Workflow
NORTHEAST SECURITIES
icon
Search documents
东北固收转债分析:茂莱转债定价:首日转股溢价率40%~45%
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-21 06:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry - wide investment rating. 2. Report's Core View - The target price of Maolai Convertible Bond on the first trading day is expected to be between 133 - 137 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe. The expected first - day conversion premium rate is in the range of 40% - 45% [3][22]. - The expected first - day new - bond subscription winning rate is around 0.0018% - 0.0026% [4][23]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Maolai Convertible Bond New - Bond Subscription Analysis and Investment Recommendations 3.1.1 Convertible Bond Basic Terms Analysis - The issuance method of Maolai Convertible Bond is priority placement and online issuance, with both the bond and the issuer rated A+. The issuance scale is 563 million yuan, the initial conversion price is 364.43 yuan. As of November 20, 2025, the conversion parity is 94.67 yuan, the pure bond value is 83.19 yuan. The game terms (down - revision, redemption, and put - back terms) are normal. Overall, the bond issuance scale is average, liquidity is average, the rating is weak, and the bond floor protection is acceptable. It is difficult for institutions to include it in their portfolios, but there is no objection to primary participation [2][18]. 3.1.2 New - Bond Initial Listing Price Analysis - The company mainly engages in the R & D, design, manufacturing, and sales of precision optical devices, optical lenses, and optical systems. After deducting issuance fees, 420 million yuan is planned for the ultra - precision optical production and processing project, 120 million yuan for the ultra - precision optical technology R & D center project, and 20 million yuan for working capital. The project is expected to expand the company's mass - production capacity in the ultra - precision optical device and lens fields and increase its market share in the semiconductor ultra - precision optical segment [3][21]. 3.1.3 Convertible Bond New - Bond Subscription Winning Rate Analysis - Assuming the old shareholders' placement ratio is 63% - 74%, the scale available for the market is 146 million - 208 million yuan. Assuming the online effective subscription volume is 8.08 million accounts, the winning rate is expected to be around 0.0018% - 0.0026% [4][23]. 3.2 Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.2.1 Company's Main Business and Industry Upstream and Downstream - Maolai Optics is a precision optical integrated solution provider, focusing on R & D, design, manufacturing, and sales of precision optical devices, lenses, and systems. The upstream of the optical industry is mainly optical raw material manufacturing, with optical glass having the largest market share (about 70% in a 3 - billion - yuan market in 2024). The company's products are mainly used in industrial - grade precision optics, with downstream industries including semiconductors, life sciences, AR/VR testing, and unmanned driving [24][25]. 3.2.2 Company's Operating Conditions - From 2022 to H1 2025, the company's operating income was 439 million yuan, 458 million yuan, 503 million yuan, and 319 million yuan respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of 32.36%, 4.4%, 9.78%, and 32.26%. The comprehensive gross margin fluctuated slightly, and the net profit margin also had fluctuations. The company's R & D expenses trended upward, while accounts receivable increased, and the accounts receivable turnover rate generally declined. The net profit attributable to the parent company was relatively stable [27][30][31]. 3.2.3 Company's Equity Structure and Major Subsidiaries - As of June 30, 2025, Maolai Holdings is the largest shareholder with a 59.47% stake, and Fan Yi is the second - largest shareholder with a 3.41% stake. The top two shareholders hold a total of 62.88% of the shares, and the top ten shareholders hold 74.89% in total. Fan Yi and Fan Hao are the joint actual controllers, directly and indirectly controlling 66.29% of the shares [4][44]. 3.2.4 Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has advantages in technology R & D, capital, customer resources, and talent. The precision optical industry has high barriers in technology, capital, customer resources, and talent, which are difficult for new entrants to overcome [47][51][52]. 3.2.5 Allocation of This Round of Raised Funds - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 563 million yuan. After deducting issuance fees, 420 million yuan is for the ultra - precision optical production and processing project, 120 million yuan for the ultra - precision optical technology R & D center project, and 20 million yuan for working capital [16][54].
