Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The new game "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" is expected to contribute significantly to revenue in Q3, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] - The company’s target price is set at 460.68 CNY based on a P/E ratio of 22 times the average of comparable companies for 2025 [3] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of 1.38 billion CNY in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34%, primarily driven by new games [9] - The gross margin for Q2 was 93%, up 6 percentage points year-on-year, due to an increase in self-developed games [9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 was 360 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37% [9] Profit Forecasts - The projected net profits for the company are 1.508 billion CNY, 1.779 billion CNY, and 1.936 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with significant growth rates of 59.6%, 17.9%, and 8.8% [3][11] - Earnings per share are expected to be 20.94 CNY, 24.70 CNY, and 26.87 CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11] Market Position and Product Pipeline - The long-standing game "Wen Dao" has stabilized its revenue, and the new mini-game "Dao You Lai Wa Bao" is anticipated to enhance player engagement [9] - Upcoming new titles, including the SLG game "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye," are expected to have a long lifecycle if successful, with a focus on the competitive Three Kingdoms theme [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 43.39 CNY, based on a DCF valuation [2][10]. Core Views - The company has experienced a short-term decline in profitability due to increased marketing expenditures, but the dual-brand strategy is expected to drive future growth [1][9]. - The company’s revenue and profit grew by approximately 31% and 5% respectively in the first half of the year, with a significant 39% increase in sales expenses [9]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its competitiveness in the beauty sector, particularly in eye care, with a 76% year-on-year increase in eye product sales [9]. - The company is expected to see improved profitability in the second half of the year, with a decrease in the sales expense ratio anticipated [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 3,802 million CNY, 4,656 million CNY, and 5,582 million CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.0%, 22.5%, and 19.9% [7][10]. - The expected earnings per share for 2025-2027 are 1.07 CNY, 1.44 CNY, and 1.83 CNY respectively [2][10]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 70.7% in 2023 to 75.2% in 2027, while the net profit margin is expected to increase from 11.7% to 13.1% over the same period [9][14].

建材行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 新藏铁路影响深远，区域水泥投资机会可 期 ——建筑建材行业跟踪点评 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 市场部分观点认为新藏铁路带来的资本市场投资机会或已过去，更偏短期情绪。但我们 的观点在于，长期来看铁路建设以及后续对于区域经济活力的激发，将持续拉动水泥需 求，由于南疆水泥市场格局较好，可展望价格的进一步上涨，提升企业利润弹性，带来 落实到基本面的投资机会。建议关注在新疆有产能布局的水泥企业，如青松建化 (600425，未评级)、天山股份(000877，未评级)、海螺水泥(600585，未评级)。 风险提示 新疆水泥需求增长不及预期、行业供给端超预期放量、原燃材料价格上涨、假设条件变 化影响测算结果。 国家/地区 中国 行业 建材行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 08 月 26 日 冯孟乾 fengmengqian@orientsec.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0860523070003 | 玻纤仍需"反内卷"，落实效果或可期待： | 2025-07-17 | | --- | --- | | ——建筑建材行业跟踪点评 | | | 地产走弱冲击有限，城市更新有望接力： | 20 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 39.99 CNY, based on a PE ratio of 43 times for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company is actively expanding into the civil aviation and low-altitude industries, which are expected to become new growth points [1]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 1.301 billion CNY and 1.516 billion CNY respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 1.759 billion CNY [2]. - The company is increasing its R&D investments significantly, which has led to a rise in R&D expenses by 33.11 million CNY, impacting profit margins in the short term but is expected to yield new growth opportunities in the future [8]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 4.78 billion CNY in 2023 to 7.888 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.7% [4][11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1.031 billion CNY in 2023 to 1.759 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 16.0% [4][11]. - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 38% over the forecast period, while the net margin is projected to improve slightly from 21.6% in 2023 to 22.3% in 2027 [4][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 38.54 CNY, based on a 47 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [3][5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in gross profit margins, with a second-quarter gross margin of 17.08%, up 1.38 percentage points from the previous quarter. This increase is attributed to enhanced operational strategies and R&D capabilities [11]. - The company is actively expanding its recycling capabilities in the rare earth materials sector, which is expected to reduce costs and increase profitability as demand for magnetic materials grows [11]. - The company has achieved breakthroughs in its surface coating technology, which is expected to further enhance product margins [11]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 6,688 million CNY in 2023 to 17,882 million CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 36.6% [9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 564 million CNY in 2023 to 1,399 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.41 CNY in 2023 to 1.02 CNY in 2027 [9]. Market