of land in the first seven months of 2025, with 22 plots in first- and second-tier cities and 5 in third- and fourth-tier cities, indicating a strategic focus on high-potential markets [7] - The total investment amount for the company reached 51.87 billion yuan, with over 90% allocated to first- and second-tier cities [7]

Core Insights - Gastric cancer remains a significant global health issue, ranking fifth in cancer-related deaths according to GLOBOCAN 2022 data from the IARC, with a particularly heavy burden in Asia, Latin America, and parts of Africa [6][7] - Approximately 76% of gastric cancer cases globally are attributed to Helicobacter pylori infection, with higher attribution rates in specific regions, such as 82% in African women and 71% in Asian men [7][8] - The rising incidence of gastric cancer among individuals under 50 years old is concerning, potentially reversing previous trends of declining rates [6][7] - Implementing effective H. pylori screening and treatment strategies could reduce gastric cancer cases by up to 75% globally, highlighting the importance of developing and promoting H. pylori vaccines as a preventive measure [8][9] - The report suggests a positive outlook for innovative drug companies, particularly those with true innovation capabilities, and highlights potential investment opportunities in sectors such as CXO services and AI healthcare [9][10] Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector's TTM-PE ratio is currently at 50.25, representing a 106% increase from its historical low of 24.38 [11] - The sector's premium over the CSI 300 index is 278%, significantly higher than the historical average of 241% over the past decade [11] - The healthcare sector has experienced a decline of 0.84% in the past week, ranking last among 27 sub-industries [20][22] - Notable individual stock performances include Hai Chen Pharmaceutical with a 41.29% increase and Qi Zheng Tibetan Medicine with a 16.11% decrease [22][24] Industry Dynamics - Recent approvals in the industry include AstraZeneca's long-acting C5 complement inhibitor and the first biosimilar of dulaglutide for diabetes management [25][28] - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of innovative drug approvals and the potential for significant market opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector [25][28][29]

Core Insights - NVIDIA aims to build a global AI computing aggregation platform through the acquisition of Lepton AI, which was established only two years prior. This platform, NVIDIA DGX Cloud Lepton, connects a network of global GPU cloud providers with AI developers, creating a closed-loop "AI computing kingdom" that encompasses hardware, ecosystem, and end customers [5][8][11]. Group 1: NVIDIA's Acquisition of Lepton - The acquisition of Lepton AI for several hundred million dollars in April 2025 is a strategic move for NVIDIA to expand beyond just hardware sales of AI chips [5][8]. - Lepton AI is recognized as a top-tier GPU cloud service provider, classified as "Gold" level by Semianalysis, alongside Nebius and Oracle, with only CoreWeave above it in the "Platinum" category [8][11]. Group 2: Value Proposition for End Customers - Lepton provides a unified and user-friendly AI development platform that addresses issues such as GPU resource shortages and the complexity of multi-cloud infrastructure management, offering developers a standardized environment for development, training, and deployment [11][14]. - Developers can flexibly choose and switch between different cloud service providers based on real-time pricing and availability, optimizing costs and avoiding vendor lock-in [18][21]. Group 3: Value Proposition for Cloud Service Partners - Lepton serves as a distribution channel for GPU cloud service providers, allowing them to maximize GPU rental rates and revenue through collaboration with NVIDIA [23][26]. - Smaller GPU cloud service providers benefit from increased GPU utilization, while larger providers face a dilemma of either joining the Lepton ecosystem or risking losing business to competitors who do [26][27]. Group 4: Value for NVIDIA - By utilizing Lepton, NVIDIA gains direct access to end customers, enhancing its computing ecosystem and creating a more comprehensive business model beyond just chip sales [27][28]. - The platform is expected to generate a more stable and recurring revenue stream, improving NVIDIA's long-term valuation and profitability, similar to cloud service providers [28][30]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on overseas AI computing infrastructure companies such as NVIDIA, TSMC, Broadcom, and AMD, as well as domestic companies involved in AI computing and domestic substitution, including various hardware and software providers [31].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a potential second wave of market growth, focusing on technology and cyclical leaders as key investment opportunities [3][6][11] Liquidity and Market Conditions - The report notes a decline in U.S. non-farm employment figures, raising concerns about the U.S. economy and increasing expectations for interest rate cuts, with a 10Y/2Y U.S. Treasury yield drop of 10BP/18BP since August [4][12] - Continuous monetary easing is highlighted, with weekly reverse repos exceeding 1 trillion yuan for four consecutive weeks, and a strong inflow into the bond market expected due to anticipated tax incentives [4][12] - Market trading volume remains stable at 1.6 to 1.8 trillion yuan, with financing balances nearing 2 trillion yuan, indicating robust new inflows [4][12] Investment Themes - The report identifies three main investment themes: 1. **Leading Companies**: Focus on sectors like non-ferrous metals, military industry, and state-owned enterprise restructuring, with PPI hitting a bottom [4][12] 2. **Domestic Innovation**: Anticipation of a recovery in domestic technology and semiconductor sectors, with high utilization rates in domestic foundries and clear expansion trends [5][13] 3. **Global Expansion**: The report discusses the ongoing global expansion of new investments in cultural sectors, gaming, and innovative pharmaceuticals [5][14] Market Phases and Performance - Historical analysis indicates that each market cycle sees a flow of new capital from institutional investors to retail investors, with the current phase identified as a second wave of growth [6][14][15] - The report outlines the performance of various sectors across different market phases, noting that technology and cyclical sectors are expected to lead in the current second wave of growth [16][30] PPI Trends - The report discusses the PPI cycle, indicating that PPI has reached a bottom and is expected to recover, which aligns with the performance of cyclical sectors [32][33]