量化资产配置系列之四:“量化+主观”灵活资产配置方案
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-20 10:16
Quantitative Models and Construction - **Model Name**: FIFAA (Flexible Indeterminate Factor Asset Allocation) **Model Construction Idea**: Combines quantitative academic rigor with subjective forward-looking flexibility, using historical data (ex-post) and subjective views (ex-ante) to derive asset-factor exposure and optimize portfolio allocation[2][15][74] **Model Construction Process**: 1. **Factor Selection**: Select tradable, low-correlation macroeconomic factors with clear economic logic. Factors include global equities (economic growth), U.S. Treasuries (interest rate/defensive), credit, inflation protection, and currency protection[15][16][20] 2. **Asset-Factor Mapping**: Use LASSO regression to calculate historical beta exposure, then adjust using subjective views derived from professional investor interviews. Subjective single-factor beta is converted into multi-factor beta using matrix transformations[16][35][39] - Formula for historical beta regression: $$y\,=\,X W\,=\,w_{1}x_{1}+\cdots+w_{n}x_{n}$$[32] Loss function for Ridge regression: $$L(w)\,=\,\sum_{i=1}^{n}(y_{i}-\sum w_{j}x_{i j})+\lambda\sum w_{j}^{2}$$[33] Subjective beta transformation: $$\beta_{f}^{*}\,=\,(1\quad F_{f})\,{\binom{\beta_{f}}{\beta_{!f}}}$$[35] $$\beta=F^{-1}\beta^{*}$$[39] 3. **Factor Exposure Optimization**: Optimize factor exposure based on subjective risk/reward judgment or quantitative methods[17] 4. **Portfolio Optimization**: Maximize expected returns while minimizing factor exposure differences. Constraints include absolute exposure differences ≤ 10% of the larger exposure value[44] - Optimization formula: $$m a x(w^{T}r)$$ $$s.\,t.\,w^{T}I\;=\;1$$ $$a b s(w^{T}\beta_{i}-w^{T}\beta_{j})<0.1*m a x(a b s(w^{T}\beta_{i}),a b s(w^{T}\beta_{j}))$$[44] 5. **Rebalancing**: Allow slight deviations in factor exposure to reduce transaction costs and frequency[18] **Model Evaluation**: Provides higher returns and risk-adjusted performance compared to equal-weighted portfolios. Simplified implementation demonstrates practical feasibility[2][74] Model Backtesting Results - **Default Parameters**: - Historical beta optimization: Annualized return 13.63%, annualized volatility 11.47%, max drawdown -18.97%[49][50] - Adjusted beta optimization: Annualized return 15.43%, annualized volatility 16.46%, max drawdown -33.86%[49][50] - Equal-weight portfolio: Annualized return 10.32%, annualized volatility 11.91%, max drawdown -25.27%[49][50] - **Different Adjustment Coefficients**: - Coefficient range (0.1-0.5): Annualized return varies between 15.16%-15.43%, annualized volatility between 15.73%-16.46%, max drawdown between -30.51% to -37.50%[57][59] - **Different Expected Returns**: - Neutral expected return scenarios (5%, 10%, 15%): Annualized return ranges from 13.63%-15.90%, annualized volatility from 11.47%-16.45%, max drawdown from -18.97% to -36.67%[69][70][71][72] Quantitative Factors and Construction - **Factor Name**: Macroeconomic Factors (Economic Growth, Interest Rate, Inflation) **Factor Construction Idea**: Represent macroeconomic trends using tradable indices to ensure simplicity and reduce calculation errors[15][20][30] **Factor Construction Process**: - Economic growth: Represented by stock indices (e.g., Wind All A Index, S&P 500)[30] - Interest rate: Represented by bond indices (e.g., China Bond Treasury Wealth Index)[30] - Inflation: Composite of commodity indices (e.g., Nanhua Industrial, Agricultural, Energy, and Black Metal indices)[20][30] **Factor Evaluation**: Tradable and low-correlation factors ensure practical applicability and reduce subjective judgment uncertainty[15][16][20] Factor Backtesting Results - **Macroeconomic Factor Correlation Matrix**: - Wind All A vs. S&P 500: 0.15 - Wind All A vs. China Bond Treasury: -0.12 - Wind All A vs. Commodity Composite: 0.30[28][30] - **Factor Performance**: - Economic growth factor (Wind All A): Annualized return 13.63%-15.43% depending on optimization method[49][50][69] - Inflation factor (Commodity Composite): Adjusted beta optimization shows higher returns during inflationary periods[49][50][69]
粤港湾控股(01396):转型“数字生态运营商”,估值有望重塑