Performance - The company's stock has shown strong performance, with a 254.2% increase over the past 12 months [6]. - The stock price as of August 25, 2025, was 36.36 CNY, with a 52-week high of 36.36 CNY and a low of 9.87 CNY [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The convertible bond market continues to rise with equities, and although the upward space for convertible bond valuations is decreasing, they still have potential under the influence of optimistic equity sentiment. The current positions of major institutional convertible bonds are generally low, and the absolute funds have mostly been realized. Relative funds are cautious about increasing convertible bond positions, with most maintaining their positions to keep their rankings, and the bond - selection style is relatively aggressive. There are no short - term negative factors in the domestic market, and the impact of the interim reports is limited. In the current market, the slow - bull characteristics are significant, and there is still potential for off - market funds in convertible bonds. One can appropriately ignore short - term fluctuations, adhere to the mid - line bullish view, and add positions at important support levels if there are callbacks [6][9]. - The A - share market continued to rise last week due to the combined influence of internal and external factors. The Fed's latest statement was dovish, the market was optimistic about the US interest rate cut, the Sino - US chip competition ignited the sentiment of the domestic chip industry, and the release of DeepSeek - V3.1 promoted the domestic chip sector. At the same time, the non - bank sector continued to strengthen under the bull market expectation [6][9]. - The judgment on the future market remains unchanged. The market will fluctuate and strengthen. The driving force of this bull market comes from the improvement of grass - roots governance ability and technological competitiveness, which has increased public confidence [9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Convertible Bond Viewpoint: Low Convertible Bond Positions, Unchanged Bullish Logic - The convertible bond market continues to rise with equities, with increasing trading volume. The median absolute price reaches 135 yuan, and the premium rate per 100 yuan also hits a new high. Although the upward space for convertible bond valuations is decreasing, they still have potential under the influence of optimistic equity sentiment. The current positions of major institutional convertible bonds are generally low, and the bond - selection style is relatively aggressive [9]. - There are no short - term negative factors in the domestic market, and the impact of the interim reports is limited. The current market shows significant slow - bull characteristics, and there is still potential for off - market funds in convertible bonds. One can appropriately ignore short - term fluctuations, adhere to the mid - line bullish view, and add positions at important support levels if there are callbacks [9]. - The A - share market continued to rise last week due to the combined influence of internal and external factors. The Fed's dovish statement, the Sino - US chip competition, and the release of DeepSeek - V3.1 promoted the domestic chip sector, and the non - bank sector continued to strengthen under the bull market expectation [9]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Review: Sustained Equity Momentum, Convertible Bonds Rising Accordingly 3.2.1 Market Overall Performance: Equity Volume Increases and the Technology Sector Leads the Rise - From August 18th to August 22nd, the market continued to rise significantly. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 3.49%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 4.57%, the CSI 300 rose 4.18%, the CSI 1000 rose 3.45%, the ChiNext Index rose 5.85%, the STAR 50 rose 13.31%, and the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 rose 8.40%. All industries closed up, with communication, electronics, and comprehensive industries leading the gains. The average daily trading volume increased significantly from 4861.19 billion yuan to 2.58 trillion yuan [12]. - The top ten convertible bonds in terms of gains last week were Dongshi, Jintong, Huayi, Weice, Dongjie, Shuiyang, Songyuan, Xinzhi, Bo23, and Songsheng Convertible Bonds. In terms of trading volume, last week, Outong, Dayuan, Saili, Dongjie, Huahong, Jintong, Zhongqi, Chongda, Tianlu, and Xinzhi Convertible Bonds were relatively active [12]. 3.2.2 Convertible Bonds Reach New Trading Highs, High - Price and Medium - High - Rating Convertible Bonds Lead the Rise - Last week, convertible bonds significantly followed the rise, with the average daily trading volume continuing to rise to 94.06 billion yuan. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 2.83%, the parity center rose 2.5% to 112.1 yuan, and the conversion premium rate center rose 0.4% to 21.7%. In terms of style, high - price and medium - high - rating convertible bonds performed well last week, while AAA - rated and double - low convertible bonds were relatively weak [17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the real estate industry [6] Core Insights - The recent policy adjustments in Beijing and Shanghai align with expectations and are moderate in intensity, which will aid in regional inventory digestion. This series of "city-specific policies" strengthens confidence in the industry's long-term recovery path [1][4] - The recovery of real estate stocks does not solely depend on the timing of policy implementations; rather, the decline in risk-free interest rates and the reduction in industry risk assessments are the primary