因 投资评级:看好(维持) 最近 12 月市场表现 有色舍屈 1 4 比圭假 分析师 SAC 证书编号：S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 视下窝锂矿停产，看好碳酸锂行业盈利修复 TIDGAB ■ 证券研究报告 核心观点 相关报告 1.《美国非农大幅下滑,中长期继续看好黄 金》 2025-08-03 2. 《成本下行盈利修复,紧平衡格局延续》 2025-08-01 3.《轻稀土价格年内新高，中长期仍看好稀 士行情 》 2025-07-28 � 风险提示: 下游需求不及预期、部分产能释放超预期、金属价格波动加剧。 请阅读最后一页的重要声明! and 1 2 2 1 � 能源金属: 枫下窝锂矿停产确定,稀土价格高位调整。(1)碳酸锂;据期货日报,8 月 9 日视下窝锂矿确定停产,短期无复产计划。江西多个锂矿或因矿证审批流程也面 临停产可能，或导致每月 7000 至 8000 吨碳酸锂当量受到影响。瓷土矿转锂土矿对 应税率也将大幅提高成本，叠加 9–11 月传统旺季供需更紧，多重因素推高碳酸锂价 格。建议关注锂矿资源相关标的:中矿资源、天齐锂业、赣锋锂业、盛新锂能、融捷 股份、盐湖股份。( ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - This week, the sales of new homes in first-tier cities weakened significantly. On Friday, Beijing introduced new property market policies, and it is expected that other first-tier cities will also introduce a new round of property market policies successively. The price of rebar fluctuated, the price of cement continued to decline, and the focus was on key industries to combat excessive competition. The travel intensity remained strong, and the SCFI continued to decline [1]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Real Estate Sales: New Home Sales in First-Tier Cities Weakened Significantly - This week (August 1 - August 7), the transaction volume of new homes decreased significantly on a week-on-week basis, and the year-on-year decline slightly narrowed. Specifically, the transaction area of new homes in first-tier cities was significantly weaker than that of the same period last year, while that in second, third, and fourth-tier cities was slightly lower than last year. The transaction area of 20 key cities monitored by Wind decreased by 27.18% week-on-week and 14.49% year-on-year [7]. - The transaction volume of second-hand homes decreased significantly on a week-on-week basis, and the year-on-year performance varied. Among key cities, on a week-on-week basis, the transaction area of each city decreased significantly compared to the previous period. On a year-on-year basis, except for Shanghai (3.83%) and Shenzhen (3.88%), the transaction volume in other cities was weaker than last year [26]. 2. Investment: Most Commodity Prices Declined - This week, most commodity prices declined. The price of rebar fluctuated within a narrow range, with the cost side supported by strict inspections of coking coal overproduction, but the demand side remained weak, and inventory continued to accumulate. The price of glass decreased as the sentiment of combating excessive competition subsided, and the price lacked upward momentum due to weak demand. The cement price index continued to decline, affected by weather and demand, and local price cuts could not offset the inventory pressure. The price of asphalt decreased, possibly affected by fluctuations in the cost of crude oil [2]. 3. Production: The Utilization Rates of Production Capacity Showed Differentiated Performance - This week, the utilization rates of production capacity showed differentiated performance. The utilization rates of coking enterprises and steel mills' blast furnaces increased, while those of petroleum asphalt, polyester filament, and PTA decreased significantly. The utilization rate of automobile tire production remained basically flat [2]. 4. Consumption: Strong Travel Momentum - In terms of consumption, automobile sales and domestic flights were stronger than the seasonal average, subway ridership was in line with the seasonal average, and movie box office was lower than the seasonal average [2]. 5. Exports: SCFI and BDI Declined - This week, the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) and the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) declined, while the CRB Spot Index remained basically flat. The lack of further growth momentum in transportation demand led to continued adjustments in market freight rates [2]. 6. Prices: Pork Prices Declined, Vegetable Prices Rose Significantly, and Oil Prices Declined - This week, pork prices declined, vegetable prices rose significantly, and oil prices declined. The sharp increase in vegetable prices was mainly due to floods caused by heavy rainfall in the north, which destroyed vegetable fields and reduced the supply of vegetables. The decrease in crude oil prices was mainly due to the expected decline in global trade demand, increased supply surplus, and the subsidence of geopolitical risk premiums [2].