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-18 08:04
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company is transforming into a "digital ecosystem operator" by leveraging its resources in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, focusing on residential and urban renewal projects [1][2]. - A significant acquisition of Wisdom Knight Holdings Limited for HKD 977 million positions the company strategically in the AI and green energy computing sectors [2]. - The traditional business model is now a growth driver, with a successful debt-to-equity conversion plan reducing the interest-bearing debt ratio from 45% to 7% [2]. - The integration of AI computing services and energy management is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [3]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be CNY 718 million, CNY 579 million, and CNY 789 million, respectively, with growth rates of +139.13%, -19.41%, and +36.41% [3][4]. - Revenue projections show a significant increase from CNY 801.54 million in 2025 to CNY 6,432.54 million in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 470.13% [4]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -CNY 3.32 in 2024 to CNY 0.70 in 2027 [4]. Strategic Development - The company’s "urban ecosystem" strategy aims to convert idle factories and land into high-performance computing centers, aligning with its capabilities in urban development [3]. - The acquisition of high-value B-end resources from major cloud service providers and leading AI companies is anticipated to open new growth avenues [3]. - The dual business model of AI computing services and lifecycle management is validated commercially, enhancing the company's resilience and profitability [3].
关注PCB钻针景气周期的机遇
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-18 02:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The demand for PCB drill bits is expected to continue growing due to the rapid development of AI, which drives the need for high-performance PCBs in various sectors such as communication, computing, consumer electronics, and automotive [2][20] - The industry is characterized by a high concentration of leading companies, with DingTai High-Tech holding a market share of approximately 26.5% in 2023, indicating a trend towards increased market consolidation [3][25] Summary by Sections 1. PCB Drill Bits - PCB drill bits are essential tools used in the PCB drilling process, available in various specifications and primarily made from high-speed steel or hard alloy materials, with diamond tools also being utilized for their superior wear resistance [1][13] - The global production of PCB drill bits reached 2.58 billion units in 2020, with a market value of $590 million, and the domestic market value in China was approximately 2.068 billion yuan [2][20] 2. AI Development Impact - The rapid advancement of AI technology is significantly boosting the demand for PCBs, particularly in AI servers that require complex multilayer boards, thus enhancing the market for PCB drill bits [2][20] - The PCB market is projected to grow as AI-related applications expand, with the high-performance server market expected to see substantial growth [27] 3. Industry Concentration - The PCB drill bit market is concentrated, with the top four companies, including DingTai High-Tech, Jinzhou Precision, and others, holding significant market shares [3][25] - DingTai High-Tech's production capacity is increasing, with plans to expand further, which may enhance its competitive advantage in the market [31]
东北固收转债分析:瑞可转债定价:首日转股溢价率32%~37%
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-17 07:41