drivers of this recovery. The market has entered a new bottoming phase, where the impact of the denominator (risk-free rates) outweighs that of the numerator (real estate prices) [2] - The new policies in Shanghai, including the relaxation of purchase restrictions and adjustments to mortgage rates, are expected to stimulate demand in suburban areas, which will help reduce inventory [3] Summary by Sections Policy Developments - On August 25, Shanghai announced new housing policies, including easing purchase restrictions outside the outer ring and enhancing public housing fund support. The adjustments are expected to significantly impact the new housing market, particularly in suburban areas [3] - The report notes that the new policies are similar to those in Beijing, focusing on optimizing public housing fund policies and adjusting commercial loan rates to lower housing costs [3] Market Trends - Since Q2 of this year, the new housing market has shown signs of weakening in both volume and price, increasing the pressure for stabilization. The recent policies from Beijing and Shanghai have reinforced confidence in the industry's long-term recovery, with further policy space anticipated [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks: China Merchants Shekou (001979, Buy), Poly Developments (600048, Buy), Beike-W (02423, Buy), Longfor Group (00960, Buy), and Gemdale Corporation (600383, Hold) [5]

中信特钢 000708.SZ 公司研究 | 中报点评 特钢需求有望增长，业绩提升前景可期 ——中信特钢 2025 年半年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据公司 2025 年半年报，我们做出小幅下调产品毛利率、上调营业所得税等调整， 预测公司 2025-2027 年每股收益为 1.10、1.17、1.24 元（2025-2027 年原预测值为 1.12、1.20、1.28 元）。根据可比公司 2025 年 14X 的 PE 估值，对应目标价 15.4 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 公司产品结构转型升级进度低于预期风险、原材料价格上涨风险、公司降本幅度未及预 期风险、特钢下游行业发展速度低于预期风险、宏观经济波动风险 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 114,019 | 109,203 | 104,795 | 104,011 | 104,157 | | 同比增长 (%) | 15.9% | -4.2% | -4.0% | -0. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 15.4 CNY, based on a PE valuation of 14X for comparable companies [4][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from increasing demand for special steel, particularly in the energy sector, which will enhance its profitability. The report highlights a 2.67% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, reaching 2.798 billion CNY [10]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure and targeting strategic sectors such as energy and automotive, which is anticipated to sustain its growth trajectory [10]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong dividend policy, with a proposed cash dividend of 2.56 billion CNY for 2024, representing 49.95% of its net profit, indicating a high dividend yield of 4.45% [10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 104.795 billion CNY, 104.011 billion CNY, and 104.157 billion CNY, respectively, reflecting a decline in revenue growth rates [4][14]. - The company's net profit for 2025 is forecasted at 5.563 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 8.5% compared to the previous year [4][14]. - The report anticipates an increase in gross margin from 12.8% in 2024 to 14.2% in 2025, indicating improved profitability [4][14]. Market Position and Industry Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in the special steel industry, with significant technological advancements in high-performance steel materials for clean energy applications [10]. - The report notes that the demand for special steel is expected to continue growing, particularly in high-end equipment manufacturing and clean energy sectors, which will provide further opportunities for profit expansion [10]. - The domestic hydropower installation capacity is projected to lead globally, with expectations to exceed the target of 120 GW by 2030, benefiting the company's product offerings [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 15.4 CNY, maintaining the rating from previous assessments [4][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from increasing demand for special steel, particularly in the energy sector, which will enhance its profitability. The company has optimized its product structure and focused on strategic areas such as wind power, oil and gas, and new energy vehicles, leading to a 2.67% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [10]. - The special steel market is anticipated to continue growing, with the company positioned to expand its profit margins due to its strong technical capabilities and product offerings in clean energy sectors like hydropower and nuclear power [10]. - The company has a solid dividend policy, with a cash dividend payout of 25.6 billion CNY for 2024, representing 49.95% of its net profit, indicating a high dividend yield of 4.45% [10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 114,019 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9%. However, a decline of 4.2% is expected in 2024, followed by a slight decrease in subsequent years [14]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 5,721 million CNY in 2023, with a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year. The profit is expected to recover with an 8.5% increase in 2025 [14]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are estimated to be 1.13 CNY for 2023, with a slight decline to 1.02 CNY in 2024, and a recovery to 1.10 CNY in 2025 [14]. Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 11.3 for 2023, which is expected to rise to 12.6 in 2024 before stabilizing around 11.6 in 2025 [14]. - The price-to-book (PB) ratio is projected to decrease from 1.7 in 2023 to 1.5 in 2025, indicating a potential increase in shareholder value over the forecast period [14].