Export Data Insights - In July, dollar-denominated exports increased by 7.2% year-on-year, while imports rose by 4.1%, both significantly exceeding expectations and reaching new highs since May 2025 and August 2024 respectively[11] - The strong export performance is attributed to four main factors: low base effect, robust exports to non-US economies, a surge in transshipment activities, and the restructuring of supply chains leading to increased demand for capital goods[3] - From a price perspective, refined oil (+0.82%) was the main driver, while mobile phones (-0.42%) and steel (-0.21%) were the main constraints; in terms of quantity, automobiles (+0.61%) were the primary driver, while refined oil (-0.84%) was the main constraint[34] Global Economic Context - The global manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3 in July, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector and a lack of reversal signals in the global manufacturing cycle[39] - The US market is a critical variable affecting external demand; a slowdown in US demand could lead to a downward shift in global export growth rates[43] - Recent US data indicates that tariffs have impacted corporate capital expenditures and employment demand, increasing the probability of an economic recession in the US[43] Inventory and Trade Dynamics - Unlike previous cycles, US wholesalers and retailers are experiencing declining inventory levels, with inventory-to-sales ratios at 1.30 and 1.31, below the central levels of 2023-2024[58] - The current inventory accumulation is likely occurring at the consumer level rather than the corporate level, suggesting a longer adjustment period when the cycle reverses[58] Risks and Uncertainties - Domestic policy effectiveness may fall short of expectations, and international geopolitical developments could introduce unexpected changes[63] - There is a potential for measurement errors in monthly import and export growth rates due to various variables in the models used[63]

分析师 马骏 SAC 证书编号: S0160523080004 majun@ctsec.com 近年前次京 CAITONG SECURITIES 反内卷情绪收敛 -对外贸易图谱 2025 年第 30 期 ■ 证券研究报告 宏观周报 / 2025,08.08 分析师 SAC 证书编号:S0160523030002 chenxing@ctsec.com The State The Bank Home of the States and The Property of Cloud Cloud of Club Times a 普经济学系列之十九》 2025-07-19 月度商品价格预测:油区间震荡,铜、金震荡上行。 * 内需:新房、二手房销售降幅扩大,汽车销量回落;暑期文旅消费活力正盛。 & 1新房、二手房和乘用车销量增速均回落。8月新房销量同比降幅走扩,二手 房量跌价升。市场淡季叠加反内卷，7月乘用车销售增速零售、批发均回落, 半钢胎开工稳中有降。上周家电销售均价多数下跌。②上周在头部佳片的带 动下,电影票房收入和观影人次继续突破,水平远超去年同期,暑期档票房已 超过 77亿元。同时,旅游消费热度不减,上周酒店入住 ...

Export Performance - In July, China's export year-on-year growth rate recorded 7.2%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points from the previous month, but the month-on-month growth rate is below the median of the past five years[3] - The rebound in export growth is primarily due to a lower base from the same period last year, while the month-on-month growth rate remains below the five-year median[6] - Exports to the US have decreased, but support from European recovery and deepening cooperation with Latin America and Africa has bolstered exports[7] Import Performance - China's import year-on-year growth rate in July exceeded expectations at 4.1%, up 3 percentage points from the previous month, with month-on-month growth significantly above the five-year average[3] - The increase in imports is driven by continuous domestic production expansion and a notable drop in commodity prices from June, stimulating higher imports of energy and industrial raw materials[6] - Specific imports such as copper saw significant increases, with copper ore rising by 33.1% and unwrought copper by 11.3%[16] Economic Outlook - Despite a downward trend in export centrality, the contribution to economic growth is expected to remain stable, supported by European fiscal expansion and potential unexpected rate cuts by the Federal Reserve[4] - Risks include potential underperformance in domestic economic recovery, unexpected declines in demand from developed countries, and uncertainties in import-export policies[23]