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The target price of Rui Convertible Bond on the first day of listing is expected to be in the range of 129 - 134 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe. The expected conversion premium rate on the first day of listing is in the range of 32% - 37% [3][20]. - The expected first - day lottery winning rate of the convertible bond subscription is around 0.0063% - 0.0075% [21]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Rui Convertible Bond New Issue Analysis and Investment Recommendations 3.1.1. Analysis of Convertible Bond Basic Terms - The issuance method of Rui Convertible Bond is priority placement and online issuance, with both the bond and the issuer rated AA-. The issuance scale is 1 billion yuan, the initial conversion price is 73.85 yuan, the convertible bond parity on November 14, 2025, is 97.49 yuan, the pure bond value is 92.79 yuan, and the game terms are normal. Overall, the bond issuance scale is average, the liquidity is average, the rating is acceptable, and the bond floor protection is good [2][16]. 3.1.2. Analysis of New Bond Initial Listing Price - The company's main business is the R & D, production, sales, and service of connection system products. The funds raised will be used for the renovation and upgrade projects of high - frequency high - speed connection systems and intelligent energy connection systems, with the rest for working capital. This will help the company maintain its leading position and enhance its competitiveness [19]. - Based on market environment and parity level, the first - day conversion premium rate of Rui Convertible Bond is expected to be in the range of 32% - 37%, corresponding to a first - day target price of 129 - 134 yuan [3][20]. 3.1.3. Analysis of Convertible Bond New Issue Lottery Winning Rate - Assuming the old shareholders' placement ratio is 35% - 45%, the scale of Rui Convertible Bond available to the market is 550 million - 651 million yuan. With an assumed online effective subscription of 8.67 million households, the lottery winning rate is around 0.0063% - 0.0075% [21]. 3.2. Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.2.1. Company's Main Business and Industry Up - and Downstream Situation - The company is engaged in the R & D, production, sales, and service of connection system products, with a complete product chain and R & D and production capabilities for various connection systems. It has established long - term partnerships with well - known customers [22]. - The upstream suppliers are basic raw material and accessory industries with sufficient supply, which helps stabilize and reduce manufacturing costs. The downstream application fields of connectors are extensive, and the development of downstream industries such as new energy vehicles will drive the connector manufacturing industry [22][23]. 3.2.2. Company's Operating Conditions - The company's revenue has shown a fluctuating upward trend from 2022 to H1 2025, with the new energy sector's revenue accounting for an increasing proportion. The comprehensive gross margin has slightly decreased, and the net profit margin has fluctuated. The company's R & D and other expenses have generally increased, and the accounts receivable situation is relatively good, but the net profit attributable to the parent company has fluctuated greatly [26][29][31]. 3.2.3. Company's Equity Structure and Major Subsidiaries - As of June 30, 2025, the company's equity structure is relatively dispersed. Wu Shijun is the largest shareholder, and Huang Bo is the second - largest shareholder. Wu Shijun is the controlling shareholder and actual controller [45]. 3.2.4. Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has a complete product chain and offers comprehensive connection system solutions. It has advantages in technology R & D, continuous process innovation, and customer resources [49][52]. 3.2.5. Allocation of This Fund - Raising - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 1 billion yuan. After deducting issuance fees, 500 million yuan will be used for the renovation and upgrade project of high - frequency high - speed connection systems, 200 million yuan for the renovation and upgrade project of intelligent energy connection systems, and the remaining 300 million yuan for working capital [14][53]. - The high - frequency high - speed connection system project will add a production capacity of 5.56 million sets, with expected post - tax internal rate of return of 15.94% and a payback period of 7.47 years. The intelligent energy connection system project will add a production capacity of 6.7 million sets, with an expected post - tax internal rate of return of 13.84% and a payback period of 7.69 years [53][54].
2025W46房地产周报:香港开发商竞争格如何?-20251117
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-17 04:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate sector [8] Core Insights - The Hong Kong real estate market is experiencing a significant recovery, driven by the removal of restrictive measures and declining interest rates. The private residential price index has risen for four consecutive months, with a month-on-month increase of 1.32% in September. The rental index has also increased for ten months, reaching a historical high [16][18] - The competitive landscape among Hong Kong developers is becoming increasingly concentrated, with the top four developers accounting for nearly 50% of total sales in 2024. This trend indicates a shift towards a more monopolistic market structure [18] - The report highlights the importance of policy adjustments, such as reducing purchase restrictions and expediting the recovery of idle land, to boost market confidence and stimulate demand [3][20] Summary by Sections Hong Kong Real Estate Market - The market is witnessing a recovery due to the removal of demand management measures and lower transaction costs, which have significantly stimulated homebuyer demand [16][18] - The top four developers in Hong Kong, including Sun Hung Kai Properties and Henderson Land, have seen substantial sales, with Sun Hung Kai achieving sales of HKD 36 billion in 2024, representing 20% of total sales [18] Market Performance - The A-share real estate sector outperformed the broader market, with a weekly increase of 2.70%, surpassing the benchmark by 3.78 percentage points [20][21] - The Hong Kong real estate sector also outperformed, with a weekly increase of 4.99%, exceeding the Hang Seng Index by 3.73 percentage points [33] Credit Market - The issuance of real estate credit bonds totaled CNY 3.62 billion this week, with a net financing amount of -CNY 4.13 billion. Cumulative issuance for the year stands at CNY 374.38 billion, with a net financing amount of -CNY 41.90 billion [20][40] REITs Market - The REITs index increased by 0.82% this week, with the property-type REITs index rising by 0.62% and the operating rights-type REITs index increasing by 1.08% [42][51] - The total transaction volume for REITs this week was CNY 1.353 billion, with property-type REITs accounting for CNY 732 million [56]
军工周报:关注“十五五”推进国防和军队现代化建设任务-20251116
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-16 14:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the defense and military industry [7] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the focus on high-quality advancement in national defense and military modernization during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a core goal of enhancing strategic capabilities to safeguard national sovereignty and security [2][39] - The defense and military sector is expected to experience sustained growth due to the release of new orders and the execution of backlog orders from the previous plan, particularly in main battle equipment and emerging domains [3][43][44] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Defense and Military Index fell by 2.15% last week, ranking 27th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [15] - As of last Friday's close, the PE (TTM) for the Shenwan Defense and Military sector was 77.31 times, with aerospace equipment at 305.96 times and military electronics at 105.17 times [24] Key Recommendations - Recommended companies include: AVIC Chengfei, Hongdu Aviation, AVIC Shenyang, AVIC Xifei for downstream mainframe manufacturers; Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Guangqi Technology, Zhongjian Technology for military new technologies; and others in missile industry chains and underwater equipment [4] Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" in driving modernization efforts, with a focus on advanced weaponry and military training [39][41] - The unveiling of the J-20 and drone collaboration showcases advancements in military capabilities, emphasizing the strategic advantages of unmanned systems [3][42] Future Outlook - The report anticipates a positive outlook for the defense and military sector in 2026, driven by the release of new orders and the completion of backlog orders from the previous plan [43] - The international geopolitical landscape is evolving, creating opportunities for the expansion of China's military trade market, with a notable shift towards high-end military equipment [44]
计算机行业深度:2026年策略:AI化比数字更重要
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-16 14:55
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes that the commercialization of AI is more important than digital transformation, with the computer industry expected to undergo a revaluation due to the recovery of fundamentals and the acceleration of AI commercialization by 2026 [2][3]. - The report highlights that the overall revenue of the computer sector reached 11,533.72 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.93%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 18.45% to 203.14 billion yuan [2][3]. - The report identifies key segments to watch in 2026, including domestic computing power, overseas storage and computing power, cloud computing, IDC, and application chains, particularly focusing on AI applications in various industries [3][4]. Group 2 - Domestic computing power is accelerating, with leading companies like Huawei, Cambricon, and Haiguang Information driving development, supported by increased demand from major clients such as Alibaba and ByteDance [3][4]. - The overseas computing and storage market is evolving towards commercial application, with significant capital expenditures expected to drive performance in 2026, particularly in the CCL upstream sector [3][4]. - The cloud computing sector is witnessing a surge in demand, exemplified by OpenAI's partnership with Amazon, which involves a $38 billion AI cloud computing deal over seven years, indicating a growing need for underlying computing power [3][4]. Group 3 - The IDC sector is expected to see accelerated order releases as major domestic companies continue to invest, with orders anticipated to gradually materialize in 2026 [3][4]. - The application chain, particularly in AI, is projected to experience a dual recovery in valuation and fundamentals, with significant advancements expected in AI applications across healthcare, education, finance, and office scenarios [3][4]. - The report notes that the AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and other advanced storage solutions is reshaping the supply-demand structure and industry value [3][4].
医药行业2026年度医疗器械策略报告设备篇:创新破壁,并购筑基:后集采时代医疗器械的价值重构-20251115
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-15 15:32
Investment Rating - The report rates the medical device industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1][5]. Core Insights - 2026 is expected to be a year of value reconstruction for China's medical device sector, driven by policy support, innovation, and recovery of domestic demand [1][3]. - The industry is witnessing a shift from "approval optimization" to "payment optimization," with regulatory improvements supporting the innovation of high-end medical devices [1][3]. - The current market fundamentals show signs of a turning point, while institutional holdings are at historical lows, indicating potential investment opportunities [1][3]. Summary by Sections Overall Medical Device Situation - In the first three quarters of 2025, the SW medical device index reported total revenues of 178.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.29%, primarily affected by low-value consumables and IVD [15]. - The overall net profit for the same period was 26.7 billion yuan, down 13.99%, with high-value consumables showing improved profitability [15][20]. Medical Equipment - The recovery of procurement orders is expected to peak in Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, driven by improved funding and the "old-for-new" policy [66]. - The domestic government procurement income is stabilizing, while overseas revenue is still in a low base phase, indicating significant growth potential [66]. - The report highlights that the economic benefits of equipment procurement are becoming evident, with domestic high-end equipment showing competitive pricing [71]. Innovation in Medical Devices - The report emphasizes three main investment themes: government support, recovery of domestic demand, and accelerated overseas expansion [3][66]. - The innovation cycle is expected to accelerate, with a focus on companies that possess core competitiveness and a global perspective [3][66]. Market Trends - The report notes that the medical device sector is gradually stabilizing, with companies adapting to procurement pressures and showing signs of performance recovery [54]. - The overseas revenue share for medical device companies is increasing, with significant growth opportunities in regions with lower per capita equipment numbers [32][66].
轻工行业2026年度策略报告:看好AI眼镜放量,供给格局改善下重视反内卷及出海机会-20251115
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-15 15:32
Group 1: Smart Glasses - The global AI glasses market is expected to grow significantly, with sales projected to reach 1.52 million units in 2024 and 5.5 million units in 2025, driven by the launch of multiple AI glasses models from companies like Meta, Alibaba, and Baidu [1][23] - The integration of traditional optical companies into the smart glasses supply chain presents a new growth opportunity, particularly for lens manufacturers [1][40] - 康耐特光学 is highlighted as a leading lens manufacturer with ongoing collaborations in XR business, while 明月镜片 is noted for its partnership with Xiaomi for AI glasses [1][44][45] Group 2: Metal Packaging - The demand for two-piece cans is expected to recover as the market shifts towards increased canization, with the canization rate in China projected to rise from 29.56% in 2024, indicating significant growth potential compared to developed markets [2][52][55] - The industry is witnessing consolidation, with major players like 宝钢包装 and 奥瑞金 enhancing their market share through acquisitions, leading to a more concentrated market [2][59][60] - The profitability of two-piece cans is anticipated to improve as supply-side dynamics stabilize and companies expand their overseas production capabilities [2][64] Group 3: Export Chain - The easing of trade tensions and the Federal Reserve's shift to a rate-cutting cycle are expected to benefit export-oriented companies, improving order volumes [3][19] - Companies like 英科医疗 and 英科再生 are positioned to capitalize on these trends, with ongoing expansions in overseas production [3][22] Group 4: Millet Economy - The millet economy is projected to grow from 168.9 billion yuan in 2024 to 308.9 billion yuan by 2029, driven by a large user base and increasing consumer interest among younger demographics [4][24] - The development of high-quality domestic IP is expected to stimulate consumer demand for millet products, supported by improved distribution channels [4][30]